ActiveRain Slaughterhouse: Feeding Lot - 09/29/08 11:20 AM
Well the feeding lot gate has been closed as today's news is that gold and silver can not be easily found. One comment was that some back in the woods mint in Pennsylvania may still have some silver for sale. To refresh your memory again, gold and silver in your hand is about the only investment that will prevail in a credit crunch. The invisible hand in a credit crunch goes where it can do the most harm. That is to say capital is in short supply and THEY NEED IT and will take from the largest potential capital pool. It … (1 comments)

Second Time US To Announce Major Bailout On A Sunday In Time For Monday Asian Markets - 09/26/08 07:07 PM
China and Japan both own one trillon dollars in US Treasuries or half of these debt instruments outstanding. Others including Russia and the gulf oil states own a good amount as well. These purchases are the direct result of a positive trade balance with the United States. During a global slowdown two factors and maybe more will reduce the amount of US Treasuries these countries will purchase and increase the sales already owned to shore up their economic needs for that rainy day. The balance is further complicated by the fact that US Treasuries are priced in dollars the value of … (0 comments)

Proposed $700 Billion Bailout In Congress - A Rising Tide Lifts Some Boats In Hell - 09/23/08 11:55 AM
It would be far better to create a $700 billion dollar venture capital fund used precisely to unfreeze the capital markets. Virtually every dollar would then be used as it was designed and bypasses any possibility of any banks holding back. Consider that the current quagmire to be Dante's 7 ring inferno whereby there are various degrees of distressed assets being held by the banks. As the venture capital fund prevails, then the rising tide will lift some boats. … (2 comments)

Hard To Believe That Anybody Would Own Stocks Or Mutual Funds Right Now - 09/22/08 09:22 AM
The ongoing de-leveraging process will probably cut in half investment grade P/E Ratios (price/earnings). Back in times when thoughts of blue skies and amber waves of grain in Kansas the P/E ratios were: average stocks 6/1; growth stocks 15 - 20 / 1. These P/E ratios are now trading considerably higher than that meaning that stocks must fall enmasse 50% or more to adjust to the times. Couple that with stock brokerage firms reducing staff and thus less stock honkers. We are in a transitional period going from FantasyLand to Reality while the government is pumping billions into the economy. I … (0 comments)

Bush 700 Billion Dollar Bail Out Last Step Before US Defaults - 09/20/08 09:24 AM
Prior to the toxic mortgage bailout the US Treasury reported that global capital was insufficient to fund the monthly US debt requirements. Normally these reports bounce around sometimes the account is positive and sometimes it is negative. The outrageous 700 billion dollar mortgage suggests that all indications are that the TIC account will run negative well into the future and the Bush requested increase in the US debt should dispel any doubts. So the road taken leads to default or if the government is lucky, hyperinflation. Actually what we suspect will happen is a short period of this inflation just enough … (11 comments)

The Majority Is With Senator Shelby - The Big Bail Out Plan Is Just Another Stop Gap - 09/19/08 05:25 PM
Thursday and Friday stock market trading confirms that the majority of investors believe that Senator Shelby is right. The US Treasury and The Federal Reserve are still putting out brushfires and lacking a comprehensive plan. The big, big, big, big volumn occured in gold on Obama's watching... … (0 comments)

The 1929 Stock Market "Great Depression" Track Meets The Scarecrow - 09/19/08 07:18 AM
The heart of the financial crisis is the OTC derivatives meltdown. Senator Harry Reid said "They have no idea what to do." Actions to be taken by the US Treasury and Federal Reserve Board to restore market confidence being touted in the media simply will not work the derivatives experts say . The scarecrow's advanced state of thought is "hey, we have a bigger problem here". Our advice is to follow the 1929 great depression stock market chart and act while there is a momentary market for stocks. The OTC derivatives have no market and can not be priced and this … (0 comments)

Stock Market Confirms 1929 "The Great Depression" Track - 09/17/08 07:28 PM
The stock market is following the 1929 chart. This move will take the market down to almost nothingness. Yes, that's right , maybe you will have 5% of your investments left. It is a market of stocks so some things should respond well, however I think they initially followed the trend before asserting themselves. We should be able to advise you if and when this track is broken and the "risk to reward factor" will be in your favor. So stay tuned to our lifeline blogs. As of today, our analysis is that investors are mostly frozen with no action being … (1 comments)

Paper Money It Go Poof - 09/17/08 07:44 AM
We want the alien back! Sorry...Maryland Man Row - Row, Row, Row Your Boat...ActiveRain - Row, Row, Row Your Boat...See what I mean...The 85 billion dollar US government bailout of AIG that was suppose to cover things for two years is expected to "last only 15 minutes" was a comment made on a financial tv network. We have made ActiveRain privey to this joke in our last blog, 10 to the 15th power derivatives run amok As a matter of fact, we are probably monitored by the media on ActiveRain so that joke may have started here first...Maryland Man Row - … (2 comments)

Hug Your Kids And Prepare For The Worst - 09/16/08 10:54 PM
As of Monday September 15 there has been a global financial collapse. Unless you are an immediate direct party to the triggering of the OTC derivative contracts you will just have to wait. The size of money in question demanding performance is 10 to the 15th power. The estimated total global wealth is 400 trillion dollars, a trillion being 10 to the 12th power. … (1 comments)

"Since The Last Depression" Well The 1929 Stock Market Chart... - 09/16/08 07:49 AM
The sub-prime credit crunch began in August of 2007 sending the stock market down sharply. Then there was a reversal and the stock market recovered somewhat due to hopes of the actions taken by the government. Well it appears that is not the case as the stock market plummets by falling the most since the 2001 terrorist attack and the tech bubble bursting. People are now comparing current events to the last depression so what does the 1929 stock market chart say will happen now. The 1929 chart says that the stock market will NOW crash...We have just read that there … (1 comments)

Large Investment Bank, Lehman Bros - Full Moon - 09/14/08 09:57 PM
Henry Hudson sailed up the now Hudson River in the Half Moon...Lehman Bros said to be filing for bankruptcy as we write...more later … (0 comments)

The US As A Failed State Is Beginning To Unfold - 09/13/08 07:46 PM
Ball One - Timing of Russia beginning to assert itself. The US pushed Russia into a collapse so one would expect a returned favor by orchestrating a US default. Their weapon is twofold, timing and then just blow...Ball two - The risk factor for US treasuries has been elevated by the financial market. Ball Three - What would be the first thing you would see if a failed state were soon to be declared. I don't know or I didn't know, but I know now. Yes of course, Americans with wealth and seeking to preserve that wealth would leave the country. … (2 comments)

Hurricane IKE Has Become POLTERGUSTAV - 09/11/08 08:25 PM
In our last episode we suggested that as Gustav left Cuba on its way to the gulf the US Airforce seeded the hurricane to tame it. We have seen the consquences before by playing with Mother Nature. One hurricane that they messed with probably caused the altered atmospherics to produce major storm all the way in Japan. Ike was just a normal little hurricane until it ran smack into Poltergustav and in no time it trippled in size now bigger than Katrina. Poltergiest are said to be caused by static electricity, electromagnetic fields, ultra-, and infrasound and/or ionized air. Remember President … (2 comments)

It's Thursday Morning...FDIC Bank Seizures Occur On Friday Evening - Its Silver State Bank Of Nevada - 09/06/08 12:06 AM
It's Thursday Morning...FDIC Bank Seizures Occur On Friday Evening ...Oh Thursday morning, Thursday morning couldn't guarantee...That Friday evening the FDIC would not be here with my money and me...Every other day, every other day...Every other day of the week is fine, yeah But whenever Thursday comes, but whenever Thursday comes You can find me cryin' all of the time... Should I stay or should I go? If you say that your bank is fine, I'll be here til the end of time...So you got to let me know Should I stay or should I go?...I call this my dangling modifier: Off … (3 comments)

Financial Markets Blow Up Credit Card Debt This Past Week - 09/03/08 10:32 PM
Consumers account for 2/3 of the economy and within the last week financial markets now expect a further up-tick in credit card delinquencies. This action will greatly affect real estate deals with adverse actions taken by banks intensifing credit card standards and or credit lines being withdrawn. We all know or assume that Washington will paint a false picture that things are improving and happy days are here again a song they sang during the last great depression. Those that will be retiring in the next few years must get it right in their financial portfolio as there will not be … (3 comments)

 


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