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FHA is a mortgage loan insurer that has stepped into the rather sizable vacuum the recent housing finance market collapse created. Inside Mortgage Finance reports that its market share has jumped from a paltry 3% in 2006 to a strong 23% in the second quarter of 2009. It has become very popular especially with first-time home buyers because of its as low as 3.5% down payment requirement and more accommodating underwriting guidelines. Those parameters, actually, have to be well-liked by all borrowers.

As real estate prices have been steadily sinking in several areas, among them of course Las Vegas, FHA's increased exposure in them is also bringing more losses. Mortgage Bankers Association, or MBA, enlightens now that by the end of June 7.8% of its insured mortgages were 90 days or more late or then already in foreclosure, while a year ago that figure stood at 5.4%. The trend clearly is leading in the wrong direction.

FHA is required by Federal law to hold cash reserves a minimum of 2%, counting anticipated losses, of its insured mortgage portfolio. In 2007 the quotient was a healthy 6.4%, but took an ominous drop to around 3% last year. Another indicator that gets government housing officials and others in the know talking, some of whom are suggesting tighter controls.

The mortgage arena is today by a large measure maintained by Washington, FHA itself having a good share of it and then there is the Fed that is by far the most active buyer of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac paper on the secondary mortgage market. FHA could be pressured into tightening oversight just to abide by the law, and the 2% minimum, and that would put more strain on any nascent nationwide real estate recovery. That in fact is already evident, as the new commissioner recently took a firm stance toward a national FHA lender, suspending its charter.     

The housing market appears to be at a turning point for the better in many regions. That should help stabilize prices and therefore rein in any further losses at FHA. It then would be able to continue operating without too many new restrictions and provide further momentum to the budding recovery that everybody is anxiously waiting for.

 

_______________________________________________________________________________

Provided by: 

Esko Kiuru
Mortgage and real estate market commentator 

www.BluefoxToday.com - syndicated mortgage and real estate blog

eskokiuru@gmail.com
My cell: 702-499-1006

 
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12 Comments on FHA market share increases, but cash reserves shrink

SEP
06
2009

We will keep our fingers crossed that the losses don't continue to trend in the wrong direction.

4:14pm • #1
344,478 Points 16 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp

Hey, the taxpayer's can bail them out.  FHA should do better than the rest however. The public option may end up running everyone else out of business.

4:29pm • #2
1,178,309 Points 133 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Great post (missing in my pending outsiders still!)  This one definitely deserves a reblog!

4:33pm • #3
107,775 Points Localism Sponsor

It sounds like a positive direction and who could ask for more.

4:34pm • #4
733,769 Points 231 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Esko...  let's not forget that a of this happened because of new lenders doing FHA loans and new underwriters that were experienced.  Now, that statement is based on my opinion..  but here in NJ alone, we went from about 323 underwriters to about 800 in the last few years. So yes, FHA loans have increased market share, but were the loses also due to poor underwriting?  And let's look at one more thing.  The economy and job loses.  How many of these that are now late were affected by the economy or a job loss. And this is not problem with your article, but those that put this information out there for the first time, but that they don't give details. I would love to know how many of these were due to job loses.

jeff belonger

5:33pm • #5
SEP
07
2009
291,720 Points 5 Featured Posts

Esko: Thanks for the update. I appreciate it. I think the counterbalance is we're seeing some lenders now requiring a 640 minimum credit score to do an FHA loan. I'm seeing a fair amount of credit repair these days for borrowers with blemishes. Thanks again!

11:38am • #6
SEP
08
2009
313,393 Points 8 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Patrick,

Let's hope home values will stabilize and help out not only FHA, but the entire housing industry.

1:07pm • #7
313,393 Points 8 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Eric,

The taxpayer has been stretched thin already. He needs a break.

1:09pm • #8
313,393 Points 8 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Renee,

Thanks for the reblog.

1:11pm • #9
313,393 Points 8 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Monika,

Good to have you stop by.

1:12pm • #10
313,393 Points 8 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Jeff,

The poor labor market definitely plays an important role in FHA loan losses.

1:13pm • #11
313,393 Points 8 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Paul,

The new commissioner has already tightened things and the FICO upgrade seems to be one of them.

1:15pm • #12

What does the graphic say?

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