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Okay, the name for this new bill may not be as catchy as "Cash for Clunkers" but you gotta love it:

Home Ownership Moves the Economy(HOME) Act of 2009.  HR 2801 was introduced by Howard Coble (R-NC).

It would continue the current tax credit for first time homebuyers set to expire on December 1, 2009, with a couple of notable changes:

  1. Income restrictions would be removed
  2. Buyers do not need to be first time buyers

Okay, everybody, all together now "SHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH". For those of us who decided not to take a vacation in October and November to handle the "rush" of people trying to beat the deadline, this will squash that idea.

Who will rush to buy if they are going to extend the credit anyway?

People like my kid.

She is a potential first time buyer who makes way too much money to qualify and gets KILLED each year paying income tax. She may be jumping off the fence when she reads this.

And people like her are much more likely to help the economy (they have more disposable income).

Wait a second, didn't I suggest this very same idea in this post?

Also written today: How 15 Year Mortgages Could Save the Economy

Written by Janet Guilbault, Mortgage Banker/Broker based out of the San Francisco Bay Area

 

 
Post is included in group: LOANS
Post is included in group: Mortgages
Post is included in group: Realtors®
Post is included in group: The Ninety-ninth Percentile

178 Comments on New Bill Seeks to Extend (and Expand!) the Home Buyer Tax Credit

AUG
25
2009
Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

I am looking forward to anything that will stimulate our economy - bring it on

4:06pm • #1
760,046 Points 62 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Janet -  I actually don't think by extending the program it will necessarily slow the market down here in Phx (and yes re is local).  I love the idea of no income caps and more than just 1st time home buyers being ok to buy and receive the credit.  We are seeing multiple, multiple bids on the lower end and we really don't have enough homes for all the potential buyers.  Every day one of my agents tells me they're up against 10 bids or the other day 27 ******** bids.  It's kind of crazy.

Shhhhhhhhhh - not so much.  Here they should buy as soon as the can as prices went up 8% - just heard that figure today.  And happy to hear so.

4:37pm • #2
107,978 Points 8 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

You DID suggest that very thing in your post!  I guess that means you should run for public office - as if you didn't already have a stressful job.  Well too bad, it 's your public duty to take your forward thinking ideas and pound them into the heads of bureaucrats.

7:02pm • #3
1,342,603 Points 16 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Janet,

Be careful. Very few things the government "gives" are actually desirable. The market will improve with or without this based on other factors. :)

Steve

7:36pm • #4
1 Featured Post

If this bill passes, I think it's great that they open it up to others besides 1st Time Homebuyers. 

7:37pm • #5
1,225,116 Points 262 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Janet...

But if buyers already have a house, they will have to sell that house so there is no decrease in inventory, so I don't see any overall benefit with regards to the number of houses on the market.

7:38pm • #6
178,357 Points 108 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Richard: I would think this would move inventory sitting at the other end of the market: those higher priced properties that have not sold.

In our market there are first time buyers who did not move because they made too much money. (Problem solved)

What are we trying to do anyway? Decrease inventory? Increase buyers? Or get dollars churning through the economy?

7:47pm • #7
178,357 Points 108 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Terri: Me too. I think none of us realize the pent up demand that exists beyond the first time buyer market.

For a year, its been all about first time buyers. What about everyone else out there?

7:49pm • #8
178,357 Points 108 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Steve: Okay, if you read my posts you know I do not believe in the manipulation of markets. I would prefer that the tax rebate END.

But I said from day one, if there is going to be an incentive, it should not just help people who are first time buyers.

Honestly? Lower end home market is the one place that needs NO Stimulation. I am sure all of you out there getting multiple offers from investors and first time buyers would agree...that market is over stimulated.

7:51pm • #9
178,357 Points 108 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Wendy LOL.

I have suggested that ActiveRain could be a pretty powerful political platform with all of these opinated people around.

PS I also predicted these things long before they happened:

  1. The end of stated income loans
  2. The shutting down of equitylines (told everyone to get their money out but few listened to me)

 

7:55pm • #10
178,357 Points 108 Featured Posts Outside Blog

A Banana: Same story here according to my Realtors. The lower end is over stimulated, no doubt about it...that will cause prices to rise every time. Good old economics 101, you know?

It will be interesting to see what happens if the incentive goes away.

7:57pm • #11
178,357 Points 108 Featured Posts Outside Blog

A Banana: Same story here according to my Realtors. The lower end is over stimulated, no doubt about it...that will cause prices to rise every time. Good old economics 101, you know?

It will be interesting to see what happens if the incentive goes away.

7:57pm • #12

Last winter, before the $8,000 FIRST TIME homebuyer tax credit was finalized there were rumors that it was going to be $15,000 tax credit for ANY homebuyer. Remember when your mom said "if it sounds too good to be true - it is"?? Well, don't hold your breath, and take my other advice I've been giving out (free) for months - " Stay Healthy, Work Hard, Save Your Money".

8:01pm • #13
100,981 Points Localism Sponsor

I think we need to notify out Congressmen and Senators to support the extension of this credit!

8:04pm • #14
697,427 Points 35 Featured Posts Outside Blog Called Shot Master

Janet - In my opinion this is great news, especially for those who don't qualify as a first time home buyer or don't meet the income restrictions, I have a few of those clients right now.

8:15pm • #15
120,496 Points 9 Featured Posts

For those of us who decided not to take a vacation in October and November to handle the "rush" of people trying to beat the deadline, this will squash that idea.

JG - I just booked a cruise to Cabo about two weeks ago in October before they announced the bill.  Great timing for me!! LOL  All kidding aside, I actually think that the tax credit is helpful for our national real estate market.  I just hope that future inflation stays in check here in the US. 

8:25pm • #16
343,303 Points 10 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

I hope this proposed bill doesn't just end up being a teaser like the last that started at $15,000 for all buyers. That went south pretty quickly.  Back then, I had non-first time buyers who decided to wait until Congress made its decision on the tax credit because they thought they might be included.  They paused their search until they found out the credit was for first-timers only. 

The very least Congress must do is extend the present credit because it happens to be one thing that is working.

8:37pm • #17
247,768 Points 7 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Thanks Janet, I agree it should be extended and offered to all buyers I know a number of people on the fence about selling their home and buying  a new one and this would give them the incentive.

How about some North Carolina!!

8:44pm • #18
622,286 Points 21 Featured Posts Outside Blog

And I thought I was the only one that was working hard because I want to close as many homes before December as possible.

8:51pm • #19
298,188 Points 5 Featured Posts Outside Blog Called Shot Master

Hi Janet ~ I'm a little sceptical myself. These ideas were floated last time round when the economy was in lousy shape and didn't get anywhere. Why would they be more successful in an economy that is actually already showing signs of improvement? Doesn't make a whole lot of sense to me...

 

Plus...Aren't we out of cash for ideas like these??

 

Denise

 

9:00pm • #20
254,681 Points 4 Featured Posts Outside Blog Hit Router

income limits? If you make more than 95k single or 190k as a couple you shouldn't need the government to stimulate your home buying. But I do agree with allowing more than first timers to take the credit.

9:02pm • #21
1,254,259 Points 242 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Janet- Since the government has been clueless and disconnected for many years- I hope that they start to listen to us, the people. This is a good bill and it is one that I hope that does pass. It would be nice for once to send an email to pass a bill instead of vote against a bill for a change! ;) Katerina

9:09pm • #22
1,254,259 Points 242 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Janet- Oops, next thought: The tax credit for all incomes would boost the housing industry like we have not seen for a while! IT would be incentivizing those with money to get into the buying game and that is what we need. Also, they should remove the capital gains on investors who buy and keep the houses for at least 3 years or 5 before they sell. They should also incentivize them to get into investors to get into rentals to help some of these really dumps that some of these condo projects have turned into.

9:11pm • #23
288,572 Points 38 Featured Posts Outside Blog

I have mixed feelings - it may help some. Will the drive be less for buyers now if they know it will be extended? Does someone making $250,000 a year need $8,000 when they are buying a $750,000 house? Sure its nice, but is it necessary? And I always still wonder how to help the upside-down home owner that would love to sell . . . lets help them move some real estate! :)

9:48pm • #24
148,461 Points

I can't see extending beyond spring of next year.  I believe first time home buyers push the market, as they allow the present homeowners to move up and buy another home.    If you put a deadline on the credit, it will push potential buyers to get out there and buy. For homebuyers in the high end of the market, I can not see the tax credit making that much of a difference.

9:57pm • #25
130,108 Points Localism Sponsor Attended Rain Camp

I don't like the idea of extending it.  If they do I would like to see a phase out period. i.e 8k for dec 2009 7K Jan 2010 6K Feb 2010 etc.  This would keep the momentum into the spring.

10:10pm • #26
167,986 Points 7 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Interesting concept about the decreasing phase-out comment. I very much agree with the addition of upper income buyers AND addition of more than 1st timers. The present homeowners who need to sell could use a boost because of the decreasing values.

10:17pm • #27
302,485 Points 69 Featured Posts Outside Blog Hit Router Called Shot Master

Janet:  It's amazing, isn't it?  The mere hint of a new program whips up real excitement and gets many many people talking ... and considering the possibilities that exist for them within it, whether potential buyer or industry professional.  That's all positive. 

As you point out, there may be some negatives involved and problems to still be worked out ... but if it provides stimulation to the economy and helps move sales ... is that not what we are after?  First-timers will still find the assistance they need if this comes to fruition and as stated here ... this is one incentive that has been working. 

Thanks for the info ... and let's hope that we hear a positive conclusion to this story. 

10:26pm • #28
178,357 Points 108 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Oh, you guys never fail to impress me with your comments. Now you have me thinking about so many different angles.

Barbara, you said this:

The very least Congress must do is extend the present credit because it happens to be one thing that is working.

I would ask everyone if there were NO tax incentives for buying a house this year, don't you believe first time buyers would have come out in force ANYWAY?

I do.

They have FHA loans, they have super cheap properties, and they have super low interest rates. And the most important advantage they have over everyone else is this: NO BAGGAGE from a prior real estate transaction.

So the question is not "did it work?" It is this: how much better did it work than what would have happened without a tax incentive.

10:44pm • #29

I'm going to keep my fingers crossed...Anything to keep this economy going...The market has shown some positive signs the last couple of months and it would be great to keep that going...Dec 1 first in my part of the country the market usually stinks any ways and with the next wave of foreclosures on its way, we need all the help we can get!

10:56pm • #30
178,357 Points 108 Featured Posts Outside Blog

DK: Oh, I am jealous of you taking that cruise.

I am not convinced they are going to continue the incentive. Look at Cash for Clunkers. Over and done.

Michelle: That is why I mentioned my daughter. I thought from day one that having the income limit  was not the way to go.

If we are trying to stimulate consumer spending you first have to stimulate someone that has discretionary money to spend. That is not a first time buyer who makes $75 a year.

Pat, you said: "Well, don't hold your breath"  I agree. I would not advise my clients to slow down if they want the credit. Could still be their last chance.

10:56pm • #31
178,357 Points 108 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Denise, you wrote this:  ..Aren't we out of cash for ideas like these??  

 

 I think we were out of cash before we had the idea to give it away to first time buyers.          

10:58pm • #32
178,357 Points 108 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Michelle: I think investors are doing their thing and cleaning up foreclosures. I am not convinced we need a tax incentive. If the tax incentive goes away, what would happen if the economy continued to show signs of life?

Don't you think they should wait awhile before giving away more money?

11:08pm • #33
546,166 Points 11 Featured Posts

Hi Janet -- Say it is so, say it is so, say it is so.  I'm clicking my heels -- hey...wait a minute...I don't have any...but if I did...I would click them!

11:39pm • #34
890,123 Points 20 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Janet I would still encourage those first time buyers who want the tax credit to to delay, you never  know if it will be extended.

11:41pm • #35
1,302,965 Points 313 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Janet - well I think it would be a good thing, adn I am not convinces that people will then wait. There are plenty of folks, if the first time buyer requirement is lifeted, that will be interested in buying, especially if the rates remain favorable. Lots of ifs, of course, but I see it as a good thing. Let's hope.

Jeff

11:47pm • #36
1,004,751 Points 36 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

It might stop the current rush, but I agree, it would also bring in a whole new influx of buyers.  Also, in our market, it's tough for a first time buyer as there's a lot of competition in that price range, and it would take the pressure off to buy a house, any house, that many buyer's aren't reacting to very well.

11:50pm • #37
530,937 Points 4 Featured Posts Outside Blog

It's good to hear that they are looking to extend this program. Would be nice to see it open up to more people. Not just the first timers ( also classified as someone who has not owned in 3 years )

11:55pm • #38
AUG
26
2009
721,941 Points 47 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

I suppose I will be the only voice of decent here, but enough is enough already.  The deficent spending has to STOP.  This isn't free money, it's MY money and YOUR money.  ENOUGH already.

12:14am • #39
118,025 Points 1 Featured Post

Well just how are we going to fund this extension???  Geez, Louise, we are bankrupt now. 

 

 

12:28am • #40
686,678 Points 83 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

What are the chances of it passing??  Can you keep us posted?  THANKS!

12:38am • #41
210,049 Points 1 Featured Post Outside Blog

It;s the law of big numbers - it would lead to more transactions - and help the economy with the multiplier effect.  Also helps the economic mood - if expectations increase, people will spend more = self fulfilling prophecy.

Thanks for the intellectual stimulation, Janet.

12:51am • #42
501,458 Points 1 Featured Post Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Having this tax credit has saved 2009.

There will be a small dip in November whether it is extended or not...demand has been accelerated not created.

If it is simply extended, it will be very helpful and will eventually trickle up the price/square footage ranges.

 

If it is expanded to all incomes and all buyers, it will light a fire for awhile...in demand and then in price.

In a matter of months, maybe a year, it will have sparked demand-pull inflation helping push home prices to a level that will make it that much harder for the median-income family to afford a house. (They already cannot afford one in my market.)

Then we will have another nationwide market problem -- not just in a half dozen states.

Only at that time, the government will have used up all its possible tools....and pushed its own credit even farther past the breaking point.

 

"Yes" to extending ...and then phasing out.

"No" to expanding.  It might help us, but only temporarily.  The rest of US cannot afford it.

1:03am • #43
1 Featured Post Outside Blog

Whether they extend the tax credit or not, buyers need to get off the fence because home prices have risen significantly.  At least they have in Los Angeles.  The tax credit won't off set the increase in prices.  I tell my clients it's best to buy low mainly because of California property taxes.

1:38am • #44

Bring them on, I'll skip any vacations to get deals dome and closed. I also have a fence sitter who is a single professional woman who would move much more quickly is she wasn't income excluded.

5:21am • #45
768,692 Points 60 Featured Posts Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

I'll gladly give up my December vacation to write some business.

Let's all hope this bill gets passed and the economy gets back on track much sooner than anticipated.

Congratulations on the Featured Post!

5:39am • #46
137,236 Points 5 Featured Posts

I think the government may have finally realized that if they don't do something on December 1st, the real estate market was going to come to a screeching halt!

6:02am • #47
1,016,767 Points 25 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

No income limits will certainly help control the inventory a lot quicker.

6:18am • #48
848,632 Points 153 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

First of all I agree it will allow those second home buyers to move up and decrease the inventory. WE have higher inventory in the higher inventory. If the seller thought they would get a credit...it will help them defer the cost of moving up and get over the downside of selling.

First time home buyers have always dominated the market. They would buy anyway. I haven't seen that much stimulus in our area with first time homebuyers.

 

6:29am • #49
376,903 Points 85 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Janet, I've been having a sneaky feeling that the government might just be clued in and try to extend the thing.  I agree with Missy, the changes could help us begin to move some of the more expensive homes that have been sitting.

8:08am • #50

How did this country get to this point?  What happened to good old All-American ingenuity and taking care of ourselves and each other at the grass-roots level.  Why do we think every time there is a problem, we need the federal government to bail us out?  We got hood winked by Roosevelt's New Deal and thinking that his program brought the country out of recession.  It didn't - it actually caused the recession to last longer.

Do we think the federal government has some secret stash or a source of income that doesn't come from our tax dollars.  Guess what folks - the more the federal government does the more we owe and the less liberty we enjoy.  Come on - we're Americans, we know how to take care of ourselves and each other.  We need to let things work themselves out and handle issues at the state and local levels and get the federal government out of our business!!!

8:27am • #51
395,027 Points 35 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp

Janet:

Other senators are also working to have the tax credit extended and possibly increased.  I wrote about that in my blog last week.  Among them are Senator Johny Isakson and Chris Dodd.

I don't agree with those who say we do not need this incentive. The housing market has been the largest factor behind the economic crisis and we are still not out of the woods.  Senator Isakson, the original author behind the $15,000 tax incentive last February, was behind a similar bill in the 80's and that one seemed to have worked.  I know that the government has been throwing a lot of money at our financial problems and that can be a dangerous situation, but I think there is some soundness behind these programs that will help to breathe more life into the housing market.  I think a $15,000 incentive for all buyers would cause a surge in sales next year and would be a great boost to the economy.

But, then, I am not an economist -  I am a real estate agent. 

8:55am • #52
268,741 Points 2 Featured Posts Called Shot Master

I'm not convinced that sharing this information is the best thing for the market. I look at the first government program that had to be repaid, then the 8000 that doesn't. People will just wait and see if something better comes along. Why not take advantage of the tax credit that we know instead of a tax credit that might not happen. The focus of our government right now is healthcare.

9:11am • #53
342,896 Points 19 Featured Posts Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

I don't think the chances of this passing are good. I would love for it to pass - I just don't see it happening.

9:11am • #54
510,455 Points 25 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp

Janet, We have had so many questions from first time homebuyers as to whether the bill will be extended or not.  It will be quite interesting to see just how all of this plays out.

9:11am • #55
167,144 Points 3 Featured Posts Called Shot Master

I'm a little torn about whether I'd like to see something extended to non-first time buyers but if it does happen I like the idea of a slow phase out along with a possible income based phase out rather than strict cut-offs for both.

One thing that I'm not sure is being discussed is the possible flooding of the market if non-first timers get a credit. I'm sure there are lots of sellers sitting on the sidelines waiting for the market to improve before selling. This might be just the thing that would motivate them to put their current house on the market. Not sure if the benefits would outweigh this.

9:17am • #56
178,357 Points 108 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Alma, you wrote this:

home prices have risen significantly

You are in California, like me. Yes, I would agree prices are up...they are going to go up if you have 27 bids on one house. Investors and first time buyers are fighting for cheap houses.

But prices are not up for everyone who is sitting at the upper end of the market. That's because we only stimulated the lower end. Investors are getting in on the action with cash because they took it out of the stock market. They are flipping and selling to first time buyers who have an incentive.

You also have banks dumping foreclosures in this market in far greater numbers than the more expensive homes.

 

9:38am • #57
291,720 Points 5 Featured Posts

Janet: Thanks for the update. I appreciate it. We shall see what happens. I think alot of what passes will be predicated on where our economy is at that point. I expect it to still be a little soft so think something will replace the current credit. Keep me posted! Thanks again!

9:53am • #58

I hope they do extend it. I think it is a great idea to help move as many homes as possible. Let's pass this one!

10:18am • #59
260,424 Points 10 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Janet - This is great news. I hope the legislation gets passed and while it may cool off the pressure from some of the first time homebuyers, I know plenty of recent sellers who would definitely jump on this - you just never know when they'll say "enough now" like they did with the cash for clunkers deal.

As soon as the Cash for Clunkers passed, my Dad ordered a Prius with intent to turn in his aging Durango. The bill came and went and his Prius is still on order. Oh well!

10:21am • #60

Where do you people think this money is coming from?  Enough is enough.  This government is breaking this country.  Your granddchildren will be paying this money back.  The government needs to get out of the private sector.  Sometimes you have to go through a little pain in order to heal.  Stop looking for handouts from the government.  A government that is big enough to give you everything is big enough to take everything.

John
10:44am • #61
151,140 Points 2 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp

it will be interesting to see if the Government will start taxing the 4500 or 8000 benefit to consumers --

10:47am • #62
141,462 Points

50%+ reductions in home values combined with the tax credit has turned the Phoneix AZ housing market around in the 250K and under price brackets, however the mid to upper home prices are still somewhat stagnant. Perhaps lifting the limits will stimulate those markets. Let all hope so.

10:48am • #63
469,553 Points

I do hope they extend and expand it can't hurt and wil only help our businesss.

10:53am • #64
156,315 Points 13 Featured Posts Called Shot Master

This would be such a great thing...hopefully it will pass so that ALL first time homebuyers can benefit.  Thank you for sharing and please keep us posted!

10:54am • #65
156,315 Points 13 Featured Posts Called Shot Master

This would be such a great thing...hopefully it will pass so that ALL first time homebuyers can benefit.  Thank you for sharing and please keep us posted!

10:54am • #66
156,315 Points 13 Featured Posts Called Shot Master

This would be such a great thing...hopefully it will pass so that ALL first time homebuyers can benefit.  Thank you for sharing and please keep us posted!

10:54am • #67
147,462 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

My gut feel is that there will be an extension to a group other than the first time buyers.  This will get that segment of the market moving again.  I am also not going anywhere to vacation in October and November - waiting for the madness...

10:56am • #68

I thought there were 4 proposals in the House and Senate? Is this the only one now?

10:57am • #69

What the government should do is investigate the banks who hold these properties and find out why when a full price offer is made on a house the property still sits for 3 or 4 months then gets forclosed before a sale is made!!!!!!!!

bill
10:57am • #70
I'm actually leaving Chicago on my way to the airport. I just attended a meeting with the NAR, a leadership meeting here in Chicago. This very topic was on the top of the list of discussion. I believe much like the cash for clunkers deal we too need something to get people interested in purchasing a home. Weather it be a first time buyer or new home buyer. Something has to happen to let people gain confidence again. With all the intelligence we have in the country. I'm sure we can find the answer if we try hard enough.
Keith S. Shaver
10:57am • #71
441,725 Points 20 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

HMMMMM since it has not passed it is not a "material fact" so I keep going on what I have been doing.

10:59am • #72
813,143 Points 7 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Called Shot Master

The problem is the deadline is too close.  They need to extend the program into next year, or just make it permanent.

11:02am • #73
Outside Blog

Janet,

This is great news.  I have really seen an increase recently with people taking advantage of the tax credit and was really hoping they would extend it.  I have agreed with you from the beginning this should have been open to more than just first timers.

Jay Meadors

11:07am • #74

On the one hand I think it would be great to extend, on the other, if the government keeps extending and making the credit even better - higher income limits, etc. than people may just start waiting for the next bill and deadline. It's a little like "crying wolf" - they/we tell people they need to act before the deadline and the deadline gets extened anyway.

Re: credits for singles making over 95K and couples over 195K for couples - while that's a good income in most places, here is Massachusetts the cost of living is much higher and so are housing prices...believe it or not, even people who make that much can barely afford a decent home.

11:07am • #75
122,615 Points

OMG - I have been advocating this concept for a few months now and folks have been saying that I am nuts for even thinking that this will happen. The fact that it is even being proposed means there is a light at the end of this long housing tunnel. BTW I loved the Washington Post article a few days ago.

11:07am • #76

It's crazy how much money the government is printing to try and appease the masses. We should not have Wall Street running Washington which got us in this mess. I worry about my kids futures, the amount of money Washington is throwing around is so large that I cannot comprehend it.

Alfred Harding
11:10am • #77
Attended Rain Camp

That would be great!  There are still a ton of REOs out there and many more to come.  We need as many buyers out there for the next year as possible!!!

11:11am • #78

I would prefer we not extend or expand the credit. Spending money we don't have is what got us into much of the muck we're in right now. This just moves the out of control debt to the government which we all pay for. Let the market do what it does and we'll be okay in the long run!

11:13am • #79
5 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Thanks for the post. I was assuming that this would continue. For it to cease just as a ton more homes go into foreclosure and we enter a traditionally dead time for home buying. It would have been interesting to see just what would happen to the market, and home values over the winter if the program does indeed expire.It will also be interesting to see what happens to the "move up" homes if the first time home buyer clause is eliminated. Where the industry needs help is in that segment.

11:15am • #80

A great idea to extend the date but it would be more likely to pass if that was the only change.

Most of the homes listed in my area are short sales and they take a long time to close.

Carole Garner
11:16am • #81

Please check out Govtrack.us   They let you know how bills get passed and what the status is of a bill. This one unfortunately has been sitting since June and with the "cash for clunkers" it is most likely not going to be extended. It is only at stage 2 of a six step process.

Good chance it won't pass....so either way, I'll be ready for the mad rush! :)

Liz Gimelson
11:16am • #82

Bring it on!

11:18am • #83

AND if you do a little investigating yourself at http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=h111-2801 you should also note that a majority of bills introduced to the committe, never make it out of the same. Not to be a Debbie Downer, I'm being a realist. Our economy is improving, gradually, so why would COngress pass a ridiculous offer to EVERYONE? I have my doubts, however I do believe it is possible that within the next 6 months an amended bill or extension may be offered to the First Time Buyers program we are currently experiencing.

So many comments on just what you wrote without seeking to understand more.

I'm not afraid to say it Janet, I think your post was self serving, pre-mature and used to boost your "Rainmaker" status or other personal agenda on AR, in which case, shame on you; its not about you. Try posting something of use or at least offer some valid cited resources with your posts.

Jessie Teehee
11:20am • #84

Interesting comments from many of you about the extension (expansion) of the First Time Homebuyer's Tax credit; I am suprised and pleased that you think that this has worked so very well for our industry. It seems to me like it is a government backed program that has really worked and you'd like some more of it...go ahead, say it; when government works well, we all benefit, when government works well we all benefit...

11:21am • #85
207,100 Points 4 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Janet,

I remember when NAR and NAHB both tried to push this through last year and failed.  All it did was put Buyers on the sideline for awhile.  We should hold off talking about it until it becomes reality so that we don't keep giving people false hope with "maybies". 

Please consider making this post for "Members Only".

Thanks,

Lucky :)

 

11:22am • #86
201,244 Points 2 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp

Not that I'm going to turn anyone down who comes to me because they want to buy a home and are qualified...Amen to those who remarked about high-income earners not needing the 8K.  How about a stimulus plan that incents good money management habits?  I propose $1,000 credit to everyone in the US who has a current trifecta of 800 credit score, contribution to an IRA/Roth/401k and moderate debt to income ratio. 

11:25am • #87

I am not holding my breath. But I am wishing on a star. Any stimulus will help us/economy. I have never liked the name they gave this, "first time buyers". It really misled the public, because if you haven't owned a home in 3 years, you qualify. Sales are picking up in my area (Memphis) but we sure could still use a shot in the arm to get people off the fence.

Greg
11:26am • #88

Hi Janet,

I am also in the PHX area and I do believe this will certainly aid us here with the amount of bidding going on for homes...32 bids on a home in PHX last week {home on the market 5 days...my client 5 days too late!)  As well, some of us have been waiting for months on the short sale offers to approve  (4-8 months) and if we have had offers on the table for the past 5 months.If we  get approved past the November 30th dead line, well......it would have all been a waste of time with the first time home buyers who NEED the 8K credit because they borrowed the down from there parents? We would have to cancel the deal based on....no money!

 

I for one am in favor of anyone being allowed the tax credit  to continue just in case the rumored  "end of September when the banks release there 1.5 million inventory of foreclosures" actually happens, buyers can actually afford  them!

 

On another note, I too am opposed to the mortgage backed security's that crashed the market in a bad way!  I am also horrified to find that the banks are currently continuing to invest in Wall Street....just madness!

roxy Perry Realtor* US PREFERRED REALTY Mesa Arizona
11:26am • #89
158,441 Points 2 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp

Yes, our children and grandchildren will be paying taxes to repay the Federal debt that is being increased through the issuance of these tax credits. BUT...they will also be living in the houses that were purchased through the use of the credit! Bring it on!

11:29am • #90
192,951 Points 1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Called Shot Master

Sorry folks. I don't mean to be the stick in the mud. But I am not for any enhancement or extension of the current program. This money that is given to these buyers comes from somewhere, doesn't it? Where is that money tree? Do we spend tomorrow today? Let the market do it's thing. It will come back naturally at the proper speed if we just leave it alone. No more cooks in the kitchen please. 

11:29am • #91
555,295 Points 31 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Hey, I have an idea.  How about if Congress waits until December 1st and actually evaluates just how this 1st time home buyers credit actually worked

THEN how about planning what could be better or changed to actually stimulate home buyers forward in 2010?  Or wait - maybe that would mean actually having a plan....

11:30am • #92
180,364 Points 6 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

In our market, we're seeing a glut of homes just sitting at $250,000 to $300,000.  The move up buyers in these homes can't afford to move because they've lost equity, and this price is too high for many first-timers.  I'd love to see the tax credit expanded.  Thanks for sharing.

11:30am • #93

Now that the cat is out of the bag they need to work quickly to pass this bill or vote it down.  The uncertainty could kill off the momentum going into the end of the year.  I also agree with the idea Dan Edwards commented on with phasing out the credit over a period of months.  When it goes from $8,000 to zero it could have a huge negative impact.  However, I think people will keep buying for the credit as it drops from $8,000 to $7,000 and so on.

The car dealerships are already talking like they don't expect much business for them the next few months.

11:35am • #94
1 Featured Post

Many of our military heroes are first time home buyers so the old program really helped them.  I think the new program would help our other community heroes like Police, Fire, Medical, and Educators.  They can be an older group who may already own a home and make a better income.  If it helps more heroes in our communities with a discount - I'm for it, they've earned it.

11:36am • #95

I too have been watching and waiting for this to occur!  Hopefully this will bring those 1st time buyers and temporary apartment residents back into the market.  I had a couple who just moved here and were highly disappointed when their lender told them they'd have to wait a year to be qualified - thus removing their ability to be eligible for the $8000. Now hopefully they'll still have a chance - in the $150,000-$200,000 range, that's a lot of money!

However, we're getting fence sitters back because the rents have fallen so greatly that young families can rent a very nice home for way less - the general deductions for these folks are not that meaningful.  If you have a creative response for these folks, I'd love to hear it!

 

Susan Jacobsen (Engard Real Estate Company)
11:39am • #96

I think it is more government interference in the free markets. I know that could open a can of worms so I will leave it at 1. Reduce taxes 2. Reduce the size and scope of the current government 3. Incentivize small business

11:54am • #97
1 Featured Post

I never saw any abundance of 1st Home Buyers coming out for this credit.. As a matter of fact, I had ONE!  Everyone else was purchasing as normal.  Why do you suppose that is so?

12:01pm • #98
140,287 Points Localism Sponsor

Hi Janet--Thanks for the headsup!  It will be interesting to see if it passes and how the market will respond.  Our entry level has been pretty hot too.  Not all first time buyers though.

12:06pm • #99

It will certainly be interesting to see how this plays out.  Yes it's good to get people into homes but at what cost?  I'm not a fan of stalling the recovery any longer than necessary.  It's a nice perk but people simply need to be able to purchase a home regardless so we don't start this mess all over again.

Thanks for your post!

Janet

12:08pm • #100

It will certainly be interesting to see how this plays out.  Yes it's good to get people into homes but at what cost?  I'm not a fan of stalling the recovery any longer than necessary.  It's a nice perk but people simply need to be able to purchase a home regardless so we don't start this mess all over again.

Thanks for your post!

Janet

12:08pm • #101
860,360 Points 76 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Here in my corner, we are not seeing a mad rush to purchase because of this credit. We're prepared for it, and advertising like crazy about it... but it's not helping us.

12:11pm • #102
133,539 Points 2 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp

It is amazing how many of us read this blog and commented on it.  Of course, anything that helps us sell more house we support, right?  But, really, folks, if we look beyond our own interests, how can this help in the long term?  It has to end sometime and then the market will come to a screeching halt.  So what have we gained. 

My other point would be that we chose the wrong market to stimulate.  We should be stimulating the move up buyer, not the first time buyer.  Or, at least, we should have done both at the same time.  I am definetly opposed to reinstating one without adding the other in December.

12:14pm • #103
277,620 Points 8 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

For our industry I hope it happens.....for the Country I am not sure it is such a good idea....free money has to come from somewhere. 

12:23pm • #104
222,013 Points 9 Featured Posts

It has no doubt been a helpful program, but like Damon, I wonder how they intend to continue to pay for while limiting the tax revenues we're generating. 

I'd also be curious to see how many of these first time buyers default, considering that was the excuse used to get rid of seller down payment assistance.  It is technically the buyer's own money but it's not money they would have saved otherwise.

12:28pm • #105

Real estate is already selling here in the bay area, the government doesn't need to give away any more money it doesn't have. If people can't save money to buy a home, than it's quite simple they shouldn't buy.

12:33pm • #106

We have not had a great influx of firt-time homebuyers come out to purchase in our area.  Things are still moderately slow for us.  The problem that we seem to be having here has nothing to do with whether or not you are a first-time homebuyer.  The overwhelming problem is people being able to qualify for a loan.  Because of the tighter credit restrictions people around here are unable to purchase whether there is an incentive or not.  Good credit seems to be few and far between.

12:36pm • #107

Great post to get all of us thinking. We need to be marketing to all people, not just first time buyers. It's dropping the income caps that will help move high-end properties. The pipeline at the lower end of the market is mostly moving the foreclosure/bank owned homes. There's no move-up seller in those houses. Un-plugging the pipleline is what will get this market moving again.

Pat Monahan
12:38pm • #108

I agree when it comes to this extension as the home owners should be the main focus besides Health Care Reform.  This would be a huge boost to the economy since there are more Foreclosures to come especially here in California as our State is suffering the ramifications of a market we have seen in the past of the 90's.  It is no surprise that this has occurred and wish that all parties involved in decision making of our economy can just see what all of us Realtors are going through.  We need assistance immediately to get out of this recession.  This would be a first step toward a better economy if all parties would see it from our stand point.  Good blog and I will be following and watching closely to HR 2801.  Thanks!

12:48pm • #109
371,862 Points 43 Featured Posts Called Shot Master

Not to be a wet blanket on a program that helps real estate professionals earn a living - but WHERE is this money going to come from?

Every time the government announces a new plan the deficit grows, and grows, and grows.The Pesident and Congress are behaving like a bunch of drunken sailors on leave - except that the sailors have to stop when they run out of money and the government just keeps on spending.

I'm sorry, but I'm not in favor of ANY of these stimulus plans.

12:52pm • #110

As a Realtor I understand why Realtors support the tax credit.  As a citizen of the United States of America and a conservative I reject this extension of the "Economic Destruction Act of 2009" as a clear step into socialism and appeasment of the hordes of mindless lemmings with overdevelped senses of entitlement.

12:59pm • #111
174,971 Points 2 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

That would be great if they supplied the inventory to go along.  Now, let's sit back and see if they pass it!

1:03pm • #112
124,272 Points Called Shot Master

I think this would be a superb idea and would get the move-up buyers off the fence!

1:08pm • #113

With all do respect (don't you love when comments start out that way) I appreciate your sentiments on potential benefits from a revision of the current policy but when and wherever the government sticks its money bleeding nose into the markets there are a whole host of unintended consequences that far out way any perceived benefit or solution to any given problem. While my ability to provide for what is left of my family comes from my chosen profession of Real Estate it is abhorrent to me to except as an American any government hand out, goodie, incentive, or any of the such. It is all gimmickry and slight of hand. What happen to the days of you rise and fall on your decisions to be financially sound and make the choice of either saving and spending on the most basic rules of budgeting in need versus want. Are we ready to give away our soverign status as citizens so easily! Sorry, I know I digress. Bad idea, bad timing, the buyers who need to be looking for homes are ones who had decided to make the sacrifice to do so. All this does is keep prices artificially higher then otherwise should be as the banks are doing in holding on to inventory that should be on the market in free market principles we all should agree on. My apologies for offending anyone! I pray for God's blessings for each of you and that you should look towards the heavens for wisdom and council and not those who seek you destruction.

Chris Gouin
1:15pm • #114

It would be ideal if the public was not again on the hook for another rebate program, HOWEVER since the door has already been opened to what appears to be creeping socialism in formerly seldom-trodden aspects of our American life, why not give this incentive to all buyers. This may indeed get the sluggishness out of the real estate market.

Mark Richards
1:16pm • #115
568,837 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

With the present incentive, you DON'T have to be a first time home buyer either.  You can purchase a home now and receive the $8,000 tax credit if you haven't owned a home in the past 3 years.

Otherwise, I like the new bill... let's just see how it turns out.

 

1:19pm • #116
116,142 Points Outside Blog

Does anybody comprehend the reality of our govrnments financisl circumstances? Adding more debt isn't what our country needs especially now. Our 535 representaives should be reducing the budget, cutting out wasteful spending programs and reducing our taxes. That will stimulate our economy so that Americans can keep more of the money they earn.

Targeting segments of our economy with tax payer's income is discriminatory and unethical, isn't it? Where do we draw a line as an industry? What industry is next to benefit from a government subsidy? We must begin to realize that transfering debt doesn't eliminate debt and the future consequences will be devastating.

Inflation will run amuck and the Jimmy Carter years will return with a vengence and every industry will be devastated. I would argue that most homes being sold today are being sold to investors, noo, so perhaps somebody can research the data and post it to AR.

1:24pm • #117

Wouldn't it be helpful to buyer's if the government didn't just react and had an actual plan?  I had a buyer drive the bank, the attorney, the seller and me crazy to make sure we closed by December 31, 2008 so they could get the $7,500 loan /credit which was going to expire if they didn't close by the end of the year.  And what did my buyer feel when the new improved, 2009 credit program was put into place?   { only a bit angry}  Gee how will the government make the 2009 buyers feel when they give a new car with every house that is purchased by a new buyer by the end of 2010 (or whatever the new deal is). 

1:26pm • #118

Leave it to good old common sense thinking from a North Carolinian like Howard Coble.  I sure hope this passes.  I have been saying all along that if they would give money to all homebuyers that are going to owner occupy their property, then that would stimulate the market.  Putting so many restrictions on the program and income limits shuts out the people that can most likely afford to buy in this market.  I also think that there should be some way for buyers that are cash poor to apply this credit towards their down payment.

I too am concerned about where this money is coming from, but if it helps me earn a living, then I am all for it!  We just want to be cautious that Obama is not just printing money that we cannot back up, but I know that if Howard Coble is behind this, there are conservative views in place that we can all count on.

1:39pm • #119

Doesn't anyone remember that this is paid for by TAXES??

Karen
1:40pm • #120
587,597 Points 2 Featured Posts Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

I had heard they were working on extending this tax credit but not about them removing the income guidelines.  I am receiving multiple offers on some of my short sales.  It is the first time in my RE career that this has happened.  I came into the market the first quarter of 2006, when it was sliding downward...

1:41pm • #121
298,380 Points 6 Featured Posts

This bill was introduced eleven weeks ago and was immediately referred to committee where it remains.  After one extension and refunding, the successful cash for clunkers program is over. The homebuyer credit program has already had its one extension.

 Although the $8,000 is an attractive incentive, it  is of minimal help to first time homebuyers struggling to raise money for a downpayment.  It is a great program for first timers who have the resources to buy a home, and then buy $8,000 worth of booze, drugs, and toys a few months later.  The current program really doesn't do much to help most would-be first timers buy a home.  Maybe a new incentive will be introduced later in 2010, when the health insurance socialization issue is tucked away and the foreclosure rate continues at its current pace or increases.  I just hope that any new program does more to help people buy homes.

 

 

1:43pm • #122
3 Featured Posts

Government handouts got us into all this trouble.  The way I see it, we just don't have the money.  Unless, of course, Turbo Tim prints more and more.  We can't have it all - lower taxes, rebates for cars, rebates for housing, etc., etc.  If Congress would just stop wasting so much money on pork we would have money to create real jobs and no one would need a rebate.

1:48pm • #123

The new bill sounds great but someday we are going to have to pay for it. There is no free lunch in the long run.

Michael Hines
1:51pm • #124
Attended Rain Camp

Alright, this post is enough to get me on my soap box.  The thing that we all (agents, buyers, lenders) forget is that every time a home buyer receives an $8,000 check, that is $8,000 less tax revenue to do other things like perhaps pay back our deficit.  So, even though you may think that a $15,000 per transaction tax credit is a good idea and say sure might as well make it a $100,000 crededit remember that the money used to pay these credits is YOUR tax money.

The $8,000 tax credit has been very effective and, quite honestly, it's been the single thing that has kept me in business this year and instrumental in keeping the economy from slipping into unrecoverable disastrous full on depression.  I think $8,000 was enough of a credit to get any first time buyer off the fence.  In fact, those who chose not to take advantage of the current credit will likely still sit on the fence for fear of buying, etc. even if it's raised to 15.  Those who take advantage of the 15 would very likely have still bought a home even if it remained at 8K.  Therefore, I'm not convinced for a minute that raising it to 15K will generate enough additional sales to justify the added cost of the program.

Furthermore, it is human nature for people to wait until the last minute to take advantage of programs like this.  I have seen a steady increase recently in buyers that are finally ready to go and have been dragging their feet all Summer.  I've even started wearing stickers on my clothing indicating how many days they have left to take advantage of it and it's working (or at least it was).  Now that word has leaked out about this proposed change, many are backing down and saying they are going to wait - after I've spent time with them showing properties, etc. Worst of all, I can pretty much PROMISE that the $15K thing will NEVER pass. At best, they will extend what we currently have and perhaps not limit it to first timers and/or raise the income restrictions.  All it is at this point is some politician trying to get their name on some bill that the public might perceive as a good thing when, in reality their name willl really be on the thing that undermined the effectiveness of the existing program that has just started working.

I wish they would not announce this until it's passed.  When the public reads about a BILL or proposal to do this, the media makes it sound like it IS already law and the rumor mill spreads.  It's not signed into law yet and it's a LONG way from that.  It's just a proposal and the likelihood is rather hight that it will get shot down just as a very similar proposal was shot down a year ago and those who wait will miss out entirely.  I still recommend that buyers take the bird in hand while it's available and be happy with what you got even if the next guy ends up getting a little more, if you buy now you are getting $8,00 more than anyone who bought before you. 

The smart way to handle this would have been to keep the news quiet at this point, vote on it, get it passed.  Then, AFTER December 1st, announce it - keep it at 8K to avoid using unnecessary tax dollars that won't lead to enough additional stimulation and to avoid feeding the buyer's remorse of those who took advantage of the 8K in 2009.

It's like the boy who cried wolf.  If they keep waiting until just the moment when the existing program starts to work and people really get concerned that they might miss it, they come out with a better one then even a 15K plan will be ineffective because buyers will start to wonder if they should wait until 2011 when they raise it to 25K.

I just don't think the consequences of this have been thought out well enough.

2:37pm • #125
168,217 Points 2 Featured Posts

Janet - I agree that this new bill should not slow down the market.  After all, if this passes, it will open up the program to others who did not qualify before.  It allows people who didn't qualify before to buy a new home and receive the $8,000 tax credit.  I think this is a good idea.

2:40pm • #126
118,799 Points 2 Featured Posts Attended Rain Camp

Janet,

Great thanks for the update! Now let's hope the bill passes.... without too many changes!

Kathy Opatka

2:59pm • #127

Just should have gave the whole country (homeowners) an automatic  4% refi and then the market would have been flooded with money, bills paid, money saved.

Dennis Blackmore
3:00pm • #128

Janet,

I agree with you that buyers such as your daughter should be given the same tax incentive as those individuals making less than 75k.  If we need to encourage consumer confidence in the housing market in depressed or declining markets, tax incentives may be the tool (esp. if lending and or financing is stricter and credit less available...).  We can see that people have been motivated to invest in real estate either with tax incentives (mortgage interest and other deductions, depreciation, credits). Typically, when people buy real estate, we also see them buy things to fix them up (services, home improvement materials) and stuff to put in them (furniture, appliances).  We just need to get those markets moving.

Ronda

Ronda Ching Day (RA), Realty Executives Oahu
3:01pm • #129

Wouldn't creating middle to high paying jobs in communities across the nation and exportable products be a better way to stimulate the economy? I know that if someone buys a home they may need to buy a rake which stimulates the economy but... giving people the opportunity to work (near their home preferably) and advance at their work be a better way than government handouts in a county that is already Trillions of dollars in debt. it's time to make some better products that people all over the world will buy.

I think there should be a cap on income for this hand out program because I have a problem chipping in on helping someone who makes over $100,000 a year buy a home. If you make $100K a year and can't afford to buy a home that's a personal bugiting problem.

The real estate market is already fantastic in my area. Low prices. Low interest rates. Multiple offers on every decent home. And, very low inventory. Home buyers don't need a hand out in this market. I say stop the tax credit and lets see what happens. If inventory goes through the roof and there are no buyers to be found, then we can start it up again.

Linda Christopher
3:34pm • #130

While the income restrictions would probably help increase home sales.  However if you make it open to others than just home time buyers you do not eliminate the gluttony of homes on the market.  First time home buyers result in a reduction of homes on the market.  Other home buyers will not result in a net reduction of homes of the market, which is necessary to stabilize home prices.

3:35pm • #131
116,115 Points 3 Featured Posts

While the income restrictions would probably help increase home sales.  However if you make it open to others than just home time buyers you do not eliminate the gluttony of homes on the market.  First time home buyers result in a reduction of homes on the market.  Other home buyers will not result in a net reduction of homes of the market, which is necessary to stabilize home prices.

3:37pm • #132

I agree with all those that REJECT this act as being good for the economy and our county.  We have made it as a county for 200+ years without needing the government to "stimulate" the economy.  Starting in the mid 1900's is when goverment started getting involved in the everyday lives of its citizens, and guess what, that is also when the income tax rates started on their unending climb!!!!!!!!  We do not need the government giving free money to people who are too lazy or to greedy to save money for themselves for a down payment on a house.  I wholeheartedly REJECT any stimulus for move up buyers.  These are buyers that should have money either in equity or in savings.  All this free money our new SOCIALISTIC goverment is giving away is not free, it comes at the expense of BOTH YOU AND ME.  Our taxes are supporting the very people who refuse to work and refuse to be resposible in their savings and spending habits.  These programs MUST stop if our economy is ever expected to recover.  I heard that the biggest reason businesses and consumers are not spending money right now is not because of the "credit crisis", but because there is so much uncertainty about how high our taxes are going to be when all of this is said and done.  If our goverment would just stop spending and stop proposing new programs that will escalate our country's debt, then the consumers and businesses will start spending again and our economy will heal itself!

3:40pm • #133
Localism Sponsor

Great Post.

With 2010 being a mid term election cycle and real estate being a major contributor to the overall economy we can expect some type of "help". As we discuss this we have just witnessed politicans take trillions of dollars out of the productive economy and spend it on pet projects. We have been asking China to finance these pet projects and new entitlement programs and when they stopped buying our treasury bonds, the government "loaned" money to the banks and they inturn buy the bonds.

What we have witnessed over the past 10 months is the migration of both power and money from the financial community to the political community. Now to remain in power they must pull out all the stops...even as the voter are now understanding that we can't borrow our way out of this mess...just like we can't use credit cards to solve our personal credit issues.

KICKING THE CAN DOWN THE ROAD:

The $7,500 "loan program" was the first "can" kicked down the road by the political community to make the "voters" happy...the program was not big enough nor attractive enough; a bigger "can" was needed. Thus we have the current $8,000 "can". Some what more attractive, especially to both first time homebuyers and realtors. But this "can" is only working for those select few first time home buyers and for lower end inventory. To get the housing market really back on track a much bigger "can" is needed...maybe more than $8,000...maybe the $15,000 I have seen in another bill.

While I personally don't believe in these "bailouts"; this type of tax credit proposal has some merit, especially for first time buyers. With first time buyer, the $8,000 will more than likely be spent and spent quickly on such things as appliances, carpeting, furniture, paint and many other things that are produced here in the USA. Given a multplier effect we can expect about a 7X or a $56,000 impact into the economy for each $8,000 given to a home buyer.

So when I look at this type of program (pure tax credit), relative to other programs (cash for clunkers), it has more positive economic impact than many of the other alternative that politicans will deploy to keep themselves in "Power".

Enjoy it will you can!!

4:18pm • #134

As a small business owner I would like to ask all those that think any of these government bailouts-stimulus packages-tax credits etc...are a good thing, just send your tax returns in blank in January. Add a post-it telling your dear old uncle to take whatever he needs. I for one will continue to hire the best tax man I can find to keep all that I work for. As independent contractors, how can you praise this sort of action? Your gains will be short lived as you are pushing for programs that insure the end of our very existence. Please look past this November and at the bigger and long term pictures.

James Gentry
4:20pm • #135

I'm keeping my fingers crossed!

4:23pm • #136

Here's an idea:

Why doesn't Washington just let us KEEP our own money and quit trying to manipulate peoples' behavior via the Tax Code?

What a concept!

4:36pm • #137
6 Featured Posts

Jim Hale said:  "Demand has been accelerated not created"

I think he is right.

George Paukert said "if they don't extend it, real estate will come to a screeching halt"

I think he is right.

Others have said, it will help the homeowner who is stuck under water in current mortgage.  

I think they are right.

Some have said it will be hard for our government to pay for this...

I think they are right

Some of the greatest economic minds that have ever lived, including Maynard Keynes and Adam Smith agree with government intervention in times like these.  In the end, no matter the cost, we may need to support real real estate transactions because they drive so much of our economy (appliances, furniture, carpet, paint, landscaping, etc etc etc.

 

 

4:51pm • #138

You can track this bill at http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=h111-2801

4:54pm • #139

WoW! You certainly woke up a lot of agents! I think we all kind of suspected this would be introduced. This $8,000 credit certainly helped. Hopefully in the next few months the banks will feel more comfortable with lending. This market transition has been trying to say the least. My buyers are still concerned about geting their credit way up so they have no difficulties securing a loan which means they were putting their buying off from 3 to 6 months. With this new proposal and being able to get the$8,000 ,new home buyer or not, will really help. There should be a lot a people clicking those ruby red heels. Great blog,

susan gough
5:20pm • #140

Extend the $8000 tax credit or not...I think more people would purchase if they were either employed or felt some assurance that they wouldn't be in the unemployment line in the next day or two. However, I would like to see the credit extended to more than first time home buyers.  

5:38pm • #141

I agree that extending this will help others than just first timers and continue to stimulate the housing market.  However, there may come a time when a buyer sitting on the fence will use the "let's wait and see" mentality especially since this would be the third time they would be doing so.  Most of us have been encouraging buyers to make the move on a purchase because of the $8K tax credit deadline.  I for one have been telling my clients that no one really knows if it will continue in to 2010 so they should start getting real serious about buying something before November 30th.  Yet now with this extension it could push these on the fencers to take their time and to being very-very-very patient with the process.  Which means additional time for agents as this would clog up the funnel of clients from processing through. 

 

6:09pm • #142
367,865 Points 38 Featured Posts Outside Blog Hit Router Called Shot Master

Janet - Bottom line, though, is that all taxpayers are paying for the "credit".  The "government" doesn't give a tax credit for home purchases, and they don't give a tax credit for the cars.  Our neighbors down the street pay for the credit.  They have money taken from their paychecks.

6:42pm • #143

I think its a great move! Now I would like them to change the refi parameters for those of us who are making our payments on time every month and have cut off our equity lines, because they have changed it from 100% to 80% loan to value. NOT FAIR! My home has remained steady in price from when I got my equity line.

I know I got off the topic a little but I just thought I would add my 2 cents for what its worth.

Mike
7:06pm • #144

I'm confused.  Are you talking about the $8000 tax credit bill or the HOPE bill?  If you are talking about the tax credit bill (presumably named HOME bill), I get it.  If you are talking about the HOPE bill, then I ask why would any clear thinking person endorse it?  The restrictions are tremendous and you have to wait 5 years to sell without a penalty.  Does the new HOME bill extend the tax credit or combine it with the HOPE bill and all its deficiencies?  Does anyone have the details?

Sally Rackey
7:12pm • #145

   I am shocked, truly shocked when I read my fellow citizens advocating their position on this current and potentially revised economic policy from the perspective of their own income potential and or income sustainability. I fear for the future of our representative republic ( not democracy! ). I do not believe that is putting to harsh a qualifier on my statement either. You are so quick to spend other peoples money so you can sustain or increase your income, excuse me! Who are you and who made you king! We should all be on our knees thanking the Lord above to live in a country where we are so free as we are and to think we have a right to be so free with other peoples money (which is a travisty!) is beyond any serious persons logic. If this is how you truly feel I challenge you to give me control over your finances for one month and I will do everything I need to off of your hard work to ensure my financial security knowing, yes knowing when I do it it will bankrupt you. I am sorry for preaching here but if truth is to be denied then all of this is an exercise in futility!

Chris Gouin
7:36pm • #146

If this is even close to being true....word will get out and all sorts of speculation will evolve regarding this. I really only want to hear facts....not maybe.....We cannot sell a maybe....So buyers wait and wait and the sellers wait and wait.....a vicious circle if you ask me. But then, I guess nobody has asked me my opinion, but there it is anyhow. Anything that would stimulate the economy and be good for the economy as well, I am for that!

7:42pm • #147

Great to get first-timers into the market, but if what they're doing is buying short sales and bank-owned, that doesn't move the market anywhere, since those Sellers cannot move up.  Sure, it clears some low end inventory and keeps me in red wine, but it won't get the market moving.

Maggie White
7:53pm • #148
102,439 Points

I am definitely in the "for it" camp!  The real estate industry and housing market are vital to the entire economy.  Other than interests rates hiking up, what better way than this to get the fence sitters off the fence? Thanks for the great post!

8:22pm • #149
865,389 Points 50 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp

Lots of comments... 

But, does an $8000 tax credit really mean as much to someone buying a $1M home? 

The bottom line is that we can't keep up the incentives.  the market has to stand or fall on its own.  If we keep extending deadlines, the deadlines don't mean anything anymore...

8:37pm • #150
202,067 Points Called Shot Master

With so many owners with negative equity giving 15K for those who aren't upside down is going to be another slap in the face to the owners who are making payments on homes that are worthless than they paid for them.  Neighbors all around them are buying the same home for 50% off and these responsible owners can't get out.

8:52pm • #151
1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor

I hate the timing of this new speculation about "Home Ownership Moves the Economy(HOME) Act of 2009.  HR 2801".  I had finally convinced my First Timers that were sitting on the fence to JUMP!  I just hate to think about any of them getting wind of this "possible" extension and postponing the purchase of a home in time to close by November 30th!  I had finally convinced them that it is time to act and they have been out looking at possible homes. I guarantee you they'll go back into "wait and see mode". 

Thanks for the link to track this bill (http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=h111-2801).  I'll be watching it closely.

9:05pm • #152

Janet,

The operative word here is SEEKING. Is this fact or fiction? If it is fact, then this will help the Phoenix market short term and long term. In Phoenix, as in many other markets, the REOs are getting scooped up by investors. Therefore, "regular" buyers are looking at short sales as an alternative. Given that short sales take considerable amount of time, buyers are now worried that the deal won't get done in time. This bill should help us Realtors that are working this aspect of the market. In the long term, this will also help reduce our inventory more aggressively than current projections.

Rick

Rick@SignatureFineHomes.com

9:08pm • #153
389,496 Points 17 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Excellent! IF this turns out to be available, I would think it could open doors for more buyers. The down payment and FHA are problematic for first time homebuyers. I think they need to be able to get their foot in the door if they generate sufficient income.....and have decent credit. Good post and discussion. ;-)

 

9:16pm • #154
Outside Blog

I think it will pass, the money comes from some where but the trade off is huge, I am not quite sure if i makes sense to increase it though

10:16pm • #155

What's the catch?  Whatabout those clients we have that would have qulified but bought early on b/c they thought they couldn't get anything - going to make them a little frustrated that they didn't wait...

10:33pm • #156

I guess I'm one of the few that are tired of hearing of programs that my children and grand-childrfen are going to pay for. I think we should all drive and live in what we can afford, not what taxpayers are paying for. The waste package called 'stimulus' has done nothing. The $8000 has only moved future buyers into the market prematurely and we will be looking for them in a year and beyond. The $4500 saw many buyers that would have been buying anyway in a year or so- that time frame has just been sucked up and they will be looking at empty showrooms. Those that qualify have had more than enough time. I'm really quite tired of politicians dipping into my pocket for all these programs, waste, and entitlements. You DO relize you, your children and your grandchildren will pay much more in higher taxes over their lifetime than you will make on a few sales made now instead of later, right? There are too many in DC that failed economics 101!

10:34pm • #157

Janet,

  The next thing that will happen is that they add an  excise tax on the Sale of the home to help  pay for this broad  and expanding program.   The money has to come from somewhere( and it's not in the budget) .so  the Seller  will have to pay.  Give to Buyer, take away from Seller. ?

Sue Clark
11:49pm • #158
AUG
27
2009
647,534 Points 5 Featured Posts Outside Blog Called Shot Master

What a lot of comments!  You have certainly touched on a topic that will create a lot of interest for buyers, and all of us.

3:20am • #159
587,909 Points 80 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp

It will certainly be interesting to see what happens !  There is some drama ahead.... there will be a lot of discussion and debate !

6:38am • #161

I think this new bill written by a NC Republican is just a giveaway to his biggest campaign donor----The National Association of Realtors. I am a Realtor too but I am also a taxpayer. Sure this credit helps our business but Realtors stop looking at only what is good for you and start considering what is good for America as a whole. We taxpayers are 1.6 trillion in debt just this year and you give out more government handouts. If you argue that stimulus is needed then at least make it req'd to be paid back interest free like the first $7500 tax credit. At least that way we would get our money back. The government is again messing with the free market to rig it to get the results it wants. This is America and like drug addicts most americans are addicted but instead of being heroin it you all are addicted to social programs and government handouts that benefit you. Would you all support $8000 given to all renters? That would stimulate the economy too! No, of course not because you all are only looking at what is good for yourself--more sales. Take a look at the big picture and stop government handouts.

The law of unintendend consequences....if this bill is passed and applies to all homebuyers buying a principal residence you will see a flood of homeowners buying some cheaper foreclosure getting the $8000 and just letting their current home go back to the bank. Is this what we are paying $8000 to stimulate? If it has to be paid back over time then you will still see the stimulating effects without the bill that will eventually come due to all us taxpayers.

Alex Lengemann
7:27am • #162
168,863 Points 2 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp

I would actually love that if it really happened. I hope that all the NC real estate agents write their congress person and let them know how effective the program has been and how we really need this. I know several buyers that are waiting to see if the amount of $ will increase-- and they are taking the gamble.

7:49am • #163

With just three months left before the first-time homebuyer tax credit  joins Cash for Clunkers in the ash bin of stimulus programs, will Congress extend the program another year quickly enough to prevent a disruption in the marketplace ?

Unfortunately, it's virtually certain that buyers will run out of time to buy a home long before Congress gets around to it, since it takes twelve weeks for the average first-time buyer to find a home and four to six weeks to close.  The tax-writing committees-Finance in the Senate and Ways and Means in the House-have yet to consider the matter.

 Making it more complicated is the "ask"-that's Washington talk for what you really want above all else.  The "ask" in this case is not as clear as it might be.. 

First of all, the two biggest industry groups, the Realtors and home builders, say they want more than an extension.  They also want the credit expanded to include all four to five million homebuyers next year.

 "We say -- if (the credit) is working for first-time homebuyers, then why not for all buyers, with no income limitations? We would like to see the expiration date extended (beyond Nov. 30). Expanding the credit is really the way to stabilize the (housing) market -- by making it available to everybody," NAR's Mary Trupo told columnist Ken Harney recently.

The NAHB also wants net operating loss (NOL) relief legislation that would help all businesses, especially its publicly held members, by eliminating the current $15 million cap on average annual gross receipts and allowing 2009 losses to be eligible for the expanded carry back.

NAR's top lobbyist, Jerry Giovaniello, speaking recently at a meeting in Las Vegas, gave odds of "better than 50-50" of getting Congress to extend tax credit past its December 1 deadline.  As for expanding it, he told the Las Vegas Sun that it that it would cost the U.S. Treasury, and there would likely be demands that the money to make up the difference would come from within the real estate industry.  And that could include eliminating the mortgage industry deduction, he said.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) is more optimistic about the extension outlook.  In a conference call with reporters three weeks ago said "Congress has to extend the credit by the end of the year."  He was not so positive about expanding it.  It's worth noting that the Senate loved the tax credit earlier this year and passed the $15,000 version.  The housing industry's greatest hurdles were in the House last February and they may still be there.  The House, however, controls tax policy.

A clog of major, high priority legislation faces Congress with it returns from
August recess:  health-care reform, climate change and energy, financial system regulatory reform and a new Consumer Financial Protection Agency. It could be tought to make the deadline.

Then there is the growing unpopularity of stimulus plans.  The on-again, off-again Cash for Clunkers may leave no lasting mark on the auto industry.  Many leading economists argue the homebuyers' credit is nothing but a temporary prop to housing sales and it too will leave no legacy.  Taxpayers are concerned about costs and what they are getting for their billions and trillions.  A USA Today poll in early August, for example, founding adults evenly split on whether they stimulus package will make the economy better over the long term.

,

 For more, check out Real Estate Economy Watch.

 

 

Steve Cook
7:52am • #164

Janet,

It's hard to disagree that extending the tax credit would be a positive situation but I really think it would hurt us, (agents and builders) because of one main reason.  People will always wait until the last minute to take advantage of a deadline.  If the credit is extended then people will wait even longer because they know they can.  If it is extended I would hope they would not report this until the day the credit is to expire.  The last thing we want to do is give prospects another reason to wait and that is exactly what extending the credit would do.

Thanks,

Josh

Josh Hay
9:10am • #165
550,485 Points 22 Featured Posts Outside Blog Called Shot Master

I hope that it's true because I believe it will help alot more people.  I've also noticed a slow down here in my area when I thought the procrastinators would be out shopping.  It really is December 24th for some of these buyers and they might not know it!

9:11am • #166

Janet,

I'm a little East of you in the Yuba- Sutter area and we don't have enough inventory for the Buyers we have now. I welcome the extension, moving the excess inventory will help stabilize our maket, and lt people buy a home that suits them , and not feel rushed to purchase , just to get the credit.

Stephen Shewmake
1:54pm • #167
781,245 Points 71 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

One way or the other we are going to be paying for this. It comes as no surprise that the date could be extended. I have been predicting that it would.

4:33pm • #168

I encourage all of you to contact your elected officials.  If you don't have their e-mail address you can use these;

Congress:  https://writerep.house.gov/writerep/welcome.shtml

Senate: http://www.senate.gov/general/contact_information/senators_cfm.cfm

I'm in agreement to open it up to anyone that buys a house.  Buy a house, get an $8000 tax credit.  Includes investment properties too.

 

Gary Clark, Coldwell Banker Howard Perry & Walston Raleigh NC
5:56pm • #169
AUG
28
2009
193,448 Points 1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

What is your source Janet? How probable is this? I hope that it happens. Thing would really pick up.

12:12am • #170
501,458 Points 1 Featured Post Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

With the Case-Shiller Index for May showing prices up in 13 of 20 big-city markets (no change in two more) -- for the first time in 3 years -- it is going to be hard to sell anything more than a simple extension in the Congress.

If the Case-Shiller numbers for June (which will be out soon) show the same thing and especially if the Index shows the same trend for July (when those numbers come out about six weeks from now), a simple extension will be the absolute most NAR can expect the Congress to support.

5:53am • #171

As I read some of these comments I can't believe more Realtors and lenders don't figure this out. We as a country are TRILLIONS of dollars in debt. We can't GIVE AWAY any more money for this so called "soft landing".

Do you think auto sales will have another record setting sales month in Septmeber now that the cash for clunkers program is gone? All that program did was accelerate sales for dealerships and take some perfectly viable cars off the market. The UAW and Sierra Club just upped their campaign contributions!

Let me ask a question? What is a $150,000 home worth WITH and WITHOUT an $8,000 tax credit? In other words, would a buyer in September pay the same for that home in December when the tax credit is gone? Have we just artifically inflated the market AGAIN- the same as we did with "fog the mirror" loans?

The ONLY thing that will get housing stabilized and moving up is when buyers find that magical "value" button- They now feel the house is worth as much or more than the money they are exchanging for it. First time homebuyers have to feel it's a better deal to buy than rent (financially and emotionally).

Government incentives are not a long term answer to a market correction. Let the market correct itself and only then will a true recovery take place.

If you don't believe in these fundamentals then I hope you FULLY support tax credits for people that buy new furniture, appliances, doggie treats and bottled water. Fido appreciates an email to your representative.

Rick Storlie
1:34pm • #172

Look out.  The surest way to clear out the inventory is for Realtors to stop taking over priced listings.  If unrealistic sellers could not find unrealistic Realtors to list their property then maybe they would drop their price down to where the market actually values their house.  Inventory drops, prices stabilize then rise, buyers get happy, equity returns.  Realtors return to credibility. Government intervention not required.  

John Parce
3:47pm • #173

The bill was introduced and referred to the House Ways and Means Committee on June 10. If this bill were to pass it needs funding, given the current economic climate and the fact that many banks are teetering on the edge it seems unlikely this bill will pass. The government is more likely to keep what little money they have left to offset costs associated with failing banks and bailouts.

But we can dream.....

6:37pm • #174
AUG
29
2009
178,399 Points 10 Featured Posts Hit Router

I heard that they might extend the tax credit, I love the idea of extending it and expanding it - get that market moving! :)

11:32am • #175
AUG
31
2009

Multiple offers on the lower priced homes has been a regular in my area near Atlantic City, NJ.  The phones are beginning to ring and homes that have been on the market for months and months are finally getting offers!  I think it will be a busy fall whether the extension is approved or not. 

6:43am • #176
Localism Sponsor

The 96% Solution:

The only way you are going to stop congress from spending your money on their pet projects is by shooting them (Silver Bullet Required) and putting a wooden stake through their cold hearts (Oak is the wood of preference). Although this is not guaranteed to work on all Congressman.

The 1990 congressional elections is a case in point. With public outrage and disgust with Congress at all-time highs, voters reelected incumbents at a rate exceeding 96 percent in 1990. Congressional elections no longer serve as a mechanism for voters to express their opinions about Congress. Elections are bought by the highest bidder (read special interest groups) and the majority of voters would make Leno's "Jaywalk All Stars" look like little Einstein's.

Your congressman (person) is going to spend your money in the best way to save his or her job...it can be a bridge to no-where, a $10,000 toilet seat or a $8,000, or even a $15,000 tax credit to home buyers. NOT SPENDING IT IS NOT AN OPTION.

 So where would you like to see YOUR congressman spend YOUR money?

 •·      Bridge to No-Where

•·       Toilet Seat

•·       Wooden Stake Factory

•·       Tax Credit for Homebuyers

10:58am • #177
SEP
20
2009

Such a great idea: "How about a stimulus plan that incents good money management habits?  I propose $1,000 credit to everyone in the US who has a current trifecta of 800 credit score, contribution to an IRA/Roth/401k and moderate debt to income ratio. " (post #87).    Love it!!!!

11:09pm • #179

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