The real estate picture on Long Island reflects the micro-economies that exist here. Some towns have high unemployment (9.7% in Hempstead Village) and many bank foreclosures. Others have modest unemployment (5.8 percent unemployment in North Hempstead Town) and relatively few foreclosures. The general picture for the island as a whole has improved from the dire economic conditions of the 4th quarter of 2008 with Nassau county sales contracts improving year over year (2008-2009) by 15% and Suffolk county improving 14%.
Except where bank owned homes are plentiful, the story has gone from lack of sales to lack of houses to sell. In Bethpage, sales were down slightly last year, not because buyers weren't available but because homeowners weren't putting their homes on the market. Inventory all over Long Island is down from last year's high levels. Lack of supply has not yet affected the prices of homes which were down by about 7% last year over 2008. Two pressures on prices are the buyers own estimation of value which they glean from their surfing the web and bank appraisers who have a very conservative view of housing values.
While the tightening by the banks has definitely ended the lending abuses of the recent past our advice to first time home buyers is : While you try to take advantage of lower prices, low interest rates and the $8000 tax credit you should budget your mortgage expense as a percentage of your net income not your gross and make sure you include your property taxes in that budget. Just because you are approved for a loan, it doesn't mean that it is a prudent thing for you to take that loan.
The first months of this year will be a time of opportunity for buyers and sellers since the tax credit was extended to contracts by April 30th and closings by June 30th. First time homebuyers can take an $8000 credit on a joint return (within generous income limits) and existing homeowners are eligible for a $6500 tax credit on a joint return(with the same generous limits) for a trade up or trade down. Existing homeowners must have used the home sold or being sold as a principal residence consecutively for 5 of the previous 8 years. We recommend that you don't try to beat the deadline. Give yourself 90 days to close instead of 60 and that means being in contract on your new home by March 30th.
