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In recent months, we've noticed favorable market factors
at the lower end of the price/size range for homes for sale in
Eugene, Springfield and Lane County, OR.
We've read about declining inventories and stabilizing home prices in many parts of the country -- as evidenced by information posted on
the Active Rain real estate network.
The first reliable and positive national numbers appeared two months ago when
the Case-Shiller Index (as reported by Standard and Poors and the Wall Street Journal)
for May showed that Index's first month-on-month increases in nearly three years. The Case-Shiller report for June continued and amplified that trend.
Now, the Index for the month of
(reported on September 29) is again positive.
What is the Case-Shiller Index?
This monthly report is derived from year-on-year sale of the same homes.
It's not an arithmetic mean (average). It's not a statistical median (half above/half below).
It doesn't compare apples to oranges.
It compares prices paid for individual homes turning over during the reporting period.
It is the most accurate market statistic for prices of homes for sale in the United States.
For every metro area scored by Case-Shiller: a score of 100 represents the level of home prices in the year 2000.
Unfortunately, the Case-Shiller Index is compiled for only 20 American metropolitan areas as shown on the chart below.
The metro areas have been ranked in descending order
by the percentage change in price
during the twelve months ending in July, 2009.
Case-Shiller Index - July, 2009
Case-Shiller Index City
Index Value July, 2009
Change From June, 2009
Change for year ending in July, 2009
Only two cities among the Case-Shiller twenty failed to see an increase in prices during July:
Seattle (down 0.1%) and Las Vegas(down 1.1%).
None of the listed cities shows a positive number for the twelve-month period, though some are getting close.
The uptick in May, June and July means that the market is taking back a fraction of the loss in value experienced by U.S. homes for sale
during the last year.
The Case-Shiller city located closest to
the Eugene, Springfield and Lane County market is:
Portland's Index score reached it's highest point in July, 2007. That month the Portland score was 186.51 -- meaning prices in that metro area were 86.51 % higher than in January, 2000.
In July, 2009, Portland stood at 150.06 -- a decline in home values
of 19.5% from that July, 2007 high.
For comparison sake, the Case-Shiller Index numbers for June and May are repeated below:
Case-Shiller Index - June, 2009
Cities going from no change in May to an increase in June included:
New York and Tampa.
Cities changing from a decline in home prices during May to an increase in June were:
Seattle, Los Angeles, and Miami.
In June, Portland stood at 148.47 -- a decline in home values
of 20.3% from the July, 2007 high.
Case-Shiller Index City
Index Value June, 2009
Change From May, 2009
Change for year ending in June, 2009
Case-Shiller Index - May, 2009
Case-Shiller Index City
Index Value May, 2009
Change From April, 2009
Change for year ending in May, 2009
It would be great if we had Case-Shiller data for our own local market. Eugene is not Portland. Our housing values are different. Our local economy does not precisely track Portland. Our unemployment rate is higher. Our employer mix is much different.
Nevertheless, Portland is an important driver for what happens to home prices here. The upturn in Portland is truly good news. That it appears part of a national trend in prices for homes for sale is heartening.
Attractions, things to do, what's unique about living in Lane County.
New listings, new real estate trends and market data by RMLS market areas (neighborhood), including Ferry Street Bridge, North Gilham, Coburg - I-5 North, River Road, Santa Clara, North Springfield, Bethel - Danebo, Veneta - Elmira, Creswell - Cottage Grove, Pleasant Hill - Lowell - Oakridge.
Comments and updates on state and national real estate news, trends, hazards and opportunities.
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Disclaimer: ActiveRain Corp. does not necessarily endorse the real estate agents, loan officers and brokers listed on this site. These real estate profiles, blogs and blog entries are provided here as a courtesy to our visitors to help them make an informed decision when buying or selling a house. ActiveRain Corp. takes no responsibility for the content in these profiles, that are written by the members of this community.