With all of the talk about a housing bottom, I thought I would point out a small little statistic that the media continues to overlook...home values are still falling.  And they are still falling in all four regions that the NAR tracks. 

Specifically, the median home value fell by -15.0% in the Northeast, -5.9% in the Midwest, -7.1% in the South, and -28% in the West.

According to the most recent NAR existing home sales report, the national median home value fell -15.1% from July of 2008 to July of 2009. 

Here is what the year over year percentage change in the median home value has looked like over the past several months according to the NAR:

Jun 2008:  -6.1%

Jul 2008:  -7.1%

Aug 2008:  -9.5%

Sep 2008:  -9.0%

Oct 2008:  -11.3%

Nov 2008:  -13.2%

Dec 2008:  -15.3%

Jan 2009:  -14.8%

Feb 2009:  -15.5%

Mar 2009:  -12.4%

Apr 2009:  -15.4%

May 2009:  -16.8%

Jun 2009:   -15.4%

Jul 2009:   -15.1%

While the argument can be made that the "pace" of home value declines is slowing, and there are plenty of people who will try to make that argument, those same people need to also account for the fact that the pace of foreclosure filings just set a new record in July, according to RealtyTrac.  The trend is for deeper and prolonged property value declines in the absence of a real housing stimulus.

 

 

 
Post is included in group: The Ninety-ninth Percentile
Post is included in group: The Economics of Real Estate
Post is included in group: Realtors®
Post is included in group: Most Active ActiveRain Blogging Agents
Post is included in group: Dedicated Bloggers

4 Comments on NAR: Home Values Fell -15.1% Year Over Year In July

AUG
22
211,025 Points 1 Featured Post Outside Blog

Prices did drop over the last year, but prices were artificially inflated anyway, so I think houses are now priced accordingly and the increase in the volume of sales shows that to be true.  

11:31pm • #1
AUG
23
601,898 Points 80 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Everyone is doing cartwheels, but they are not looking at the trends.  Overall fewer sales than even before the peak in the market, lower home prices, and most of the sales are still foreclosures and distressed pricing.  Not good for homeowners.

8:59am • #2
178,248 Points 13 Featured Posts

June:  Good points, but the problem is that there are now tens of millions of homeowners that owe more than what their home is worth.  This number is likely to increase over the next two to three years.  It presents a significant headwind to the banking system and broader economy.

Jim:  This is great news for buyers, but terrible news for homeowners.  There are only about 2 million people each year that buy a home for the first time.  There are tens of millions of homeowners, and banks, being negatively impacted by this.

3:54pm • #3
AUG
24
601,898 Points 80 Featured Posts Outside Blog

You are so right. I would hate to be a seller in this market.

8:18am • #4

Leave a response…



(optional)
What does the graphic say?
 
Rainmaker_large

Mark MacKenzie

Phoenix, AZ

More about me…

Mark MacKenzie Real Estate Planning

Office Phone: (480) 600-0330

Email Me

Click on the book covers to order a copy of these books from Amazon.com








Links

Archives

RSS 2.0 Feed for this blog

Find AZ real estate agents and Phoenix real estate on ActiveRain.