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I was absolutely glued to the television these past few days in awe over the destruction that hurricane Ike inflicted on the Texas gulf coast. Partially because I still have family and friends in Houston and Galveston and Louisiana, and partially because I was able to see things on the news that I recognized. It is eerie seeing a thriving metropolitan area as large as Houston the way it was. Downtown deserted. Freeways empty. I know it is hard to put in perspective to those of you who have never been there but i remember the amount of traffic on 8 lines of freeway and for them to be empty is a MAJOR deal. Glass shattered out of sky scrappers, houses damaged, streets flooded, what a mess! Thankfully Houston fared better than Galveston, a place I have visited MANY times on my spring breaks, summer vacations, and even my honeymoon. It is heartbreaking to me and I am sure to many others across this great nation. Please keep the affected people in your prayers, they will need it. 

Just a few pics I found.

Market Commentary

At Legacy Mortgage we are constantly seeking ways to enhance our dedication to our clients and real estate partners. Our position as an innovator in the field of real estate finance allows us to help you make informed decisions regarding your customers mortgage financing. We have scoured through the financial reports for the week and we wanted to share the information with you. Please let us know if we can be of further assistance to you and your valued clients.

There are only four pieces of economic news scheduled for release this week and one of them is a highly important inflation reading. We also have another Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which likely will not bring a change to key short-term interest rates. There is a pretty good possibility of seeing a fair amount of volatility in the markets and likely mortgage rates the next several days.

The first report of the week is August's Industrial Production data this morning. This report gives us a measurement of manufacturing sector strength by tracking output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities. It is considered to be moderately important but could cause movement in mortgage rates. Analysts are currently expecting to see a 0.3% decline in production. A higher level of output could lead to higher mortgage rates, while a weaker than expected figure should help push rates slightly lower .

August's Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released Tuesday morning at 8:30 am ET. The CPI is one of the most important reports we see each and every month. It is considered to be a key indicator of inflation at the consumer level of the economy. There are two readings in the report- the overall index and the core data reading. Current forecasts are calling for no change in the overall reading and a 0.2% rise in the core data reading. A larger increase in the core data would likely lead to higher mortgage rates Tuesday, while a smaller increase would be good news.

The FOMC meeting will adjourn at 2:15 PM Tuesday. There is little debate about a possible change to key short-term interest rates at this meeting. The overwhelming consensus is that there will be no change to rates at this meeting. However, the post-meeting statement could very well lead to volatility during afternoon trading as investors dissect it in an effort to find the Fed's expected next move . The wild card is how the markets react to the statement. If we see significant weakness in stocks, the bond market may benefit as a safe-haven from the volatility. This could lead to lower mortgage rates Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday morning.

August's Housing Starts report will be released early Wednesday morning. This report will probably not have much of an impact on the bond market or mortgage rates. It gives us a measurement of housing sector strength and mortgage credit demand, but is usually considered to be of low importance to the financial markets.

Late Thursday morning, the Conference Board will release its Leading Economic Indicators (LEI). This index attempts to measure economic activity over the next three to six months. If it estimates an increase in activity, the bond market will probably fall and mortgage rates will rise slightly. If it shows weaker than expected readings, the bond market may rally and mortgage rates should fall. Current forecasts are calling for a 0.2% decline from July's reading.

Overall,we expect to see some pressure in bonds tomorrow as investors prepare for Tuesday's events. Tuesday will most likely be the most important day of the week with the CPI release and the FOMC meeting. If the CPI eases inflation concerns and the Fed statement doesn't reveal any negative surprises, we will most likely see mortgage rates move lower for the week.

The only thing that my daughter wanted for her birthday this year was a trip to the water park.  Happily we all went on Saturday to Tie Breaker Park in Hopkinsville, KY. I must say we had a blast. I think I enjoyed it more than the kiddos did. It is a small park perfect for all ages. I would think that some of the Teens may find it a bit lame BUT for my kids ages 10, 9, and 8. It was perfect. I could just about see them all over the park no matter where they were, the water only goes up to 3 ft 6 inches so it took away most of my worries of being able to keep my girls safe. They had several lifeguards on duty as well, which made me feel more at ease allowing the girls freedom to roam for a few minutes at a time. This allowed time for my husband and I to enjoy the day, talking and playing on the water-slides as well. We all spent hours splashing around in the cool refreshing water and I must say at a very reasonable price. Admission is around $9 per person, if you are a military family it is even cheaper. This is one place I would recommend to take your kids, it is a great family outing that won't blow your budget. For more information go to http://www.tiebreakerpark.com . Your kids will thank you, and you may actually get a bit of peace and fun for yourself!

Watch out for Mortgage Rates this week!

At Legacy Mortgage we are constantly seeking ways to enhance our dedication to our clients and real estate partners. Our position as an innovator in the field of real estate finance allows us to help you make informed decisions regarding your customers mortgage financing. We have scoured through the financial reports for the week and we wanted to share the information with you. Please let us know if we can be of further assistance to you and your valued clients.

This week brings us the release of six important economic reports for the bond market to digest. Several of these reports are considered to be of high importance, meaning we will likely see volatility in the financial markets and mortgage pricing over the next several days. There are also plenty of corporate earnings releases scheduled for the stock markets this week along with the minutes from the last FOMC meeting. Throw in a couple of days of Fed testimony and we have the makings for a very interesting week.

The first piece of data comes Tuesday morning with the release of June's Producer Price Index (PPI). The PPI is very important because it measures inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. It is expected to show a 1.3% increase in the overall reading and a 0.3% rise in the core data reading. The bond market should react quite favorably to weaker than expected readings, but a bigger than expected jump in the core reading could send mortgage rates higher Tuesday.

June's Retail Sales report will also be posted Tuesday. The Commerce Department is expected to say that sales at retail establishments rose 0.3% last month. This data is considered to be of high importance because it measures consumer spending. Consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy, so any related data is watched closely. A smaller than expected increase in sales could help fuel a bond rally and lead to lower mortgage rates, depending on the results of the PPI report.

Next on tap is Wednesday's release of June's Consumer Price Index (CPI). It is a mirror of Tuesday's PPI with the exception that the CPI measures inflation at the more important consumer level of the economy. Analysts have forecasted a 0.7% increase in the overall index and a 0.2% rise in the core data. The core data is considered to be the k ey reading of both the PPI and CPI because they exclude more volatile food and energy prices, giving us a more stable measure of inflation. Higher than expected readings could raise inflation fears and push mortgage rates higher both days.

June's Industrial Production data will also be posted Wednesday morning. This data measures output and U.S. factories, mines and utilities, giving us an indication of manufacturing sector strength. It is expected to show a 0.2% rise in production, indicating that the manufacturing sector showed moderate growth during the month. A smaller than expected increase would be good news and could help push mortgage rates slightly lower Wednesday.

Also worth noting about Wednesday is the release of the minutes from the last FOMC meeting. There is a possibility of the markets reacting to them following their 2:00 PM ET release, especially if they show some divisiveness by its members during discussion and voting at the last meeting.

Fed Chairman Bernanke will speak before the Senate Banking Committee Tuesday morning and the House Financial Services Committee Wednesday morning at 10:00am ET. His testimony will be broadcasted and will be watched very closely. Analysts and traders will be looking for the status of the economy and his expectations of future growth, particularly inflation concerns. This should create a great deal of volatility in the markets during the testimony and the question and answer session that follows. If he indicates that inflation is still a point of concern, we will likely see the bond market tank and mortgage rates rise.

Thursday's only relevant data is June's Housing Starts report. This data gives us an indication of housing sector strength, but is not considered to be of high importance. Analysts are currently expecting to see a small decline in new starts of housing projects. However, we don't see this data having a much of an impact on mortgage rates Thursday unless it va ries greatly from forecasts.

Overall though, we think we will see the most movement in mortgage pricing this week on Tuesday or Wednesday due to the release of the inflation related indexes and Mr. Bernanke's testimony those days. This weekend's news of Fed support of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will likely help stocks, but we are not sure of how the bond and mortgage markets will react to that news. We suspect it will be taken as positive news, but it will be interesting to see if it has a significant influence on mortgage pricing. Regardless, even without that turn of events, it will likely be an active week for mortgage rates with a fair amount of volatility.

Market Commentary

At Legacy Mortgage we are constantly seeking ways to enhance our dedication to our clients and real estate partners. Our postition as an innovator in the field of real estate finance allows us to help you make informed decisions regarding your customers mortgage financing. We have scoured through the financial reports for the week and we wanted to share the information with you. Please let us know if we can be of further assistance to you and your valued clients.

This week is moderately busy with four economic reports scheduled to be released. Only one of the four is considered to be of high importance to the markets and mortgage rates. The remaining three are of interest to the markets but likely will not cause a large change in mortgage rates unless they vary greatly from forecasts.

The first report of the week is also the most important. May's Producer Price Index (PPI) will be posted early Tuesday morning. It helps us measure inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy and is the sister report to last week's Consumer Price Index (CPI). There are two readings of this index, the overall and the core data. The core data is considered to be the more important of the two because it excludes more volatile food and energy prices. A large increase could add fuel to the theory that inflat ion is a real threat to the economy because the higher prices will likely be passed on to the consumer in the near future. This would not be good news for bond prices or mortgage rates since inflation erodes the value of a bond's future fixed interest payments. Rising inflation causes investors to sell bonds, driving prices lower and mortgage rates higher. Analysts are expecting to see an increase of 1.0% in the overall index and a 0.2% rise in the core data.

The second of three reports being posted Tuesday is May's Housing Starts report. This report gives us a measurement of housing sector strength, but is the week's least important. It usually doesn't have a major impact on the bond market or mortgage rates and we see no reason for this month's results to be any different. Analysts are expecting to see a drop in starts of new homes between April and May.

The third and final piece of data scheduled for Tuesday is May's Industrial Production. This report will be released at 9:15 AM ET. It measures output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities, giving us an important measurement of manufacturing sector strength. If it reveals that production is rising, concerns of manufacturing strength may come into play in the bond market. A decline would indicate that the manufacturing sector is weaker than expected and should help push mortgage rates lower. Current forecasts are calling for an increase of 0.1%.

May's Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) will be posted late Thursday morning. The Conference Board, who is a New York-based business research group, will post this data. It attempts to predict economic activity over the next three to six months. If it shows rapidly rising levels of activity, bond prices will probably drop, pushing mortgage rates higher Thursday morning. But, a weaker than expected reading could lead to lower mortgage pricing. It is expected to show no change from April to May.

Overall, look for Tuesday to be the big day of the week. Not just because it brings the release of three of four reports, but because it brings us the PPI that is considered to be a key inflation reading. We are expecting to see the least amount of movement in rates tomorrow and Friday, unless the major stock indexes stage a considerable sell off or rally. However, we are still not sure that we have seen the end of the recent bond selling. Therefore, keep in constant contact with your mortgage professional through out the week.

Market Commentary

At Legacy Mortgage we are constantly seeking ways to enhance our dedication to our clients and real estate partners. Our postition as an innovator in the field of real estate finance allows us to help you make informed decisions regarding your customers mortgage financing. We have scoured through the financial reports for the week and we wanted to share the information with you. Please let us know if we can be of further assistance to you and your valued clients.

This week brings us the release of only three pieces of economic news in addition to the minutes from the last FOMC meeting. Only one of those three can be considered of high importance to the markets and mortgage rates, so we may see a fairly calm week for mortgage rates.

The first data comes this morning with the release of April's Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) at 10:00 AM ET. This Conference Board report attempts to measure economic activity over the next three to six months. It is expected to show no change from March's reading, meaning that economic activity is likely to remain flat during the next few months. A decline would be good news for the bond market and mortgage rates, while an increase could cause mortgage rates to inch higher tomorrow.

The second report of the week April's Producer Price Index (PPI) Tuesday morning, which helps us measure inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. If this report reveals weaker than expected readings, we should see the bond and stock markets rally. The overall index is expected to show an increase of 0.4%, while the core data that excludes food and energy prices is expected to rise 0.2%. A smaller than expected increase in the core data would be ideal for mortgage shoppers.

There is no relevant economic news scheduled for release Wednesday, but we will get to see the minutes from the last FOMC meeting. Market participants will be looking for how Fed members voted during the last meeting and any comments about inflation concerns in the economy. The goal is to form a guess about what the Fed's next move will be. The minutes will be released at 2:00 PM ET, so if there is a market reaction to them it will be evident during afternoon trading.

The National Association of Realtors will give us the Existing Home Sales report Friday morning. This data tracks resales of homes in the U.S., giving us a measurement of housing sector strength. However, it is not considered to be of much importance to the bond market unless it varies greatly from forecasts. Current forecasts are calling for decline in sales between March and April.

Overall, it may be an interesting week for mortgage rates. We could see little movement in rates if the stock markets remain calm and the week's data doesn't reveal any major surprises. Tuesday's PPI report is the single most important data of the week, but the FOMC minutes may also lead to some volatility in the markets. Also worth noting is an early close in the bond market Friday afternoon ahead of the Memorial Day Holiday Monday. These early closes sometimes lead to additional volatility bond prices as investors prepare for the long weekend and trading thins with many traders starting the weekend early.

At Legacy Mortgage we are constantly seeking ways to enhance our dedication to our clients and real estate partners. Our postition as an innovator in the field of real estate finance allows us to help you make informed decisions regarding your customers mortgage financing. We have scoured through the financial reports for the week and we wanted to share the information with you. Please let us know if we can be of further assistance to you and your valued clients.

There are several important pieces of economic news scheduled to be released this week, but two stand out above the others. There are a total of five reports scheduled for release, so it could be considered a fairly active week. There is no relevant data due out today, so expect the stock markets to help drive bond trading and mortgage rates.

The first piece of data is the release of April's Retail Sales data early Tuesday morning. This is an extremely important report for the financial markets as it measures consumer spending. Since consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy, this data can have a pretty significant impact on the markets. Current forecasts are calling for no change in sales from March to April. A weaker than expected level of sales should push bond prices higher and mortgage rates lower Tuesday. However, a larger increase could fuel bond selling and lead to higher mortgage rates.

Wednesday's only relevant report is April's Consumer Price Index (CPI). It is similar to next week's PPI report, but measures inflationary pressures at the more important consumer level of the economy. Its results will be watched closely and can lead to significant volatility in the bond market and mortgage pricing. Current forecasts are calling for increases of 0.2% and 0.3% respectively in the overall index and the core data readings. The core data is the more important of the two since it excludes more volatile food and energy prices.

April's Industrial Production is Thursday's only relevant news. It measures manufacturing sector strength by tracking output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities. It is expected to show a 0.2% decline in production, indicating that manufacturing activity is slowing. A larger decline in output would be good news for the bond market and mortgage rates because it would indicate that the manufacturing sector is weaker than expected.

There are two pieces of data due to be posted Friday. April's Housing Starts is the first and is the least important of the two. This data measures housing sector strength and mortgage credit demand by tracking new permits and actual starts of new home construction. It is expected to show a decline in new starts from March's readings. But, since this report is not considered to be of high importance to the bond market, it likely will have little impact on mortgage rates unless it varies greatly from forecasts.

The last report of the week is May's preliminary reading to the University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment. This index measures consumer willingness to spend and usually has a moderate impact on the financial markets. It is expected to show a reading of 63.0, which would be a slight increase from last month's final reading. If it shows a decline in consumer confidence, bond prices will likely rise. This should lead to mortgage rates moving slightly lower Friday.

Overall, it likely will be a moderately active week for mortgage rates. Besides the week's important economic news, look for the stock markets to be a major influence on trading. We suspect we will see a fair amount of volatility in stocks, which should affect bond prices. Significant stock weakness should translate into bond gains and lower mortgage rates. However, if the major stock indexes rally, we could see mortgage rates move higher as a result. Keep in contact with your mortgage professional this week for updated rates.