I am reposting a blog entry from Nestor & Katerina Gasset Realtors® Wellington Florida Luxury Homes.  This is really an eye opener.

Via Nestor & Katerina Gasset Realtors® Wellington Florida Luxury Homes (International Properties and Investments, Inc.):

Real estate is local when it comes to market conditions and market trends. Real estate differs from region to region in styles, architecture and amenities generally speaking. For instance; in Florida fireplaces are not the norm whereas in cold winter areas such as Colorado, fireplaces are a standard addition to a home. In some areas of our country people have wood burning stoves and others have coal burning furnaces. There are areas of our country such as here in Florida where you would not dare live without Air Conditioning but in many homes in Washington for instance, air conditioning is more of a luxury than a necessity.

So when we are discussing the effects of cap and trade in your real estate business you will need to take into account the region in which you live as some areas will be more effected than others. 

Here is a really good interactive map from the New York Times. The map I posted below is the map of the votes in the House for and against the Cap and Tax bill that just passed the House. But if you click on the link of the New York Times map, it is interactive.

cap and trade house vote new york times

 

You can move your mouse over the map and see who voted, what party they belong to and their district. You will be able to see that no matter whether they were democrats or republicans if they are in the farm country of America, high manufacturing areas of America, low energy bills of America and the heartland of America- they voted NO on this bill and for very good reasons. 

"For a household of four, energy costs go up $436 that year, and they eventually reach $1,241 in 2035 and average $829 annually over that span. Electricity costs go up 90 percent by 2035, gasoline by 58 percent, and natural gas by 55 percent by 2035. The cumulative higher energy costs for a family of four by then will be nearly $20,000.

But direct energy costs are only part of the consumer impact. Nearly everything goes up, since higher energy costs raise production costs. If you look at the total cost of Waxman-Markey, it works out to an average of $2,979 annually from 2012-2035 for a household of four. By 2035 alone, the total cost is over $4,600." Heritage Foundation.

You will notice that the states where the votes were yes are also the states that already have the highest energy bills. The states that voted no are mostly states with presently low energy bills.

Instead of calling this to Cap and Trade- We can really call it the Tax On Electricity Bill.

How does this information pertain to real estate agents? If you live in the lower energy pricing states you are going to be seeing huge increases in household energy bills. If you live in states that are coal powered or oil powered you will see the largest increases ever in your energy bills because those energy sources are going to be punished with taxation.

  • How is that going to effect home prices?
  • How is that going to effect movement in and out of your state?
  • How is that going to effect your real estate office utility bills and who is going to pay for this?

The House is at it again. This was a 1,300 page bill and again as with so many large bills was not read by most of those that voted yes or no. What is it that they don't get? The American people expect our leaders to read what they vote on.

So what else is tucked away neatly into this bill that perhaps no one knows the full implications of yet?

How about the Federal imposition and takeover of building codes? Your local planning and building offices will not be qualified for any Federal funding of any kind unless they adopt what the FEDS say is the new energy efficient building standards. This will create higher prices in building new homes which is then passed on the homebuyers and then you as a real estate agent are also effected because less buyers will be able to afford to buy a new home built . Not to mention having to wait for the Feds to come and inspect the builders and the homes.

How about the new Federal Energy Nazis Inspectors who will come and rate your home before you can sell your home. So before you can list a home for sale, the seller will have to wait for the Federal inspectors to come out. DMV lines anyone? Once that inspector comes out, he or she will give the home an energy rating. If the home does not meet the guidelines the seller will be required to do the work necessary to bring the home up to energy standards before they can sell the home! Can we say money? Does that mean that there will be homeowners who will become prisoners in their homes because they can not afford to make the energy repairs that the feds require? Is that an invasion of your privacy as well as an attack on your property rights?

Hmmm, how is that going to effect short sales where the seller has no money to make the repairs and adjustments?

  • How is that going to effect your ability to get listings in a timely manner?
  • How is that going to effect your seller who is about to lose their home in a foreclosure?
  • How is that going to effect the seller who has to relocate for their job?
  • How is that going to effect the estates with heirs having to do these repairs and such when there won't be any money until the estate is sold?

I wonder if our House of Representatives and our Congress men and women EVER thought to actually ask us in the field working this business day in and day out how these bills will effect the housing market?

Of course, the US will be living Cap and Tax while the real perpetrators of dirty air like China and India get off scott free. There will be an unfair advantage in pricing products and manufacturing to the point that if a US company even stands a chance of staying in the manufacturing business will have no choice but to move their company oversees which in turn will cause a massive layoff of people increasing the already high unemployment problem we are facing in our country.

  • How will the unemployment effect your real estate business?
  • How will the unemployment effect the REOs and massive foreclosures in your community?
  • How will the unemployment effect home values as you get more and more vacant properties in your area?

If you are an agent in America's farmland you will begin to see farms no longer being able to produce a profit. Farms use a lot of energy. Energy use will be punished. This is why nearly every politician from a farm land state no matter what party they are affiliated with voted no to this bill. Their districts will suffer terribly. As this happens we will be buying more and more produce from other countries with far less health standards than our own. I don't trust foods, especially produce from China or other countries except Europe. But we don't import our veggies from Europe! 

  • How is this going to effect your real esate business if you live and work in a farm land state?

When it comes down to the nitty and the gritty about this bill you must remember that GE is the biggest supporter of this bill. They stand to make billions of dollars from the passage of this bill. The politicians voting yes on this bill, many of them are getting paid to vote yes. And Al Gore will become the very first GREEN billionaire. It is just too bad that he is not a real capitalist. He could not become a billionaire playing fair and square. Instead, he has an unfair advantage, legislation to make him filthy rich. Not exactly the free market way. It is all about the money.

Contact your Senators now to vote NO now. Click on this link to find your Senators and contact them by email, phone and fax today. Let them know how this is going to effect your business and your community homeowners and buyers. Pass this on...

 

 
Perfect for Boating Enthusiast!
 
New Price for this Home. Lots of Features for the Money. Please let us know if you or someone you know is looking to buy or sell real estate in our area.
 

We have gathered sales information from the Mobile County Association of Realtors and Baldwin County Association of Realtors MLS data for all sales reported for the month of May 2009.  May's transactions show a continuing trend of increasing number of sales in both counties. It was the fifth straight month where the number of sales increased from the previous month.  Buyers are finding great deals in our market.  Lets take a look at the data by examining Trends and Historical Data:

TRENDING CHARTS

As mentioned previously, the number of units sold have increased the last 5 months in both Mobile and Baldwin County.  The median price for the homes sold in May jumped in both counties. In Mobile, we saw a median sales price of $135,000 compared to $125,000 in April. In Baldwin County the increase was more dramatic. Median sales price of homes sold there in May was $171,000 compared to $150,000 in April. The inventory levels in Mobile County have risen the last 4 months.  In Baldwin County the inventory levels are high but it seems to have leveled off.  The Days on Market data show that it takes 3 months to sell a home in Mobile County and 6 months to sell a home in Baldwin County. It is important to remember that this information is determined from the homes that actually sold. The absorption rate (months supply of homes) has dropped the last 4 months in both counties. Please take a look at these numbers. The absorption rate is the best snapshot for determining how a particular market is doing. There remains a large amount of inventory available which is good for buyers and not so good for sellers, but we are seeing signs of improvement, especially in Baldwin County.  This month the number of foreclosures homes that hit the market in May increased 33% in Mobile (60 foreclosure home listings compared to 45 such listings in April) but stayed the same in Baldwin County (43 foreclosed homes in May compared to 44 foreclosed homes in April).  Here are the trending charts:

Mobile and Baldwin County - Number of Units Sold

 

Mobile and Baldwin County - Median Sales Price for Homes Sold

Mobile and Baldwin County - Number of Homes Available for Sale

Mobile and Baldwin County - Days on Market for Homes Sold

Mobile and Baldwin County - Absorption Rate - Number of Months Supply

Mobile and Baldwin County - New Listings of Foreclosure Homes for Sale

HISTORICAL DATA SPREADSHEETS

We currently track 2 years worth of data from the Mobile County and Baldwin County MLS systems. For analysis purposes we will compare the statistics from May of 2009 to the same statistics from May of 2008. These are our findings:

Mobile and Baldwin County - Number of Units Sold

Mobile and Baldwin County MLS Statistics - Homes Sold

The units sold has decreased 34% in last year in Mobile, while in Baldwin County the number of homes sold in May 2009 was the same as the number of homes sold in May of 2008.

Mobile and Baldwin County - Median Sales Price ($,000)

Mobile and Baldwin County MLS Statistics - Median Sales Price for Homes Sold

The median sales price for the homes sold in May 2009 dropped in both Mobile and Baldwin County when compared to the data for homes sold in May of 2008. In Baldwin County, the median sales price has dropped 5%, while in Mobile County the medial sales price has dropped 2%.

Mobile and Baldwin County - Homes Available for Sale

Mobile and Baldwin County MLS Statistics - Homes Available for Sale

The inventory level in Baldwin County has decreased 9% over the last year. This is a good trend, but there remains a large inventory of homes to choose in Baldwin County. In Mobile County, the number of homes available have increased 3% over the last year. The trend is a continuing one as inventory in Mobile at one time was at historic lows and now it continues to rise.

Mobile and Baldwin County - Days on Market for Homes Sold

Mobile and Baldwin County MLS Statistics - Days on Market for Homes Sold

The Days on Market data element can change dramatically from one month to another. When comparing the the Days on Market field from May 2009 to May 2008, we saw that in Mobile there was no increase in the number of days on market while in Baldwin County the days on market increase 13%.

Mobile and Baldwin County - Absorption Rate - Months Supply of Homes for Sale

Mobile and Baldwin County MLS Statistics - Absorption Rate - Months Supply of Homes for Sale

The absorption rate has increased dramatically in Mobile over the last year. In May 2009, Mobile had approximately 11 months of inventory which is a 57% increase from May 2008. The good news though is absorption rate has continues to decrease in Baldwin County. In May 2009 there was approximately 16 months of inventory available compared to roughly 18 months supply in May 2008. Anytime the value is over 6, the market can be defined as a buyers market - which is true for both Mobile and Baldwin County. The Baldwin County market is showing signs of recovery. As prices drop, the number of sales has increased and inventory levels are decreasing. That is a very good sign for this area of our market.

Mobile and Baldwin County - Number of New Foreclosure Homes on the Market

Mobile and Baldwin County MLS Statistics - Number of New Foreclosure Homes on the Market

The number of new foreclosure listings in Mobile County in May 2009 was relatively the same as May of 2008 (60 compared to 59). In Baldwin County the number of foreclosure listings increased 30% in May 2009 compared to May of 2008.

Please let us know if you have any questions. We also would be happy to do individual analysis for certain towns and/or neighborhoods. Please feel free to drop us a e-mail. Visit our website for other local information.

 
Please check out our latest listing. Great location for your new home.
 

This vacant lot is located in the Savannah Pointe community of Gulf Shores. Please see below for all the details. Call us if you have any questions.

 

Check out our newest vacant land listing. This wonderful lot would be great location for waterfront home on beautiful Rabbit Creek in South Mobile County.

 

The warm weather has brought out buyers in Baldwin County. We have been showing homes for sale the last few weekends. We have noticed an increase in the number of pending homes that our customers have shown interest. We thought that in would be a good time to check the MLS and see if there is a trend that we can report. Here is data that we found:


Date Range            Number of Pending Sales            Increase %
===========           ========================           ===========
April 1-14, 2009                 62                                   
May  1-14, 2009                  69                           11%

The median listing price for the homes that went pending in May for Baldwin County is $167,900. The number of pendings shown is probably a little low. There are a few transactions that are actually pending but have not been marked yet by the listing agent as not being available. Most of the pending activity has been in the Foley and Daphne areas. Here is a chart that shows pending by town/location:


Location            Number of Pending Sales            
========            ========================           
Foley                         14 
Daphne                        14
Gulf Shores                    8
Fairhope                       7
Spanish Fort                   6
Orange Beach                   6                                  

Spring is a realtor's busiest time of the year. We think the increase in the number of contracts this year is due to a couple of factors:

1) Lower Prices - Prices are down roughly 14% this year compared to last year

2) Negotiating Power - Sellers are more willing to lower their asking price

3) Low Interest Rates - The current mortgage interest rates are around 4.90%

4) Tax Incentives - First time buyers are eligible for $8000 tax credit.

We are happy to see the increase in activity. Please let us know if you have any questions.

 

We have finished tabulating all of the statistics from the Mobile County Association of Realtors and Baldwin County Association of Realtors MLS data for the month of April 2009.  Sales Activity has picked up in both counties.  Buyers are finding great deals in our market.  Lets take a look at the data by examining Trends and Historical Data:

TRENDING CHARTS

The number of units sold has increased the last 4 months in both Mobile and Baldwin County.  The median price of a home has dropped in both counties.  We are concerned that the inventory levels in Mobile has risen the last 3 months.  In Baldwin County the inventory levels are high but it seems to have leveled off.  The Days on Market data is very volatile from month to month.  I am not sure if trends of days on market is very useful information.  The absorption rate (months supply of homes) has dropped the last 3 months in both counties but there remains a large amount of inventory available which is good for buyers and not so good for sellers.  This month the number of foreclosures dropped in both counties.  Here are the trending charts:

Mobile and Baldwin County - Number of Units Sold

  

Mobile and Baldwin County - Median Sales Price for Homes Sold

Mobile and Baldwin County - Number of Homes Available for Sale

Mobile and Baldwin County - Days on Market for Homes Sold

Mobile and Baldwin County - Absorption Rate - Number of Months Supply

Mobile and Baldwin County - New Listings of Foreclosure Homes for Sale

HISTORICAL DATA SPREADSHEETS

We currently track 2 years worth of data from the Mobile County and Baldwin County MLS systems. For analysis purposes we compare the latest statistics from April of 2009 to the same statistics from April of 2008. These are our findings:

Mobile and Baldwin County - Number of Units Sold

Mobile and Baldwin County MLS Statistics - Homes Sold

The units sold has decreased 30% in last year in Mobile Mobile. We saw an increase of 10% in units sold in Baldwin County which is a good sign.

Mobile and Baldwin County - Median Sales Price ($,000)

Mobile and Baldwin County MLS Statistics - Median Sales Price for Homes Sold

The median sales price for the homes sold has dropped in both Mobile and Baldwin County over the past year. In Baldwin County, the price has dropped 23%, while in Mobile County the price has dropped 10%.

Mobile and Baldwin County - Homes Available for Sale

Mobile and Baldwin County MLS Statistics - Homes Available for Sale

The inventory level in Baldwin County has decreased 12% over the last year. This is a good trend since there remains a large inventory of homes to choose. In Mobile County, the number of homes available has increased 2% over the last year. This trend is worth watching as inventory in Mobile at one time was at historic lows and now is rising.

Mobile and Baldwin County - Days on Market for Homes Sold

Mobile and Baldwin County MLS Statistics - Days on Market for Homes Sold

The Days on Market data element has been very volatile over the last year. Each month we have seen drastic increases or decreases from previous month. In yearly comparison the Days on Market has increased slightly in Mobile County and decreased slightly in Baldwin County which coincides with what is going on in each market.

Mobile and Baldwin County - Absorption Rate - Months Supply of Homes for Sale

Mobile and Baldwin County MLS Statistics - Absorption Rate - Months Supply of Homes for Sale

The absorption rate has increased dramatically in Mobile over the last year. The absorption rate has decreased dramatically in Baldwin County. Anytime the value is over 6, the market can be defined as a buyers market - which is true for both Mobile and Baldwin County. The Baldwin County market is showing signs of recovery. As prices drop, the number of sales has increased and inventory levels are decreasing. That is a very good sign for this area of our market.

Mobile and Baldwin County - Number of New Foreclosure Homes on the Market

Mobile and Baldwin County MLS Statistics - Number of New Foreclosure Homes on the Market

The number of new foreclosure listings is is a new element that we just started tracking to see if we could determine trends. Nationally we know the number of foreclosed homes for sale is up. Locally, compared to last year at this time, the number of foreclosure homes is down in both Mobile and Baldwin County. In Mobile County, the number of foreclosures are down 36%. In Baldwin County, the number of foreclosures is down 14%.

Please let us know if you have any questions. We also would be happy to do individual analysis for certain towns and/or neighborhoods. Please feel free to drop us a e-mail. Visit our website for other local information.

 
 
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Steve Shaw, e-PRO Gulf Region Properties Team

Mobile, AL

More about me…

Keller Williams Realty

Address: 6333 Cottage Hill Road, Mobile, AL, 36609

Office Phone: (251) 662-5660

Cell Phone: (251) 215-9382

Email Me

Everything about Mobile and Baldwin County, Alabama, with a focus on the Mobile area Real Estate Market, Home Sales, Homes for Sale in Mobile, as well as views and commentary on Mobile, Alabama. Get great free widgets at Widgetbox!


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