Citing moderate economic growth during the first six months of the year, the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee last week decided to leave its short-term interest rate at 5.25 percent, where it has stood since June 2006. The federal funds target rate is the interest rate charged by banks when they borrow funds "overnight" from each other. While the federal funds rate has no direct impact on other rates, such as those for mortgages, it can alter them indirectly.

In a prepared statement, the Fed acknowledged that while readings on core inflation have improved in recent months, risk remains that inflation will fail to moderate in the coming months as expected. "A sustained moderation in inflation pressures has yet to be convincingly demonstrated," according to the statement

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 percent.

Economic growth appears to have been moderate during the first half of this year, despite the ongoing adjustment in the housing sector. The economy seems likely to continue to expand at a moderate pace over coming quarters.

Readings on core inflation have improved modestly in recent months. However, a sustained moderation in inflation pressures has yet to be convincingly demonstrated. Moreover, the high level of resource utilization has the potential to sustain those pressures.

In these circumstances, the Committee's predominant policy concern remains the risk that inflation will fail to moderate as expected. Future policy adjustments will depend on the evolution of the outlook for both inflation and economic growth, as implied by incoming information.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Thomas M. Hoenig; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Cathy E. Minehan; Frederic S. Mishkin; Michael H. Moskow; William Poole; and Kevin M. Warsh.

 

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