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What's REALLY going on in the Los Angeles real estate market.

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Metro Life Homes RS-78439 / BRE #01708344

The media is always on the real estate subject.

Up through the end of last year, it was all doom and gloom coverage.  Since the beginning of this year it has been about signs of recovery.

And of course the media has the highest amount of expertise with what is really going on in the Los Angeles market, right?  

WRONG!

I work as a Realtor 12 hours a day, 7 days a week.  I've been working that many hours for the last 2 years.

I'm in the trenches, working the neighborhoods, doing the showings, opening and closing the escrows, writing the offers, seeing the inspections and appraisals, and sharing/networking with all the other WORKING full time agents.

I hardly ever use the word "guarantee", but I guarantee you this - NO ONE KNOWS THE LOCAL REAL ESTATE MARKET BETTER THAN A WORKING, SEASONED REAL ESTATE AGENT!!

Not your cousin who's a tax accountant, not your best friend's massage therapist who bought a condo last year, not an investment broker, not someone who is a renter / non-homeowner, and certainly not the media.

So here goes.

As far as the Los Angeles market, I can tell you first hand, by the amount of offers I am writing and the level of activity I see at open houses and the amount of multiple offers I am seeing on properties now that WE HAVE HIT BOTTOM - NOT NOW BUT ABOUT 3-4 MONTHS AGO.

In certain pockets and in certain price ranges, WE ARE ON FIRE!!  Ask ANY seasoned, WORKING agent and they will tell you it's all about multiple offers on properties right now, especially in the $500,000 and below markets.

In fact we're just starting to see a little sprinkling of increase activity in the $1 Million and over market, but not anywhere near the amount of activity in the $500k and below.

DO NOT LISTEN TO ANYONE WHO IS TELLING YOU "THE MARKET IS GOING TO CONTINUE TO FALL". 

Take it from a soldier in the LA trenches - if they are telling you this, then they have their head up there behind and are blowing hot air at the same time.

THE "WE'VE HIT BOTTOM" BELL HAS RUNG, PEOPLE - ABOUT 3 MONTHS AGO

Comments(3)

COMPASS PALM SPRINGS | Stewart Penn
COMPASS - Palm Springs, CA
COMPASS Palm Springs - Broker Associate

Ralph - I admire the courage of your conviction - Good for you!

However, I'm not totally convinced we've seen the bottom of this extraordinary cycle in Real Estate. I'll feel far better when we the banks get their act together - they need to clear their books of their foreclosures more efficiently, and they need to start lending on a consistent basis.

Jun 24, 2009 05:30 PM
Ralph Gorgoglione
Metro Life Homes - Palm Springs, CA
California and Hawaii Real Estate (310) 497-9407

Stewart,

I think the banks know alot more than we give them credit for, or what they are allowing us to know about their formulas and intent for the real estate market.

At our last company meeting, there was a consensus that banks are holding back quite a few foreclosures in order to maintain the prices on their bank-owned properties.

And this information is coming from reputable sources and affiliates.

By the way, did you land Joan Rivers yet?

If you do, you MUST introduce me to her.  I'm a HUGE fan.

If you don't, I'll find you, shove a rat in your mouth, and sew your lips shut.

Have a great evening.

Toodles...........

Jun 24, 2009 05:54 PM
Jim Hale
ACTIONAGENTS.NET - Eugene, OR
Eugene Oregon's Best Home Search Website

Can't speak for LA, but up here we have a hot market in 1300-1400 sqft, 3/2 & family room---almost solely due to the $8000 credit. 

But if you need to sell something over 1800 sqft, you are months away from bottoming out.

Jun 24, 2009 06:42 PM