As noted in this blog over the last several months prices are starting to creep upward.  Nothing  dynamic but the prices are solidifying the base that has been in effect since November, 2008. 

There will be some sideways but the worse is over.  In fact it has been reported recently that appreciation in Ventura County stands at 5.8% since the beginning of the year.  You will note on the chart above that one should expect an 8.7% increase for 2009.  In 2010 the appreciation will increase to 17.9%.

The two things needed for the real estate market to really explode upward are new job creation and a significant decrease in unemployment (neither of will happen for a few months).  Why?  Taxes and added government cost to employers via health care coverage.

There needs to be another element in play before real estate gets it legs and that is consumer confidence which at this time appears to be getting positive.

For complete article go to:  www.venturacountyretalk.com

 
This post has been included in California Real Estate News Ventura County, CA Real Estate News
Post is included in group: Real Estate Tomato Bloggers

5 Comments on The Elephant Is Moving.....

JUN
28
2009
114,733 Points Localism Sponsor

Yes, according to the Fed the bottom was in January but depending on the area some hit bottom sooner and some later, that is probably an average.  I'm glad we are nearly out of the woods.

12:27pm • #1
1,441,740 Points 43 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

I remain positive and expect modest gains for the next few years. .

12:28pm • #2
259,893 Points 2 Featured Posts

Now if only we could get the media and general public to believe these numbers.  Here in the Phoenix area we still have disbelieving buyers that think they can low ball everything only to get beat out by serious buyers.  Some buyers are starting to intimate that they may wait for the market to cool off a bit.  What they'll be waiting for are increased prices.  But, this is why we have the boom and bust cycles in our markets.  Joe Six Packs always get in late, run up the prices just before the crash, then get burned when the smart money starts to sell off.  The guys on Wall St. know this and that's why they win.  Best of luck to you.

12:43pm • #3
JUL
05
2009
112,053 Points Localism Sponsor

I personally believe we need to get this information to the media....those reacals started this slide anyway.  I wish I could hand feed them the good information so they don't major on the negative.  I think it is called "making news".

12:41am • #4
Outside Blog

It will be nice if we are coming out of this problem.  There are rumors that Alt-A's  are starting to default. That with short sales and foreclosures--could keep us in this mess for a bit longer.  I hope the rumors are not true.

1:09am • #5


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John Duffner

Santa Paula, CA

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John Duffner's Real Estate Inc

Address: 633 N. 9th Street, Santa Paula, CA, 93060

Office Phone: (805) 525-3417

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Focus on Ventura County weekly real estate with some commentary of National Real Estate activity.


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