Melissa Bayles's Blog

The Real Estate Geeks - Don't Use Your Ladder's Top 2 Steps, And Other DIY Safety Tips

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Sun, 25 Sep 2011 10:44:21 -0700

Home improvement projects are on the rise, according to the BuildFax Remodeling Index. For the 19th straight month, May's index rose, suggesting that homeowners are remodeling more frequently than in the past.

Do-it-yourself projects are on the rise, too.

If you're among the many homeowners forgoing paid contractors, be sure to follow basic safety precautions because, as this 5-minute video from NBC's The Today Show points out, a home remodeling "accident" could cost you more than the money saved on the project itself.

The interview gives several key tips:

Use "expandable" earplugs to prevent hearing loss from power tools.
Don't wear sneakers or sandals. Wear construction boots.
Never stand on the top 2 steps of a ladder.

In addition, we're reminded to wear safety glasses always. Eye issues are the number one injury as reported by home remodelers, and accidents can happen anytime.

Watch the full video at the NBC website. And, f you feel your next home remodeling project is beyond your personal expertise, seek a professional's help. Call or email me for local recommendations.

Thanks for checking out our videos & blogs - Our time is dedicated your buying & selling needs. Call or click - but contact us today For more current real estate market information just visit our website at http:www.TheRealEstateGeeksTv.com

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The Real Estate Geeks - As Buyer Traffic Grows, Homebuilder Confidence Slips

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Wed, 01 Jun 2011 10:19:55 -0700

Homebuilder confidence is falling -- a good sign for buyers of newly-built homes.

According to the National Association of Homebuilders, the Housing Market Index slipped one point to 16 in April. It's the 5th time in 6 months that the index read 16 -- a figure exactly in line with the 1-year average, but still considered "poor". The Housing Market Index reports on a scale of 1-100.

Values of 50 or better representing "favorable conditions". Values below 50 are considered "unfavorable".

It's been 5 years since the Housing Market Index read north of 50.

As an index, the HMI is actually a composite of three separate surveys, the results of which can be as telling as the final, compiled results. The surveys focus on specific aspects about a homebuilder's business, and use the broader responses to gauge overall market "sentiment".

The 3 questions are:

How are market conditions for the sale of new homes today?
How are market conditions for the sale of new homes in 6 months?
How is prospective buyer foot traffic?

In April, interestingly, home builders felt market conditions were worse across the board, but still cited higher buyer foot traffic. This may be the result of a combination of rising mortgage rates and falling home values. Both tend to be bad for builders, and both tend to spur home buyers into action.

As a home buyer this spring, therefore, use the HMI data to your advantage. When home builders feel less confident on housing, buyers can often exact better concessions and/or upgrades during the negotiation process.

And, so long as mortgage rates continue to rise, that pressure on builders should build.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

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The Real Estate Geeks - Which Is Better : Fresh Produce Or Frozen Produce?

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Sat, 28 May 2011 12:21:37 -0700

There's a long-standing myth that freezer-section produce is "worse for you" than fresh produce from a farm. The truth, however, is often the opposite.

Because of upgrades in packaging and delivery methods, frozen produce is often more fresh than "fresh produce", and contains higher nutrient levels, too.

The key is to know how to shop for it.

The main advantage that frozen produce carries over fresh produce is that frozen produce is picked in its most ripe -- and most nutrient-rich -- state. Then, when the produce is flash-frozen, its nutrients become locked-in and sealed.

Fresh produce, by contrast, tends to be picked before it's ripe, and is left to ripen in transit.

Because food nutrients degrade with exposure to heat and/or light, the longer it takes produce to get from the farm to the supermarket, the fewer nutrients the produce will have.

Did you know? Fresh fruit and vegetables might sit for up 2 weeks before they're sold by your local supermarket. And not to mention how long it may take you to consume them.

Another advantage of frozen produce is that it's often less expensive than fresh fruit. For example, looking at the cost of strawberries bought in bulk:

Frozen strawberries : $1.71 per pound
Fresh strawberries : $1.90 per pound

This isn't to say that frozen produce is "better" than fresh produce. It just depends on your circumstance. If you plan to consume the produce within a short period from purchase, and can account for its ripeness and freshness, fresh produce may be preferred. Or, if you eat organic produce, free from pesticides and chemicals -- certain produce may be better eaten fresh.

But know the facts. Frozen produce can be healthier and cheaper -- a good combination for your household.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

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The Real Estate Geeks - Retail Sales Report Should Spell Higher Mortgage Rates For Wednesday

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Sun, 22 May 2011 09:20:41 -0700

Consumer spending is alive and well, it seems -- unwelcome news for today's home buyers.

Wednesday, the Census Bureau will release its March Retail Sales figures and the report is expected to show higher sales receipts for the 9th straight month. A strong reading like that should spell higher mortgage rates nationwide.

The connection between Retail Sales and mortgage rates is fairly tight. Retail Sales are "consumer spending" and consumer spending accounts for the majority of the U.S. economy. The U.S. economy, of course, is a dominant force in setting the direction in which mortgage rates are headed.

For example, in 2010, it was a weak economy and murky outlook that helped drive mortgage rates to all-time lows. Since last year, however, the jobs market has started its recovery, monthly receipts have returned to all-time highs, and the Federal Reserve is revising growth estimates for 2011.

Not surprisingly, mortgage rates have reversed, too.

As compared to 6 months ago, conforming rates are higher by 0.750%. Home affordability across California is taking a hit. Plus, the stronger the economy appears to be, the more likely for mortgage rates to climb more.

It's why tomorrow's Retail Sales report is so important.

If you're under contract for a home, or even evaluating the merits of a refinance, there's a lot of risk in "floating" your mortgage rate. The more prudent plan is to find a rate at which you're comfortable with the payment, and lock it in.

And you may want to take that lock sooner than you had planned -- if only to protect your monthly payments. Once tomorrow's Retail Sales report hits, it may be too late. Especially if receipts rise for the 10th straight month.

The Retail Sales report is due for release at 8:30 AM ET.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

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The Real Estate Geeks - How Healthy Is Your Bedroom?

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Sun, 22 May 2011 09:16:18 -0700

Most people spend about one-third of their life in the bedroom. So, how healthy is yours?

In this 5-minute piece from NBC's The Today Show, you'll learn about dust mites, mold and the other hidden health risks in your bedroom. Some may be compriming your sleep, and others your well-being.

The interview is comprehensive and covers a lot of ground, including:

The importance of an excellent vacuum with HEPA filters
The advantage of latex pillows over other pillow-types
Why blackout curtains can help reduce blood pressure

The piece also talks on several goods reasons to leave your bedroom electronics-free.

For as much time as we all spend in our respective bedrooms, we should want it to be a healthy, clean place. Following the video's advice is a step in the right direction.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

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The Real Estate Geeks - How Does Your Work Commute Compare To Other Cities?

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Thu, 05 May 2011 09:38:27 -0700

As part of the Census Bureau's data collection activities from 2005-2009, a number of interesting charts have been published at http://census.gov.

The data should not be confused with Census 2010 -- a separate survey conducted every 10 years. This is the first-ever, 5-year American Community Survey. Based on data from 3 million households, it details social, economic, housing, and demographic data "for every community in the nation".

Among the surveys:

Median Household Income, Inflation-Adjusted To 2009 Dollars (Chart)
Median Housing Value Of Owner-Occupied Housing Units (Chart)
Percent Of Households That Are Married, With Children Under 18 (Chart)

The ACS survey also charts average commute time by county. The chart is shown at top.

Whether you live in a "long commute" town like Richmond, NY (40 minutes), or a "short commute" town like King, TX (3.4 minutes), rising gas prices have made commute times and distances relevant to everyone.

Since the start of 2011, the average price for gasoline is higher by 54 cents per gallon. Assuming 22 miles per gallon on a passenger car, that's an increase of 2.5 cents of gasoline per mile driven in the last 90 days. It's a cost that adds up quickly, and can affect a household budget. Plan for higher pump prices moving forward, too. Historically, gas prices surge between April and June.

The American Community Survey is loaded with charts and data. It can tell you a lot about your current neighborhood, and any neighborhood to which you may want to relocate. Then, to bridge the ACS data with community details such as school performance and typical home prices, talk to a real estate professional.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks - Pending Home Sales Rebound; Suggest Brighter Spring For Housing

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Tue, 26 Apr 2011 10:11:14 -0700

On a seasonally-adjusted basis, the Pending Home Sales Index rose 2 percent last month, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. A "pending home sale" is defined as a home under contract to sell, but not yet closed.

February's Pending Home Sales Index rebound breaks a 2-month losing streak, and reverses the recent downward momentum in housing. Both Existing Home Sales and New Home Sales volume showed a sizable loss last month.

For buyers and sellers of real estate , the Pending Home Sales Index is of particular import. It's one of the few forward-looking indicators in housing, and February's data suggests a stronger spring season than was the winter.

Region-by-region, Pending Home Sales data varied:

Northeast Region: -10.9%
Midwest Region : +4.0%
South Region : +2.7%
West Region : +7.0%

3 of 4 regions showed marked improvement, which is good for housing. In the fourth -- New England -- it's likely that inclement weather hampered results.

February was colder-than-normal and the month capped a record-breaking snowfall season for the region. Anecdotally, fewer homes are sold in the cold-and-snow of winter and it's likely that the weather affected local housing markets.

Looking to March and April, therefore, we should expect Existing Home Sales data to rebound. This is because 80% of "pending" homes close within 60 days, and because improving weather should release pent-up demand for housing.

More sales plus higher home demand tends to lead home prices higher. If you're in the market for a new home, consider that your best negotiation leverage comes in a weak market. As the seasons turn, your leverage looks poised to slip.

The best time to buy this year may be right now.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks Water Conservation Tips For Your Home And Garden

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Sun, 17 Apr 2011 10:24:31 -0700

According to the EPA, the average U.S. household spends close to $500 each year on water and sewage bills. But by making just a few small changes, that figure could drop by as much as $170 annually. It's all in how you use your water.

In this 4-minute video from Lowe's, you'll learn basic water conservation techniques that you can immediately put to work..

Some examples:

Don't rinse food from dishes before putting them in a dishwasher. Scrape the dishes instead.
When brushing your teeth or shaving, turn off the water at the sink.
Use a rain barrel to capture rain, then use the rain to water plants and shrubs.

There's a host of tips in the video but the recurring theme is that you should never "leave water running". This is because water at home is "treated" water and the amount of energy required to treat 5 minutes' worth of water from a faucet is equivalent to the amount of energy required to run a 60-watt light bulb for 14 hours.

That's a lot of energy.

Water is a precious resource, and it can be expensive, too. Therefore, help the environment and your budget at the same time -- practice water conservation at home.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

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The Real Estate Geeks on Good News For Sellers -- Housing Starts Plummet In February

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Sun, 03 Apr 2011 08:44:09 -0700

Single-family housing starts plunged unexpectedly last month. Nationwide, starts fell 12 percent from the month prior; and 29 percent from February of last year.

February's figures represents the worst 1-month drop in housing starts since May 2010 -- the month that followed the expiration of last year's federal home buyer tax credit -- and puts single-family housing starts at a 24-month low.

In addition, single-family Building Permits plunged last month, too, shedding 9 percent from January. A building permit is a local government's certification and approval to begin home construction.

Housing permits are an excellent forward-indicator for the housing market. This is because 93 percent of homes start construction within 60 days of permit-issuance. Fewer permits, therefore, directly reduces the number of new homes coming to market in the coming months.

For home buyers looking at new construction or existing homes, this news should create a sense of urgency.

Home prices are based on supply and demand and overall home supply looks headed for a fall. Plus, with mortgage rates retreating and homebuilders projecting higher sales this summer, buyers may face rising home prices before long.

Sellers look poised to regain negotiation leverage.

For now, though, home affordability remains high with properties inexpensive and mortgage rates still low, historically. If you plan to buy a home in 2011, the February 2011 Housing Starts data may be reason to move up your time frame.

With home supplies dropping, prices are likely to rise.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks: Homebuilders Expect More Sales Volume This Year

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Wed, 30 Mar 2011 07:57:18 -0700

Homebuilders are optimistic about the housing market this spring, relative to recent months.

According to the monthly Housing Market Index as published by the National Association of Homebuilders, after 4 straight months of reading 16, March homebuilder confidence ticked 1 point higher to 17.

It's the highest confidence reading in 10 months.

A value of 50 or better indicates "favorable conditions" for home builders; with more builders viewing sales conditions as "good" than "poor".

HMI hasn't read higher than 50 since April 2006.

Regionally, the Housing Market Index showed mixed results. Confidence fell 1 point in the Northeast, held firm in the Midwest, and rose in the Southeast and West regions by 2 points and 4 points, respectively.

As an index, the monthly survey is actually a composite of three separate homebuilder surveys -- a report on single-family sales; a report on current buyer foot traffic; and a projection for single family sales in the next 6 months.

March's HMI breakdown shows that builders expect sales to be brisk over the next few months. Projected Single-Family Sales is running at its highest level since May 2010 -- right as the $8,000 federal homebuyer tax credit was ending.

Single-Family Sales : 17 (Unchanged from February)
Buyer Foot Traffic : 12 (Unchanged from January)
Projected Single-Family Sales : 27 (+2 from February)

For home buyers , the March Housing Market Index may signal the end of "builder discounts" and free upgrades. As home sales increase, builders are often less likely to make concessions.

In conjuction with rising mortgage rates and new, mandatory loan costs, buying a newly-built home may never be as inexpensive as it is right now.

If you expect to buy a newly-built home this year, consider moving up your time frame. The longer you wait, the more it may cost you.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (March 15, 2011 Edition)

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Wed, 23 Mar 2011 07:42:10 -0700

Today, for the second straight meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee voted unanimously to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

The vote was 10-0.

In its press release, the FOMC noted that since its January 2011 meeting, the economic recovery "is on firmer footing", and that the labor markets are "improving gradually". In addition, household spending "continues to expand". Nonetheless, the Fed said, the economy remains constrained by rising commodity prices and the "depressed" housing sector.

The FOMC statement also re-affirms the group's plan to keep the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent "for an extended period", and to keep its $600 billion bond market support package -- more commonly called "QE2" -- intact.

And, lastly, for the third straight time, the Federal Open Market Committee's post-meeting release statement included a paragraph detailing the Federal Reserve's dual mandate of managing inflation levels, and fostering maximum employment. Although it acknowledged inflationary pressures on the economy, the Fed said inflation remains too low for the economy currently, and that unemployment remains "elevated".

In time, the Fed expects both measurements to improve.

Mortgage market reaction to the FOMC has been negative since the statement's release. Mortgage rates are unchanged, but poised to worsen.

The FOMC's next scheduled meeting is a 2-day event, April 26-27, 2011.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks - Get Your Spring Cleaning Checklist

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Mon, 21 Mar 2011 09:32:35 -0700

The calendar has turned March and warmer weather is around the corner. Get ready for Spring Cleaning Season.

For households in which Spring Cleaning is an annual ritual, this helpful checklist from MarthaStewart.com makes sure no job gets left behind.

From the smallest of chores to the biggest of projects, many common tasks are covered, including:

Vacuuming and shampooing rugs
Waxing wooden furniture and non-wood floors
Dusting books and shelves
Resealing grout lines in kitchens and bathrooms
Clean and/or launder window treatments

Then, you'll want to remember to flip your mattresses, change your air filters, and test your home's smoke alarm batteries.

Most of the cleaning can be handled with household items like rags and cleansers, but for a few of the items, you may want to rent a machine from a local hardware store or supermarket. Carpet shampooers are a noteworthy example. Rental costs are nominal and the potential time savings are big.

For some households Spring Cleaning is a one-day affair. For others, it's a weekend project that lasts a month. However you choose do it, keep this checklist handy and you'll have an easier time.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks on FHA Streamline Refi Changes : No Income, No Job Required

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Fri, 18 Mar 2011 10:56:20 -0700

FHA Streamline Refinance guidelines are changing. For the better.

In an effort to improve its loan portfolio, the FHA is loosening approval standards on its popular refinance program, rendering large groups of homeowners suddenly FHA Streamline-eligible.

Now, that may seem counter-intuitive -- lowering qualification standards in order to reduce loan defaults -- but in the FHA's case, it makes complete sense. It's because the FHA doesn't make loans. It insures them. What's good for FHA-insured homeowners is good for the FHA, therefore.

All things equal, lower housing payments for its insured homeowners should correlate to fewer FHA loan defaults in California and nationwide.

One interesting facet of the FHA's new rulebook is the manner in which the government group is applying common sense to the approval process. So long as the homeowner is current on their mortgage and there's a demonstrable benefit in the refinance, the FHA reasons, there's good reason to insure the new loan.

The FHA defines "current on the mortgage" as being up-to-date on payments, and having zero 30-, 60-, or 90-day lates within the last 12 months. Demonstrating benefit is a little more tricky.

According the FHA, "benefit" is defined by refinance type.

When refinancing any fixed rate mortgage, or an existing ARM to a new ARM, the borrower's new monthly (principal + interest) + (mortgage insurance premium) must be 5% or more below the current levels to meet the FHA's minimum benefit requirements.

The refinance of any ARM to a fixed rate mortgage is considered an acceptable benefit.

Beyond that, Streamline Refinance guidelines are simple:

Income is not verified, or required
Employment is not verified, or required
Assets are not verified, unless required to meet closing costs

Note that an appraisal is not required, either This allows "underwater" homeowners to refinance their FHA-insured home loan without penalty. The downside is that without an appraisal, the new loan size may not exceed the current principal balance plus the FHA's 1% upfront mortgage premium. All other charges must be paid as cash at closing.

The FHA Streamline program is a refinance program special to FHA-insured homeowners. To confirm your own eligibility, check with our preferred lender Kendra Richardson with International City Mortgage (213) 458-3458.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

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The Real Estate Geeks - Loan Fees Set To Rise For Conforming Mortgage Applicants

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Tue, 15 Mar 2011 13:00:43 -0700

Beginning April 1, 2011, Fannie Mae is increasing its loan-level pricing adjustments. Conforming mortgage applicants in California should plan for higher loan costs in the months ahead.

If you've never heard of loan-level pricing adjustments, you're not alone; they're an obscure mortgage pricing metric and, thus, are rarely covered by the media. That doesn't make them any less relevant, however.

LLPAs are mandatory closing costs assessed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, designed to offset a given loan's risk of default. LLPAs were first introduced in April 2009.

This April's amendment is the 6th increase in 2 years. LLPAs can be costly.

In addition to an up-front, quarter-percent fee applied to all loans, there are 5 additional "risk categories" in the LLPA equation:

Credit Score : Lower FICO scores trigger additional costs
Property Type : Multi-unit homes trigger additional costs
Occupancy : Investment properties trigger additional costs
Structure : Loans with subordinate financing may trigger additional costs
Equity : Loans with less than 25% equity trigger additional costs

Adjustments range from 0.25 points (for having a 735 FICO score) to 3.000 points (for buying an investment property with just 20% downpayment). And they're cumulative. This means that a borrower that triggers 3 categories of risk must pay the costs associated with all 3 traits.

Loan-level pricing adjustments can be expensive -- up to 5 percent or more of your loan size in closing costs. The fees can be paid a one-time cash payment at closing, or they can be paid in the form of a higher mortgage rate.

The loan-level pricing adjustment schedule is public. You can research your own loan scenario at the Fannie Mae website, but you may find the charts confusing.

Phone or email your loan officer if you're unsure of what you're reading.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks - Federal Income Tax Deadline Extended To April 18, 2011

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Sun, 13 Mar 2011 08:24:31 -0700

April 15 is the traditional due date for federal income taxes. It's a deadline so ingrained in the American psyche that the April 15 calendar date is often called, simply, "Tax Day".

In 2011, however, federal taxes aren't due April 15. They're due April 18. It's because of a combination of holiday, calendars, and tax law.

The change centers on Emancipation Day.

Emancipation Day is a public celebration in the District of Columbia. Named a holiday in 2005, Emancipation Day honors President Abraham Lincoln's April 16, 1862 signing of the Compensation Emancipation Act.

Emancipation Day is a non-working day in the nation's capitol but, this year, Emancipation Day falls on a Saturday. The municipality will observe the holiday Friday instead. This means that all of Washington, D.C. will be "closed" Friday, April 15 -- the usual tax filing deadline date.

This includes the IRS.

Therefore, to accommodate Emancipation Day, the government is extending this year's federal tax filing deadline to April 18, 2011. This year marks the second time Emancipation Day has forced the change of federal tax filing deadlines.

Also, as a non-related coincidence, tax filers in California taking extensions to October 15 will also get a few extra days. October 15 is a Saturday so the extended tax deadline rolls over to the following Monday -- October 17, 2011.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks - Home Affordability Peaked Last Quarter; Purchasing Power Sinks 10%

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Sat, 12 Mar 2011 18:44:44 -0800

Home affordability reached an all-time high in 2010's last quarter. Unfortunately for home buyers in California , it's been a different story since, however.

As mortgage rates cratered, and with home values soft, the Home Opportunity Index reached its highest level in 20 years. The index is published by the National Association of Home Builders.

Close to 74 percent of the new and existing homes sold between October-December 2010 were affordable to families earning the national median income of $64,400. It's the 8th straight quarter in which the Home Affordability Index surpassed 70 percent.

Prior to 2009, the HOI rarely topped 65 percent.

That said, though, as with everything in real estate, home affordability is a local event. For example, take the Elkhart/Goshen area of northern Indiana. 97 percent of homes sold there last quarter were affordable to families making the area's median income.

This level of affordability is likely related to state capital Indianapolis, a perennial top-scorer itself.

For the second straight quarter -- and the 22nd time dating back to 2006 -- Indianapolis led all major metropolitan areas with a 93.5 affordability rating.

Meanwhile, on the opposite end of the home affordability spectrum, the "Least Affordable Major City" title went to the New York-White Plains, NY-Wayne, NJ area for the 11th consecutive quarter. Just 25.5 percent of homes were affordable to households earning the area median income.

It's a a 6-point improvement from Q2 2010, however.

The rankings for all 225 metro areas are viewable on the NAHB website but regardless of where you live, it's important to remember that rising mortgage rates this year have made homes less affordable in all markets across the United States. We won't see a repeat record in this quarter's HOI once it's calculated and published.

Home buyers have lost 10% of their purchasing power since November, and mortgage rates look poised to rise even more.

If your plans call for buying a home later this year, consider moving up your time frame. The long-term costs of homeownership are rising, and affordability, therefore, is falling.

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks - Military Personnel Can Still Claim The $8,000 Homebuyer Tax Credit

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Sat, 12 Mar 2011 10:31:50 -0800

For certain members of the military, and for certain federal employees, there's just 2 months remaining to get use the federal home buyer tax credit.

Eligible persons include members of the uniformed services, members of the Foreign Service, and intelligence community employees who served at least 90 days of qualified, extended duty service outside of the United States between January 1, 2009 and April 30, 2010.

Spouses of persons meeting the above criteria are eligible as well.

The federal home buyer tax credit ranges up to $8,000 for first-time home buyers, and up to $6,500 for existing homeowners. Existing homeowners must have lived in their "main home" through 5 of the last 8 years to be eligible.

Claiming the federal tax credit is a two-step process. First, eligible persons must be under contract for a new home on or before April 30, 2011. The home's closing must then occur on or before June 30, 2011.

The IRS does not make date exceptions.

Furthermore, both the buyer(s) and the subject property must meet certain minimum eligibility requirements:

The home may not be purchased from a parent, spouse, or child
The home may not be purchased from an entity in which the seller is a majority owner
The home may not be acquired by gift or inheritance
Each buyer must meet tax credit eligibility standards
The home sale price may not exceed $800,000
Buyers may not earn more than $125,000 as single-filers; $225,000 as joint-filers

The complete program description is published on the IRS website.

Another important note is that the IRS is giving eligible buyers a tax credit as opposed to a deduction. This means that a taxpayer qualifying for the full $8,000, and for whom the "normal" 2011 federal tax liability is $8,000, will have zero federal tax liability in 2011.

For additional information regarding your tax credit eligibility, call an accountant. Speaking with a tax professional is often worth the cost.

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The Real Estate Geeks - FHA : Monthly Mortgage Insurance Premiums To Rise April 18, 2011

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Fri, 11 Mar 2011 10:55:29 -0800

For the third time in 12 months, the FHA is changing its mortgage insurance costs.

Effective for all FHA case numbers assigned on, or after, April 18, 2011, annual mortgage insurance premiums (MIP) will increase 25 basis points.

The change will add $250 to an FHA-insured homeowner's annual loan costs per $100,000 borrowed, and applies to all borrower's equally. Current FHA borrowers are unaffected.

To understand the FHA is to understand why premiums are rising.

As an institution, the Federal Housing Administration plays a much larger role in the U.S. housing market today than it did just 5 years ago. According to its own records, the FHA's percentage of purchase money business in California and nationwide expanded from 4 percent in FY 2006 to 19 percent in FY 2010.

Rapid growth like this has strained the FHA's capital and, indeed, in its official statement, the FHA alludes to this, stating that the MIP increase will "significantly strengthen" its reserves. By law, the FHA must maintain a certain minimum level of reserves.

FHA mortgage insurance varies by loan term, and by loan-to-value and, beginning April 18, 2011, the new insurance premiums are as follows:

15-year loan term, loan-to-value > 90% : 0.50% per year
15-year loan term, loan-to-value <= 90% : 0.25% per year
30-year loan term, loan-to-value > 95% : 1.15% per year
30-year loan term, loan-to-value <= 95% : 1.10% per year

To calculate your monthly mortgage insurance premium, multiply your starting loan size by your insurance premium, and divide by 12.

There is no change planned to the 1 percent upfront mortgage insurance premium charged by the FHA.

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The Real Estate Geeks - Ignore The Case-Shiller Index; Focus On The Future Instead

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Wed, 09 Mar 2011 19:24:25 -0800

Last week, Standard & Poor's released its Case-Shiller Index for December 2010. The index is a home valuation tracker, meant to meausure the change in home prices from one period to the next.

December's Case-Shiller Index showed major devaluations nationwide. As compared to December 2009, on a year-over-year basis, home values fell in 18 of the Case Shiller Index's 20 tracked markets, and the U.S. National Index dropped 4 percent overall.

The retreat puts December's home values at similar levels as compared to early-2003.

That said, buyers and sellers would be wise to take the findings lightly. The Case-Shiller Index is inherently flawed. As such, its results are neither practical -- nor relevant -- to everyday Americans.

There are 3 Case-Shiller flaws, in fact.

The first flaw is the index's limited sample set. Wikipedia lists 3,100+ municipalities nationwide and we can be certain that real estate is bought and sold in all of them. The Case-Shiller Index, however, measures just 20 of them. That's less than 1% of all U.S. cities. And then, within those tracked cities, Case-Shiller reports an average, lumping disparate neighborhoods and streets into one big number.

The "national figures" aren't really national, and the "city data" doesn't apply to your home, specifically.

The second Case-Shiller Index flaw is how it measures home value changes. The index only consider at "repeat sales" of the same home, so long as that home is a single-family, detached property. Condominiums, multi-family homes, and new construction are ignored in the Case-Shiller Index.

Because distressed properties account for such a high percentage of resales lately -- 36% in December --foreclosures and short sales skew Case-Shiller Index worse.

And, lastly, the Case-Shiller Index is flawed by "age". Because it reports closed sales a 60-day delay, December's Case-Shiller Index is measuring the values of home sales contracts from September and October. The Case-Shiller Index, therefore, is a snapshot of the not-so-recent past, and does little to tell us about the next 60 days.

Overall, the Case-Shiller Index is helpful tool for economists and policy-makers, but it doesn't do much good for individual homeowners. For accurate, real-time housing data in your local market, talk to a real estate professional instead.

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The Real Estate Geeks - Pending Home Sales Drop For Second Straight Month

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Wed, 09 Mar 2011 10:09:30 -0800

After a strong run to close out 2010, the market for home resales softened a bit in January.

On a seasonally-adjusted basis, the Pending Home Sales Index dropped 3 percent last month, and December's figures were revised downward for a loss, too, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.

A "pending home sale" is defined as a home under contract to sell, but not yet closed.

The forward-looking index is now at a 3-month low on a national level, but still well ahead of its rolling 6-month average.

Unfortunately, national data isn't overly helpful for buyers and sellers of real estate. The National Association of REALTORS® knows this, of course, and makes an effort to get more granular, supplementing the Pending Home Sales Index report with a region-by-region breakdown.

Between December and January, only the South Region increased in sales volume. The Midwest led the losers:

Northeast Region: -2.4%
Midwest Region : -7.3%
South Region : +1.4%
West Region : -5.2%

Even still, however, regional data remains too broad to be practical. The South Region, for example, is comprised of multiple states with thousands of cities and town. The housing market dynamics of a specific neighborhood in a specific regional city will differ from that of another neighborhood in another regional city.

Real estate data must be local to be relevant.

Overall, then, what may be most telling from January's Pending Home Sales Index is how weather can influence results.

Most of the country faced drastic weather conditions in January, ranging from raging snowstorms to bitter cold. Events like that tend to put a damper on home sales, a contributing factor in why the number of new contracts fell.

Another reason is rising mortgage rates. Conforming and FHA rates rose week-by-week in January, robbing home buyers of 10% of their purchasing power. This, too, can slow down purchase activity as buyers adjust their expectations.

Looking forward, we should expect the Pending Home Sales Index to resume rising. Inclement weather doesn't kill demand; it just delays it. And mortgage rates have settled somewhat. These two factors should help release pent-up demand just as the Spring Homebuying Season gets underway.

As more buyers enter the market, negotiation leverage will shift to home sellers, pressuring home prices higher. The lowest prices of the year -- and the cheapest financing -- could be what you see today.

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The Real Estate Geeks - The Psychological Tactics That Supermarkets Use On Customers

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Mon, 07 Mar 2011 16:05:45 -0800

More than 50% of supermarket purchases are "impulse buys". You may not have known that, but the supermarkets do. And they've built their stores accordingly. A fool and his grocery cart are soon filled to the brim.

In this 6-minute video from NBC's The Today Show, you'll learn how supermarkets use everything from packaging to placement so that customers spend more of their money with each store visit.

Among the supermarkets' tricks:

Placing flowers and bakery at the front of the store to "make you salivate"
Specific "deal wording" (e.g. Buy 5 for $5.00) meant to entice larger purchases
Placing staples on top and bottom shelves, leaving middle shelves for impulse products

The piece also recommends shopping a supermarket in a clockwise-fashion. It helps you spend less time in the store.

We're all mindful of our household budgets. Watch this video to save more money on your next trip for groceries.

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The Real Estate Geeks - New Home Sales Crater In January, Opening The Door For Deals With Builders

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Mon, 07 Mar 2011 10:55:38 -0800

Not all housing reports are sunny, it seems.

In its monthly New Home Sales release, the U.S. Department of Commerce showed a 13 percent drop-off in annualized new construction sales between the months of December and January.

It's the biggest one-month drop in New Home Sales since May 2010.

In addition, the supply of new homes for sale spiked higher to 7.9 months last month. "Home supply" is defined as the amount of time it would take to sell the complete "for sale" inventory at the current pace of sales.

In December, the supply measured just 7.0 months,

Don't fret the news, however. For buyers of new construction , falling New Home Sales figures can be terrific. Weaker markets put pressure on the nation's home builders to sell their respective homes more quickly. To reach that goal, builders often discount prices and/or offer free upgrades to buyers.

Some of that action may already be in effect.

Despite falling volume, the New Home Sales report showed that new homes are selling faster than in recent months. The median time required to sell a newly-built home dropped to 7.8 months in January -- a figure well below January 2010's reading of 13.9 months.

It suggests that builders are getting better at locating buyers, and moving property.

Therefore, if you're shopping for a new construction and see one worth buying, get to it. Not only will the home likely sell soon if it's priced right, but an increase in mortgage rates will make the home more expensive to finance.

Every 0.250% increase to rates adds $15 monthly per $100,000 borrowed.

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Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

al Estate Geeks - Existing Home Supply Down 40% In Last 6 Months

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Mon, 07 Mar 2011 08:00:31 -0800

Home resales rose another 2.7 percent last month, according to the National Association of REALTORS® monthly Existing Home Sales report.

An "existing home" is a home that's been previously occupied and is not considered new construction.

The number of existing homes sold on a rolling 12-month basis is now at its highest point since May 2010, the month before the federal homebuyer tax credit ended. It's also up some 40% since July 2010, the month after the tax credit ended.

But that's not the biggest story in the Existing Home Sales report. The precipitous decline in home inventory deserves more attention.

At the current pace of sales, the complete, national home resale inventory will be sold in 7.6 months. This is close to 5 months faster as compared to last year's peak, and well below the 2-year home supply average of 9.0 months. There more buyers in the market, it seems, and fewer homes from which they can choose.

Total home resale inventory is down to just 3.38 million homes nationwide -- the fewest in 12 months.

There were other interesting statistics in the official Existing Home Sales report, including a break-down of purchases by buyer-type.

First-time buyers accounted for 29% of purchases, down from 33% in January
Repeat homebuyers accounted for 48% of purchases, up from 47% in January
Investors accounted for 23% of of purchases, up from 20% in January

In addition, distressed sales -- foreclosures and short sales -- made up 37 percent of the market.

Over the next few days, more housing data will hit the wires and it's expected to show similar strength to January's Existing Home Sales report. With falling supplies and a growing base of move-up buyers, home prices are expected to rise in the coming months ahead.

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The Real Estate Geeks - Cost of Living Reaches An All-Time High, Pressures Mortgage Rates Higher

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Sun, 06 Mar 2011 07:32:12 -0800

Mortgage rates are up 0.875% since mid-November, causing home buyer purchasing power to fall more than 10 percent since.

Persistent concerns over inflation are a major reason why and this week's Consumer Price Index did little to quell fears. CPI rose for the third straight month last month.

Wall Street was not surprised.

As the economy has picked up steam since late-2010, the Federal Reserve has held the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent, and kept its $600 billion bond plan moving forward. The Fed believes this is necessary to support the economy in the near-term.

Over the long-term, however, Wall Street worries that these programs may cause the economy may expand too far, too fast, and into runaway inflation.

Inflation pressures mortgage rates to rise.

Inflation is an economic concept; defined as when a currency loses its value. Something that used to cost $1.00 now costs $1.05, for example. It's not that the goods themselves are more expensive, per se. It's that the money used to buy the goods is worth less.

Because of inflation, it takes more money to buy the same amount of product.

This is a big deal in the mortgage markets because mortgage rates come from the price of mortgage bonds, and mortgage bonds are denominated, bought, and sold in U.S. dollars. When inflation in present, the dollar loses its value and, therefore, so do mortgage bonds.

When mortgage bonds lose value, mortgage rates go up.

Inflation fears are harming California home buyers. The Cost of Living has reached a record level, surpassing the former peak set in July 2008. Mortgage rates would be rising more right now if not for the Middle East unrest.

So long as inflation concerns persist, mortgage rates should trend higher over the next few quarters. If you're wondering whether to lock or float your mortgage rate, consider locking today's sure thing.

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The Real Estate Geeks: Fed Minutes Show Lower Unemployment And Higher Growth For 2011 and 2012

Melissa Bayles (The Real Estate Geeks A Team of Prudential California Realty) — Sat, 05 Mar 2011 08:12:44 -0800

The Federal Reserve released its January 25-26, 2011 meeting minutes Wednesday afternoon. California mortgage rates have been in flux since.

Fed Minutes are comprehensive recaps of Federal Open Market Committee meetings; a detailed look at the debates and discussions that shape our nation's monetary policy. As such, they're released 8 times annually; 3 weeks after the most recent FOMC meeting.

Fed Minutes can be viewed as the unabridged version of the succinct, more well-known "Fed Statement" that's released to markets immediately post-adjournment.

Just how much more lengthy are Fed Minutes?

The January 25-26, 2011 statement contains 395 words
The January 25-26, 2011 meeting minutes contains 6,916 words

If the Fed Statement is an executive summary, the Fed Minutes is a novel. And, the extra words matter.

When the Federal Reserve publishes its minutes, it's offering clues about the group's next policy-making steps. As an example, in the January minutes, the Fed improved its outlook for economic growth; lowered its projections for the Unemployment Rate; and removed its concern for deflation.

In addition, the Fed discussed the potential for food-and-energy-cost-induced inflation, but labeled it as a minor economic risk at this point in time.

Bond markets are mixed on the text of the Fed Minutes.

Although the Fed indicates a willingness to allow inflation to occur, it appears ready to act in case inflation goes too high. One way that the Fed responds to rising inflation is to raise the Fed Funds Rate and many economists believe this will start happening by late-2011 or early-2012.

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