I thought this was a great article on the impacts of the Cap and Trade law passed by our House of Reps. Please Please Please call your Senators and express your position against this. It's not to late to stop it.

 

Scott Saghirian

Via Nestor & Katerina Gasset Realtors® Wellington Florida Luxury Homes (International Properties and Investments, Inc.):

Real estate is local when it comes to market conditions and market trends. Real estate differs from region to region in styles, architecture and amenities generally speaking. For instance; in Florida fireplaces are not the norm whereas in cold winter areas such as Colorado, fireplaces are a standard addition to a home. In some areas of our country people have wood burning stoves and others have coal burning furnaces. There are areas of our country such as here in Florida where you would not dare live without Air Conditioning but in many homes in Washington for instance, air conditioning is more of a luxury than a necessity.

So when we are discussing the effects of cap and trade in your real estate business you will need to take into account the region in which you live as some areas will be more effected than others. 

Here is a really good interactive map from the New York Times. The map I posted below is the map of the votes in the House for and against the Cap and Tax bill that just passed the House. But if you click on the link of the New York Times map, it is interactive.

cap and trade house vote new york times

 

You can move your mouse over the map and see who voted, what party they belong to and their district. You will be able to see that no matter whether they were democrats or republicans if they are in the farm country of America, high manufacturing areas of America, low energy bills of America and the heartland of America- they voted NO on this bill and for very good reasons. 

"For a household of four, energy costs go up $436 that year, and they eventually reach $1,241 in 2035 and average $829 annually over that span. Electricity costs go up 90 percent by 2035, gasoline by 58 percent, and natural gas by 55 percent by 2035. The cumulative higher energy costs for a family of four by then will be nearly $20,000.

But direct energy costs are only part of the consumer impact. Nearly everything goes up, since higher energy costs raise production costs. If you look at the total cost of Waxman-Markey, it works out to an average of $2,979 annually from 2012-2035 for a household of four. By 2035 alone, the total cost is over $4,600." Heritage Foundation.

You will notice that the states where the votes were yes are also the states that already have the highest energy bills. The states that voted no are mostly states with presently low energy bills.

Instead of calling this to Cap and Trade- We can really call it the Tax On Electricity Bill.

How does this information pertain to real estate agents? If you live in the lower energy pricing states you are going to be seeing huge increases in household energy bills. If you live in states that are coal powered or oil powered you will see the largest increases ever in your energy bills because those energy sources are going to be punished with taxation.

  • How is that going to effect home prices?
  • How is that going to effect movement in and out of your state?
  • How is that going to effect your real estate office utility bills and who is going to pay for this?

The House is at it again. This was a 1,300 page bill and again as with so many large bills was not read by most of those that voted yes or no. What is it that they don't get? The American people expect our leaders to read what they vote on.

So what else is tucked away neatly into this bill that perhaps no one knows the full implications of yet?

How about the Federal imposition and takeover of building codes? Your local planning and building offices will not be qualified for any Federal funding of any kind unless they adopt what the FEDS say is the new energy efficient building standards. This will create higher prices in building new homes which is then passed on the homebuyers and then you as a real estate agent are also effected because less buyers will be able to afford to buy a new home built . Not to mention having to wait for the Feds to come and inspect the builders and the homes.

How about the new Federal Energy Nazis Inspectors who will come and rate your home before you can sell your home. So before you can list a home for sale, the seller will have to wait for the Federal inspectors to come out. DMV lines anyone? Once that inspector comes out, he or she will give the home an energy rating. If the home does not meet the guidelines the seller will be required to do the work necessary to bring the home up to energy standards before they can sell the home! Can we say money? Does that mean that there will be homeowners who will become prisoners in their homes because they can not afford to make the energy repairs that the feds require? Is that an invasion of your privacy as well as an attack on your property rights?

Hmmm, how is that going to effect short sales where the seller has no money to make the repairs and adjustments?

  • How is that going to effect your ability to get listings in a timely manner?
  • How is that going to effect your seller who is about to lose their home in a foreclosure?
  • How is that going to effect the seller who has to relocate for their job?
  • How is that going to effect the estates with heirs having to do these repairs and such when there won't be any money until the estate is sold?

I wonder if our House of Representatives and our Congress men and women EVER thought to actually ask us in the field working this business day in and day out how these bills will effect the housing market?

Of course, the US will be living Cap and Tax while the real perpetrators of dirty air like China and India get off scott free. There will be an unfair advantage in pricing products and manufacturing to the point that if a US company even stands a chance of staying in the manufacturing business will have no choice but to move their company oversees which in turn will cause a massive layoff of people increasing the already high unemployment problem we are facing in our country.

  • How will the unemployment effect your real estate business?
  • How will the unemployment effect the REOs and massive foreclosures in your community?
  • How will the unemployment effect home values as you get more and more vacant properties in your area?

If you are an agent in America's farmland you will begin to see farms no longer being able to produce a profit. Farms use a lot of energy. Energy use will be punished. This is why nearly every politician from a farm land state no matter what party they are affiliated with voted no to this bill. Their districts will suffer terribly. As this happens we will be buying more and more produce from other countries with far less health standards than our own. I don't trust foods, especially produce from China or other countries except Europe. But we don't import our veggies from Europe! 

  • How is this going to effect your real esate business if you live and work in a farm land state?

When it comes down to the nitty and the gritty about this bill you must remember that GE is the biggest supporter of this bill. They stand to make billions of dollars from the passage of this bill. The politicians voting yes on this bill, many of them are getting paid to vote yes. And Al Gore will become the very first GREEN billionaire. It is just too bad that he is not a real capitalist. He could not become a billionaire playing fair and square. Instead, he has an unfair advantage, legislation to make him filthy rich. Not exactly the free market way. It is all about the money.

Contact your Senators now to vote NO now. Click on this link to find your Senators and contact them by email, phone and fax today. Let them know how this is going to effect your business and your community homeowners and buyers. Pass this on...

 

 
Howard County BracI am proud to announce that I have been selected as a new member to the Housing Committee of the Howard County BRAC task force. I am very honored to have the opportunity to serve the community in this way. I promise to work hard to protect the interests of the citizens of Howard County. Especially when it comes to housing issues.

The task force is now entering it's Phase three stage where we will take our initial findings and compare them with the State of Maryland BRAC Report. Our goal will be to reconcile the two reports and look for opportunities and challenges. Our job is to keep the issues in the forefront by communicating them across the region. We will make recommendations to our local and state officials in order to share our perspective and educate them on the local issues and our findings.

In addition, there are other regional organizations forming to address the effects of BRAC on our community. We will also be tasked with a coordination effort with surrounding groups to address all of the issues that BRAC effects. Although I will be focusing on housing issues, other important issues include: Health and Human Services, Education, Transportation, Infrastructure, as well as others.

Many of you have read my previous articles about the Howard County BRAC task force. or the Effects of BRAC on Howard County. For those interested in what's to come make sure you subscribe to my blog or just give me a ring!

 

Howard County Real EstateIt’s Friday so what the heck…

Meet Sam, the ghost who is living in my blog. He showed up a few days ago, and has dropped in a few times since then. Look! He’s smiling so he must be harmless.

As these stories always start…

I never believed in ghosts before, but now I do!

What’s that you are saying?…Sam was visiting you too? Humm….I wonder what he is up to? Don’t worry Agent Saghirian is on the job. For the rest of the story, enter at your own risk.


It was a sunny gloomy Wednesday the 12th when the first mysterious post was delivered to each of my faithful subscribers. It came from my RSS FEED and just had the words “TEST” in it. Since I subscribe to my own blog, I too received the goulish message.

(What is an RSS FEED?)

Spooky I know! Everyone was freaking out!

My wonderful wife, Stacy, called me in horror after Sam visited her. We didn’t know whether to run or hide! Its times like these you really need a contingency plan.

Even her co-worker Randy was spooked by Sam and was able to get a message to us. Randy if you are out there, I hope you are ok!

The chilling thought that we were all involved with some mystery has kept me up all  night afraid to go to sleep. It left me thinking…

What does the message “Test” mean?

Who Sent it?

What is to Come?

Will Agent Scott Get to the bottom of it all?

We now pause for this commercial message. This post is brought to you by The Top Tech Agent.

Subscribe to Scott’s Blog and you too can be visited by Sam.

Subscribe in a reader

 

Then it happened again yesterday. This time we may have gained some more clues. A post that Scott Wrote: Howard County BRAC Task Force|Presentation Summary was resent to my subscribers again! In fact, I think it was sent twice! This was scarier than when Jason was on the Arsenio Hall Show.

Rumor on the street is that it could be related to the local Civil War Hero’s grave search in Elkridge. My second post had a Civil War theme. If anybody wants to pursue that route I suggest checking out the Ghost Tours of Ellicott City. Me, I am afraid of ghosts…And the suspense is killing me!

In the meantime, friends please don’t Panic!

As your Top Tech Agent, I assure you I am following some promising leads to learn more about Sam. My Real Estate Tomato Team is pursuing some avenues too! I can’t jeopardize the investigation so the details are confidential.

If you have any information you are urged to come forward with your story. As always, my business is built upon your referrals. If you are anybody you know needs the professional services of a real estate agent please call me right away. Thank you!

 

Not about Real Estate!These pictures were taken by me last night during the lunar eclipse.

When I first decided to explore the universe of blogging I knew it would enhance my business, and offer an adventure. I spent a lot of time and effort learning about blogging. I have since launched two blogs since December. I even started working for the premier real estate blogging consulting company, The Real Estate Tomato.

The most important thing I learned was that a Blog is the opposite of your typical real estate website.

A Blog is a Moon, not a Star!

A typical website is set up as a marketing piece to attract your attention. It's a virtual brochure with no opportunity to participate. The focus is the agent's experience, service, or listings. The author expects you to revolve around this site as your ultimate source of information. In the solar system of real estate, there is no shortage of "stars" fighting for your attention. In fact, there are so many stars, you can name your own! A Blog is a Moon

A blog revolves around the reader, not the other way around. The reader attracts the blogger by their demand for the truth and a relevant insight to the real estate market. Our future generations expect syndication of information and don't have time to check in for more. Furthermore, as the reader, you can participate and drive the content by commenting and using social networking.

Successful bloggers realize they must revolve around the reader. If they do, the reader will admire their moon, just like we admire Earths.

 
This morning I received the sixth issue of the Maryland Trends in Housing report written by MRIS and Delta Associates. This report provides an in-depth look at the issues that shape the Mid-Atlantic housing Market.

The Housing Trends Report includes an analysis of the following key topics:

  • An analysis of the Washington and Baltimore economy
  • An exploration of housing data, including Residential Real Estate
  • An overview of the Commercial Real Estate market
  • A special section regarding Foreclosures in the real estate market
  • A special section including information about BRAC. (Base Realignment and Closure). See my BRAC Information Page.

In this post I will summarize the analysis of the economy as well as the findings on the real estate market. (Washington/Baltimore Area)

In part two of this series I will summarize the two special sections including the foreclosures and the effects of BRAC to our area. Later this week I will begin my monthly real estate market reports for individual counties and key cities.

 

The Economic Outlook of the Baltimore Region.

A key factor effecting our real estate market is the local economy. The Housing Trends Report indicates that the economic conditions in the Baltimore area were stable in 2007. Key factors supporting this claim are:

  • Unemployment Rate for 11/07 was 3.6%, Down from 4% of November 2006.
  • Job Growth is strong, with Health, Education, and Government being the largest growing sectors.

The chart below illustrates the core industries that support our local market:

Baltmore Core Industries

Economic Outlook of the Baltimore Area

Projections for the Baltimore area economy state the area will continue to expand at a moderate pace during the balance of the decade. Job growth is anticipated to continually increase through 2009 with the Education/Health/Government sectors leading the charge. The financial services sector is also expected to grow at a healthy pace.

The Regional Real Estate Housing Market Trends

In the first three quarters of 2007 home sales posted slower than usual numbers. This declining trend was sharper in the final quarter. Contributing factors to this trend include:

  • The “National Credit Crunch” that began this summer
  • High gasoline prices
  • A decline in Consumer Confidence
  • Opinion: Yet to be factored in is the dramatic increas in Maryland Taxes.

Some Interesting Charts to illustrate the Real Estate Market in Maryland can be seen here:

 

Median Home Prices

The Good News: While the number of sales declined (sales volume), Home Prices Have Remained Stable in most Sub-Markets. This is something we will explore in my forthcoming articles where I analyze particular counties and cities. In the meantime, let’s look at the regional results:

  • Average metro wide prices in the 4th quarter were flat following a rise of 4% in the summer.
  • December home prices were .4% higher than in December 2006.
  • Much of the region, especially those closer to the metro area’s, have been spared from falling home prices. Areas further away have not enjoyed the same protection.

Baltimore Area Home Sales

Regional Market Trends in Housing for Home Buyers and Home Sellers

The table below illustrates the current state of the real estate market for both home buyers and home sellers. Keep in mind these are regional market trends and that you should consult your Realtor® when selling or buying to dig deeper into the County, Zip Code, and Neighborhood that you are selling or buying in.

Maryland Home Buyers and Sellers

New Homes in Maryland

Supply still outstrips demand across the region and our builders are feeling the effects. Eager to sell their inventory we are seeing price cuts, and increased incentives. Some builders are streamlining their inventory management, simplifying their custom finishes available, and revising their costs and expenditures. With buyers in the driver seat and waiting on the sidelines for “the bottom” home builders could bare the brunt of the declining market. Overall, the region remains “over-supplied” with new construction.

This means, it’s a great time to buy a new home! Never get into a real estate contract with proper representation, call me first!

Summary and Forecast for the Maryland Regional Real Estate Market:

The bottom line for our market is that we are doing well considering the national averages and what you see and read. The housing report indicates a healthy demand for housing, supported by sturdy job growth, positive net migration, and a decline in existing home listings and new construction. This should stabilize pricing and lead to an increase in sales activity. They expect that conditions will improve first in communities closer to the metro center where jobs are located by late year or early 2009.

 

After many hours online with AT&T and Top Producer there’s finally a solution for your sync problems.  

Much thanks goes to Top Producer for getting to the bottom of this problem and coming up with a solution with their AT&T Blackberry and the Top Producer Mobility product.

Apparently there were some server changes as a result of the acquisition of Cingular by AT&T that has caused this problem in the Northeast. Proof that the issue is on the carrier side, NOT TOP PRODUCER.

I tested this process and it works for me, so this may be a fix for you. There is one caveat that you must know. In the rare event that Top Producer changes their IP address in the future, you could have this problem again. This is a valid work around for now, and I have been assured that they are continuing to work with AT&T for a more permanent fix.

In the meantime, this is your fix!

  1. Ensure the Top Producer application is ’shutdown’ 
  2. Go to Options > Vaultus
  3. Expand ‘CLIENTSERVICE’ (click spacebar)
  4. Locate ‘AUTH_SERVER’
  5. Highlight and choose ’Edit…’ from the Menu
  6. Record the Value: wirelesssync.topproduceronline.com
  7. Replace the Value with: 206.131.180.173
  8. Choose ‘Save’ from the Menu
  9. Choose ‘Save’ again to exit the Vaultus settings
  10. Exit Options
  11. Turn your device off
  12. Remove and replace the battery from your device
  13. Open the TP application and you should be able to perform an FDR/Sync operation

As always, I welcome comments on your experience and offer my services to those in need of Top Producer Training or Productivity Solutions for Real Estate Agents. Check out my site at www.toptechacademy.com for more Solutions for real estate agents.

 

Torch

I was fired up when Justin Smith sent me my first MeMe.

Here's five things you may not know about me:

  1. Today is my birthday! Cash is great..Links work too!
  2. I hunt deer with a bow and arrow and enjoy camping and hiking.
  3. I Have been with my wife for over 16 years and have two children. Anna (6yrs) Alex (4yrs)
  4. Not only am I a real estate agent but I also consult fellow agents on productivity solutions.
  5. Clues to my fifth thing are peppered in links throughout this post. Yes it hurts.

Now it's my turn to pass the torch to:

Bob Fortner at Raleigh Real Estate Talk

Charles Woodall of Dothan Home Search

Paula Henry at Indy Real Estate Talk

 
 
Crossed013 Rainmaker_large

Scott Saghirian

Ellicott City, MD

More about me…

Keller Williams

Office Phone: (443) 574-1605

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