Jeez there are times I just hate to be right. Back in May I wrote about the much vaunted 'Cash for Clunkers' program and what the likely outcome might be in my humble opinion. Well, the numbers are in - no, not the governments numbers, the real numbers the government didn't want you to see that had to be obtained through the freedom of information act. It's that whole transparency thing, you know. And it's even worse than I thought. Let's take a look at some of those numbers, shall we?

Here's the fun facts about the recently completed 'cash for clunkers' program, another well  conceived and soundly implemented government-run program. A new reportwas released by the AP yesterday using figures obtained under the freedom of information act. If the AP isn't careful with this kind of factual and statistical reporting they'll soon find themselves under siege by the White House ala Fox News. You can read the full report here: Cash for Clunkers - FAIL.

Of the 677,081 clunkers traded under the program it appears that about 15% got less than 20 mpg. 8,200 times, owners of high mileage Ford F150 pickups simply traded them for new F150's making it the most highly traded vehicle, followed by Dodge Rams and Chevy Silverados.  Many of these vehicles had over 200,000 miles on them so the owners simply swapped. Yeah, they'll be buying again soon. 

Of the estimated $3 Billion spent by the government, $562,000 went for vehicles that got the same or worse mileage than the trade-ins. Most of the trucks traded saw improvements of between 1 and 3 mpg, if at all. A total of almost $1 Billon went for this type of vehicle. 

Trades into higher mileage vehicles like Corollas, Camrys, Civics, Prius' and Focus' rounded out the top ten and accounted for about $2 billion of the total. Those vehicles brought the average fuel economy for vehicles sold under the program to 24.9, up from 15.8 on the trade-ins.

So let's do some math. 

Using round numbers, if your clunker got 15 mpg and you drove 12,000 miles a year you used 800 gallons of gas. The vehicle you purchased got 25 mpg so that same 12,000 miles only used 480 gallons. Good so far?

So the average clunker traded reduced fuel consumption by 320 gallons a year. That's pretty good, eh?

Assuming they got 700,000 of those rust-buckets off the road (actually 677,081), that saved about 224 million gallons of gas. 

It takes about 5 million barrels of oil to produce 224 million gallons of gas.

That's about 1/4 of one days consumption in these United States.

At a price of $75 a barrel (give or take), those 5 million barrels cost $350 million.

So unless I'm wrong here somewhere, the program that this administration lauds as such a great success from an economic and environmental perspective, actually cost us $3 Billion to save $350 Million. That sounds like my wife at a Nordstrom's shoe sale. 

Now line up like good like doo-bees because these same people want to sell you a health care program. I can hardy wait.

Of course that's just my opinion... I could be wrong.

 
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11 Comments on Cash for Clunkers - FAIL. Next up? Healthcare.

NOV
05
836,450 Points 213 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

Mmmm.  Timing is everything. 

Nordstrom is having their half yearly shoe sale this week. 

The government wants to sell me on a rinky dink health care plan.

I'm going to Nordstrom tomorrow.

 

 

6:21pm • #1
105,039 Points Outside Blog

God save us from this Obama'nation and the Dems idea of utopia: Hell.

7:33pm • #3
Outside Blog

Gene - You forgot to factor in all those jobs the program saved, which will contribute more tax money.  At least until next week when all those jobs will be gone because the program ended.  But still.

10:57pm • #4
337,394 Points 4 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Gene - and it saved an estimated 1 - 2 hours worth of emissions per year, unless people drive further now with the better mileage and cheaper gas.

11:34pm • #5
NOV
06

Gene- so if cash for clunkers is a fail....what do feel about the 1st time buyer tax credit and now the long time resident buyer credit?

What do you see as the difference between this two government programs?

1:33am • #6
306,351 Points Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Gene - I sent this to my liberal son in law who thinks cash for clunkers was the best thing for America. When people understand government waste has to come out of tax payers pockets sooner or later, then they will understand. It is good to be young and stupid sometimes, but this is not one of them.

6:21am • #7
181,461 Points

Nick -Yeah but when I was young and stupid I also drank alot. Now that I'm older and more sober things don't look to good.

8:41am • #8
NOV
07
306,351 Points Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Kevin- Yes, we put the foolish things behind us and now we have the responsibility of wisdom and posterity.

8:51am • #10
131,791 Points 13 Featured Posts

Darin - interesting question and one that is being asked by many. The main thing they have in common is that as gov't run programs they are both filled with loopholes and were inadequately thought out in an attempt to rush them to market. This resulted in fraud to a greater or lesser degree - depending on your source.

From that convergent point, there are few similarities - Obviously the HO tax credit is a far smaller percentage of the total purchase price, the buyer has a far greater stake in the outcome, rather than a one time boost the HO credit has resulted in 1,000's of inventory homes removed from the market, leading to stabilized prices and the spectre of growth, the homes are now producing revenue for both mortgage lenders and tax revenues for the government. In short, the HO program is, in the words of Lawrence Yun, one that pays for itself almost immediately while the c4c does not.

Perhaps the biggest single difference is that HO tax credit brings families to the Ameriocan Dream of home ownership, the other just gets you a car.

12:33pm • #11

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Gene Wunderlich - Realtor®, Government Affairs Director

Temecula, CA

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Southwest Riverside County Association of Realtors

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