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Study: Distressed Commercial Real Estate Doubles

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner

According to a bloomberg article written by David M. Levitt based on a study by Real Capital Analytics Inc., $108 billion worth of commercial real estate is now in default, bankruptcy, or foreclosure.

The report cites that at the end of June there were over 5,300 properties in distress.  This is more than twice the number identified at the end of 2008.  According to a report put out by the AP, banks held approximately $1.8 trillion in commercial real estate loans.  Jon D. Greenlee, the Federal Reserve's associate director for banking supervision and regulation, said that 7 percent of those loans were considered delinquent, almost twice the rate of a year earlier.

CNBC's Diana Olick is reporting that Richard Parkus of Deutsche Bank noted that commercial values have dropped 35-45% across the country and that this decline will complicate refinances moving forward.  Does that sound familiar to the residential market?

The common denominator is that both residential and commercial real estate markets are suffering from asset declines which in turn is applying significant pressure to bank's balance sheets which is resulting in a deterioration of the credit marketsThe deterioration of the credit markets then feeds back to the broader economy.  

Contrary to Jim Cramer, the declines in real estate values are ongoing.  The further asset values fall, the larger this economic and banking crisis becomes, Mr. Obama.

 

Comments (3)

Jim Crawford
Long & Foster - Fredericksburg, VA
Jim Crawford Broker Associate Fredericksburg VA

Great post.  It is my understanding that the next "tsunami" in real estate is commercial real estate.  The issues in commercial real estate will also dwarf anything we have see in residential real estate and sub-prime.  The banks, the government are in this together.

Jul 09, 2009 11:41 AM
FN LN
Toronto, ON

The economy needs to improve considerably before real estate values will show significant improvement in the USA.

Jul 09, 2009 06:20 PM
Mark MacKenzie
Phoenix, AZ

Jim:  Thanks.  The hits just keep on coming.

Marc:  I respectfully disagree.  The housing market can lead the way to an economic recovery.  The problem is that Obama's ideology is blocking legislation that could have a meaningful and positive impact on the housing market - the Tax Reform Act of 1986.  There is a lot of money on the sidelines, it simply has no incentive to be invested.

Jul 10, 2009 01:55 AM