Weak Dollar sends Oil Skyrocketing

In case nobody has been catching the recent surge in the cost of the Barrel of Oil:

From the New York Times

"But they say the most important factor is the falling value of the dollar, which is encouraging traders, institutions and foreign countries to invest their cash in hard assets like oil and gold. Oil is priced in dollars on global markets, and a falling dollar almost always puts upward pressure on oil."

Hmmm... Cash for Clunkers, Mortgage Modifications, First Time Homebuyer Tax Credits, Federal Reserve buying Mortgage Backed Securities, Bailouts, free money for all, etc, etc, etc...

Where does the Money Come From?

 

Borrowed and / or Printed Money resulting in a weak dollar. Oil is traded in Dollars and since there are more dollars (less value) going around... be prepared for higher gas prices on the way.

Weak Dollar Equals Higher Gas Prices ...

It has nothing to do with supply and demand and "everything to do with the weakness of the dollar," AAA South spokesman Gregg Laskoski said.

Gas prices usually decline in the fourth quarter. After Oct. 1, refineries switch to a winter blend that requires fewer additives and is cheaper to produce. Those savings are usually passed on to motorists.

In fact, gas prices have risen in the fourth quarter only once in the past 30 years, Laskoski said.

Gas Prices Jump 18 Cents in Two Weeks...

Something to think about before supporting Subsidies funded with Borrowed/Printed Money without thinking of the consequences.

I think most Real Estate Agents can certainly remember the drag we saw last time we saw $4 a gallon gasoline. Cities such as Las Vegas that rely on tourism certainly don't need it... especially right now.

To every action there is always an equal and opposite reaction....

 

Paul Francis, CRS
Prudential Americana Group
Las Vegas Real Estate - Summerlin Homes
702.592.3058

 

12 Comments on Are High Gas Prices on the Way to come Back and Haunt Us?

OCT
22

Oil & gas prices probably won't go to high this winter, but may increase quite a bit next spring and summer.

2:10pm • #1
179,557 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor

I'm all for high gas prices though they should be coming from taxation not oil company profits.  High gas prices are exactly what we need so behavior and purchasing decisions will change.

Liz

3:51pm • #2
4 Featured Posts

@ Liz - Interesting and I'm sure that will be coming soon enough. However... oil prices are currently rising because the value of the dollar is getting weaker and weaker and not because of the demand for oil.

My title of high gas prices was just used to attract attention of just one factor taking place as more debt is piled on and money is printed up to pay for everything... Mortgage Securities, $8,000 tax credits, etc.. etc..

Perhaps a Summary of the Argentinian Currency Crisis gives a hint of past mistakes trying to solve everybody's problems:

What a Financial Currency Crisis Looks Like

Pay Attention to the "Stages Leading to the Collapse" summary and apply.

Purchasing decisions are certainly going to be changing but I don't think in the current economy that it's going to be beneficial.

 

4:28pm • #3
OCT
23
Outside Blog
I think there should be at least a $1 gas tax or more. We pay way too little for gas and that is stopping us from development of alternative energies. The tax could actually be used to fix roads, create more bike lanes, and tremendously improve mass transit.
12:07pm • #4
False market gains are causing the price of crude to edge up!! I will be so thankful when our dependency on foreign oil finally starts to taper with emerging technology!! Thanks for posting!!
3:29pm • #5
OCT
27
4 Featured Posts

Weak Dollar Equals Higher Gas Prices ...

 

It has nothing to do with supply and demand and "everything to do with the weakness of the dollar," AAA South spokesman Gregg Laskoski said.

Gas prices usually decline in the fourth quarter. After Oct. 1, refineries switch to a winter blend that requires fewer additives and is cheaper to produce. Those savings are usually passed on to motorists.

In fact, gas prices have risen in the fourth quarter only once in the past 30 years, Laskoski said.

Gas Prices Jump Nearly 18 cents in two weeks...

12:58am • #6
OCT
28
4 Featured Posts

U.S. Airways announces 1,000 Layoffs

"It will drop flying in Colorado Springs, Colo., and Wichita, Kan. And it is trimming Las Vegas flights from 64 departures per day to 36. The airline will close crew bases in Las Vegas and at LaGuardia airport in New York on Jan. 31, and in Boston on May 2."

I don't know about anybody else... but the last several flights I've taken in and out of Las Vegas have been jam packed. Is U.S. Airways predicting higher fuel costs next year and preparing?

 

 

 

2:46pm • #7
198,980 Points 2 Featured Posts
I filled my tank today and thought how interesting it is that gas prices have stayed the same for so long....
11:50pm • #8
OCT
29
Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
We have seen a big jump in the prices again in the past three weeks. During the summer months I drive a car but during the winter months I drive a dodge durango and I am dreading the price increase.
2:01pm • #9
4 Featured Posts

Thanks Janna and Debra,

Not a good sign when the spokesman for AAA states that gas prices rising after October 1st has only happened once in the past 30 years. (And demand is actually down.)

I'll have to find the source again that shows the money supply has increased 120% in the past year and it generally takes about two years for the inflation to hit.

I hear the late 70's, early 80's were brutal years for interest rates when the Fed had to control inflation. (Don't remember... too young and I lived in Germany anyways to know / care at the time.)

As always... advising clients to buy near where they work if all possible.

 

9:17pm • #10
NOV
21
179,577 Points Outside Blog

Well it looks like we'll have to stay close to home again this year. It could be much worse.

3:14pm • #11
NOV
22
4 Featured Posts

Hello Robert,

You are certainly right but you need to keep in mind that this is a pretty clear indication (and the real purpose of this post) that the value of the dollar is going down the tubes due to all of the spending / borrowing and printing of money. Only one other time in the past 30 years have gas prices gone up after October 1st.

If this continues... wait till next Summer. I certainly remember seeing all of the empty businesses last time gas hit $4.00+ a gallon and unemployment is a lot higher this time around.

6:49am • #12

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Paul Francis, CRS - 702.592.3058 - www.LasVegasRealEstateHome.com

Las Vegas, NV

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Prudential Americana Group - REALTORS

Address: 871 Coronado Center Drive, Suite 100, Henderson, NV, 89052

Office Phone: (702) 592-3058

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