Commerical property is going to experience as bad or worse than the residential sector.  Intresting notes from some sources that I have seen. 

From April 09 until August 09 the amount of commercial loans placed into special servicing has doubled to $50 billion.  What is special servicing?  You don't want to know.  You don't want your loans there, and you don't want to do business with people who have there loans there.

"The lodging sector experienced the largest jump from 6.72 percent last month to 8.67, over ten times the delinquency rate at the end of October last year." "Five states now have an overall CMBS delinquency rate of over 10 percent (NC, MT, MI, AZ and FL). Among the largest MSAs for delinquencies are: Tallahassee (27%), Fort Myers (23%), Tucson (18%), Las Vegas (16%), Detroit (12%) and Riverside (11%).  Source: Trepp LLC

This is data that supports my viewpoint.  It's a bad time to invest in commercial property.  I think there will be tons of great deals in the future.  Some deals I see now look like great deals, I put those definately under 10%.  I believe the best move is to wait and accumulate capital.

 

 

*****************************************************************************

CONTACT ME I CAN HELP!  IF I CAN'T, I KNOW WHO CAN

*****************************************************************************


Colorado Real Estate license FA100027713

Colorado Mortgage Broker license LMB100026528

Mike Henderson specializes in the following areas in real estate in the Denver, Colorado metro area; investors, first time homebuyers, luxury property, short sales, and light rail properties.  Of course I can also provide financing or refinacing across the state of Colorado.

 

 
Post is included in group: Investing in Real Estate
Post is included in group: Commercial Real Estate Financing
Post is included in group: Commercial Real Estate
Post is included in group: Colorado Real Estate
Post is included in group: Active Rain Investor Group

5 Comments on What is happening with Commercial Property loans

NOV
09
Outside Blog

Mike, I can't help but wonder about your photo.  It looks like your wedding photo.  Is there any significance to this other than an attention grabber?

6:41pm • #1

Mike,

There are alot of good deals out there, but NEVER pay market price for commercial deals today.   It's better to buy non-performing loans on commercial property, you get them at 50 cents or less on the dollar of the current balance of the loan.

I have seen already a modern newly built mall in AZ that was appraised at 13 million go for 2 million.  So the deals are out there, you just have to know where to look.....

11:32pm • #2
NOV
10

@Barbara - I'll write a blog about it.

@Kenneth - Without a doubt.  You are absolutely right.  I see the commercial market as still crashing.  It's like trying to catch the falling knife.  If you can find the right deal, with the right financing ... Let me know.

12:21am • #3
NOV
13
531,648 Points 52 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Geez I am so used to NV being on these "worst of" lists.  I am shocked we didn't make this one (and happy at the same time!)

7:02pm • #4

@renee - The state didn't make it but your fair city did.  Sounds like you are doing great to adapt to a changing market.

7:19pm • #5

Leave a response…



(optional)
What does the graphic say?
 
Rainmaker_large

Mike Henderson 303-949-5848 Genius Ventures

Littleton, CO

More about me…

People-Property-Money ~ Everything the Investor Needs

Address: 6122 S. Crestview St., Littleton, CO, 80120

Office Phone: (800) 910-5414

Cell Phone: (303) 949-5848

Email Me

View from the ground level in the Colorado Mortgage and Real Estate market. Areas of Specialization 1) Investors 2) First time homebuyers 3) Luxury Properties 4) Short sales 5) Light rail properties Financing for all the above type transactions whether you are looking for FHA, conventional mortgages, 203 (K), streamline, hard money, private money, or non traditional financing like lease options I can help. Subscribe in a reader


Links

Archives

RSS 2.0 Feed for this blog

Find CO real estate agents and Littleton real estate on ActiveRain.