Commerical property is going to experience as bad or worse than the residential sector. Intresting notes from some sources that I have seen.
From April 09 until August 09 the amount of commercial loans placed into special servicing has doubled to $50 billion. What is special servicing? You don't want to know. You don't want your loans there, and you don't want to do business with people who have there loans there.
"The lodging sector experienced the largest jump from 6.72 percent last month to 8.67, over ten times the delinquency rate at the end of October last year." "Five states now have an overall CMBS delinquency rate of over 10 percent (NC, MT, MI, AZ and FL). Among the largest MSAs for delinquencies are: Tallahassee (27%), Fort Myers (23%), Tucson (18%), Las Vegas (16%), Detroit (12%) and Riverside (11%). Source: Trepp LLC
This is data that supports my viewpoint. It's a bad time to invest in commercial property. I think there will be tons of great deals in the future. Some deals I see now look like great deals, I put those definately under 10%. I believe the best move is to wait and accumulate capital.


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Colorado Mortgage Broker license LMB100026528
Mike Henderson specializes in the following areas in real estate in the Denver, Colorado metro area; investors, first time homebuyers, luxury property, short sales, and light rail properties. Of course I can also provide financing or refinacing across the state of Colorado.
Mike, I can't help but wonder about your photo. It looks like your wedding photo. Is there any significance to this other than an attention grabber?