Tiffany's Tips and Mortage Matters...

Existing Home Sales Blow Past Expectations

Platinum Funding — Wed, 25 Nov 2009 04:47:33 -0600

Another month, another piece of evidence that the housing market is in recovery. Existing Home Sales surged in October as the nation's homebuyers took advantage of low mortgage rates, low list prices, and, for some, a generous tax credit. Home resales are 23 percent higher versus a year ago and home supply is down to 7 months nationwide. Inventory hasn't been this low since February 2007. The news shouldn't be surprising, however. The same real estate trade group that produces the Existing Home Sales report also publishes a monthly report meant to predict future home sales called the Pending Home Sales Index. Pending Home Sales have been through the roof since mid-May. So, with pending home sales showing no signs of slowing and 80% of pending turning into actual, closed sales, we can expect existing home sales volume to rise in the coming months, too. Especially because Congress extended the home buyer tax credit to include (1) "Move-up" buyers and, (2) Buyers with higher household incomes. It's terrific news for home sellers. The housing market turnaround means higher sale prices and fewer concessions to buyers long-term. To buyers, on the other hand, the news isn't so good. The window to find a "deal" appears to be closing quickly.

Mortgage Rates this holiday week...

Platinum Funding — Tue, 24 Nov 2009 01:02:29 -0600

Mortgage loan markets worsened last week on a mixed bag of economic data. Inflation data came in soft, but so did the start of the holiday shopping season.

For the first time in a month, mortgage rates worsened last week, adding roughly 0.125 percent on conforming fixed-rate products, and a little bit more on ARMs.

Despite rates worsening, there was still some good news for home buyers and would-be refinancers. Mortgage rate volatility was markedly lower than in recent weeks. You could shop for mortgage rate last week and actually take your time about it.

This is in stark contrast to the last month or so over which mortgage rates changed every few hours, on average.

This week, though, because a heavy data calendar is combining with a holiday-shortened trading week, rates aren't likely to stay as tame.

Monday: Existing Home Sales
Tuesday: Consumer Confidence, Home Price Index, Fed Minutes
Wednesday: New Home Sales, Personal Income and Outlays

Each of these data points are market-movers by themselves. In tandem, however, they could really shake things up. Then, at the tail end of the week, markets will react to Black Friday.

If stores look full Friday and initial receipts appear high, stock markets should rise at the expense of bonds, leading mortgage rates higher.

Additionally, expect that mortgage rate changes will be amplified because of low trading volume. This could work in your favor, or out of your favor -- depending on the market direction.

With mortgage rates at such low levels and unlikely to fall much further, locking a rate is advisable. If you choose to float, though, keep your loan officer on speed dial because when rates do rise, they're going to rise quickly.

The 2010 Conforming Loan Limits

Platinum Funding — Sat, 21 Nov 2009 04:05:23 -0600

A conforming mortgage is one that, quite literally, conforms to the mortgage guidelines set forth by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.

Each year, the government sets the maximum allowable loan size for a conforming mortgage, based on "typical" housing costs nationwide.

Loans in excess of this amount are typically called "jumbo".

While home prices increased from 1980 to 2006, so did conforming loan limits. Since then, however, as home prices have dipped, the conforming loan limit has held.

Now, in 2010, for the 5th consecutive year, the government set $417,000 as the nation's conforming mortgage loan limit.

The 2010 conforming loan limits, as released by the government, are:

1-unit properties : $417,000

2-unit properties : $533,850

3-unit properties : $645,300

4-unit properties : $801,950

But conforming loan limits don't apply to all U.S. geographies equally. As a result of various economic stimuli since 2008, the government now considers certain regions around the country "high-cost" areas. In these areas, conforming loan limits can range to $729,750.

Should You Consider A 15-Year Fixed Mortgage?

Platinum Funding — Sat, 21 Nov 2009 03:52:16 -0600

For today's home buyers and homeowners that can manage the higher monthly payments, 15-year fixed rate mortgage rates look attractive as compared to comparable 30-year products.

The 15-year/30-year interest rate spread is near its 5-year high.

Despite lower rates, however, homeowners opting for a 15-year fixed mortgage should be prepared for its higher monthly payments. This is because the principal balance of a 15-year fixed is repaid in half the years as with a standard, 30-year amortizing product.

As compared to 30-year terms, 15-year products repay 3 times as much principal each month.

Versus a 30-year, 15-year fixed mortgages have a few downsides worth noting. The first is that, because 15-year mortgages are heavy on principal and light on interest, homeowners who itemize tax returns may have to claim a smaller mortgage interest tax deduction at tax time.

Another negative is that the sheer size of the payment. If you run into fiscal trouble down the road, the only way to reduce the monthly obligation is to refinance into a 30-year product and that costs money to do.

In other words, be sure you can manage the payments over the long-term before you opt for a 15-year term. If you can manage it, though, the rewards are tangible.

At today's rates, a 15-year fixed and 30-year fixed costs $230 extra per $100,000 borrowed.

Congress Expands And Extends The First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit

Platinum Funding — Sat, 14 Nov 2009 01:05:50 -0600

Congress both extended and expanded the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit program Thursday.

The up-to-$8000 tax credit's expiration date has been pushed forward to spring, requiring homebuyers to be under contract by April 30, 2010, and to be closed by June 30, 2010.

The program's basic eligibility requirements remain the same:

Buyers can't purchase the home from a parent, spouse, or child
Buyers can't purchase the home from an entity in which they're a majority owner
Buyers can't acquire the home by gift or inheritance
All parties to the purchase must meet eligibility requirements

The new law includes some notable updates, however.

For one, the definition of "first-time home buyer" has been expanded to include most homeowners with at least 5 years in their current home. "Move-up" buyers like these are now eligible for IRS tax credits, but with a cap at $6,500.

This means that you don't have to be a true first-time home buyer to claim the "first-time home buyer tax credit".

Other eligibility changes include:

The subject property's sales price may not exceed $800,000
The subject property must be a primary residence
Income thresholds raised to $125,000 for single-filers and $225,500 for joint-filer

And remember, the First-Time Home Buyer program grants a tax credit as opposed to a deduction. This means that a tax filer would receive a cash payment of $2,000 from the U.S. Treasury if his "normal" tax liability totals $6,000 and he was eligible for all $8,000 available under the new law.

Home Prices Lower In August...

Platinum Funding — Tue, 27 Oct 2009 03:20:28 -0500

According to the governments numbers, home values edged lower last month.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency's Home Price Index report shows values down by 0.3 percent from the month prior -- the index's first down month since April.

The Home Price Index is based on the value of homes financed via Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac and, in this sense, the FHFA Home Price Index is more of a "national" real estate index than its private-sector cousin, the Case-Shiller Index.

But like the Case-Shiller, the HPI is as notable for what it specifically excludes as for what it includes. Most notably, the Home Price Index doesn't account for homes meeting any of the following descriptions:

Is considered new construction
Is a multi-unit property
Is financed by an entity other than Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac

Given the resurgence of FHA financing this year, this last exclusion is especially glaring. FHA represents about one-third of all mortgage loans in 2009.

Because of these exceptions, some analysts label the Home Price Index incomplete. The same could be said of every method of home valuation, however. Case-Shiller only collects data from 20 markets, for example.

In light of these shortcomings, therefore, what's most important is to recognize that both of the "popular" home valuation reports show similar patterns -- home prices have leveled and are showing signs of a rebound.

For a region-by-region breakdown of the Home Price Index, visit the FHFA website.

Gas Prices Rise, and so are mortgage rates!

Platinum Funding — Fri, 23 Oct 2009 02:21:28 -0500

With crude oil at its highest levels since October 2008, retail gas is up 8 cents per gallon this week.

It's bad news for home buyers and mortgage rate shoppers. The same force that's driving oil higher is linked to rising mortgage loan rates.

We're talking about the weakening U.S. Dollar which is now at its worst levels versus the Euro in 15 months.

Crude oil is priced in U.S. dollars, by the barrel. When the dollar loses value, more of them are needed to buy the same barrel of oil. As a result, predictably, the price of crude oil goes up.

Now, there are other reasons why crude oil is rising, but the fading U.S. dollar is one of the major ones and it's why we're addressing it.

The dollar has a similar impact on mortgage rates.

Mortgage rates are based on the price of mortgage bonds that -- like crude oil -- are also denominated in dollars. As the dollar loses value, so do mortgage bonds. This causes demand for bonds to drop and prices on bonds to fall.

Because bond prices and bond rates move in opposite directions, mortgage rates rise and this is precisely what's happening on Wall Street today.

Since touching a 5-month low in early-October, mortgage rates have tacked on as much as 1/2 percent, depending on the product. Moreover, with the dollar showing no signs of a rebound, the upward pressure on rates should continue.

Mortgage nightmare | HVCC appraisal regulation

Platinum Funding — Fri, 03 Jul 2009 06:26:44 -0500

The HVCC code of conduct is the result of a legal settlement with the attorney general of New York. It is applied nationwide. And it should be considered a case study in the value of the legislative process: If the HVCC had been a bill introduced into Congress, it would have never passed without having undergone drastic changes. But it wasn’t a bill and it isn’t a law; it’s a legal settlement by one state’s attorney general, imposed on all 50 states.
Every public policy has unintended consequences. But that doesn’t mean that the consequences are unforeseen. Plenty of people foresaw the unintended consequences arising from the HVCC. Because it didn’t go through a legislative committee system, because it wasn’t passed by two houses, and because it wasn’t signed by a governor or president, those foreseeable but unintended consequences could be — and were — ignored. As a matter of fact Cuomo was a paid board member of AMCO, an appraisal management company. His buddy is Ed Davidson (a major campaign contributor of Cuomo) and was the CEO of AMCO, which was sold to SIRVA and renamed Valuation Services, LLC. It is reported that Davison has rights to future income from Valuation Services, LLC. (and I wouldn't be surprised if Cuomo does get a couple of bucks from it either, but that's pure conjecture on my part.)
HVCC was supposed to include Independent Valuation Protection Institute, which is a place to report fraud and coercion. That was never funded so AMCs are unregulated. It was rumored that Ed Davidson was to head the IVPI. As it stands, HVCC is nothing but a profit center for the big banks who own them.

After 18 years in the mortgage industry, I can’t believe that such poorly written legislation is being enforced and the only loser is the consumer. All wholesale lenders have an appraisal review process, there is no way to pay off or entice an appraiser to bring in a value that isn’t supported by comps. If you do the appraisal will be cut and the appraiser will be placed on the black list. AMC’s can just as easily enticed, so how does this solve the so called problem? The bottom line is that consumers will pay 3.8 billion dollars more in appraisal fees this year… What a Gong Show!

How Accurately Did Economists Predict 2009

Platinum Funding — Wed, 01 Jul 2009 05:31:40 -0500

With The Year Half-Over, How Accurately Did Economists Predict 2009

At the start of the year, the "experts" made a lot of predictions about the U.S. economy and what to expect in 2009.

Some said housing would rise
Some said housing would fall
Some said mortgage rates would rise
Some said mortgage rates would fall

And nobody predicted just how big the government's stimulus package would be.

Now, on June 30, with the year officially half-over, it's as good a time as any to remember that people are much better at interpreting the past than predicting the future. Economists can make educated guesses about the future, but they're guesses nonetheless.

It's like watching the Weather Channel. A meterologist can look at the data and say it's going to rain next week, but the forecast is never 100%.

So far this year, mortgage rates have been up and down, credit availability has been higher and lower, and home prices have varied immensely from neighborhood to neighborhood. These are not the types of predictions we get from the pundits.

There's another 6 months until 2010 and there's no reason to expect the current trends to change.

The world is unpredictable and so is the U.S. economy. Therefore, consider making your personal finance decisions based on the information at hand today instead of on an educated guess about the future.

After all, the weatherman's been wrong before.

Why Mortgage Rates Haven't Fallen As Expected

Platinum Funding — Sat, 01 Nov 2008 02:39:07 -0500

When the government nationalized mortgage lending in September, housing analysts predicted lower mortgage rates.

For a brief two-week stint, they were right -- post-takeover, the 30-year, fixed rate mortgage fell below 6.000 percent nationally for the first time in 7 months.

Since then, however, mortgage markets have reversed. Rates are now at pre-takeover levels.

Now, this isn't to say that the nationalization was a failure -- far from it. The government's takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac accomplished two very important goals:

It restored failing confidence in the U.S. mortgage markets
It opened legislative channels for faster, more relevant housing reform

And, long-term, most people agree, these are essential elements for a U.S. economic recovery. Over the short-term, however, the plan has not delivered the sustained low mortgage rate environment that was envisioned.

The biggest reason why rates are higher is because of Wall Street's manic trading behavior. When the economic outlook shows hints of sun, investors sprint to risky stock markets; when it shows signs of gloom, they flee in favor of ultra-safe treasuries. The buy-sell patterns have led to some of the wildest trading days on record and it's not what the Treasury expected.

See, when the takeover was first announced, mortgage-backed bonds were elevated to "government status". This created new demand for mortgage bonds which helped to push down rates. But, in the weeks that followed, the world's credit markets unraveled and traders sought the dual comfort of safety and liquidity in their portfolios.

That's a combination that only U.S. treasuries can provide. Versus "true" government bonds, mortgage-backed securities are just quasi.

We can't know where mortgage rates will move for certain but, for now at least, the 4 percent range some had predicted is out of reach. Until credit order is restored globally, expect volatility to continue and rates to remain up.

How Falling Gas Prices May Stave Off Recession

Platinum Funding — Sat, 11 Oct 2008 02:15:22 -0500

Given the stock market's recent performance, it's not surprising that gasoline's falling prices are garnering very little attention. That doesn't make it any less relevant, however.

Since peaking in July, gas prices are off by 20 percent.

Falling gas prices are an important positive for the U.S. economy because less money spent at the pump means that more money is saved per household for everyday items including food and other staples.

In addition, consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the economy.

Therefore, falling gas prices may lessen the impact of a forecasted recession. Because Americans are notoriously poor savers, the extra cash-on-hand is likely to get spent which will, in turn, push the economy forward through the upcoming holiday shopping season.

So, just as inflation can bad for mortgage loan rates, so can recession. And while recession won't always cause mortgage loan rates to rise, right now, it's one of the factors driving rates higher. Falling gas prices may help keep that scenario at bay.

Pending Home Sales Shows That More Buyers May Be Shopping For Homes Than You Thought

Platinum Funding — Thu, 09 Oct 2008 21:41:26 -0500

Buyers are returning to the housing market.

Each month, The National Association of REALTORS^®tracks homes under contract to sell, but whose closing has not yet happened. It calls them "pending sales" and publishes a monthly report to quantify them.

The Pending Home Sales report is important because it's meant to predict future home sales activity. History shows that 80 percent of homes under contract will "close" within 60 days, and most of the rest will close within 120 days.

If Pending Home Sales are up, it's believed, actual home sales will be up, too.

In August, Pending Home Sales jumped 7 percent from the month prior, returning to levels not seen in over a year.

The report's strength suggests that buyers are returning to the housing market, continuing the trend that started in March. This is tremendously good news for sellers because more buyers on the hunt means more demand for homes which, in turn, leads sale prices higher.

The Pending Homes Sales report is not a perfect predictor, however. For one, it's not measuring an actual sale -- just the expectation of one. In addition, it only accounts for "used" homes, ignoring new construction.

But that aside, the strong uptick in August tells us that home buyers are re-engaging at a quickening pace and finding that "now" is a good time to buy real estate. When buyer demand rises, the real estate market as a whole isn't usually that far behind.

(Image courtesy: The Wall Street Journal Online)

The Impact Of The Federal Reserve's Emergency Half-Point Rate Cut To 1.500 Percent

Platinum Funding — Wed, 08 Oct 2008 23:08:35 -0500

The Federal Reserve made an "emergency rate cut" this morning, dropping the Fed Funds Rate by one half-percent to 1.500 percent.

The move is meant to stimulate the U.S. economy.

When the Federal Reserve changes the Fed Funds Rate, it often takes 9 months for the changes to work their way through the economy.

On a broad scale, therefore, we won't know if the cut truly "worked" until Summer 2009.

But, as it relates to Americans in general, the rate cut spurred two immediate changes.

First, because Prime Rate is directly tied to the Fed Funds Rate, Prime Rate fell by 0.500 percent today, too. That means that interest rates on credit card debt and home equity lines of credit are now lower, reducing monthly interest costs for the majority of American households.

The second change is that mortgage rates are rising today.

The Fed's actions today sparked optimism in some corners of Wall Street and money is now flowing into the stock market at the expense of bonds. Because mortgage rates move in the opposite direction from bond demand, mortgage rates are higher this morning.

As always, mortgage markets and mortgage rates remain on edge. Therefore, rates are subject to change. And quickly. If you see a rate and payment you like, be ready to commit to it because it likely won't last long.

Fannie Mae Halves One Of Its Mandatory Loan Fees

Platinum Funding — Tue, 07 Oct 2008 01:08:57 -0500

In an effort to provide "the most market support possible", Fannie Mae is cutting one of its mandatory loan fees by 0.250 percent, effective immediately.

Fannie Mae introduced the Adverse Market Delivery Charge in December 2007 to offset foreclosure and delinquency losses. The initial fee was a quarter-percent of the amount borrowed.

Then, as market conditions worsened, Fannie Mae doubled its across-the-board loan fee to 0.500 percent in August of this year.

As of today, the fee is back to its starting point.

Since the start of the 2008, Fannie Mae has made 21 separate changes to its mortgage guidelines. Most have been detrimental to borrowers, increasing the difficulty, or the cost, of qualifying for a conforming home loan.

Today's change is among the few that are beneficial.

This morning, mortgage pricing is edging higher because of the looming Congressional vote and Wall Street's reaction to the weak jobs report. The good news is that price changes could have been worse.

Fannie Mae's Adverse Market Delivery Charge flip-flip is keeping rates from rising as high as they might have otherwise risen today.

Looking Back And Looking Ahead : October 6, 2008

Platinum Funding — Tue, 07 Oct 2008 01:06:53 -0500

Congress approved the $700 billion "Bailout Bill" Friday, answering the question that dogged mortgage markets all week long:

Will they or won't they pass it?

The uncertainty prior to the vote created huge market swings that ultimately sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its worst week since the 2001 terrorist attacks, while causing similar damage in the mortgage markets.

Mortgage rates worsened for the third straight week last week.

However, if we take the congressional vote out of the picture and look strictly at last week's data, we would have expected mortgage rates to fall instead of rise.

For example, the economy shed another 159,000 jobs, bringing the 2008 total to 760,000 lost jobs. This reduces the likelihood of inflation and is normally good for mortgage rates. In addition, the U.S. dollar had its strongest week ever against the Euro. This usually attracts buyers to the mortgage bond market, driving down rates.

And third, Fannie Mae eliminated one of its mandatory loan fees. This improves mortgage bond pricing for borrowers, ultimately leading to lower rates.

But, mortgage rates rose didn't fall last week and that shows how deep the economic uncertainty really ran. And this week, with the bill now passed into law, we would expect the market to turn its attention back to fundamentals. But it can't.

Unfortunately, there's no new data for release this week so, in the absence of data, markets should take their cues from the following sources:

The 8 scheduled Fed speakers, including Bernanke on Tuesday
Wednesday's Pending Home Sales report
Persistent rumors of a "surprise" Fed Funds Rate cut

Regardless of to what markets react, though, be prepared for them to react swiftly and for mortgage rates to dip and spike -- often in the same day.

In other words, a mortgage rate quote from the morning is likely to be "expired" by the afternoon so if you see a rate and payment that you like, consider locking it. It likely won't last long.

How Mortgage Rates Responded To The "No" Vote On The Bailout Bill

Platinum Funding — Wed, 01 Oct 2008 03:38:03 -0500

Monday afternoon, the U.S. House of Representatives defeated the $700 billion "Bailout Bill", surprising Wall Street and the world.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average responded by falling 777.68 points -- its largest one-day loss in history and, this morning, every newspaper in America is covering the story as front page news.

Lost in the coverage, however, is how the "No" vote created a terrific opportunity for mortgage rate shoppers.

Yesterday, as money fled the tanking stock market, most of it ended up getting parked in the relative safety of government-backed bonds which includes, of course, the mortgage bonds. This rising demand for mortgage bonds caused rates to fall.

To investors, stock markets represent risk and bond markets represent safety. So, when market sentiment changes, as it did yesterday, Wall Street players often shift their dollars from one forum to the other. This is why yesterday's stock sell-off was good news for mortgage rate shoppers -- the added demand for "safe" securities drove down rates.

Conforming mortgage rates were lower by about an eighth-percent Monday.

Now, today, mortgage rates are opening flat, suggesting that markets are in a Wait-and-See Mode. Wall Streets knows that the defeated bill will re-emerge later this week and, when it does, expect traders to respond accordingly.

If the new-look bill is viewed as favorable to U.S. businesses without harming taxpayers, expect stock markets to improve and mortgage rates to rise. If the bill fails to accomplish that goal, however, expect mortgage rates to improve.

If My Mortgage Lender Fails, Are My Payments Still Due?

Platinum Funding — Fri, 26 Sep 2008 16:42:13 -0500

Thursday, federal regulators seized mortgage lender Washington Mutual. The Seattle-based thrift became the third "big name" lender to close its doors since July, joining IndyMac and Lehman Brothers.

In 2007, these 3 lenders represented about 10 percent of the mortgage market and their subsequent failures are confusing American homeowners.

The most prevalent question:

If my mortgage lender fails, are my payments still due?

And the answer is an unequivocal "yes". If a mortgage lender is seized, goes bankrupt, or is otherwise closed, it doesn't change the terms of the bank's mortgages whatsoever -- just maybe the mailing address.

This is because a mortgage (and its corresponding note) is a legal contract between the lender and the lendee, signed on the date of closing. It is binding and cannot be altered by either party. The only way to "end" the contract is to pay the loan in full.

This can happen in one of 3 ways:

The home is sold and the mortgage is repaid
The home is refinanced and the mortgage is repaid
The home loan is paid down to $0 balance by the homeowners

So, if a mortgage company fails, its doesn't cause the loan to be paid-off and, therefore, the mortgage contracts is still valid. Payments are still due.

However, because its mortgages are an asset, the failed lender will usually transfer them to a new lender's servicing department. This means that homeowners will write the same check for the same mortgage but to a different company.

To reduce confusion around transactions like this, the government puts two safeguards in place. First, it requires the former lender to send a 15-day advance notice of the change to the homeowner. And second, it requires the new lender to do the same.

In situations like this, the onus is ultimately on the homeowner to open and read his mail, and make changes accordingly. It's especially important for people who pay their bills online as opposed by paying them manually; you likely won't get notified if you're sending payments to the wrong place

FHA Makes Homeownership More Affordable -- But Not Until October 1, 2008

Platinum Funding — Thu, 25 Sep 2008 02:06:01 -0500

Earlier this year -- and for the first time in its history -- the FHA changed its funding fees and mortgage insurance structure.

Effective October 1, 2008, it's repealing those changes.

Partly to keep FHA loans affordable, and partly to comply with new laws, the FHA is rolling back its up-front fees and ongoing mortgage loan insurance requirements and replacing them with new ones.

The new up-front FHA loan fees are as follows:

1.750% : All purchase and "standard" refinances
1.500% : All "streamline" refinances
3.000% : All FHASecure programs for delinquent mortgagors

These fees are paid as a one-time cost at closing, and are calculated by multiplying the FHA loan size by the fee. A $200,000 FHA loan purchase, for example, now carries a $3,500 one-time charge.

Ongoing mortgage loan insurance requirements have changed, too. These changes are based on the mortgage loan type and the amount of equity in the home.

15-year fixed with 90% borrowed or less: 0.000% annually
15-year fixed with more than 90% borrowed: 0.250% annually
30-year fixed with 95% borrowed or less: 0.500% annually
30-year fixed with more than 95% borrowed: 0.550% annually

Mortgage insurance premiums are calculated by multiplying the initial loan size by the annual premium. The same $200,000 FHA purchase outlined above, using a 95% 30-year fixed mortgage, would require a monthly mortgage payment add-on of $83.33 until the loan is paid in full.

FHA loans have grown in popularity this year because, while the guidelines of other mortgage loan products have tightened, FHA loan guidelines have remained relatively loose. FHA loans allows 3.500 percent downpayments on purchases, for example, and allows "cash out" refinances to 95 percent.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac do not.

How To Lower Your Mortgage Rate Every Time The Market Dips

Platinum Funding — Sat, 20 Sep 2008 03:10:28 -0500

Getting a great, low mortgage rate is often a combination of luck and preparation.

Consider what happened in conforming mortgages this week:

Monday, mortgage rates plunged to their lowest levels of the year
Tuesday, they bounced back in full
Wednesday, they clicked higher by a eighth-percent
Thursday, they clicked higher by another eighth-percent

And so, here we on are Friday, four days after the best rates of the year, and the mortgage market barely resembles itself. Despite what the papers tell you, mortgage rates are not low anymore.

That's the luck element -- you can't plan for rates moving up and down.

But, if you missed Monday's plunge, and don't want to miss the next one, all you have to do is get prepared. Then, you're waiting for luck when it happens.

There are 4 basic steps to prepare for low rates and the key is to follow them before rates plunge, not during. That way, you're ready to pounce on low rates at the moment they present themselves.

The first step is to contact your loan officer.

If you don't have a loan officer, or your loan officer is no longer in the business, ask a friend for a referral. Do not call the 800-number on your mortgage statement -- you'll almost always get a better "offer" from a live person than from a call center representative.

Next, give your loan officer a complete mortgage application, including a "credit pull". Be honest and accurate and don't worry about the credit check harming your score -- the bureaus protect it for a period of 30 days.

Then, ask your loan officer what supporting documentation will be required to approve your eventual home loan. Whatever it is, gather it and send it in -- either by fax or email.

And lastly, be ready to act when your loan officer calls with the good news. If rates have dipped to lower-than-normal levels, it likely won't last long.

This preparation process is very similar to what home buyers do before making an offer on a home. Getting ready for a refinance is like getting pre-approved, but instead of waiting to pick out a home, it's waiting to pick out a rate.

So, to summarize:

Contact your loan officer
Give a complete application
Gather and submit supporting documentation
Be ready to act

Mortgage rates don't plunge often, but when they do, it's usually short-lived. If you're prepared for when it happens, you can lock in the best mortgage rate available at the best possible time.

It will be your lucky day and you will have been ready for it.

What's Good For Home Sellers Is Bad For Home Buyers : Builders Are Dialing It Back

Platinum Funding — Thu, 18 Sep 2008 23:56:39 -0500

In August, home builders broke ground on the fewest number of homes since January 1991.

It was the 16th straight month in which Housing Starts declined.

But, although the press labels these statistics indicative of a recession, home sellers nationwide quietly applaud them.

With fewer new homes coming on the market, home sellers are finding that there's less competition for buyers, helping them to command higher prices for their homes.

It's Supply and Demand in its most basic form.

But that's not all that home buyers have to worry about. The most recent Existing Home Sales report showed an increase in sales nationwide, plus a reduction in the number of single-family homes for sale.

Again, Supply and Demand. Good for sellers, bad for buyers.

However, we should keep in mind that real estate is local. What we see in national and regional trends are not as important as what's happening in your town, your neighborhood, and your street. But, if we learn one thing from the chart above, it's this: builders are rational.

If homes won't sell, builders will stop building them. And, sooner or later, the market -- and home prices -- will catch up.

Making English Out Of Fed-Speak

Platinum Funding — Thu, 18 Sep 2008 01:36:41 -0500

For the third consecutive meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee left the Fed Funds Rate unchanged at 2.000 percent.

Of interest to mortgage rate shoppers, the FOMC led its press release with comments about the health of the financial and labor markets, calling them "strained" and "weakened", respectively. The relative weakness in both of these areas has contributed to low mortgage rates of late.

The FOMC also noted in its release that, although economic growth has slowed this year, the historically-low 2.000% Fed Funds Rate should foster "moderate economic growth" in the future.

In the wake of the announcement, Wall Street is rallying. Investors like what the Fed had to say and this is attracting money to the stock market at the expense of bonds.

Mortgage rates have given up all of Monday's gains, and then some.

Comparing Payback Periods On 15-Year, 20-Year and 30-Year Mortgages

Platinum Funding — Mon, 15 Sep 2008 03:56:22 -0500

On all principal + interest home loans, the first few years of payments include a lot more money going to interest than to principal.

This is because mortgage loans repayment schedules are front-loaded with interest, meaning large-volume principal reduction won't occur until late in the mortgage loan lifecycle.

Comparing products at a 6% mortgage rate, did you know that after 15 years:

A 15-year mortgage will be paid in full
A 20-year mortgage will have 41.21% of its loan balance remaining
A 30-year mortgage will have 73.19% of its loan balance remaining

Of course, this doesn't mean that 15-year mortgages are better than their 20-year or 30-year brethren. It just means that 15-year mortgages pay off faster.

Yet, there are reasons for homeowners to avoid 15-year mortgages.

For example, versus 20-year or 30-year products, 15-year mortgages require the highest monthly payment because the payback period is compressed to a shorter time frame. In addition, mortgage interest tax deductions to which most homeowners are entitled are reduced on a 15-year product.

So, just because the 15-year pays off quickly doesn't mean that it's best for everyone.

Why The Government's Takeover Of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Is Lowering Mortgage Rates

Platinum Funding — Sun, 14 Sep 2008 00:46:24 -0500

When comparing two investments with equal risk, a rational person will choose the investment with a higher rate of return.

This behavior is called Risk Aversion and is a basic tenet of personal investing.

An off-shoot of Risk Aversion is that a rational person will only invest in an instrument of greater risk if the returns are greater, too.

The chart at right illustrates this concept, comparing return rates on two investments:

U.S. Government bonds
Mortgage-backed bonds

The difference in investment return rates is sometimes called a "spread" and the historical spread between government debt and mortgage debt is somewhere near 1.5 percent.

However, notice how the spread started to grow starting in July 2007.

July 2007 marked the "official" start of the Credit Crunch and as mortgage delinquencies grew nationwide, so did the market's perceived risk of investing in them.

By the start of this month, the spread had nearly doubled.

But that all changed Sunday. When the government announced its takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, it put the same "risk-free guarantee" on mortgage debt that has helped keep U.S. government debt so cheap to finance and the spread immediately shrunk.

This is one reason why mortgage rates fell Monday and why they should continue to stay low over the near-term. With the U.S. government backing the mortgage market, there's no room for the risk premium that helped keep rates high this past year.

It doesn't mean more people will qualify for conforming home loans, but for the ones that do, financing should be cheaper.

Conforming Loan Limits Set To Decrease In Certain High-Cost Areas

Platinum Funding — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 01:59:30 -0500

Conforming mortgages are limited by loan size, based on "typical" housing costs around the country. Since 1980, as home prices have increased, so have conforming loan limits.

The current conforming limit on a single-unit property is $417,000.

Earlier this year, as part of the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008, Congress authorized conforming loan limits increase in "high-cost" areas around the country. In Los Angeles County, for example, a mortgage can be as large as $729,750 and still be considered "conforming".

But beginning in 2009, those increases roll-back. Effective January 1, conforming mortgage in high-cost areas will be limited to $625,500.

Changes to conforming loan limits impact everyone with a stake in real estate, even if their neighborhoods are not considered "high-cost". This is because conforming mortgages offer the widest selection of home loan products, and often at the lowest rates. The widespread availability of conforming mortgages helps to support home sales nationwide ands provide ample refinancing options for homeowners that need it.

Starting with the New Year, fewer people will be eligible.

To lookup the conforming loan limits in your neighborhood, visit the HUD Web site. If you have specific questions related to your home or an upcoming purchase, contact me directly anytime.

Mortgage Rates Fall As The Unemployment Rate Rises

Platinum Funding — Fri, 05 Sep 2008 16:59:59 -0500

On the first Friday of every month, the government releases its Non-Farm Payrolls report.

More commonly called the "jobs report", the two-page analysis examines the nooks and crannies of the U.S. economy to see which industries are hiring and which are firing.

The August jobs report was released this morning and it shows that the U.S. economy shed 81,000 jobs in August.

This marks the eighth straight month in which payrolls declined and puts the annual job loss total at 605,000. The Unemployment Rate jumped to 6.1% -- its highest level in 5 years.

For American workers, this is bad news. But, for American home buyers, the news couldn't be better.

Mortgage rates are improved this morning on weak jobs data.

If this seems counter-intuitive, remember that earlier this year, lingering concerns about inflation in the U.S. economy caused mortgage rates to rise to their highest levels in more than 5 years.

Lately, however, those fears are subsiding and as today's jobs report shows worse-than-expected weakness, it's one more reason for markets to put inflation concerns to rest. With fewer Americans working, there are fewer dollars are available to propel the economy forward, after all.

So, today's jobs data is good for mortgage rates because it reduces inflationary pressures on the economy and as inflation levels fall, mortgage rates tend to do the same.

(Image courtesy: USA Today, The Wall Street Journal)