"IT REQUIRES A GREAT DEAL OF BOLDNESS AND A GREAT DEAL OF CAUTION TO MAKE A GREAT FORTUNE." Ralph Waldo Emerson. And last week's headlines contained a mix of items to inspire both boldness and caution. Here are the highlights.

Friday's news showed that consumers are being understandably cautious with their finances, as the Personal Savings rate remained above 4% once again in February and among the highest savings levels seen in a decade. The last five years can be seen in the chart. And notice it wasn't that long ago that the US had a negative savings rate - that's right, as a nation, we regularly spent more than we made.

Meanwhile, the government continues to make bold moves to help our economy. On Monday, Treasury Secretary Geithner unveiled a plan to remove toxic assets from financial institutions by using money from the $700 Billion TARP fund. The government will help mitigate the risk by offering private investors Billions of dollars in low-interest loans to help finance the purchases. Indeed, it's a bold strategy - let's see if it pays off!

And...there's room for cautious optimism on the economy, as good news was noted on several fronts last week. The housing market received good news when both Existing Home Sales and New Home Sales came in stronger than expected. Additionally, Durable Goods Orders for February came in better than expected, showing the first increase in six months, and the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (Core PCE) showed inflation is presently at tolerable levels. Plus, the US Dollar received a boost when China said it will continue to purchase US Treasuries.

Bonds were jostled around mid-week, but home loan rates ultimately ended the week very close to where they began...near historic lows. Give me a call or email me if you want to discuss whether now may be the perfect time for you to add a bit to your own fortune through a smart purchase or refi.

WHEN IT COMES TO YOUR HOMEOWNER'S INSURANCE, GETTING THE MOST VALUE FOR YOUR MONEY IS ALWAYS A WISE CHOICE. CHECK OUT THIS WEEK'S SPECIAL MORTGAGE MARKET VIDEO VIEW FOR SOME IMPORTANT TIPS.

 

Forecast for the Week

 

 

A very important week is in store, with two important announcements due toward the end of the week. As you know, the "mark-to-market" accounting issue has been discussed in this newsletter many times, and this Thursday should be a big day on that front. The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) is set to announce their ruling on whether to modify mark-to-market, and perhaps allow cash flow analysis to determine valuation of financial assets. Not a coincidence, the strength we have seen in Stocks over the past couple of weeks has been fueled by speculation that mark-to-market will be modified, thereby helping reinvigorate the financial system of our country. I will be watching very closely to see what happens and how the markets respond.

On Friday, the Labor Department will release their Jobs Report for March. Last month's report showed that 651,000 US jobs were lost in February, while revisions for the prior two months showed that an additional 161,000 jobs were lost between December and January. Given that last week's Initial Jobless Claims report showed that the number of people collecting state unemployment benefits has reached a record high - jumping to a seasonally adjusted 5.56 Million - it will be important to see what Friday's report reveals.

As you can see in the chart below, Bonds are currently trading between key technical levels, with a ceiling of resistance overhead, and a floor of support underfoot. But remember: Strong economic news - such as a positive change in the "mark-to-market" situation - will likely cause Stocks to rally, and Bonds and home loan rates may worsen in response. Please call me to discuss how the current rate situation may benefit or impact you.

Chart: Fannie Mae 4.5% Mortgage Bond (Friday Mar 27, 2009)

Japanese Candlestick Chart

 

The Mortgage Market View...

 

 

Homeowner's Insurance: How to Get the Most for Your Money

The hurricanes and tornados we have seen over recent years have had an impact on homeowner's insurance rates, but there are several things you can do to make sure you get the most for your money. Check out this week's special video View for some great cost-saving tips.

Source: www.kiplinger.com

 

The Week's Economic Indicator Calendar

 

 

Remember, as a general rule, weaker than expected economic data is good for rates, while positive data causes rates to rise.

Economic Calendar for the Week of March 30 - April 03

Date

ET

Economic Report

For

Estimate

Actual

Prior

Impact

Tue. March 31

09:00

Consumer Confidence

Mar

28.0

 

25.0

Moderate

Tue. March 31

09:45

Chicago PMI

Mar

34.0

 

34.2

HIGH

Wed. April 01

08:15

ADP National Employment Report

Mar

-648K

 

-697K

HIGH

Wed. April 01

10:00

ISM Index

Mar

35.5

 

35.8

HIGH

Wed. April 01

10:30

Crude Inventories

3/27

NA

 

3300K

Moderate

Thu. April 02

08:30

Jobless Claims (Initial)

3/28

653K

 

652K

Moderate

Fri. April 03

08:30

Average Work Week

Mar

33.3

 

33.3

HIGH

Fri. April 03

08:30

Hourly Earnings

Mar

0.2%

 

0.2%

HIGH

Fri. April 03

08:30

Non-farm Payrolls

Mar

-656K

 

-651K

HIGH

Fri. April 03

08:30

Unemployment Rate

Mar

8.5%

 

8.1%

HIGH

 

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Goran Jovanovic

Hallandale Beach, FL

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YOUR World Class Realty Team,Keller Williams Elite

Address: 20801 Biscayne lvd. Suite 101, Aventura, FL, 33180

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