This is purely anecdotal evidence with regard to any big turnaround locally, but I have been happy and a little surprised at how much luxury home buying and selling activity we have seen at our company in the last quarter of 2009.  Over the past week or so, agents at our company have been working on the following:

  • Buyers looking at homes up to $3 million
  • Buyers up to $2 million
  • New listing for $800,000

Needless to say, this would make for a phenomenal final quarter for us. 

As always, I get the same question many times each day, "So, how is the market doing these days?"  I'm never one to pull punches, so if things are rough, I say so.  These days, whenever I say that we've been really busy in the second half of the year, most people assume it's because of the much-talked-about tax credit for first-time buyers.  In our case, nothing could be further from the truth.  I have exactly ONE buyer that will benefit from the tax credit (the current one, not the proposed one).

With that in mind, it makes me hopeful for 2010 and beyond, as the economic indicators seem to be improving at last and the general vibe is a positive one.  As I've written before, perception becomes reality, so when people think the economy is getting better, they spend money and it happens.  The converse is also true.  When people are told that times are bad, they stay home and stop spending money.

As a quick example, I still remember the reaction of our clients after 9/11 happened.  They froze.  Our team closed one deal in the entire last quarter of 2001.  Was there less money at that point?  Nope.  Had any of our buyers who cancelled lost their jobs?  Again, no.  They were worried about the financial future of our country, so they stopped buying, at least for awhile.  Unfortunately, THAT is what made things truly bad, not the original source of the fear.

I never advocate lying when friends or clients inquire about the state of the market, but I do advise sharing success stories if you have them.  As economic news (hopefully) continues to improve overall, this could lead to increased consumer spending on many fronts, and we may just see a real recovery. 

Quick disclaimer: Although I minored in Economics in college, the stuff above is just my own opinion.

Thanks for reading!

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15 Comments on Are Happy Days Here Again? Time Will Tell

OCT
30
608,726 Points 34 Featured Posts Outside Blog Hit Router

My latest buyers have all been in the upper range as well.  $650k, $700k, and $1.8M... why the last guy stopped at the .8 and not rounding to $2M, I'm not sure, but it's psychological in today's market.

3:12pm • #1
1 Featured Post Outside Blog

Hi Jason- I'm happy that you are reporting things looking up.  That's good news.  We have also seen a great year.  Can we get some more of these stories?  --Sara

3:14pm • #2
220,708 Points 6 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Hi Jason,  I am like you, I've only had one of my first time buyers who actually pulled the trigger and will take advantage of the tax credit.  But I have been busy and the two settlements I have lined up for December are $490,000 and $610,000.  I am not drowning in settlements but I am holding my own and have enough, which is my goal in life.  To have just enough with some left over to invest in the kid's college and our retirement.  I have picked up enormously during the second half of the year but having anything was an enormous improvement for me because last fall and this early year were abysmal.  I don't believe in spouting doom and gloom or pretending all is well when it's not but we do need to paint as positive a picture and the truth will allow.

3:28pm • #3

I do advise sharing success stories if you have them. 

Hi Jason,

Last night I was watching an international business show out of the UK.  I think you will be interested to learn that even people in the UK have heard about Texas as a good real estate market!

3:32pm • #4
657,418 Points 108 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Donna - I have a handful in the upper range as well, but I was especially happy to see some of my agents getting multimillion dollar buyers.  The $1.8 million buyer does sound like he might have a psychological barrier.  We once had a buyer who said they would consider up to $2.8 million, then they bought a property for just over $4 million from us!

Sara - The first half of the year felt less exciting to me, but the last few months have been awesome.  I hope to have more to share!

Susan - That's great!  I know that you have a similar outlook with regard to how you handle your business.  It's known as "integrity".  :)

Bruce - I'm certainly glad to hear that!

 

3:40pm • #5
227,493 Points 5 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

Jason --- this is great news --- we have had clients recently in the higher price range, also.

  
             Mama Liz

4:17pm • #6
591,313 Points 82 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

Jason...

We closed about 40 sides at our store this month, about 80% seeking the tax credit. Real estate really is local!

5:28pm • #8
323,191 Points Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

Jason

That is great! I have seen an upsurge  in investors seeking properties in our area which I feel is a sign of confidence also.

9:22pm • #9
OCT
31
162,550 Points 1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

Jason so true the whole market is starting to show signs of movement.  I like to call it the "Trickle up affect".

11:46am • #10
NOV
01
1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor

I keep seeing and saying the same thing. I think many agents are burrowing down thinking that the times are still not turning. These are the agents who are going to miss the early surge. Thanks for confirming the current market trends.

 

6:41pm • #11
NOV
02
Outside Blog

Wow. Sounds good. Been busiest in the under-$200K range myself.

4:23pm • #12
171,451 Points 6 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Hit Router

But your point, Jason, was not so much about being self-congratulatory...but rather, about a maxim that is as old as time itself: belief precedes behavior, or as James so eloquently put it, "faith without works is dead"...if we believe that something is going to happen, then we take active steps to ensure that it does. We really work towards things if we believe that it is going to be so. And for all of our sakes, I hope that we are really reading the signs right...

11:44pm • #13
NOV
03
432,313 Points 47 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Good to hear the market is looking up. I hope the trend continues!

8:19am • #14
388,626 Points 9 Featured Posts Outside Blog

"Quick disclaimer: Although I minored in Economics in college, the stuff above is just my own opinion."

Opinions should always be based on facts, as yours obviously are.  Hope everything keeps going well.

8:46pm • #15

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Jason Crouch, Broker - Austin Texas Real Estate (512-796-7653)

Austin, TX

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Austin Texas Homes, LLC

Address: 3636 Executive Center Drive, Suite 210, Austin, TX, 78731

Office Phone: (512) 796-7653

Cell Phone: (512) 796-7653

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I write about humorous stories, family, things that are interesting to me, and the Austin real estate market.

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