Spiro 's Blog

Pending Home Sales Data Forecasts Higher Home Values Ahead

Realty World — Thu, 03 Dec 2009 11:27:54 -0600

When a home seller accepts a contract on an MLS-listed property, the property's status changes from "Active" to "Pending".

This means the home is scheduled to sell, but not yet sold.

Each month, the National Association of Realtors® tallies the number of pending homes and publishes the data as the Pending Homes Sales Index report.

In October, for the 9th straight month, the index gained. It's the longest such streak in Pending Home Sales history.

Because a "pending" home sale is just a contract between buyer and seller, it's not as important to the economy as actual home sales. However, the Pending Home Sales Index can be a fine predictor of future activity.

Historically, 80 percent of homes under contract "close" within 60 days, and most others close within 120 days. Recent Existing Home Sales data corroborates this. Home sales activity is at its highest pace in nearly 3 years.

The Pending Home Sales Index does have some shortcomings, though:

It doesn't account for newly constructed homes, a small but important part of the real estate market
It doesn't track For Sale By Owner properties and other non-MLS listed homes
Its sample set is small, measuring just 20 percent of all MLS-listed sales

Despite this, however, Pending Home Sales is a terrific measure of real estate market strength. Homes are going under contract at a dizzying pace. It's thinning out home inventory supplies and pressuring prices to rise.

This chain reaction is what makes Pending Home Sales Index worth tracking. As the number of homes under contract increase, home prices can't be far behind.

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Government : Home Values Edged Lower In August

Realty World — Sat, 24 Oct 2009 17:23:28 -0500

According to the government, home values edged lower last month.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency's Home Price Index report shows values down by 0.3 percent from the month prior -- the index's first down month since April.

The Home Price Index is based on the value of homes financed via Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac and, in this sense, the FHFA Home Price Index is more of a "national" real estate index than its private-sector cousin, the Case-Shiller Index.

But like the Case-Shiller, the HPI is as notable for what it specifically excludes as for what it includes. Most notably, the Home Price Index doesn't account for homes meeting any of the following descriptions:

Is considered new construction
Is a multi-unit property
Is financed by an entity other than Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac

Given the resurgence of FHA financing this year, this last exclusion is especially glaring. FHA represents about one-third of all mortgage loans in 2009.

Because of these exceptions, some analysts label the Home Price Index incomplete. The same could be said of every method of home valuation, however. Case-Shiller only collects data from 20 markets, for example.

In light of these shortcomings, therefore, what's most important is to recognize that both of the "popular" home valuation reports show similar patterns -- home prices have leveled and are showing signs of a rebound.

For a region-by-region breakdown of the Home Price Index, visit the FHFA website.

Home Prices Show Improvement In 19 of the 20 Case-Shiller Markets

Realty World — Wed, 01 Jul 2009 09:24:38 -0500

Tuesday -- for the first time in a long while -- members of the press met the monthly Case-Shiller Index data with enthusiasm. And why shouldn't they? 19 of the 20 measured markets showed a slowing pace of home price decline in April.

Here are some of the headlines about the story:

Case-Shiller Home Prices Decline Only 18% (Business Week)
Case-Shiller Less Bad (Seeking Alpha)
Home Prices In 20 Cities Drop Less Than Expected (Bloomberg)

Now, the headlines feel negative, but they're actually highlighting some key strengths in April's figures. For example, nearly half of the Case-Shiller markets posted gains in April and all but one showed month-over-month improvement.

It's a step in the right direction but doesn't mean that housing has turned around for good.

We have to be careful about how we interpret the Case-Shiller Index because it's an imperfect housing gauge. The most obvious Case-Shiller flaw is that it only measures home values in 20 cities nationwide and they're not even the 20 biggest cities.

Houston, Philadelphia, San Antonio and San Jose are excluded from the report and each ranks among the country's 10 most populous areas.

That said, the report is still important because the Case-Shiller Index identifies broader housing trends and that helps to shape economic policy.

Not only versus last month but also versus last year, the pace at which home values are falling appears to be getting slower. This is the third straight month Case-Shiller has reported as such.

Now, three months makes a trend, but the data has to stay strong through the summer months to mark a bona fide turnaround. If the Case-Shiller Index shows strength for May and June, it could be the signal for which the markets have been waiting.

Like To Play It Cautious? Consider Rate Locking Ahead Of Wednesday's Federal Reserve Meeting.

Realty World — Tue, 23 Jun 2009 09:24:38 -0500

The Federal Reserve begins its scheduled two-day meeting this morning.

It's one of 8 scheduled meetings for the Federal Open Market Committee this year.

When the FOMC meets, it discusses the financial and economic conditions around the country and, when appropriate, the group makes new policy meant to speed up or slow down the economy.

The main tool for reaching this goal is the Fed Funds Rate and, earlier this year, the FOMC lowered it to "near-zero" percent in an attempt to stimulate growth.

But the Fed has other tools at its disposal, too, not the least of which is its $1.25 trillion pledge to the mortgage markets.

Now, if you'll remember, the Fed made that pledge in two parts:

Part 1 came in November 2008 for $500 billion
Part 2 came in March 2008 for $750 billion

After each announcement, mortgage rates reflexively dropped and stayed low for a period of a day or two. Then, fears of inflation set in on Wall Street, causing mortgage rates to pop back up because inflation is a mortgage-rate killer.

The Fed isn't expected to increase its mortgage market commitment this week, but because mortgage rates are above the government's "target zone", it's possible that the FOMC uses its post-meeting press release to give markets some guidance and its plan for the next several months.

A statement like this could alternately raise mortgage rates or lower them, depending on what the Fed says.

It's for this reason that floating a mortgage rate through tomorrow afternoon is extremely risky. The Fed could say nothing about mortgages, or it could say a lot. Either way, a small, quarter-percent change in mortgage rates can add tens of thousands of dollars to the lifetime cost of a person's pending home loan.

The Fed's press release hits the wires at 2:15 PM ET Wednesday. If you're the cautious type, consider locking your mortgage rate prior to its release.

10 Cities For Job Growth in 2009

Realty World — Fri, 06 Feb 2009 12:14:37 -0600

10 Cities For Job Growth in 2009

Employment figures released this morning show that the economy has now shed 3.6 million jobs since December 2007, included close to half that in the last 3 months alone. The Unemployment Rate is now 7.6%.

But jobs aren't fading in every housing market equally.

As reported by Ajilon Professional Staffing, there are still areas around the country in which unemployment rates are low and job outlooks are strong.

Led by Madison, WI, Ajilon calls them "10 Cities For Job Growth in 2009" and they are:

Madison, WI
Washington, D.C.
Boston, MA
Richmond, VA
Milwaukee, WI
Pittsburgh, PA
Baltimore, MD
Seattle, WA
Houston, TX
Dallas, TX

There's no common denominator uniting the list -- cities are buffered by industries as varied as healthcare, energy, and technology. However, it's worth noting that -- in each of these 10 towns -- housing markets seem to be performing above-average versus the rest of the nation.

Clearly, there's a link between jobs and housing.

For everything Real Estate checkout www.SpirosBlog.com or www.SpiroHishmeh.com

(Image courtesy: Forbes.com)

Explaining What The Federal Reserve Did In Plain English (January 28, 2009 Edition)

Realty World — Thu, 29 Jan 2009 14:10:54 -0600

Don't let the plunging median sales price fool you -- December's Existing Home Sales data has home sellers smiling.

The Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged today. It remains within a target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

In its press release, the FOMC reiterated most of the key points from its December 2008 statement, including:

The U.S. employment outlook continues to deteriorate
Consumers and businesses continue to cut spending
The housing sector is still showing weakness

In addition, the FOMC addressed the "extremely tight" credit conditions for U.S. households and business, even as it said some financial markets are showing signs of improvement.

To the Fed, the latter is a precursor for the former. For Americans needing new mortgages or other forms of credit, it may mean that getting approved gets easier sometime late this year.

Most importantly, the Fed's press release again mentioned the policy-setting group's intention to "employ all available tools" to promote economic growth. This includes the open-market purchasing of mortgage-backed debt that has helped fuel the current Refi Boom. The Fed indicated a willingness to extend the program beyond the initial $500 billion, if necessary.

For each of the Fed's interventions, though, there is a trade-off.

Buying securities costs money and the Fed -- literally -- comes up with the cash by printing it. The extra supplies devalue the U.S. dollar which, if left unchecked, can cause the Fed's plan to backfire in the form of runaway money supply-led inflation. The Fed is aware of this risk and is pledged to monitoring it closely.

Overall, mortgage rates worsened today after the Fed's statement.

For more info check out www.spirosblog.com or www.SpiroHishmeh.com

Source
Parsing the Fed Statement
The Wall Street Journal Online
January 28, 2009
http://online.wsj.com/internal/mdc/info-fedparse0928.html

Did We Just See The First 2 Signs Of A Housing Recovery?

Realty World — Tue, 27 Jan 2009 18:48:09 -0600

Don't let the plunging median sales price fool you -- December's Existing Home Sales data has home sellers smiling.

Just one month after falling below the 5-million unit trend line, sales volume roared back by 300,000 homes in December, surprising housing analysts and making a case that this spring's Buying Season could be a competitive one.

Falling home prices helped fuel home sales. Nationally, the median sales price -- the point at which half of all homes sold for more and half sold for less -- was $175,400, down $32,000 from last year.

However, the most important part of December's Existing Home Sales report isn't making headlines.

At December's sales pace, it would now take 9.3 months to exhaust the existing home supply. Last month it was 11.2 months. This means that buyers are competing to purchase fewer homes which, in turn, puts upward pressure on home prices.

This is Supply and Demand at its most basic definition.

Economists have long said that the keystone of housing's recovery will be rebalancing in home supply. Coupled with the all-time low in housing starts, December's Existing Home Sales data signals future strength.

(Image courtesy: The New York Times)

Housing Predictions For 2009? Keep 'Em To Yourself.

Realty World — Thu, 08 Jan 2009 21:15:49 -0600

The New Year is not yet one week old but that's not stopping market "experts" from predicting what's in store for 2009.

The calls on housing and mortgage rates run the gamut:

Home prices have farther to fall
Home prices have touched bottom
Mortgage rates will dip
Mortgage rates will rise

Put it all together and it's clear that the experts have no better idea about the future than you or I. Their guesses are educated ones, but they're guesses nonetheless.

A terrific example of how poorly experts can predict the future comes from a Wall Street Journal performance analysis of 1,700 mutual funds.

In 2008, only one earned a positive return. That one fund represents zero-point-zero-six percent of all tracked mutual funds. Surely, the fund managers of the other 99.94% didn't expect to post negative returns on the year.

So, before you use predictions about the demise (or recovery) of the broader economy to make "personal economy" decisions, consider that the oft-quoted experts have a hugely better track record in analyzing the past than the future.

All we know for sure right now is that home prices are, in general, lower than at the time point last year, and mortgage rates are, too. By 2010, both could be lower still.

Or they may not.

For more info on San Francisco real estate www.spirohishmeh.com

Posted by Spiro Hishmeh

A Cleaner, Eco-Friendly Paint For Your Home

Realty World — Mon, 05 Jan 2009 22:28:04 -0600

Visit msnbc.com for Breaking News, World News, and News about the Economy

Poor indoor air quality is linked to Sick Building Syndrome, a combination of ailments with more than 50 seemingly separate and unrelated symptoms, including:

Dizziness and nausea
Headache
Symptoms related to Irritable Bowel Syndrome
Personality changes

Avoiding sickness like this -- as explained by The Today Show -- may be as simple as choosing the right paint for your home.

Most "standard" paints come loaded with chemicals called VOCs -- volatile organic compounds. The naturally-occuring chemicals are added to the paint to help it spread better and last longer. Unfortunately, these same chemicals are damaging to soil and groundwater, react with sunlight to form dangerous ozone, and contribute to global warming.

There is a safer choice.

Non-VOC household paints are widely available for about the same cost as their toxic cousins. They're eco-friendly and, because recent advances in the manufacturing technology, the paint quality is outstanding.

To buy the non-VOC paints featured in the video, head to your local Benjamin Moore dealer, or get it online from Cox Paint.

It's 2009 : Mortgage Loan Limits Fall As Scheduled In "High-Cost" American Cities

Realty World — Fri, 02 Jan 2009 10:41:41 -0600

As part of the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008, Congress authorized a conforming loan limit increase in "high-cost" areas around the country. Versus the national conforming loan limit of $417,000, for example, a Manhattan home buyer could secure a 2008 mortgage for $725,000 and still be within "conforming" guidelines.

Effective January 1, however, those limits rolled back. Conforming mortgages in the 59 designated high-cost regions are now capped at $625,500.

In non-high-cost areas, the 2009 conforming loan limits remain unchanged from 2008.

1-unit properties : $417,000
2-unit properties : $533,850
3-unit properties : $645,300
4-unit properties : $801,950

Loans in excess of these dollar amounts are often called "jumbo", or "super jumbo" home loans, depending on their size. Jumbo home loans tend to be more costly than their conforming-sized cousins.

For more info check out my website www.SpiroHishmeh.com

For Real Estate Investors, Finding Loans Is Tougher Than Finding Good Deals

Realty World — Fri, 26 Dec 2008 11:11:30 -0600

With home prices falling across most parts of the country, investors in real estate are finding good value in certain rental properties. Unfortunately, they're also finding it harder to get approved for a home loan.

After getting stung by defaults, conforming mortgage standards for non-owner occupied home loans tightened dramatically last quarter.

One major change was the reduction in the total number of homes Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac will finance for any one borrower.

Prior to the chance, the number of financed properties could be as high as 10. Today, that number is 4, stinging investors with large real estate portfolios. Going forward, buying properties isn't the problem; financing them with conforming mortgage money is.

Another guideline change mandates larger downpayments.

Versus early-2008, when a real estate investor could buy a home with 10 percent down, today's investor is required to pay 15. But, as an added wrinkle, few private mortgage insurers write policies against rental homes anymore, rendering the 15 percent downpayment insufficient. The de facto requirement, therefore, is now 20 percent down.

And then came the fees.

As part of its "pay-for-risk" pricing model, Fannie Mae added mandatory fees to all of its investor property mortgages this year. Based on loan-to-value, the fees are:

75% LTV or less: 1.750 percent of the borrowed amount
75.01 - 80.00% LTV : 3.000 percent of the borrowed amount
Greater than 80% LTV : 3.750 percent of the borrowed amount

So, if your personal plan includes the purchase of investment properties in 2009, consider the impact that tighter conforming guidelines, larger downpayments and higher fees will have on your bottom line.

All things considered, now may be a good time to make that rental property bid. Sure, prices may fall going forward, but increased acquisition costs may wipe out the long-term gains.

For more information about San Francisco Real Estate please visit my San Francisco Real Estate website.

A Great Combination : Too Many Homes For Sale And Low Mortgage Rates

Realty World — Wed, 24 Dec 2008 10:26:26 -0600

For the first time in over a year, the sales of "used homes" fell below the 5-million unit trendline, helping to push the total home inventory higher by 0.1 percent nationwide.

Based on the rate at which homes are selling nationwide, it would take 11.2 months for the existing housing supply to be exhausted.

For home buyers, this is an opportune time for negative news on housing.

First, sellers know that between now and the Super Bowl, housing activity will be light. The general scarcity of buyers may force a seller to accept a bid he wouldn't have accepted otherwise.

Second, the economy is showing weakness and that, too, can concern a home seller. Buyers are less likely to extend themselves during times of economic uncertainty, further reducing the buyer pool and, again, putting pressure on the seller to "make a deal".

And lastly, because the government has been trying to force mortgage rates down as a way to stimulate the economy, the weak housing data is actually making it cheaper to finance a home. This means that a well-qualified home buyer can better stay within budget.

Each 0.500 percent rate reduction saves $33 per $100,000 borrowed.

It is important to remember, though, that the U.S. housing market is not national -- it's highly localized. This is one reason why national real estate reports can be misleading. Just as figures from Phoenix have little to do with statistics from St. Paul, even data from neighboring ZIP codes can vary.

The universal truth, however, is that a home that is priced fairly will sell more quickly than a home that is not. And, until the Super Bowl passes in 45 days, expect fewer buyers to be out there competing for them.

(Image courtesy: The Wall Street Journal Online)

Simple Real Estate Definitions : Refinance

Realty World — Fri, 12 Dec 2008 13:15:25 -0600

A mortgage is a contract between a bank and borrower, defining the terms by which a home loan must be repaid.

The paperwork, signed by both parties, includes provisions for things like:

The interest rate
The length of the loan
The amount of money to be borrowed

But, like all loans, a mortgage loan can be paid off at any time. So, when market interest rates fall, homeowners will often exercise their right to an "early payoff" by securing a new loan that pays off the old one.

This process is most commonly known as a refinance.

A refinance is the changing of the loan terms against a property, often for a better interest rate or a lower monthly payment. When the refinance process is complete, the original lender's loan is paid in full using the money from the new lender's loan and the former's relationship is officially terminated.

There's no rule against how many times a person can refinance, nor is there an easy way to determine whether or not a refinance makes sense. In general, if you can reduce your monthly payment while limiting your closing costs, to refinance is a smart decision.

However, there are other reasons to refinance, too, including:

To convert from an ARM into a fixed rate mortgage (or vice versa)
To extract equity for paying off third-party debts or for cash
To extend a loan from 15 years to 30 year for payment relief

Because there are fewer third-parties involved with a refinance, it's often simpler and less expensive than a comparable purchase transaction. The paperwork stack is often smaller, too.

The Obvious Truth About Mortgage Rate Predictions

Realty World — Fri, 17 Oct 2008 01:30:39 -0500

As the stock market dips then jumps then dips again, it's important to remember that markets are unpredictable and nobody knows what will happen tomorrow.

Unfortunately, that doesn't stop the analysts from trying.

An obvious example comes from May of this year. As the price of oil crossed $120 per barrel on its way to an all-time high of $147, a Goldman Sachs analyst was quoted as saying that $200 oil was "likely".

It seemed like a logical conclusion at the time.

Today, though, just five months after the prediction, the analyst's "likely" scenario looks downright laughable. Oil is off by more than 40 percent since that day. And there's hundreds of examples just like this, all around us.

Every day, economic experts and analysts are on television, telling us what's going to happen in the future:

They tell us when housing prices will reach a bottom
They tell us when stock markets will rebound for good
They tell us what the economy will do over the next 12 months

But none of them operate with the proverbial crystal ball -- it's all on "gut".

Another example is from today's CNNMoney.com. In the wake of the government's banking response, a mortgage analyst predicts 7 percent interest rates over the next six months This would represent a 1.5 percent from the recent lows.

The rate prediction may be accurate, or it may not. We won't know for another six months. But what we know today, though, is that mortgage rates are all over the place -- just like the stock market. One day up, another day down. And nobody knows what they'll do tomorrow.

Predicting the future has always been an inexact science but that won't stop the experts from trying. And the experts are wrong as often as anybody else.

Looking Back And Looking Ahead : July 28, 2008

Realty World — Wed, 30 Jul 2008 01:07:22 -0500

Looking Back And Looking Ahead : July 28, 2008

On the wave of a two-day rally, mortgage rates improved last week overall. This despite a Friday reversal that had caused rates to tick higher just before weekend house-hunting began.

And, like so many other weeks this year, last week's mortgage market activity was defined by its quick-moving interest rates.

At least one major mortgage lender issued 11 separate rates sheets between -- an average of more than 2 per day.

Now, as an active mortgage rate shopper, you can't predict mortgage rate volatility but you can be prepared for it.

Start by knowing which mortgage product is the best fit for your long- and short-term financial goals and then be ready to pounce on a "good rate" because the rates expire as soon as that next rate sheet gets issued.

Another effective way to prepare for shopping is to watch for data that can influence the market's opinion of the U.S. economy. This week, there's a lot of it -- starting with Tuesday's Consumer Confidence report. When confidence levels are high, economists expect Americans to spend more, propelling the economy forward towards inflation.

Inflation makes mortgage rates rise.

Then, on Thursday, the Employment Cost Index data is released. This will be a closely-watched figure this month because it should show if American workers are pressuring employers for raises in light of higher gas and food prices. If wages are up, it will be considered inflationary because businesses eventually pass that cost back to consumers.

Again, bad for mortgage rates.

And lastly, on Friday, the jobs report will be released. American businesses have shed jobs in each of the last 6 months, and June is expected to show the same. The jobs report's influence on mortgage rates is enormous so expect big rate swings Friday, either up or down.

Overall this week, considering the weight of the data, it may be prudent to finish-up rate shopping as soon as possible and get locked in with your lender. As the week progresses and the data's import grows, the markets should get less and less stable.

Does Your Hometown Rank On Money Magazine's Top 100 Places To Live in 2008?

Realty World — Wed, 30 Jul 2008 01:03:16 -0500

Does Your Hometown Rank On Money Magazine's Top 100 Places To Live in 2008?

Move to Plymouth, Minnesota, says Money Magazine in its 2008 100 Best Places To Live survey.

According to the report, the Twin Cities satellite has all of the makings of a desirable home town:

Affordable homes
Excellent schools
Low crime
Lots of jobs
Abundant "outdoor life"

The top 5 cities as listed by Money Magazine are the aforementioned Plymouth, Fort Collins (CO), Naperville (IL), Irvine (CA), and Franklin Township (NJ).

The 100 Best Places To Live survey is also sortable by metrics, including housing affordability, job growth potential, and cleanest air.

Fed steps in and cuts again

Realty World — Fri, 21 Mar 2008 21:18:35 -0500

The Federal Reserve significantly cut rates for the sixth straight time since September, this time cutting 75 basis points. This follows a busy weekend where the Fed also extended its hand to Wall Street, bailing out Bear Stearns with JP Morgan Chase. While rate cuts look good at face value, you need to prepare for what's to come.

Why did they do this?
The Fed wants you to start spending money and wants to boost consumer and Wall Street confidence. Consumers are under stress with increasing consumer prices and a slowing housing market. Wall Street banks have been under stress from mortgage defaults and their impact on corporate balance sheets.

How does this impact you?
Fed rate cuts are inflationary. Since the Fed started cutting rates in September of last year, oil prices are up nearly 40%, gold prices are up over 25%. This is the direct result of a falling dollar which occurs from Fed rate cuts.

As a result, mortgage rates will ultimately rise from here. It is inevitable. Inflation is the arch enemy of fixed-income investments, long-term bonds and mortgage-backed securities, upon which mortgage rates are based.

Here's a look at the inflation picture: Gas prices last September, prior to the Fed's current cutting trend, were roughly $2.75 a gallon. Today, gasoline averages $3.25 a gallon nationally, up 18% before the first rate cut. This is a sign of inflation.

What should you do now?
If you are looking to refinance, don't wait. Act now to get a great interest rate. Home loan rates have come down over 1.00% in the last two weeks. But after each of the last five rate cuts, we have seen rates rise significantly in a short period of time. Don't get caught saying "I wish I had..."

If you are looking to purchase a home, I want to hear from you right away. Home prices have to fall over 10% to make back what you lose in monthly housing payments if rates increase 1.00%. There are some great buys out there today!

Next step
Pick up the phone and call me. You owe it to yourself. I will review your situation and let you know what I can do to put some money in your pocket. If you wait, it could cost you thousands of dollars. I look forward to hearing from you

Real Estate Term: Earnest Money

Realty World — Tue, 26 Feb 2008 19:53:35 -0600

When a buyer and seller reach agreement on a home sale, the buyer typically puts a small amount of money into a trust account.

This up-front deposit is more commonly known as "earnest money".

A sales contract's earnest money requirement will vary from contract to contract. It can be as high as 10 percent of the purchase price and could be as low as $500; earnest money is a negotiable item between buyers and sellers.

Some factors that can influence earnest money amounts include:

Market conditions: Stronger markets often call for more earnest money
Buyer economics: First-time buyers often give less earnest money
Seller psychology: Skeptical sellers often ask for more earnest money

No matter how large or how small, however, earnest money is supposed to give the seller a sign of good faith that the buyer wants to purchase the home.

To this end, earnest money can be forfeited if the buyer later "backs out" of the deal, or breaches the terms of the purchase agreement. Breaching, however, is infrequent.

This is because most purchase contracts are written with buyer-focused "outs" called "contingencies".

A typical contingency is that the seller must provide a clean title policy to the buyer, or that the buyer must secure financing prior to given date, or that the home must pass a satisfactory inspection.

If any of these contingencies cannot be met, the purchase agreement is voided and earnest money returned to the buyer.

When contingencies are met, however, earnest money becomes a deposit and is applied directly to the buyer's bottom line at settlement. If the buyer is expected to have $50,0000 for the closing, for example, the true bottom line is $50,000 minus the earnest money deposit.

Earnest money customs vary from state to state, city to city, and even locale to locale. Be sure to ask your real estate agent and/or real estate attorney for professional counsel before signing purchase contracts.

The earnest money you save may be your own.

Tuesday May Have Marked The Unofficial End Of Low Mortgage Rates

Realty World — Fri, 22 Feb 2008 11:37:25 -0600

For homebuyers and homeowners expecting low mortgage rates this week, Tuesday marked the unofficial end to basement 30-year fixed mortgage rates.

According to the market analysts at BestInfo, Inc., the 30-year fixed rate measured its largest one-day movement in more than 10 years Tuesday.

Nationally, 30-year fixed mortgage rates increased 0.375%.

Here is the "real life" impact to mortgage applicants whose mortgage rates were not yet locked:

$150,000 mortgage: $37 increase to the monthly mortgage payment
$250,000 mortgage: $61 increase to the monthly mortgage payment
$300,000 mortgage: $73 increase to the monthly mortgage payment
$400,000 mortgage: $99 increase to the monthly mortgage payment

ARMs did not move as harshly as fixed-rate mortgages but they still increased Tuesday.

Mortgage rates can change quickly, and often do. Be prepared to lock your mortgage rate and make informed decisions quickly.

The mortgage markets wait for no one.

Why Making A Less-Than-20-Percent Downpayment Is Getting More Costly

Realty World — Thu, 10 Jan 2008 09:56:17 -0600

Why Making A Less-Than-20-Percent Downpayment Is Getting More Costly Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI) is an insurance policy paid to a lender in the event that a homeowner defaults on his home loan. These defaults are up 35 percent over last year, according to an industry group -- bad news for all homeowners requiring PMI with their mortgage. Much like home insurers adjust premiums after a worse-than-expected Hurricane Season, PMI insurers are raising mortgage insurance rate for all homeowners, regardless of credit history. And it comes at a time when PMI is in higher demand. Because second mortgages are not as available as in recent years, using PMI is the only way for some homeowners to get approved for home loans with a less-than-20-percent downpayment. PMI rates are higher than they were six months ago and additional defaults make it likely that PMI rates will rise again in 2008. As PMI rates increase, so does the cost of homeownership for people whose lenders require it. _________________________________________________________________________ Source Mortgage-Insurer Defaults Hit Record Associated Press December 31, 2007. 12:30. P.M. http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/071231/mortgage_insurers_defaults.html?.v=1

Understanding Credit Scoring & Credit Repair

Realty World — Wed, 28 Nov 2007 09:47:13 -0600

Spiro Hishmeh, CEO
Alexander & McCabe Financial

San Francisco, CA - Credit remediation is a subject consumers often face with fear and trepidation, and for good reason. With the exception of recognizing that the best score wins, the average home shopper knows very little about the whole credit scoring process. Sub-prime borrowers who are eager to move into A-Paper territory often find themselves at a loss when trying to find ways to upgrade their credit history. The good news is there are ways to improve less-than-perfect credit scores and obtain a loan for the home you really want.

The first step in the process is making sure that you have a current copy of your credit report. Congress recently amended the Fair Credit Reporting Act so that consumers may now receive one free credit report annually. There are three major credit bureaus: Equifax, Experian, and Transunion. Since entries can vary across bureaus, you'll want to request a free report from each of the three companies. (Go to www.annualcreditreport.com)

It's also important to know just what a good credit score is. Most A-Paper scores generally begin around 680, although this number may differ slightly among lenders. Don't despair if you come up shy, there is always room for improvement. Increasing your score just 5 points can save a significant amount of money. For example, if your score is 698 and you increase it to 703, then you could save yourself thousands of dollars over time as a result of a slight improvement to your loan's interest rate.

While credit repair is necessary for some, it's not the only way to increase your credit score. Even if you have stellar credit, you can enhance your score through these steps:

Evenly distribute your credit card debt to change the ratio of debt to available credit. Let's say you have a credit score of 665. If you have debt on only one card, and four additional credit cards with zero balances, evenly distributing the debt of the first card could move you closer, and possibly into, that ideal bracket.

Keep your existing accounts open and active. The average consumer is usually anxious to close credit card accounts that have zero balances, but doing this can cause them to lose the benefits of a long-term credit history and increase their ratio of debt-to-available credit. The bottom line is don't close those old accounts!

Keep credit inquiries to a minimum. Each inquiry into your credit history can impact your score anywhere from 2-50 points. When it comes to mortgage and auto loans, even though you're only looking for one loan, multiple lenders may request your credit report. To compensate for this, the score counts multiple auto or mortgage inquiries in any 14-day period as just one inquiry, so try and stay within that time frame.

Remember, credit scores don't change overnight. Improving them requires time and diligent effort on your part, so it's a good idea to get the ball rolling at least three to six months prior to submitting your application for home financing.

If credit repair is what you need, you can either begin the process yourself or seek out a repair service. If you decide to make your own improvements, visit as many websites as possible to get information regarding credit laws and consumer rights. Diligently search through them and educate yourself to ensure that you don't sustain any self-inflicted wounds. A good place to start would be the Federal Trade Commission's website, which contains a wealth of helpful literature.

If you're facing severe or complicated credit issues, then you'll probably want to enlist the assistance of a professional credit repair company. Before you do, be sure to familiarize yourself with the FTC's regulations on credit repair. With over 1100 credit repair companies to choose from, it's important to be certain you are dealing with a reputable firm. Examine the FTC's information on fraudulent practices to avoid falling prey to credit repair scams.

Addressing credit issues can be uncomfortable to say the least. But by taking these steps now, you'll be that much closer to obtaining the home of your dreams.

Additional Resources:

To order your free credit report, go to:

www.annualcreditreport.com

To read the Fair Credit Reporting Act, go to:

www.ftc.gov/os/statutes/frca.htm

For the Federal Trade Commission's information on consumer credit, go to:

www.ftc.gov/bcp/conline/edcams/credit/index.html

Protecting Your Credit During Divorce

Realty World — Mon, 29 Oct 2007 11:42:08 -0500

For immediate release October 29, 2007

By Spiro Hishmeh, CEO
Alexander And McCabe Financial
San Francisco, CA - When a marriage ends in divorce, the lives of those involved are changed forever. During this time of upheaval, one thing that shouldn't have to change is the credit status you've worked so hard to achieve.

Unfortunately, for many, the experience is the exact opposite. Unfulfilled promises to pay bills, the maxing out of credit cards, and a total breakdown in communication frequently lead to the annihilation of at least one spouse's credit. Depending upon how finances are structured, it can sometimes have a negative impact on both parties.

The good news is it doesn't have to be this way. By taking a proactive approach and creating a specific plan to maintain one's credit status, anyone can ensure that "starting over" doesn't have to mean rebuilding credit.

The first step for anyone going through a divorce is to obtain copies of your credit report from the 3 major agencies: Equifax, Experian®, and TransUnion®. It's impossible to formulate a plan without having a complete understanding of the situation. (Once a year, you may obtain a free credit report by visiting www.AnnualCreditReport.com.)

Once you've gathered the facts, you can begin to address what's most important. Create a spreadsheet, and list all of the accounts that are currently open. For each entry, fill in columns with the following information: creditor name, contact number, the account number, type of account (e.g. credit card, car loan, etc.), account status (e.g. current, past due), account balance, minimum monthly payment amount, and who is vested in the account (joint/individual/authorized signer).

Now that you have this information at your fingertips, it's time to make a plan.

There are two types of credit accounts, and each is handled differently during a divorce. The first type is a secured account, meaning it's attached to an asset. The most common secured
accounts are car loans and home mortgages. The second type is an unsecured account. These accounts are typically credit cards and charge cards, and they have no assets attached.

When it comes to a secured account, your best option is to sell the asset. This way the loan is paid off and your name is no longer attached. The next best option is to refinance the loan. In other words, one spouse buys out the other. This only works, however, if the purchasing spouse can qualify for a loan by themselves and can assume payments on their own. Your last option is to keep your name on the loan. This is the most risky option because if you're not the one making the payment, your credit is truly vulnerable. If you decide to keep your name on the loan, make sure your name is also kept on the title. The worst case scenario is being stuck paying for something that you do not legally own.

In the case of a mortgage, enlisting the aid of a qualified mortgage professional is extremely important. This individual will review your existing home loan along with the equity you've built up and help you to determine the best course of action.

When it comes to unsecured accounts, you will need to act quickly. It's important to know which spouse (if not both) is vested. If you are merely a signer on the account, have your name removed immediately. If you are the vested party and your spouse is a signer, have their name removed. Any joint accounts (both parties vested) that do not carry a balance should be closed immediately.

If there are jointly vested accounts which carry a balance, your best option is to have them frozen. This will ensure that no future charges can be made to the accounts. When an account is frozen, however, it is frozen for both parties. If you do not have any credit cards in your name, it is recommended you obtain one before freezing all of your jointly vested accounts. By having a card in your own name, you now have the option of transferring any joint balances into your account, guaranteeing they'll get paid.

Ensuring payment on a debt which carries your name is paramount when it comes to preserving credit. Keep in mind that one 30-day late payment can drop your credit score as much as 75 points. It is also important to know that a divorce decree does not override any agreement you have with a creditor. So, regardless of which spouse is ordered to pay by the judge, not doing so will affect the credit score of both parties. The message here is to not only eliminate all joint accounts, but to do it quickly.

Divorce is difficult for everyone involved. By taking these steps, you can ensure that your credit remains intact.

The Truth About the Mortgage Market

Realty World — Mon, 22 Oct 2007 11:47:00 -0500

By Spiro Hishmeh, CEO

Alexander and McCabe Financial

San Francisco, Ca - Subprime mortgages have now been credited for bankrupting well over 110 lenders and seriously damaging operations at many major mortgage firms. They've reportedly wiped out 5 hedge funds, tens of thousands of jobs, and have led to millions of foreclosures with millions more on the way. And, as if that weren't enough, subprime mortgages are also blamed for massive volatility in the stock, bond, credit, futures, and real estate markets here in the US and around the globe. Some say losses in the mortgage securities market alone could reach hundreds of billions of dollars this year.

This means that, for any Americans looking to buy, sell, or refinance a home, they are confronting a very different market from the one that existed just 6-12 months ago.

How did this happen?
The recent real estate boom was fueled by a period of record home appreciation and historically low interest rates. Banks, in order to compete, loosened guidelines and began offering more funding to more borrowers through riskier, non-conforming or "exotic" mortgages.

These ideal lending conditions persisted for several years, supported by high demand, historical real estate data, home prices, and massive trading volume/profits on mortgage-backed securities and other financial instruments on Wall Street.

Then, in 2006, a slowdown in real estate led to a deterioration of home values, an increase in inventories, and ultimately to today's tightening of credit guidelines, leaving many investors unable to sell or refinance out of their existing positions. Many Americans who had tapped into their equity were suddenly tapped-out and overextended as home values fell. Foreclosures followed in record numbers and a re-valuation of mortgage bonds and other financial instruments created the credit/liquidity domino effect we're now experiencing.

Unfortunately, it's going to get a lot worse before it gets better. According to the latest estimates, over 2 million subprime and Alt-A adjustable rate mortgage (ARM) holders will face payment increases of up to 30%-100% when their loans reset in the next 2 to 18 months. These loans make up less than 40% of the total mortgage market, but the negative effects, as we have seen, of increased foreclosure activity can have a ripple effect throughout the industry and around the globe.

What does this mean to you and your mortgage?

Sellers: If you're planning on selling your home, be prepared for an even smaller pool of qualified buyers. While some experts predict a settling of this credit crisis over the coming year, tightened credit guidelines and diminishing mortgage products could knock out as many as 15%-30% of potential qualified buyers. Now is not the time to sit and wait for the best possible price. Have a serious talk with your real estate agent. Having experienced buying/selling transactions in your area, he or she can help you price your home accordingly. He or she can also help ensure that your buyers are pre-approved and stay pre-approved throughout the entire transaction.

Buyers: Get pre-approved by your mortgage professional. While there are a lot of great deals out there, getting credit is becoming tougher and tougher, and it's taking longer and longer to complete a transaction. Remember, what you qualify for today could change tomorrow in a volatile market. For those looking to refinance, keep this in mind. There is no time to delay! Communicate with your lender. Don't do anything that could negatively affect your credit, and make sure you get all your documentation in on time.

ARMs Borrowers: If your ARM is scheduled to reset in the next 2-18 months, you need to schedule an appointment with a mortgage professional right away. Whether your ARM is subprime, Alt-A, or even if you have a pre-payment penalty, don't let a default or foreclosure situation sneak up on you. Did you know that your monthly payments can increase anywhere from 30% to 100% once your loan resets? At the very least, give yourself the peace of mind of knowing what your adjusted payment will be.

Borrowers with less-than-perfect credit: Each week it seems lenders are shedding more and more mortgage products. Many lenders have stopped offering No-Doc loans and are reducing all forms of Stated-Income loans. While it might be challenging, borrowers with credit issues need to see a loan expert. Often they have credit repair resources and other strategies to help you reach your financial goals.

Finally, there's an important concept to embrace: all markets, while cyclical in nature, are self-correcting, be it credit, real estate, stocks, or bonds. For the last 6 or 7 years, real estate was booming and riding high. The correction we're experiencing now - while it seems harsh and could get much worse - is, in a sense, "natural" and directly related to the extremely loose guidelines and perhaps overzealous lending and leveraging during the boom cycle.