As most readers of my blog posts know, I am a different kind of mortgage professional.  I employ a wide variety of strategies to help Florida families build their wealth over time.  One of the ways I differ from most others is that I talk a lot about how a hurricane, or any other distater for that matter, can wipe out your home equity, possibly never to be seen again.

So, are you fully prepared for this hurricane season in regards to protecting the equity you have "trapped" in your home.  If you have rushed to pay off your mortgage as quickly as possible, you may not be as prepared as you think.  If a hurricane hits, there are multiple ways you could lose your home for good and all of the equity you deposited into it.

OK, what if a Category 5 hurricane were to strike the South Florida coast, packing winds in excess of 155 mph?  If it were to come ashore near the Ft. Lauderdale airport and move slowly, you would have about the worst disaster you could imagine.  Nearly every resident of Palm Beach, Broward, and Dade Counties would experience full force winds, likely endure major flooding, and obviously be without power and supplies for a long time.

As the storm tracks westward across the state, it encounters Lake Okeechobee and causes several breaches resulting in more flooding of the low-lying areas nearby and even further south as the water travels into already saturated areas.  Winds will likely have died down some most probably the area will be hit by Category 4 winds.

The storm continues across the state towards the west coast of Florida.  Now Naples, Ft. Myers, Sarasota, and even upwards to Tampa get to experience the flodding and substantial winds.  While the storm dies down more as it moves over land, it could very well reach the west coast of Florida as a Category 3 or stronger storm, depending on its path.  If it moves only slightly north, Orlando would feel its wrath as well.

As you can see, if a storm of this magnitude hits South Florida and moves along the right path for a worst case scenario, virtually everyone living in Orlando and south would have their homes damaged or destroyed. 

So what happens to your home equity then?  Most of Florida throughout this region have homes over $250,000 in value.  That is where one of the biggest problems lies.  Flood insurance for residential properties is capped at $250,000, therefore all losses exceeding that amount are out of your pocket.  Oh, and if that weren't bad enough, the lender gets the check and will most likely apply it to your mortgage as an extra principal payment, leaving you possibly with nothing.  (Commercial properties can carry flood insurance to $500,000)

If you do not have sufficient money in liquid side accounts, you are facing foreclosure and financial ruin, not question about it and you have just lost everything.  That is one reason I recommend keeping money out of your home if that "fits" your situation. 

But what if you have damage fully covered by insurance?  Well, you still will need a substantial amount of money to pay for rent or other costs associated with your living while your house is being repaired.  Repairs will likely take more than 1 year to complete, possibly several.  Likely, a disaster of this magnitude will leave you without a job also, at least for a while, complicating things further.  While lenders will waive some monthly payments, that usually only lasts two or three months, then you have to start paying that monthly mortgage again.  Failure to do so will result in foreclosure and most likely wipe out all of your home equity. 

What are the odds of a Category 5 storm hitting South Florida?  Well, I cannot state the odss on a Cat. 5 hitting South Florida, but depending on where you live in Florida the odds of being hit by a hurricane has been calculated on this website... www.floridahurricane.net.  Miami carries a 1 in 6 chance strike probability.  Key West and Palm Beach are only slightly less risky at 1 in 8 and 1 in 7 respectively.  Pensacola weighs in the same as Key West. 

As you can see, the odds favor a storm hitting South Florida and this worst case scenario could play out.  Let's hope not, but if it does, what are you doing to prepare?

 
This post has been included in Florida Information

4 Comments on WARNING: Category 5 Hurricane Approaching Florida (What if?)

JUN
25
2007
4 Featured Posts

what if it doesn't, which is much more likely. the path that you just described is nearly impossible.

 

3:10pm • #1
27 Featured Posts

Jay,

While it may not happen, it could.  First, nothing is impossible and actually, this path is very possible.  In fact, an unnamed storm in 1903 took that exact path.  It is unlikely this event will occur as I presented it, but you never know, which is my point.

The paths that hurricanes take depend on a number of factors, and if presented with the right ones, this event would occur and in fact emergency officials are planning on something like this, which they are calling "Hurricane Ono".  If we do not plan for the worst case, we will never be prepared enough.

Let me use an example from aviation history.  United Flight 292 that crashed in Sioux City, IA a while ago.  McDonnell Douglas, the designers of the DC-10, said it was a million to one chance that what happened could occur.  They stated that the chances of losing all 3 hydraulic systems simultaneous was so remote, they never planned anything into its design or procedures.  Guess what?  It happened and fortunately about half the people on board survived due to the skills and quick thinking of the crew.

3:23pm • #2
AUG
23
2007
110,590 Points 10 Featured Posts Outside Blog
I just ran into your blog post today. I was curious how Jay doesn't think this scenario could happen. Does he not remember Hurricane Andrew, which a few years ago was officially upgraded to a Cat 5? Hurricanes take interesting paths. Hurricane Ivan, which in 2004 blasted through Pensacola, my home at the time, went inland and curved to the east, it actually exited back into the Atlantic, gained strength again and then turned back around again into the Gulf and went and hit Texas. After living in Florida for 2003-2005 and seeing all the storms coming into the Gulf, I can believe anything now about a Hurricane.
10:11am • #3
AUG
25
2007
130,211 Points Outside Blog

You know, I don't get all the fuss? Granted, hurricanes do a lot of damage - but if you have INSURANCE, you know it is coming and simply pack up and get out of the way! My family moved to South Tampa in 1954 and in all that time they had to leave their home ONCE for a hurricane! And the only damage they sustained was some water getting into the downstairs part of the home. They replaced the carpeting! That is over 50 years! With odds like that, I just don't see what all the fuss is about.

I know of others who had homes on the other coasts that were damaged, but again, they packed up and got out! When they came back, they had the house repaired after calling the insurance company. The house was in better condition after the repairs and life goes on.

Tornadoes scare me much more! You don't know it is coming until it is on top of you!!!!

10:00am • #4

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Florida's #1 Mortgage Planner

Pembroke Pines, FL

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Robert D. Ashby, CMPS - Solid Rock Mortgage Corporation

Address: 19451 Sheridan St., #291, Pembroke Pines, FL, 33332

Office Phone: (954) 432-3450

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Florida Mortgage Specialist provides "thought provoking" topics and strategies for proper mortgage planning. MEDS™ is a unique mortgage process that properly integrates your mortgage into your financial plan.

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