Everyone Wants a Lower Price, But What About the Impact of Interest Rates?

When shopping for a home, the natural tendency of any buyer is to want to pay the lowest price possible. It's important to keep in mind, however, that the sales price is not the only factor that determines what your monthly payment will be. In fact, the impact of higher interest rates can easily nullify any benefit of waiting for a lower price.

Why Should I Rush to Buy?
While you may have heard discussions in the media about the decline of property values in many markets, the rate of decline appears to be stabilizing.

That being said, it would not be unreasonable for you to want to hold out for an additional decline of 10%, hoping to capture the best possible price. However, as property values have declined in many areas to 2003 levels or lower, waiting longer to pull the trigger could be a mistake. Many markets are reporting that lower property values have been bringing out investors and the result has been multiple offers on many properties. Properties priced correctly are not declining and, in fact, are creating a lot of interest.

Interest Rate Complacency
The problem is that many home buyers have been lulled into a sense of complacency because of extremely low interest rates. Since the Federal Reserve initiated its program of buying mortgage-backed securities, which control the rates people pay for their home loans, rates had been range bound, bouncing between 4.50% to 5.00% for a 30-year fixed-rate loan.

But do not be confused by this. These rates are artificially low! Historically, interest rates have been above 6.00%. And any rate obtained below this number is a great deal, especially on homes with price tags from 2003!

Markets are Unforgiving
The last two weeks of May showed just how unforgiving the markets can be for people who choose to procrastinate. In just five days, interest rates from many lenders increased anywhere from .50% to 1.00% as fixed-income investors demanded more for their money.

For anyone who was waiting for prices to drop even more, a 1.00% increase in your interest rate would bring a higher monthly principal and interest payment on a home, even if the price of that same home had fallen an additional 10% in value.

If you're waiting for home prices to fall even lower, be aware that while holding out for a lower price may help you win the battle, you could lose the war in terms of monthly payments and overall affordability. With the Federal Reserve scheduled to end its buying of mortgage-backed securities this year, rates only stand to go higher for those that wait. In fact, interest rates are already on the rise and could go higher from here.

Clock is Ticking on Free Money
If you, or someone you know, is planning on purchasing a home this year, be aware that you must take possession before 12/01/2009 to be eligible for a tax credit of up to $8,000. In a survey conducted in March by Move.com, nearly 50% of home buyers are currently unaware that this free money exists in the marketplace. And since over 50% of all buyers are first-timers in today's market, this could impact a lot of people who aren't in the know.

If you have questions about this update, email or give us a call at 678-648-5626. I can show you how waiting for the lowest price could really cost you more in the long run.

 
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34 Comments on The Price of Procrastination

JUN
05

When advising buyers I always try to help them understand that a homes purchase price is only one of several factors they need to consider when calculating affordability.

10:04am • #1
115,580 Points 1 Featured Post

Jon, I couldn't agree more!

10:25am • #2
150,427 Points 4 Featured Posts

I have a client who needs a price reduction now. 12 showings and no scond showings. I have used this argument before and successfully. Thanks for the reminder.

10:32am • #3
178,248 Points 13 Featured Posts

Historically interest rates have averaged about 9.5%.  It will not surprise me one bit if we see mortgage rates between 8-12% in the next 2-3 years due to inflation.

10:35am • #4
238,847 Points 5 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Darrell,

I could not have put it any better. You are right, with these rates beiong so low and government printing so much money I predict rates will start back up pretty soon.

10:51am • #5
180,869 Points Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

This would be good to reblog...Oh guess not.  Good post on procrastination.

11:03am • #6
115,580 Points 1 Featured Post

Rebecca, I have updated the post to allow for reblogging.

11:10am • #7
182,481 Points 1 Featured Post

If only we had a crystal ball.....I generally tell buyers, if you find the right house and have to and or want to move and you can afford it then go for it. It's too crazy to try and "figure out everything and time it correctly". I always like and live by the , "if you snooz, you lose attitude!"

 

Patricia Aulson/Portsmouth NH Real Estate

11:11am • #8
140,938 Points 22 Featured Posts

Hi Darrell!

We all know that these interest rates can't last forever, if any longer then thay already have. I know it's time to buy if you want to, but a lot of people are hesitant. I don't think we will see a market like this again for years to come. 

-Lisa

11:13am • #9
608,782 Points 59 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

either I am losing my mind or....

the ReBlog was not here a minute ago... so I wrote a post with links to your post.  I was coming back to say I woulda Re-Blogged you....

I see in the comments now.  You should get a lot of Re-Blogs.  I will Re-Blog it in a few days despite writing about it.  There are just so many quotes you can do in a post...

11:32am • #10
3 Featured Posts Outside Blog

I am definitely reblogging this. I am taking 1st-time Buyers out tonight who need to write a contract asap in order to qualify for state bond money, in ADDITION to qualifying for the stimulus $. So far, five homes that I've called on to make appointments have gone under contract. All while the interest rates are increasing!

12:06pm • #11
Outside Blog

Great Post... Here in Canada, interest rates have reached historical lows, and buyers enjoyed watching as they just kept on dropping.  This week... a whole change in plans.  Every mortgage broker I know has been e-mailing me to let me know that the fixed rates (5 year) are likely to start going up, and soon.  This is great news to know for buyers, because they need to get off the fence and into an interest rate that can be held for them, to get them into their next home.

Bernice Dubon with Royal LePage Solutions in Calgary Alberta

www.yourhomeincalgary.com

 

 

12:10pm • #12
Outside Blog

Very informative blog!  I just re-posted!

My oldest son is 25 yrs. old and I've been telling him what a good time it is to buy.  His generation is going to be in for a shock in the upcoming years.  They've all been growing up in a completely different environment than what I had at his age....13%-18% interest rates!  They better buy now!

12:14pm • #13

Thanks so much for such an informative and true blog! You're so right when you say people will wait for a reduction without ever thinking about the interest rate.  I, like Michelle, remember the high interest rates. We bought our first house in the early 80s and thought 12.5% was pretty good. When we later got a rate around 8.5%, we thought we'd died and gone to heaven. This is a really good teaching tool for the first time buyer as well as those waiting for "the bottom." Thanks again. 

Margo Currie
12:36pm • #14

Darrell:

Excellent blog.  I tell my buyers this over and over and they still seem to prefer waiting for lower prices.  Great point about the 10% drop in value and a 1% increase in rate.  That will cost them more in principal and interest. 

Inflation, which is inevitable in the next few years, is going to drive the rates up.  We could go back to those 1970's rates in the teens!

Barbara

www.realtyquest.com

Barbara Altieri
1:02pm • #15
160,948 Points Outside Blog

Great post.  There are so many consumers that are going to lose out on a great time to buy and they are still hanging in the shadows.  There are many who get it but still some that wont, this article that you have written explains this well.

1:05pm • #16
381,870 Points 3 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Darrell: Great information.. Interest rates can make a difference in the monthly payment. The interest rates have actually gone up a little over the past few weeks.. I have on buyer that just lost a lower rate..

1:08pm • #17
115,580 Points 1 Featured Post

Barbara, you are right. With the Fed dumping billions of dollars, inflation is a reality sooner rather than later. 

1:13pm • #18
175,636 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Darrell, great reminder to those who have been "on the fence."  We all know that low rates can't last forever; and the government's hinting at 4% rates to come has only caused some to lose out.  Anyone who needs and can afford a home should buy now.

1:25pm • #19
1 Featured Post Outside Blog

Darrell- awesome post and very well put- I am going to reblog your post so my Buyers can see it!

3:12pm • #20

Darrell - very timely blog post!  I just penned one the other day about time running out on the Tax Credit.  I'm going to reblog as well!!!

Brian.

3:13pm • #21
115,580 Points 1 Featured Post

Brian,

I don't think a lot of buyers realize that the credit is good if you take possession of the home by 12/01/09.

3:48pm • #22
1 Featured Post

Darrell,

Thanks sooooooooooooo much for addressing an issue that has had LOTS more play time this past couple of weeks (at least in my corner of the RE world!).

People are always in search of that all-important lowest price/best deal, which I totally support. However, if in search of the lowest price they forfeit those historically low interest rates, what have they actually gained??? Hmmmmmmmmm.....I think we all know the answer!

Always great to get a mortgage expert's perspective on this!

Thanks!

Edith Schreiber - Dallas, Texas 

8:21pm • #23
169,825 Points 6 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

Thanks for sharing this. It is important for buyers to know that they can't wait forever, that things will change after awhile. The message - get going while the going is still good, otherwise if you wait too long, you will have missed the boat!

8:48pm • #24

Thanks for stating again that anythnig below 6% is amazing!

 

You are right! Now is the Time to Buy!

 

Happy Selling, Alisa

Alisa Stone Herring, CRS, GRI
Stone Real Estate Group
Broker/Owner
850-596-2456 Cell
www.thebeachpeach.com

"The Georgia Peach that Sells the Beach"

10:00pm • #25
255,129 Points 2 Featured Posts Hit Router

Hi Darrell -- You are so right.  Delaying and contemplating can cost one dearly if things don't turn out well.

10:45pm • #27
3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor

Jon, I couldn't agree more!  I've had buyers coming out of the wood work over the last few weeks, as the interest rates start to climb.

11:01pm • #28
181,155 Points 1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

I remember three years ago (or for that matter one year ago) when I would talk to prospects about listing.  But they wanted to wait for the market to go up a little more, or thought is would bounce back . . .

11:31pm • #29
351,468 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

This is exactly the discussion I have had with several people lately.  It's very well written and clearly presented.

11:53pm • #30

Great post.  I'm incorporating a lot of these ideas into my first time homebuyer class.

11:54pm • #31
JUN
06
315,948 Points 8 Featured Posts Outside Blog Hit Router

We still have way too  many buyers hanging around, waiting for a "steal" that might never come. They could lose out here.

11:46am • #32
Outside Blog

Thanks for the post. Buyers wants a 'steal' is just waiting for another buyer to steal their dream home! :)  Enjoy your weekened

11:53am • #33

As the saying goes, "Make hay while the sun is shining". The sun is ABSOLUTELY shining brightly in the sense that you've got all the ammunition you need to address buyer or seller hesitancy right now. We can't let fall roll around with potentially (okay, probably) higher rates, missed government incentives and seasonal slowdowns all hitting at the same time. While talented agents will still succeed in addressing urgency this winter, why not address it now when your toolbox has much sharper tools in it? Super post Darrell.

6:25pm • #34
JUN
07
1 Featured Post Outside Blog Hit Router

Darrell. Great points. 1% on the loan amount is worth more than a decrease of a few thousand dollars in purchase price. When you put scenarios on paper...it usually takes the Buyers off of the fence.

1:53am • #35

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Darrell Walters

Newnan, GA

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Integrity Mortgage Funding

Address: 395 Millard Farmer Ind Blvd, Suite A, Newnan, GA, 30263

Office Phone: (678) 648-5626

Cell Phone: (678) 326-0417

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