We proctorybably just had the most important vote of this Congress at least as far as the 2010 elections are concerned.  The health insurance government takeover bill passed 220-215.  One Republican from New Orleans voted for the bill.  He represents a district McCain and Bush got 23 and 24% of the vote in respectively.  He's obviously voting for political survival.  He made a serious mistake.  I think the circumstances of his election are such that he is unlikely to survive anyway and it would have been far better if he stayed home and voted on principle.  (He beat the $90,000-in-a-freezer congressman in an election delayed due to Hurricane Ike that had very low turnout).  It hurts we can't have absolute unanimity--all 7 of the Cap-and-Trade Republicans still in Congress voted right this time.

Far more important though are the 39 Democrats who voted against the takeover bill.  They are also voting their political interests.  37 of them represent districts Bush won in 2004.  One of the two who does not is Artur Davis from Alabama who is running for Governor and he voted consistently with the wishes of the statewide Alabama electorate--heavy McCain and Bush.  The other "no" Democrat from an Obama and Kerry district is Dennis Kucinich who probably voted for it because it is not more radical than it is, i.e., it does not directly impose a single-payer system.

Obama carried 8 of the districts held by "no" vote Democrats, but McCain managed at least 45% in the six that Bush carried.  In a more normal political cycle, these districts would be expected to go Republican again.  (Two of them already have, one casting over 60% for Republican Governor-elect Bob McDonnell last Tuesday and another New Jersey district going handily for Chris Christie as well). 

The 39 Democrats may have helped themselves in 2010, but the vast majority remain in deep trouble.  Pelosi probably gave them a license to vote "no", to protect their re-election prospects.  She handed out as many licenses as she thought she could and still pass the bill.  But they are still are voting for the leadership of the most unpopular politician in America.  The charade of voting against her bill will not save a lot of them. 

In addition, there are about 55 Democrats who represent McCain or Bush districts or who tookover Republican seats in 2006 or 2008 and who voted for the takeover.  These Democrats are more vulnerable now than they were yesterday.  In addition there about twenty Democrats representing districts that neither Bush or McCain carried but were close enough that in the environment we have now could be vulnerable.  Adding these categories of districts together yields well over 100 vulnerable or potentially vulnerable Democrat seats.       

Below are the 40 Members of Congress who crossed partylines and the presidential vote in their districts.

MC
State First Elected McCain 08 Bush 04





Democrats




Adler NJ 2008 47% 51%
Altmire PA 2006 55% 54%
Baird WA 1998 45% 50%
Barrow GA 2002 45% 50%
Boccieri OH 2008 50% 54%
Boren OK 2000 66% 52%
Boucher VA 1982 59% 59%
Boyd FL 1990 54% 54%
Bright AL  2008 63% 67%
Chandler KY 2004 55% 58%
Childers MS 2008 62% 62%
Davis AL  2002 29% 35%
Davis TN 2002 64% 58%
Edwards TX 1990 67% 70%
Gordon TN 1984 62% 60%
Griffith AL  2008 61% 60%
Herseth Sandlin SD 2004 53% 60%
Holden PA 1992 51% 58%
Kissell NC 2008 47% 54%
Kosmas FL 2008 51% 55%
Kratovil MD 2008 58% 62%
Kucinich OH 1996 39% 41%
Markey CO 1998 50% 58%
Marshall GA 2002 56% 61%
Massa NY 2008 50% 56%
Matheson UT 2000 58% 66%
McIntyre NC 1996 52% 54%
McMahon NY 2008 51% 55%
Melancon LA 2004 61% 58%
Minnick ID 2008 62% 69%
Murphy NY 2009 48% 54%
Nye VA 2008 48% 58%
Peterson MN 1990 50% 55%
Ross AR 2000 58% 51%
Shuler NC 2006 52% 57%
Skelton MO 1976 61% 64%
Tanner TN 1988 56% 53%
Taylor MS 1989 67% 68%
Teague NM 2008 50% 58%





Republican




Cao LA 2008 23% 24%






--I thought this was important information to post. It gives me hope that we have not seen the end to our freedoms concerning health care and other major issues in the United States. We still have the hope of the Senate, but even if we fail there we have 2010 and 2012 to get back on track. Yes it is a down day, but I see rays of light piercing through the clouds. We have a voice and we have a nation that is waking up to a new reality and leadership that they are not enamored with any longer. This is going to set the stage for electing leadership that truly represents the Nation not a socialist agenda.

 
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12 Comments on The Health care Victory...

NOV
08
396,952 Points 15 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Dinah Lee:  this morning as I was scanning the list of those who voted against the bill, and saw that Dennis Kucinich voted against passage, I really wondered what the full story was behind his vote.

I am also very upset that the conservative bishops of the Catholic church chose to try and impose their religious beliefs upon the country by pressuring a group of conservative Democrats to vote against a woman's right to control her own body, and her own future.  Just another example of men controlling women, and another step towards an American Taliban Theocracy.  Conservative Americans, and conservative Iranians DO have quite a bit in common.

I do not fear any imagined "socialist agenda"... but I DO fear a country ruled and governed by the religious beliefs of one group of people.  That is what Iran is, and that is what Saudi Arabia is.  I do not want that for America.  Believe what you want... just don't force it on me.

12:53pm • #1

Wow, no to a theocracy and yes to socialism.  I say no to both.

1:25pm • #2
396,952 Points 15 Featured Posts Outside Blog

@ Ross:  I am sorry... but the idea that the health care bill will lead to socialism is NOT true.  It is your political "belief"... that is all.  You have yours, I have mine.

1:53pm • #3
320,928 Points Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

They stiil have to make it through the senate with the bill....time will tell. The fact that only one Republican voted yes is a stark reminder that the divide in this country is growing even wider. I remind everyone that our current President promised to bring us all together.....

8:16pm • #4
106,679 Points 1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor

Hi Dinah!  I don't visit this group often but I like the way you blog! 

9:11pm • #5
NOV
09
179,524 Points

Karen- You are correct that it will not lead to socialism. It is socialism!

8:55am • #6
NOV
10
Outside Blog

Ditto Larry * Senate may be HARDER because of the need for 60 votes and the items that were pulled out from the House bill.

I have my fingers crossed that our 2 VA Democratic Senators * one moderate (Warner)and one semi-moderate vote (Webb) AGAINST what is presented to them.

6:15am • #7
8 Featured Posts

The Democrats are too blinded by the prize to see what's going on around them.  I can't say that I'm sorry because I will get to enjoy the satisfaction of watching them scratching their heads in 2010 when America once again gets to speak! 

11:17pm • #8
NOV
11
396,952 Points 15 Featured Posts Outside Blog

There are many items that have either been added or deleted from the Health Care Bill... and one of the latest deletions is the refusal to pay for procedures that are sorely needed by women.  Denying women the choice of doing what they and their doctor deem important... is horrible.

Be that as it may, I believe that this Health Care Bill... is pretty much dead.  I think the Republicans have killed it.  I also think there have been some "poison pills" inserted that will cause enough Democrats to vote against it... so I predict it will not fly.

12:08am • #9
277,292 Points 4 Featured Posts Outside Blog Hit Router

Karen- The procedure you are referring to is not illegal. In my opinion it is very self centered to expect that those who feel it is a sin to take a babies life before birth should have to pay for it too! I will not get into the amount of options that are available to avoid this "need."

I can say that I found myself pregnant at 17 without much income and today my 17 year old daughter and I made breakfast together and had a great conversation. I could not imagine the world without her. She was my choice and I would make the same one again and again.I love her and I am grateful for every single moment I have with her. No regrets. Our finances improved, time eased the fear. And I had faith in my God that we would see it through and we did.

Alyssa Marie Lynn Griffey

1:12pm • #11
396,952 Points 15 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Dinah Lee:  I very much understand what you are saying about abortion, and about your daughter.  But... as far as YOUR tax money paying for it... what about those who feel killing in the Iraq war is a sin, or killing with the death penalty is a sin ?  Do they then get to go on the list of those who should not have to pay for those "sins" happening ?  

By the way... Alyssa Marie is just beautiful... and I'm sure breakfast was great !  Did she cook, or did you... LOL ?

1:20pm • #12
277,292 Points 4 Featured Posts Outside Blog Hit Router

Karen, you have a great point.I think that should be considered. I am glad you pointed that out, it is good food for thought.

 And as far as Breakfast, it was a joint effort... and it was delicious!

1:51pm • #13

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Dinah Lee Griffey Allyn, Belfair,& LakeLand-Homes & Land

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