Great post by Paul Slaybaugh.  Right now interest rates are low, the homebuyers' tax credit has been expanded, and to my way of thinking, it's a great time to buy if you don't plan to sell for the next 7-8 years.  The market will certainly appreciate over time, but probably not at the fast clip that it did from 2000 to 2005. 

Via Paul Slaybaugh, Scottsdale AZ Real Estate (Realty Executives):
  • Housing will not fully recover until 2012.  That is when the glut of backlogged foreclosures is expected to be phased out of the market. 

 

  • Housing will recover by the end of the year.  Now that inventory has contracted to average levels for what constitutes “normal” regional markets in major metropolitan areas where prices have declined as much as 50% in the past three years, and month to month sales have steadily increased over the past six months, demand has realigned with supply to arrest the freefall in values.

 

  • The housing recovery began in early 2009.  Median price increases in some markets indicate that even while many pundits were openly wondering when the bottom of the market would appear, it was actually several months in the rearview mirror.


Many factors and variables, and just as many divergent opinions to boot.  So many, in fact, that you almost have to choose amongst the purported experts to determine whether you fall in the half empty or half full category.  Job rates, interest rates, unemployment rates … psychiatric rates, for spending too much time poring over the data and extrapolations will render one in need of a head exam. 

Overanalysis 101.

You don’t need flow charts to tell you where things stand at the moment.  You won’t need a market report to tell you when things are better.

You’ll know the market has recovered when you no longer dread the trip to the mailbox or evening phone calls.

You’ll know the market has recovered when you can confidently re-enable automatic bill pay from your checking account instead of prioritizing which ones get paid this month by how far past due each is.

You’ll know that the market has recovered when you don’t have to decide whether you or a loved one is really ill enough to warrant the cost of a trip to the doctor.

You’ll know the market has recovered when you no longer have to explain to the kids why you can’t go to the zoo or stop for ice cream today. 

You’ll know the market has recovered when sleep comes as readily as worry formerly did.

You can stop looking to someone else to tell you when the market is fully healed as the housing implosion is the root of these greater ails.  It’s far easier to take stock of your own life, and those of your friends and family, to see where along its arc the pendulum is currently settled.  As the finance/housing sector dragged our economy into the muck, it will again lead us back to dry ground.  No need to watch the stars for celestial clues.  Just do what no pundit can and watch your own life for improvement.  You’ll know housing has recovered when both of your own feet are planted squarely on terra firma. 

Most importantly, beware the forecasts that don’t jive with your own internal index.  Those who would adamantly assert the rosiest or bleakest prognosis are likely more interested in influencing your behavior than in your well being. 

“Buy now before prices shoot back up!” 

“Sell now before prices erode further!” 

When you stop listening to yourself, you risk placing all of your trust in the megaphones of those who have a vested interest in your fear.

Is the housing market improving?  Is now the time to buy?  The time to sell?  For months, I have been asked to provide the answers to these questions.  I have dutifully provided my vague predictions with the obligatory caveat that no one truly knows how a free market will behave from one day to the next.  I realize, though, that in supplying answers to those who actually give the market context, that we have all been looking at this thing from the wrong perspective.  It makes zero difference where I think the market stands at present, and where it is headed.  The very consumers who ask me these questions are the ones who will ultimately provide the truth or fallacy to my various hypotheses.  So I turn the tables and ask the consumer, the actual authority, the very same question. 

“What is the state of the Real Estate market?”

Feel free to comment here or send me an email with your thoughts.  Looking for opinions from consumers and laypersons, not agents or financial wizards (all comments welcome, though).  I will post the results in a follow-up piece.

Mr. Homeowner & Mrs. Homebuyer, the floor is now yours.

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Happy Thanksgiving and Thank You from the Black Rock Food Pantry.  It is that time of year again when we pause, count our blessings and give thanks for what we have. During this time we also look outward and realize that there are many families that struggle each day to provide for their families the most basic of necessities.  The volunteers at the Black Rock Food Pantry work throughout the year on a mission to seek out, help and feed families in need.

Over the last year we have had the privilege of serving over eight hundred families with an ever increasing demand. Last month alone we handed out a record 7,400 meals. Although we are proud of our accomplishments, we feel that we receive in personal satisfaction much more than we give.  This holiday season we are most thankful for the community in which we live. We have been helped by many local people and organizations, organizing such events as Soup Bowls for Hunger hosted by Private Parties, and the Pogey Concert by the Norden Club and Black Rock Community Council raising a whopping $6,000.00 for their neighbors that needed their help, these events along with many food drives and personal contributions led to our great success this year.

We have truly been blessed with the ever growing list of volunteers. It is humbling to be in the presence of this special group of people to watch as they minister to each other while ministering to our clients. Thank you all.We ask that throughout the year you continue to keep us in your thoughts, continue to drop off food, visit our web site www.BlackRockFoodPantry.com and make a small donation, sign up as a volunteer and help us to seek out those who may need a little extra help.Please help us to promote our pantry by passing this e-mail along to your friends and family.  May God continue to bless us all.Black Rock Food Pantry.

Posted on: www.blackrockonline.org  Black Rock Community Blog

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Ellsworth FieldTed Grabarz, Deputy Director of Public Facilities, has provided us with his notes from the November 12th community meeting on Ellsworth Park which was co-sponsored by the BRCC and Black Rock NRZ.  These notes are attached in PDF format and can be printed out.  We have also included them in this post for easier access.  There were approximately 180 people at the meeting which was held on November 12 at the St. Ann's School Auditorium.  The Parks Department reports in to the Public Facilities Department.  Mr. Grabarz was present at the meeting and took notes so that the City of Bridgeport can address concerns about the proposed improvements to Ellsworth Field.  The major concerns focused on the lack of parking for users of Ellsworth Field, accompanying safety issues for kids and residents, and that the planned improvements don't address this issue and may, in fact, increase the usage of the park and the size, location, and look of the concession/storage/rest room building, which will be approximately 30' long and located across the street from the end of Seabright Avenue.

There were few changes to the plan first presented at the special BRCC meeting on Ellsworth Field.  The look of the building was changed to conform to Historic District requirements, but otherwise the plan was pretty much as presented in the first meeting.on September 24.

Ted Grabarz's notes are provided below...

Parking issues

Parking wasn't part of Phase I program.  Will get meeting with Police Chief

Number of fields has increased over the years leading to over-use

We recognized that in the Master Plan and are attempting to make people aware of all the other parks in City

Suggestion of bleachers and solar panels We can look at both

Too much noise

Police enforcement

Signage that prohibited dogs, alcohol and gold (sic) has been removed

It will be replaced

Splash park concerns It will at least be an add alternate so that it may be removed

We will have City Engineer re-visit

Suggestion of One Way street with diagonal parking Previous studies indicated that it wouldn't noticibly increase

We will have City Engineer re-visit

Why does building have to be so big?  Reduce size. Toilet rooms, handicap accessible.  Storage close to work thus increasing city personnel productivity.

Need to look at plan to reduce

Why doesn't building fit more into historic character? Needs to be durable to last a long time.

We will look at further detailing, size reduction

Why can't use other areas to share parking, i.e. St. Ann's Many communitys are trying to do that to reduce impermeable surface

We will explore

Need to decrease police response time Will arrange meeting with Police Chief

I will contact Auden Grogins

Need to meet the needs of the community as a whole as opposed to just the Little League That's why we used the NRZ program

Verify NRZ program

Why is there security lighting?  Get rid of it. Only shown at entrances

Set on timers and will relook on removing

Is there a way to block off the street during Little League times? It's a public road.  Doubt we can do that

More police enforcement

Create a "non-building" i.e. with berms, etc. and depress building footprint to hide Issues with grade changes make it difficult to do

Move storage to the back of the site, closer to boat yard

Can look at

Have lighting go off at 11 PM We can look at that

Boat yard is beginning to intrude onto park space

We will look at

Planning and Zoning issue

Building is ugly, make it more appropriate to the Historic area

We can look at changes and perhaps reduce bulk

Why can''t building be moved? Sewer connections and setbacks necessitate general location

Can we use waterless toilets, etc. and hide building more with foliage

Why is there only one toilet per bathroom?

To reduce maintenance cost

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Please Help us Celebrate our First Anniversary...

First year Anniversary Celebration

CHARLIE WALSH 2.0

WORKS ON PAPER
Opening Reception

December 3rd. 6pm until 9pm.

 

HOLIDAY GIFT SHOW
Opens December 4th

Hand made and artisan gifts Under $100

over 30 artists


Shows run concurrent through January 7th 2010


--
The Gallery at Black Rock
2861 Fairfield Avenue
Bridgeport CT 06605
203.814.6856
www.thegalleryatblackrock.com

 

Source:  www.blackrockonline.org  Black Rock's Community Blog

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Burroughs Community CenterGet ready to roam the Streets of Black Rock!  Saturday, December 5th.  To participate you must pre-register & pay online at www.BurroughsCC.org  by December 1!  Sign-in between 12-12:45pm at the Black Rock Tavern.  21+ is a must.   $20 includes an event t-shirt & food at each restaurant.  Drink Specials will be offered.   Wear the craziest, most festive Holiday Sweater you can find! Prizes will be awarded!  Any questions, please contact Laura@BurroughsCC.org .   
Restaurants include: Taco Loco, Viale Ristorante, The Field, The Black Rock Tavern, Lady Luck, Ash Creek Saloon, Matty's Corner, Ray Kelly's Pub & Frankie's Sports Lounge

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Black Rock Rotary Club

The new provisional Black Rock Rotary Club is hosting its first community fundraiser December 5th - a jazz night to support the Friends of the Black Rock Library from 7 to 9 PM at the Black Rock Branch Library.  There there will be Jazz music, a wine tasting sponsored by Harry's, hors d'oevres, and dessert - all for $25 per person. 

The invitation reply form is at www.blackrockonline.org.  Please fill out and mail with your check to:

Black Rock Rotary Club

1730 Commerce Drive, Suite E

Bridgeport, CT 06605 

If you can't make the event, tax-deductible checks payable to the "Friends of the Bridgeport Public Library" will also be much appreciated. For more information or tickets, contact me or Catherine Milton at camilt@gmail.com. Thank you,

Yours in Rotary Service 

Rick BensonRotary District Governor

2008-09

203-856-9792

Source: www.blackrockonline.org

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Outliers is a book written by Malcolm Gladwell  in 2008. In Outliers, Gladwell examines the factors that contribute to high levels of success. Throughout the publication, Gladwell repeatedly mentions the "10,000-Hour Rule", claiming that the key to success in any field is, to a large extent, a matter of practicing a specific task for a total of around 10,000 hours.  He gives examples such as Bill Gates and the Beatles.

Most people don't know that Bill Gates spent most of his early years in his school's computer lab. He had extensive access to a state-of-the-art computer lab, the likes of which very few in his generation would know until years later. By the time he dropped out of Harvard after his sophomore year to try his hand at his own software company, Gates had already been programming nonstop for seven consecutive years. He was way past 10,000 hours.

The Beatles were invited to play in Hamburg, Germany in 1960 when they were still a struggling band. What was unusual about Hamburg is that they had to play all night, eight hours straight, seven days a week, for weeks on endJohn Lennon, in an interview after the Beatles disbanded, talking about the band's performances at Hamburg, said: "We got better and got more confidence. We couldn't help it with all the experience playing all night long. . . In Liverpool, we'd only ever done one-hour sessions, and we just used to do our best numbers, the same ones, at every one. In Hamburg we had to play for eight hours, so we really had to find a new way of playing."

So I decided to see if I'm an expert on real estate yet.  Let's see 5 years x 60 hours a week x 52 weeks (no vacation yet) = 11,000 hours.  Yes, I just made it!!!  Whew!  What about you? 

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Gail Robinson, GRI,e-Pro | William Raveis Real Estate | 203-521-0768
20 Haddon Street, #2, Bridgeport, CT
First floor co-op in desirable Black Rock. Updated plumbing, marble bath, some replacement windows. Co-op Bd approval req.
2BR/1BA Condo
offered at $129,900
Year Built 1918
Sq Footage 750
Bedrooms 2
Bathrooms 1 full, 0 partial
Floors 1
Parking 1 Uncovered spaces
Lot Size Unspecified
HOA/Maint $457 per month

DESCRIPTION

First floor, two bedroom co-op in desirable Black Rock on quiet, tree-lined street. Updated plumbing, updated bath with marble floor, enclosed porch, Douglas Fir floors beautifully refinished, and replacement windows throughout except for one in kitchen and those on enclosed porch. CC include property taxes, heat, HW. Subject to Board approval. Motivated seller.

see additional photos below
PROPERTY FEATURES

- Central heat - Hardwood floor - Basement
- Washer - Dryer

COMMUNITY FEATURES

- Storage space(s)


ADDITIONAL PHOTOS


Photo 1

Photo 2

Photo 3

Photo 4

Photo 5

Photo 6
Contact info:
Gail Robinson, GRI,e-Pro
William Raveis Real Estate
Licensed in Connecticut
203-521-0768
For sale by agent/broker

powered by postlets Equal Opportunity Housing
Posted: Nov 19, 2009, 10:38am PST

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New York Life Insurance Company will be sponsoring a free "Child Safety & Protection Festival" at the Black Rock Branch Library on Tuesday November 17th from 5:30 p.m. to 7:30 p.m.

FREE ADMISSION

 Activities Include: 

   Fingerprinting & Photos for Child

   Identification Cards

* Children must be accompanied by parent or legal guardian to have an ID made.

 

For more information contact New York Life: Call (203) 385-5159 or (203) 521-0217

 

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Happy Thanksgiving and thank you from the Black Rock Food Pantry.  It is that time of year again when we pause, count our blessings and give thanks for what we have. During this time we also look outward and realize that there are many families that struggle each day to provide for their families the most basic of necessities.  The volunteers at the Black Rock Food Pantry work throughout the year on a mission to seek out, help and feed families in need.

Over the last year we have had the privilege of serving over eight hundred families with an ever increasing demand. Last month alone we handed out a record 7,400 meals. Although we are proud of our accomplishments, we feel that we receive in personal satisfaction much more than we give.  This holiday season we are most thankful for the community in which we live.

We have been helped by many local people and organizations, organizing such events as Soup Bowls for Hunger hosted by Private Parties, and the Pogey Concert by the Norden Club and Black Rock Community Council raising a whopping $6,000.00 for their neighbors that needed their help, these events along with many food drives and personal contributions led to our great success this year.We have truly been blessed with the ever growing list of volunteers.

It is humbling to be in the presence of this special group of people to watch as they minister to each other while ministering to our clients. Thank you all.We ask that throughout the year you continue to keep us in your thoughts, continue to drop off food, visit our web site www.BlackRockFoodPantry.com   and make a small donation, sign up as a volunteer and help us to seek out those who may need a little extra help.Please help us to promote our pantry by passing this e-mail along to your friends and family.  May God continue to bless us all.

Black Rock Food Pantry

Source: www.blackrockonline.org  Black Rock's Community Blog

 

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Best_gail_very_best_b_w Rainmaker_large

Gail Robinson, GRI, e-PRO - Black Rock Connecticut Real Estate

Bridgeport, CT

More about me…

William Raveis Real Estate

Address: 2525 Post Road, Southport, CT , 06605

Cell Phone: (203) 521-0768

Email Me



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