I was at the Everett court steps home auction a couple weeks ago with one of my investors for the first time ever and was amazed at all the doom and gloom that was being spoken for next year.....
I talked to many agents and others that are very familiar with the auction process there and they are all saying that we are going to see a surge of homes come on the market next year as the banks are hiding how many foreclosures they actually have until next year to make there end of the year profit and loss statements look better.......in the week before only one home was sold all the rest were postponed......and while I left early because of the weather I watched hundreds of homes pulled off the auction block the day I was there also and would doubt if anything sold that day.
So the doom and gloomers are saying that because of this we are going to see a flood of homes come on the market taking us down another at least 10% early next year.............now while I do not disagree with there forecast after seeing first hand that we are going to see a surge of home on the auction block I do disagree that its going to have a negative impact.
My reasons for saying this are that almost every lender I talk to seems to be pretty busy qualifying clients and yes fewer are getting out of financing with a loan or enough of a loan to make them real buyers I still think that we are going to see a surge of new buyers in our market......also the homes at auction are cash only .... how many buyers do you know that can drop 200 to 300K all at once.........so that leaves investors and I have some with pretty deep pockets and they are still only looking for one or two at a time.
I think there will be some great deals for investors that want to flip some homes and have the cash and know how.....but they are going to sell these at fair market value not a discounted price......and they are not all going to be turning out 10 homes a week as most of these homes are in need of much deferred maintenance that they will space them out enough.
Happily as a buyers agent I think we will see more homes that are not distressed properties and will show much better than the distressed ones...also the banks are taking months to approve the sales letting buyers remorse set in badly that I really don't see a negative impact. We as agents are also getting beat up hard on commissions here doing short sales and the homes usually show badly and are hard to pass newer appraisal standards......
So as a agent what are you more likely to show your clients .......... a home that shows badly and you know is going to take forever to close with tons of time and work put in or a nice updated listing where you do not have to involve the lienholder......
All in all I think we will see more positive than negative....
That's my two cents
Todd Hueffed
www.ThatHomeZone.com in partnership with Keller Williams North Seattle