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Manhattan Beach.. Where's the Housing Crash?

By
Real Estate Agent with Real Estate West BRE# 701315
Lots of stories in the news about falling home sales and growing foreclosures. Some stories point to the downfall of the housing market while others seem to view things with a more local perspective.
Dan Green in his blog The Mortgage Reports has an interesting take on the cities that RealtyTractnoted as the largest areas of foreclosures in Ca. Peter Viles in his real estate blog at the LA Times looks at the California foreclosure market as well as the drop in sales and the rise in prices in Los Angeles County.
Meanwhile Dr. Susan Wachter, a Professor of Real Estate, at the Wharton School of Business has another take in her report.. What Homebuyers Pay.. What Everyone Should Know. She sees buyers getting smarter and taking out fixed rate mortgages instead of adjustable and another trend is that buyers are switching back to PMI insurance instead of taking out second mortgages. This is something I've been thinking about for sometime that buyers might be better off utilizing PMI on loans with less then 20% down. PMI makes your rate a little higher and it takes some work to get it removed once your have 20%+ equity in the home but overall it just might be a better choice as rates on seconds continue to be tied to prime +3-5%. You really need to run long term numbers to figure out which is the best course. So what's so interesting about all these articles is that while Los Angeles County real estate sales have declined in volume prices have increased slightly and there is no indication of massive foreclosures. The question residents of the Beach Cities want to know is do we add the qualifier yet to the mix or are we going to keep chugging along at a slower but measured pace. 
 
My crystal ball is cloudy on that point.. it if were clear and specific I would be an extremely wealthy woman playing golf every day..

That said all I can do is report what I know:
 2509 Laurel in the Manhattan Beach Tree section (it was a wonderful home in great condition with a terrific floor plan) was well priced at $1,750,000 and sold almost immediately with multiple offers.
524 15th St in the Martyr's neighborhood of Manhattan Beach was a fixer/tear down that was listed at $2.2m. There were 9 offers... 5 from builders and 4 from owner users who wanted to remodel.. offers are well over list and nothing has been accepted yet.
1701 1st Street in East Manhattana small (under 1407 sqft) but remodeled to new..was listed at $979,000 and had so many offers they quit counting. Price not yet disclosed.. (even to friends) but rumor has it that there were two 1's in the price.
Market Summary: June 14, 2006:
Below is a quick summary of total Beach Cities properties ( Single family and townhome/condos) including properties that have gone into escrow and sold since June 1, 2007
Check out My Local Blog for more updates
All content copyright © 2007   Kaye Thomas
Cyndee Haydon
Charles Rutenberg Realty - Clearwater, FL
727-710-8035 Clearwater, Beach Short Sales Luxury Condos &Homes
Kaye - loved your article - I'm hoping those sales are glimpses into the future :-) Great job 
Jun 14, 2007 10:25 AM
Kaye Thomas
Real Estate West - Manhattan Beach, CA
e-PRO, Manhattan Beach CA
Cyndee- This is a very peculiar market and it is really local in CA.. 5-10 miles can make a real difference..
Jun 14, 2007 10:51 AM
Ana Connell
G & C Properties - Burbank, CA
Burbank Real Estate Agent
Good post!  I think that the higher end homes have not been as affected by this trend and I tend to agree with your PMI argument.
Jun 14, 2007 01:00 PM
Jeff Belonger
Social Media - Infinity Home Mortgage Company, Inc - Cherry Hill, NJ
The FHA Expert - FHA Loans - FHA mortgages - USDA loans - VA Loans

Kaye... some interesting points. Sure, rates on seconds are higher... sure, you can write off PMI on 2007 for now. But I still crunch numbers and usually would do a rate that includes PMI..   This is usually your best savings for 2 reasons. One especially now, that values have come down a little. Lenders use to sell the PMI aspect saying that you could do a new appraisal down the road, to get rid of PMI, if you have more equity later. Well, that won't work now. Here is a post I did on PMI a while back. Hope this helps some :  PMI (Private Mortgage Insurance); why you need it and the different types of PMI……  Overall..... good informative blog.

                                                                                                             jeff belonger

Jun 14, 2007 02:15 PM
Marlene Bridges
Village Real Estate Services, Inc. - Laguna Hills, CA
Laguna Homes|Laguna Condos|Laguna Real Estate
Hi Kaye - Enjoyed your post.  I especially enjoyed the four examples you gave at the end.  Like my old mom always says, they're just not making any more beach property.  Properties near the ocean will always have people who NEED  to buy them. What have you noticed in the condo market?
Jun 14, 2007 03:06 PM
Kaye Thomas
Real Estate West - Manhattan Beach, CA
e-PRO, Manhattan Beach CA

Ana- It seems that those with great financial resources are buying what they want and are not overly worried about the future of the overall real estate market..

Jeff-I have  not thought about PMI for years as the second market seemed to be such a better deal..but I must admit I have been questioning that in recent months.. Good article on PMI..

Marlene: Townhomes/Condos in MB are very hot right now.. Hermosa is seeing an upswing in the townhome/condo market  close to the beach.. North Redondo.. our area of affordable homes is holding it's own..

Jun 14, 2007 04:34 PM
Maggie Dokic /Indialantic | 321-252-8696
Magdalena Dokic - Indialantic, FL
Selling the beach in Florida's space coast

Kaye, I was so glad to read your post.  Let's show the public the numbers, which speak for themselves.  Your numbers are very encouraging.  Very nice post.

Jun 16, 2007 06:07 AM
Kaye Thomas
Real Estate West - Manhattan Beach, CA
e-PRO, Manhattan Beach CA

Maggie- I'm working on another post with numbers from 200-2007.. and they do speak for themselves..so glad you stopped by..

Jun 16, 2007 08:01 AM