Occasionally, I like to put on my tin-foil hat and gaze into my crystal ball to see what the future holds.
Allow me to digress. (I promise, I will get back to the point):
The home inspection profession is fairly young and overcrowded. It's sort of like the early days of computers when everyone was trying to get in on the action. (Do you remember Singer computers, made by the famous sewing machine company? - I do.)
Of course, home inspectors (like computers) have been around longer than many people realize, but there came a time when the concept became mainstream. For computers, that was in the 1980's. For home inspectors, it was mostly during the 1990's.
The problem for home inspectors (as I see it) is that many people don't really know what they are getting from a home inspection. Realtors like home inspections as a means to reduce their own liability, but they are sometimes annoyed that inspectors say bad things about houses. Home buyers see home inspectors as an expensive commodity that is useful for protecting themselves against unseen defects.
(Note: Besides being an engineer and home inspector, I am also an MBA. So, the word commodity has a well defined meaning to me. A commodity is an undifferentiated product whose price is determined strictly by supply and demand. Undifferentiated means that brand or source are not important. Salt is a good example of a commodity. Steak sauce, on the other hand, is not a commodity. When you're eating in a restaurant, you don't really care what brand of salt is in the shaker, but you may care what brands of steak sauce they bring you.)
Home inspectors try hard to differentiate themselves by pointing out their background, their "certifications," or special technologies they offer, but many consumers and stakeholders (realtors) view a home inspection as a commodity. They believe they are buying a fairly standardized product; and the cheaper, the better.
OK, back to the point:
I believe that in the long run, the market will provide what consumers expect, and consumers of home inspections expect a standardized product that protects them against unseen defects. If an undetected problem presents itself after the closing, the buyer will expect compensation or relief.
I think home inspections will begin to follow the model of title companies. For a price, title companies do a "due-diligence" review of records to verify there is a clear title and they provide insurance against the possibility that they missed something important. I predict that, in the future, home inspection companies will do a "due-diligence" inspection, making a reasonable effort to identify defects and then provide insurance against undiscovered defects. It won't be cheap. I'm guessing the price would be $1500 or more for the average home, but buyers would be getting what they really want and expect.
The average independent inspector (like me) does not have the financial power to offer that kind of coverage. Insurance companies will have to provide the backing, and the cost will depend on the inspector's skill at reducing the insurance company's risk by finding defects. "Look-See" inspections with a "driveway report" will be a thing of the past. Inspectors who aren't very good at finding problems won't last long.
Since title companies are very familiar with this business model, they may very well move into this area. As with title insurance, the party paying for it will likely be the seller. State laws will probably require a clearly stated list of exclusions be provided to potential buyers. The seller will be motivated to find the least expensive provider, but the least expensive provider will probably have the most exclusions, and buyers will be turned-off by lots of exclusions. Realtors and sellers will be off-the-hook in terms of liability as long as they follow the rules.
That's what I see in my crystal ball. How about you?
David Harkness, P.E.
Consulting Engineer / Inspector
http://homeanalytical.com
The first thing I tell clients is I do not have X-Ray vision or a crystal ball,but I suppose you could see that as one possibility of many.
How about an appraiser inspection combination Dave?
Some inspectors are going into consultation so they can expand services,so anything is possible.