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Worry, Fear, Complacency, Disbelief, Anger, Crashing Markets, this has all happened before! - 09/29/08 08:46 PM
Those of you that read my blogs probably have notice I am very direct and forceful in my thoughts and advise. I don't mean to be like this, but I write about what I am very confident in my expertise. I would not write about medicine, steel making, dog walking or anything I haven't devoted much thought and study. So when I write about Real Estate if you looked at my profile you see why I am direct in my approach. You also will notice in my blogs I have studied markets, trading and the psychology of both for well over (9 comments)
Do you believe this? AIG ad 9/2005 the Kiss of death! - 09/28/08 08:16 PM
National Geographic magazine September, 2005 special issue, rear cover ad by AIG. My wife came across this magazine. The ad depicts a small girl very dressed up with a crown barrett, I guess indicating some very loving child that needs protection for her financial futures. Someone that is very loved and cared for. Every ones little Princess. It states: THE FINANCIAL ORGANIZATION TO CHOOSE FOR YOUR GREAT- GREAT- GREAT- GREAT- GREAT- GRANDCHILD.
They made it 3 years, almost. They anticipated 200 hundred years. What a mis-calculation. I think they should of consulted their (8 comments)
Alpine Real Estate sales Report - 09/27/08 02:10 PM
Alpine, Bergen County New Jersey Real Estate sales: report for the first 3 quarters of 2008. There was 16 sales closed for a total $48,415,500 with an average sales price of $3,025,968.75. This compares with the first 3 quarters of 2007 there were 21 sales closed, for a total of $78,747,000.00 with an average sales price of $3,749,857.14. Average sale price has declined by just over 19%. This is has no direct relationship to actual changes in value on a property by property basis. The 2008 sales may be revised upward as further recordings may be available. Information deemed reliable but not (0 comments)
What can we do to help ourselves? - 09/27/08 10:43 AM
NAR figures in July for homes existing homes available for sale was 4.67 million. NAR has over 1.2 million members. At current sales rate, NAR estimates yearly sale at 5 million units.
So I propose that each member do everything in their power to sell one home in the next month. That would equal 1.2 million homes or 1.2 million divided by 4.67 million or 25.7% of the inventory. Assuming that an additional 416,000 more will be added to the market in that month, we would reduce the inventory by 784,000 units or almost 17%. If we could do this (3 comments)
New Home Ceiling Design and Art under construction Upper Saddle River - 09/26/08 10:13 PM
New home Upper Saddle River Ceiling design and Art These are pictures of ceiling art, as we call it. This double diamond coffer ceiling, with intermediate irregular octagon, is about 65% finished. It is in a new home, we are building in Upper Sadddle River New Jersey. The foyer great room are about 60 + feet and the ceiling work is that big. It is a very special piece of real estate. This is a truly custom home which I am building for a client and doing the interior design work. The house will have about 9000 square foot of living space. (2 comments)
What really happened to Real Estate? What happens next? Updated - 09/25/08 10:13 AM
Deflating a massive credit expansion are like bombs going off all around. Deleveraging all these institutions is like a crack in a dam that grows and breaks, and the water wipes out the countryside. If there was an easy way to describe the situation I would say it is something like this. The market, with low rates and full of liquidity (cash), needed to find a way to make a profit with it. So they leveraged it to the maximum amount. The idea was to create a profit with the least amount of equity. This drifted right down the eco scale and (3 comments)
FBI on Wall Street! Where have they been? - 09/23/08 10:43 PM
The FBI is now investigating the major Wall Street firms, to see if fraud was involved in the handling of their businesses in mortgage back securities, real estate and related matters. This is what we all knew was coming. I hope that the powers to be in the federal government can solve the mess we are in to get back our markets. Restitution, if and when wrong doing is found should accompany the prosecution of wrong doers. Congress needs to stay the course and get this bailout over. It is being said by many that if they prop up this market (1 comments)
Oil stages biggest close ever! What's going on! - 09/22/08 06:43 PM
I have been going easy on trading ideas on activerain blogs, because it is not real estate. However, I have been trailing the signals into the body of my comments on the financials etc. It has been phenomenal! This is a reprint of the quote from: Oil breaks below $100 per barrel, Saudi Arabia pumps oil anyway. "At 10:38 on 7 10 2008 I posted: Could Oil be in for a greasing? If you read it, I called for oil to drop to $75.00 per barrel over the next 6 months and to go short. The next morning it opened at 147.10 (3 comments)
Bergen County new homes for sale by Richard Stabile - 09/21/08 09:48 PM
Bergen County new homes for sale Richard Stabile Developer, Builder, Realtor of new homes in Bergen County has houses to be built, under construction, or built and for sale. The homes are in Franklin Lakes, Hillsdale, Old Tappan, River vale (2 locations), Woodcliff Lake, Saddle River, Upper Saddle River, Alpine and other towns to be annouced. Please visit our web site to see all of the new homes for sale. Alpine new home for sale
Franklin lakes new home
Hillsdale new home
River Vale new home 2 Available
Saddle River new home French (0 comments)
Saddle River Deer Friends - 09/21/08 04:57 PM
I visited a site of a new home we are going to build, Saddle River French Estates , and I made some new deer friends. They were just enjoying the real estate and the day, I really thought they were going to let me pet them. They acted like dogs waiting for me to throw a ball or something. The river was just behind them and they eventually ran across it. I see deer all the time, but these were very different and special. Prior to the video I took from my regular digital camera, they were on the ground just (3 comments)
Which ceiling design to you like? - 09/20/08 09:55 PM
New homes ceiling designs by: Richard Stabile Building new homes in Bergen County NJ calls for many design challenges. Elegant luxury homes have few better symbol of it grander than the ceilings. One of my favorite things to do in interior design is to create the coffer ceilings. I love the whole affect of when people walk in to the home and stop short. I love the feeling. We tried to make them different and individual as possible. However, we are restricted to the area shape and budget. I thought I would share a few and see if I could get a poll of what is (9 comments)
They sent in the Calvary, and we are all riding a horse. - 09/19/08 08:25 AM
Our financial markets are being rescued by our federal government. Of course, I LOVE IT! We needed this panic to stop. However, although there is no choice and we must do everything possible to put the system back together, the cowboys were out of control. The greed and irresponsible actions of these institutions to look away from risk and only care about fees and profits was criminal. This is strong but we must realize they ruined lot of people's lives. We the tax payers are footing the bill for the poor judgment of the Banks, Wall Street and others who created a (5 comments)
If there is a bottom to the real estate market, I think I'm touching it! - 09/18/08 07:15 PM
Fear is a flying and that's what bottoms are made of. The dollar is holding up and every entity is getting on the same page. If they separate the bad debt out, the sovereign funds will put money into our system also. It is in their best interest as well to get us over this. In doing so, they will make investments into our blue chip institutions. The government is to form an entity, maybe not an RTC, but some kind of holder for the bad paper, to resolve the unknown evaluations of asset. So if you wanted to feel the (3 comments)
First we send them our money............... - 09/17/08 09:10 PM
Now we need it back. Or should I say swap it for our assets. Yes, China has a lot of good old us Green Backs. And tonight CNBC has announced that China's CITIC is talking to Morgan Stanley about a take over. Our institution, which were the flag ships of the world are now being sucked up by our trading partners who have surplus dollars. In my last blog earlier today I was waiting for this to start. Next will be the Arab states, however they normally only take a part interest in a firm. They don't want to run the (1 comments)
So where do we go from here? - 09/17/08 05:51 PM
Banks in England are now forced to merge. Morgan Stanley and Wachovia are looking at merger. It seems there is not enough money in the US to fix it. Maybe we need over sea intervention by our trade partners, oil producers and China. They have the reserves that can help. Our government needs to court them in. Donald Trump said something to the effect to just get up in the morning and do what you do. He also said he doesn't own stocks. He likes investing into hard assets like real estate. It is not just paper and it won't disappear. (2 comments)
If AIG is savable the Fed has made good deal. I think they started with $800 billion dollars before Fannie and Freddie. So they are down to $320 billion.
It is all to avert the domino affect of this crisis.
Maybe, it will be a good investment. So walk proud, you own a piece of a blue chip (once anyway) company. Let us hope Uncle Sam has a (5 comments)
30 year confirming hits 5.5%, don't get caught in the headlights! - 09/16/08 10:57 AM
I have been predicting the rates to drop to 5.5%. The financial system is in disarray. If you follow my market psychology concepts, good comes from bad. Believe me I do not like the idea of the bad, however we can't control it. What we can do is work with what we have. Don't dwell on the problems it won't get solve by us worrying, but you can get organized and help people buy in this market with great rates and low prices. This condition will end and psychology will turn. Real Estate agents must look at the good side. Someone (3 comments)
Once in a Century Event! Said Chairman Greenspan - 09/14/08 09:23 PM
It is 9:58 pm eastern time 9/14/2008, Lehman Bros. is filing bankruptcy. Lehman employees on a Sunday night are trying to get their belongings out the building where they work. Merrell Lynch was forced to sell to Bank of America for $29.00 per share. AIG is looking for temporary funds from the Treasury to bridge their asset sales. There will be more. The SP futures market is underwater, and was down at tonight's open over 40 points. I just heard on CNBS that 10 banks are to put up 70 billion dollars to make liquidity available. If my memory serves me (0 comments)
Oil breaks below $100 per barrel, Saudi Arabia pumps oil anyway. - 09/14/08 06:04 PM
At 10:38 on 7 10 2008 I posted: Could Oil be in for a greasing? If you read it, I called for oil to drop to $75.00 per barrel over the next 6 months and to go short. The next morning it opened at 147.10 and you know the rest. Well, we are only just over 2 months into it and we have lost 2/3 of my prediction. Most thought I was wacky, that $175 was next. My Elliott wave patterns told me different. It seems like $75 will happen. However if we get a hard down day here I would look (1 comments)
How to build a real estate sales empire from scratch in 10 steps. Step 6 - 09/12/08 09:55 PM
Step 6 Stage yourself! What would you think if you started with a new doctor and he was in his office, giving you an exam wearing t-shirt and shorts. How about your lawyer was driving a older small sub compact car with dents in it. Need I say more. You know they are not showing their professionalism. Many years ago, I believe it was Dave Liniger who said at a motivational speech, professionalism is measured by the public by how much money you make. Now don't take it out of context, he spoke of integrity and honesty and all of that (2 comments)
How to build a real estate sales empire from scratch in 10 steps. Step 5 - 09/12/08 07:32 PM
Step 5 Adding to Brand Saturation. To get saturation of your brand identity you must use multi media. Your local community news paper, bus stops, shopping carts (a bit expensive), little league field banners, sports team sponsorship. You must spend a bit to jump up quickly. The public must see you coming and going. Start in a small area, one town. Then branch out as you business grows. Remember grow out the circles from the center like the pebble hitting the water. Looking back in Steps 1-4 we covered many ways to gain a presents quickly, now we are going for (0 comments)
What dose it mean to us with the Fed being a lender? - 09/10/08 08:47 AM
I think we must circle around the issue that rates may be in that 5.5 range for a 30 year conforming. We have lower prices, about 30+ percent below the highs in many areas. Realtors must rally around this and get the buyers to understand the opportunity. To many buyers they are still deer in the headlights. Realtors must present a case for a turning point here by the intervention in the main mortgage players, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. I am not saying there are no more issues, there are, but when everything is fully resolved the market will be (7 comments)
Fannie and Freddie go into conservatorship of US Government and night S&P futures love it. - 09/07/08 08:51 PM
Stock futures here and stock markets in Asia love the government bracing up the institutions and creating a market for mortgage loans. The Government per Secretary Henry M. Paulson, Jr. will take a 4 step plan to secure the GSE's (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) . The common stock holders of both will become junior to preferred holders (the tax payers). This is to secure the additional risk the government will take to run the agencies. The government will create another facility as last resort to buy mortgage paper. It will also manage the existing portfolio at the GSE's. The bottom line (2 comments)
Saddle River New Homes for sale and sold by Richard Stabile - 09/06/08 05:26 PM
Saddle River New Homes for sale, Built and Sold by Richard Stabile REMAX real estate associates Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey. This custom home of about 10,000 sq ft of living space on 1.5 acre lot in Saddle River's prestigious Chestnut ridge area, closed this year. It featured custom kitchen and vanities, Custom stairs and completely fabricated and designed interior rails, custom cherry library with built in cabinets and coffered ceiling. A totally custom designed double diamond living room ceiling, with extraordinary fireplace and wall design. The great room has multi octagon ceiling with custom leaf fireplace. In the lower level walkout (3 comments)
Upper Saddle River new homes for sale, Real Estate - 09/04/08 08:38 PM
Upper Saddle River new homes for sale to be built by Richard Stabile, Pascack Hills Properties LLC. This 4526 sq. ft. home on approx. 1 acre of prime real estate will have 4/5 bed rooms including a library with built in cabinets and separate den or maids room. Enter into a magnificent 2 story foyer appointed in Richard's tradition of extreme designs and finish. Walk thru to the 2 story great room with octagon layer coffered ceiling. Step into a formal dinning room with double inlay diamond ceiling with walnut French loop border floor. A state of the art custom kitchen (0 comments)
Alpine new manor estate home for sale, Magnificent Alpine Real Estate - 09/03/08 09:08 PM
Alpine, magnificent new stone manor home now, under final stages of construction. Located in New Jersey's most prestigious area, minutes form New York City. No doubt, a truly spectacular, one of a kind, all stone, custom graduated slate roof, European Manor home. The Manor is situated on a 2 acre, beautiful prime piece of real estate. Spacious elegance flows throughout the grand scale rooms. The floor plans for this 7 bedroom, 9 full bath and 2 half bath are masterful. With elevator to all three floors which have 10 foot ceilings throughout. The first level on grade in rear flowing to (3 comments)
GMAC mortgage shuts down - 09/03/08 06:11 PM
GMAC mortgage company is shutting down its retail operations, offices, loan officers et al. In our office we have a GMAC representative who was given the news today. He will have a space till October and then they are closed. I believe they have been in business since 1982 and were in the top 10 of mortgage originators. One by one the market is dissolving the players who can't continue to fund in a profitable manner. This is trying times, the worst since the great depression. Although, I believe we will turn the corner after the election the field is full (16 comments)
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