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"HEY KEN, I HEAR THE REAL ESTATE MARKET IS PICKING UP..."

By
Real Estate Agent with Coldwell Banker Residential

I have had four or five friends say it to me in the last week...

"Hey Ken, I hear the real estate market is picking up."

Hmmmm.

I am not so sure.  I just haven't seen it...

Am I a Negative Ninny?  Perhaps.

But I do watch the real estate market here in Naperville very closely.  I have yet to see the turnaround...

Yes, I heard the news.  Home sales were up in February versus January.  But they were still way down year over year.  Prices were way down too.

Yes, I also know the stock market has rallied 1500 points in the last three weeks.  The market does seem to go up and down a lot...

But I know lots of people are still on the sidelines.  They want to move, but many would be movers simply cannot afford to move in today's market.

They need money for a down payment.  Where will it come from?

The down payment would traditionally come from the equity in their current homes.  That equity is gone for many people.

The real estate market is stuck in the mud.

Someday supply and demand will meet...

But that day is not today.  Hopefully, it will come soon.

But who knows?  Maybe I am just a Negative Ninny...

Ken

A Realtor you can trust.

Comments(17)

Steve Shatsky
Dallas, TX

Hi Ken... I prefer to think of you as my cautiously optimistic friend... you are definitely not a ninny!

Mar 29, 2009 04:13 AM
Steven L. Smith
King of the House Home Inspection, Inc. - Bellingham, WA
Bellingham WA Home Inspector

Somedays I think things have picked up, other days pretty sure they have not. Right now I am pretty busy but it is stop and go.

Mar 29, 2009 04:15 AM
Charlie Ragonesi
AllMountainRealty.com - Big Canoe, GA
Homes - Big Canoe, Jasper, North Georgia Pros

I think what we are seeing is more or less a "normal " Market. And that was a market of a few years ago before things got super heated. Now if the economy picks up housing will to I think. So in a sense we are economy driven now rather than blaming housing for a bad economy

Mar 29, 2009 04:18 AM
Marcie Purcell Associate Broker
Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate Cassidon Realty - Quakertown, PA
Realtor, Bucks & Montgomery Co PA

If the media says it is picking up then people will listen. When they talked about the "bubble bursting" everyone was talking about it. So if we are getting positive statements from the media then it will help. As we know that real estate is local, You will know when your area produces more sales. Keep paying attention so you can spread the word. It is good to be honest to the people in your market area.  

Mar 29, 2009 04:22 AM
Karen Fiddler, Broker/Owner
Karen Parsons-Fiddler, Broker 949-510-2395 - Mission Viejo, CA
Orange County & Lake Arrowhead, CA (949)510-2395

Things are hot in So Cal. Every offer I write has competition! It's been awhile since we've seen that....I'm sure it will get to you too :)

Mar 29, 2009 04:34 AM
Lori Mode
The Mode Real Estate Group - Elk Grove, CA
Real Estate Made Simple

Ken - I watch the market closely in the Sacramento area too...every week I run actives and pendings in all of the areas that I work.  I was shocked when the market started making a turn here!  I thought we were still months away but boy how things changed quickly.  We had an 8 - 12 month inventory in many areas in Sacramento County...we are currently down to a 2-4 month inventory!  We are seeing multiple offers on every bank owned home now...the investors are back big time, but some buyers are still thinking they need to sit on the sidelines.  Unfortunately here those are going to lose out on great deals and will probably jump back in too late.  I don't think we will see our prices increasing drastically and we still do have REO inventory to come on the market, but things have certainly gotten better in Sacramento! Keep watching your market...that's the best thing you can do. 

Mar 29, 2009 04:37 AM
Vanessa V. Simmons
Real Living HER - Columbus, OH
Realtor

Ken,

All I can say is that I have had more activity in the past 2 weeks than I have had all year.  I am getting offers and new clients.  I do believe things are improving in my area.  Thanks for the post.

Mar 29, 2009 04:40 AM
Ken Tracy
Coldwell Banker Residential - Naperville, IL
Helping clients buy and sell since 2005

Hi Vanessa, Lori, Karen, Marcie, Charlie, Steven, and Steve.  Thanks all for reading.

I have heard a lot of activity is happening in California...

And I understand when somebody says they are getting busier the last two weeks...

We are almost into April.  This is the time the market does heat up...

But I just don't think we are out of the woods, yet...

Thanks again,

Ken (aka Negative Ninny):)

Mar 29, 2009 04:46 AM
Connie Lou Barnett
Real Living/Home Realty - Owensboro, KY
GRI,CRS,CRB,SRMM,ARA,PRS,SFR,QSC

We've seen an increase in activity since February.  Certainly hope it continues.

Mar 29, 2009 05:38 AM
Jason Crouch
Austin Texas Homes, LLC - Austin, TX
Broker - Austin Texas Real Estate (512-796-7653)

Ken - Things have been busier here since the new year started, but they are not busy enough for me to mark it as a solid turnaround AT ALL.  I don't think you're being negative, just realistic.

Mar 29, 2009 07:06 AM
Marlene Bridges
Village Real Estate Services, Inc. - Laguna Hills, CA
Laguna Homes|Laguna Condos|Laguna Real Estate

Hi Ken - I've been hearing the same rumblings of hope on the horizon here, too.  But, like you, I'm waiting till we see some the graph that shows the demand surpassing the supply before I break out the confetti.

Mar 29, 2009 08:41 AM
Shirley Parks
Sands Realty 210-414-0966 - San Antonio, TX
Broker, 210-414-0966, San Antonio TX Real Estate

You a ninny? No way.  It is best to be realistic but hope for the best.

Mar 29, 2009 08:55 AM
Larry Bettag
Cherry Creek Mortgage Illinois Residential Mortgage License LMB #0005759 Cherry Creek Mortgage NMLS #: 3001 - Saint Charles, IL
Vice-President of National Production

Dude...life is being infused into the market.  Not nearly what it was last year or the year b/4, but I do see a pulse (albeit a faint one), but it is coming back.....I HOPE....mr. ninny.

Mar 29, 2009 09:01 AM
Ken Tracy
Coldwell Banker Residential - Naperville, IL
Helping clients buy and sell since 2005

Hi Larry, Shirley, Marlene, Jason, and Connie.  Thanks for reading.

Good.  I thought it might be just me...

Yes, homes are selling.  But they are priced well, too.

Thanks guys.

Go Market!

Ken

Mar 29, 2009 11:03 AM
John Walters
Frank Rubi Real Estate - Slidell, LA
Licensed in Louisiana

Negative ninny?  I love it.  Maybe you are just more of a realist?  I do believe it has picked up down here some.  I don't know how long it will last.  Also is it pent up demand from last year?  Don't know.  Keep hustling Ken.

Mar 30, 2009 01:26 PM
JL Boney, III
Coldwell Banker - Columbia, SC
Columbia, SC Real Estate

We have seen an improvement here, but like politics, all real estate is local too. I also won't go so far as to say that we are in a sure turn around just yet, things can be much better.

Mar 31, 2009 06:16 AM
Ken Tracy
Coldwell Banker Residential - Naperville, IL
Helping clients buy and sell since 2005

Hi JL and John.  Thanks for reading.

I do believe there is pent up demand.  A ton of it.

But it isn't popping for me just yet!:)

Thanks guys,

Ken

Mar 31, 2009 08:57 AM