Alan is a heck of a mortgage professional and always has his finger on the pulse of what's going on in the mortgage industry. Herewith, an interesting post....
Via
Alan Gross (National City Mortgage):

How Low Will Mortgage Interest Rates Go?
In early December 2008 the Treasury Department "leaked" a plan that it was considering to lower mortgage interest rates. On December 16th the Federal Reserve (FED) dropped its target for the Federal Funds Rate from 1% to between 0 and 0.25%. In addition the FED pledged to use "all available tools" to fight the current downturn in the economy. Based in it's statements the FED plans to keep interest rates at "exceptionally low levels: for some time to come.
The effect of these actions was to move mortgage interest rates lower. They bottomed in mid January before rising a little bit through the end of February. Interest rates then started moving down again and by mid March they reached a low point which held relatively stable through May 27th. Despite predictions that interest rates would move lower, on May 27th the market panicked and rates shot up peaking on June 10th. Since that time the trend in interest rates has been moving down.
So where are we headed? The other day Mark Zandi, chief economist with Moody's Economy.com, changed his forecast slightly. He had been leaning towards an interest rate of 4.5 percent by the end of the summer. Now, "4.5% seems increasingly less likely," Zandi acknowledged. "I'm hoping rates move back to below 5 percent in the next few weeks."
As we have seen in the past predicting the movement in mortgage interest rates can be a tricky business. For those who are considering buying a new home or refinancing their current mortgage it appears this summer will a good time to accomplish either.
Call me with any questions you have concerning the current market.
To keep up with the trends in interest rates you can visit my Daily Market Report at www.mtg-info.net/DailyMarketReport.
I am always available to answer any questions you have concerning interest rates or mortgage loans.
Whether your looking to buy or refinance, call me today. I'm here to help. The best place to reach me is at my home office 301.353.9360. You can also email me at mtginfo@aol.com
Alan Gross Home Office: 301.353.9360 Email: mtginfo@aol.com Web: www.mtg-info.net
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