For years now we have heard all about the changes in our real estate industry from Lending issues, inspections, forms and disclosures, the marketing of properties, lead generation, you name it it has changed.

In a comment to Lenn Harley, I suggested a new definition of this change. Change is when something happens that you didn’t want to happen but must now adapt to it ( as in, just live with it). Some have wished that we could continue to do business the way we used to do business. The answers that come opposed to that recent way of thinking and doing things are from those that were able to adapt and take advantage of modifying their business and doing it early.

At the time of the sub prime crisis, many were faulted and to head off the possibility that this scenario of runaway home prices could happen again, the entire system of lending basically collapsed and is being refashioned not necessarily by those that would be the mos skilled at it.  Along with the lending underwriting changes, another segment of the industry not always thought of as the one segment that actually facilitated the ballooning of property values has also been modified. The appraisal.

Not to leave a single stone unturned, in May of this year,  new rules were put in place to make sure that appraisers do not facilitate an inflation of values from getting out of control again. Or so that is the way the changes are being justified.

The appraisers were as a group charged with having been too greatly influenced by lenders to facilitate values to get the deal done. Well not any more. In making the new changes much more onerous than the older much easier to understand lending guidelines, appraisers were said to have a “too cozy” of relationships with lenders and that must now be prevented. The appraisal was always by definition to be an arms length estimation of value, and the arms length part seemed not to be long enough. My image immediately went to those shorter furry animals that often walk with their hands. They have long arms.

Just how that is too happen was the subject recently of Real Estate columnist Kenneth Harney’s article  on what the new appraisal rules mean to the industry and the consumer. What are the expected and unintended consequences of these changes?

In as much as the appraisers had that “too cozy” relationship, it was decided that lenders must now choose from a pool of appraisers on a rotating basis instead calling on their trusted relationships with known appraisers of the past. In the arbitrary selection process, it is thought that there will no longer be any possibility of strong arming by the lender to have the appraisal “ came in”, a term that implied that the value the Buyer agreed pay  would be the value that the appraiser would also see minimally as the estimate of value.

Kenneth points out several of the unintended consequences of these new appraisal guidelines as released by Fannie Mae. Since lenders are no longer directly involved with the appraisal process, the fees now have to be charged up front and can no longer be just a part of the loan costs at settlement. That now takes the form of the Buyer having to supply a credit card payment up front. The appraisal fee that used to cost $325 now goes for in the range of $450. That adds up to a 20 to 30% increase in costs for the consumer to pay for the same service that might not be performed as well.
Kenneth further noted that we should not assume however that this increase in fees paid actually benefit the appraiser, it often goes to new appraisal management companies that facilitate the processing of the appraisal assignment and management including the processing costs.

If this sounds like we added another new layer in the real estate transaction, if it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, not much use in thinking of the possible exceptions like its a goose with a bad cold. Since these management companies decide what the fee will be and job out the actual appraisal and they handle the management and requirements of the who, what, and when, you can expect that their costs will over time escalate and be justified that their costs are higher and the appraisal cost will go up as demand goes up, just like other services. Whoever thought all this up is definitely overpaid.


As independent contractors and to protect the profitability of the new management companies, there is also the likelihood that new appraisers who might work for less will push the more seasoned and experienced appraisers out of the business.

The real unintended consequence of these type of changes is a greater likelihood that appraisers will not be familiar with the uniqueness of the local areas and will not be as capable of making the correct adjustments. Appraisers that typically worked certain areas and were expert in valuations may be a thing of the past. And that happened over night. Talk about unintended consequences.

So lets recap this. In the past, local real estate professionals knew better than most anyone what the value of property was in the neighborhoods they specialized in. Not anymore if the stories coming in are correct. We based our estimate of value with our Seller's it on comparable sales with adjustments for particular characteristics or even unique area characteristics and our opinions of value had most often been validated by knowledgeable appraisers. Those days, may also be over. Now, we must relearn what the respective value is from persons that may never have even been in any particular area before. And don’t go taking it out on the appraisers, they most likely had very little influence in these changes.

Oh and as for those thinking that you can share ( influence)  with the appraiser what you think they don’t know, better think twice before doing that. I am sure you don't need to ask why.  Ahh, the unintended consequences of change.

 
Post is included in group: True Mortgage Professionals
Post is included in group: Real Estate Trends
Post is included in group: Local Expert
Post is included in group: Diary of a Realtor
Post is included in group: Addicted to Active Rain

18 Comments on The Unintended Consequenses of Change

MAY
29
5 Featured Posts Outside Blog Hit Router

William - I have been having a tremendous problem with this new system.  I think sellers are being hurt by this, as they don't know what price they will be able to sell their home for until right up to the end, when the inevitable "review appraisal" takes place.  In my experience, someone who may not even be in my state reviews the appraisal and makes their own adjustment.  That's all the bank will now lend.

buyers are left in the cold, after apending upwards of $1,000 on inspections and appraisal, only to find they cant get their loan because of the review appraisal.  To rebut it costs them more money.  The old system of having a local appraiser who knows the market validate the purchase through close and timely comps worked very well.  What we have now is a nightmare.

7:40pm • #2
659,029 Points 145 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

William - I haven't had an issue yet with these changes, but know folks who have. I think we will see more difficulties, perhaps more than expected. I have heard stories of appraisers from different counties apprasing property - how can they possibly do a decent job?

Jeff

7:52pm • #3
365,508 Points 63 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Hi Cynthia, You picked up on that. So if it AIN"T broke, lets fix it anyway.

8:17pm • #4
118,484 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor

Hi William - It does seem that whenever there is a major problem that does need fixing, the Congress or state legislators go a bit overboard with the fix, throwing the baby out with the bathwater (to coin a phrase).  I practiced law for many years and my clients were constantly getting caught in a net intended to catch the unscrupulous.  They couldn't understand why, as good and trustworthy folks, they were prevented from doing things that would benefit their families, and thought there should be an exception for honest people. 

I had to explain that the particular law was supposed to stop fraud, but was probably overreaching.  Nothing I could do about that except to recommend that they write to their legislators to modify the statute.  We can all do the same when we start learning exactly where the roadblocks are in the latest laws and how they could be smoothed out without letting the crooks back in.

8:24pm • #5
365,508 Points 63 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Hi Sally, I Have as well. I am about to start another round with 3 new escrows and I would predict some won't work. A quick run of the comps used to give us a range and we could pretty much tell. All bets are off this time. The consumers will pay more and get less. We haven't heard the end of this as yet, it is in fact really just kicking in so when enough people get upset and spent wasted dollars on reports and due diligence, another election will be rolling around and someone will get the message it needs fixed. Regretfully it takes a long time to fix things once they aren't broken.

8:30pm • #6
365,508 Points 63 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Hi Jeff, the comedy will be when the appraisal management companies start exporting the appraisers jobs to online representatives in other countries. Hewwo, I prise yo home, ho begsit? tomuch, yes?

8:36pm • #7
316,481 Points 40 Featured Posts Outside Blog

William--I had a conversation with my loan officer about these changes not too long ago. I often wonder if the attempt to protect the public sometimes makes things more difficult in the long run. In reality only a few bad ones were causing the bulk of the trouble but now the whole system will change. Only time will tell if things will be better.

8:44pm • #8
346,619 Points 9 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

It looks like they came up with a poor solution to the problem.  I have had a couple of appraisers who had no idea what the local market was like... it is quite frustrating.  Fortunately, thus far all the appraisals have "come in".. on my deal so far... but I hear horror stories all the time.

8:44pm • #9
365,508 Points 63 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Hi Susan, I really appreciate it when you drop over. I share your insight into these kinds of issues. Most lenders and most appraisers were never involved  in the too close for comfort or the short arm appraisal. Yet the guidelines seem to focus on the few  and then penalize the many with rule changes that while maybe well intended, weren't considered with guidance from that those that would know. They certainly didn't seek the advise or counseling from those that do this professionally  for a living. They more often create the guidelines in some sort of a vacuum. It would not be so bad if they had run a vacuum cleaner over the solution, at the least the sucking sound you hear would be the paper it was written on and not money form consumers wallets :-).

8:47pm • #10
365,508 Points 63 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Hi Teri, Yep, Sounds like the unintended consquences of change. Yes?

8:55pm • #11
365,508 Points 63 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Hi Joan, I am sensing that perhaps Zillow would be a better alternative. They are not allways close in value but they also don't overcharge for the service. Maybe the seller should get to choose which poison dart they want to stick in their eye, LOL.

8:59pm • #12
569,667 Points 59 Featured Posts Outside Blog

William, with qualifications going down it does seem like with appraisers we will get what we pay for. Sad, but true.

11:06pm • #13
360,025 Points 18 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

William,

Even before we were getting calls from appraisers, who had no idea of the values in a particular location or type of property. Were we influencing them? I guess first time in their career.

Take a condo-hotel. I would just enjoy watching them do the appraisal. But I understand that our enjoyment would now cost us the sale.

11:30pm • #14
365,508 Points 63 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Hi, Gary Regretfully we will not will consumers get what we pay for. That principle went out the window with the stimulus package. We will pay more and get even less and the worst part is their is no accountability.

11:34pm • #15
365,508 Points 63 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Hi Jon, I think you really got that right. It is not just that might lose the sale, it is yet another betrayal of the consumer that has assumed that those that are hired are fully competent and are ready to preform for the money they charge. Of that  money for the appraisal fee, It is being split between the worker bee (the appraiser who now gets less by the way) and a 3rd entity that doles out the business for a percentage of the fee ( maybe even the biggest part of the fee)

11:39pm • #16
JUN
02
498,116 Points 52 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

You know I am with you on this one, BIG TIME!  Am I the only one who wonders (a) how much stock the people who implemented this own in AMCs and (b) thinks it may not be a coincidence that our inventory (which has been very very controlled by the govt) issues (lack of) and HVCC implementation has some very odd timing.

8:03pm • #17
JUN
08
164,808 Points 14 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

I completely agree, it's a shame that it's come to this and we are all paying the price. ironically, here in Austin, we have a fairly good market, flat and with small losses in some areas but the new appraiser rules and regs are complicating things. Nuff said!

11:54pm • #18

This blog does not allow anonymous comments

 
Cimg0031_3 Ambassador_large

San Diego Real Estate Voice authored by William Johnson

San Diego, CA

More about me…

RE/MAX Associates

Address: 4747 Morena Blvd. Ste 200, San Diego, CA, 92117

Office Phone: (858) 487-6975

Cell Phone: (858) 487-6975

Email Me

Clicky Web Analytics

Clicky



Links

Archives

RSS 2.0 Feed for this blog

Find CA real estate agents and San Diego real estate on ActiveRain.