Buyers or Sellers Market?
How About Both.
I’ve been telling people
for awhile now that it’s a
great time to buy a home in Southwest California.
According to CAR statistics, housing affordability in the state is the
highest it's been since they started keeping records. And with interest
rates still hovering near record
lows and a variety of government stimulus programs available, people
who have
been frozen out of the market by upward spiraling prices should be
taking
advantage of this market in record numbers – and they are. Prices
across our
region have been relatively stable since the end of 2008 and in some
markets have
even starting to tick upward.
An even more positive
market indicator is that some
experts and media pundits are voicing cautious optimism about the
economy in
general and housing in particular. Folks, by the time
the media figures out
we’re out of the slump you’ll already be a day late and $2 short to the
market.
But as good a time as it
is to buy – it’s
also a
terrific time to SELL! Yeah, you heard me. It is an
absolutely great time to be
a seller in this market too.
Now before you accuse me
of drinking on the job, let
me explain. Obviously it’s not a great market for all sellers but for
some of
you the timing may be just right. Our inventory – that is, the number
of homes
on the market actively for sale – is at record lows. A year ago it was
not
unusual to have 10 or 11 or even 14 months inventory available. That
was a lot
of homes for buyers to choose from, literally thousands across the
Inland
Empire.
Then came a huge buyer
surge that peaked across the
region in Sep/Oct 2008. 1st quarter sales this
year were 2 – 3 times
what they were a year ago. What happened? Inventory was depleted to the
point
where now many of our cities only have an active file of 2 months or
less.
And there’s still a lot
of buyers out there. Ask any
Realtor® and they’ll tell you – the biggest
problem with our market today is
lack of inventory to meet ready, willing and able buyer’s
demand. Any listing
worth looking at is generating
20 – 40 – 90 offers, many for cash, many in
excess of the listed price. And these are mostly for
bank-owned homes that need
work, or short sale homes that may take months to work through.
Imagine what a buyer
would do for your well-cared-for
‘regular sale’ home.
As a Seller, you might
be pleasantly surprised at what
your home would bring today. Oh I know, it’s nowhere near what it was
worth a
couple years ago but that was then – this is now. It could be 10 years
before
you see that price level again, and there are some that claim you never
will (I
don’t believe them – this is Southern California
after all).
But if you have equity
in your home and want to sell,
there’s a good chance by this
time next week you could have 53 offers, 21 for
cash, 14 over your asking price. If you recently watched
‘Shark Week’ on TV,
you’ll recognize the feeding frenzy.
So if you’ve been
thinking about moving up but were
waiting for the price of your home to bump up a little – DON’T wait. By
the
time you gain $10,000 on your home, the place you had your eye on will
gain
$15,000 and interest rates will be .5% higher. The longer you wait, the
behinder you get.
The bottom line in real
estate is that it’s always a
good market for somebody. Right now it’s a good market for
Buyers - but
frustrating. Many Buyers are submitting offers on 10 or more homes
hoping to
get selected for one after jumping through all the hoops the banks hold
up.
Your hassle-free, well-maintained home would be an oasis. That makes it
a
strong Sellers market for a
select group of homeowners in a position to take
advantage of the opportunity.
Few of us were able to
peg the absolute top of the
market reliably – otherwise you wouldn’t be thinking about selling
today. But even
fewer of us may be able to peg the absolute bottom of this market. If
you’d
like to look into what you might expect as a Seller in today’s market,
contact
your favorite Realtor®. Don’t let this be another one of those ‘Man I
wish I
woulda…’ moments in your life.
Make your house your
home, not an investment vehicle.
Anyway, that’s just my
opinion… I could be wrong.
Gene,
I truely love your view point on this topic. Although we are not to the extreme here with lack of inventory and 10 to 20 Offers on 1 property! We have seen some changes too! I agree now it is turning into both a Buyers and sellers market! People have become so discouraged with the short sales just not closing! I am with you on this! Spread the word!
Judy