With crude oil at its highest levels since October 2008, retail gas is up 8 cents per gallon this week.

It's bad news for home buyers and mortgage rate shoppers.  The same force that's driving oil higher is linked to rising mortgage loan rates.

We're talking about the weakening U.S. Dollar which is now at its worst levels versus the Euro in 15 months.

Crude oil is priced in U.S. dollars, by the barrel.  When the dollar loses value, more of them are needed to buy the same barrel of oil.  As a result, predictably, the price of crude oil goes up.

Now, there are other reasons why crude oil is rising, but the fading U.S. dollar is one of the major ones and it's why we're addressing it.

The dollar has a similar impact on mortgage rates.

Mortgage rates are based on the price of mortgage bonds that -- like crude oil -- are also denominated in dollars. As the dollar loses value, so do mortgage bonds.  This causes demand for bonds to drop and prices on bonds to fall.

Because bond prices and bond rates move in opposite directions, mortgage rates rise and this is precisely what's happening on Wall Street today.

Since touching a 5-month low in early-October, mortgage rates have tacked on as much as 1/2 percent, depending on the product.  Moreover, with the dollar showing no signs of a rebound, the upward pressure on rates should continue.

 
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3 Comments on Gas Prices Rise, and so are mortgage rates!

OCT
23

That's insane! There is no reason for oil prices to where they are since demand is way down. But then again, the biggest commodity trader is Goldman Sachs. No wonder they were bailed out!

2:25am • #1
Outside Blog Hit Router

Rates are still at naer all time lows.  The Fed is also still commited to keeping rates low.  I think we are safe on mortgage rates for the near future.

2:36am • #2
OCT
27

Tiffany,  It is great to see a post from you -- haven't noticed one in a long time.  And you have a very important point here.  The weakening US dollar is a potential major problem and the fiscal irresponsibility of our government is driving it down.  I agree with you that this could be a huge influence on mortgage rates.

9:11pm • #3

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Tiffany Taylor

Newport Coast, CA

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