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Inventory -- in real estate, it's a fancy way of saying how many homes are available for sale.  It's fancy because most real estate agents are used to talking in single syllable REALTOR-speak, to wit:

buy, sell, rent, sold, price, sale, home, house, etc.

As we approach 2010 (not the sci-fi sequel to 2001, but the year), it is clear when analyzing the Northern Virginia real estate market that The Story is Inventory, or more appropriately, the lack of inventory.

Take a look at some charts that vividly show you the picture of inventory in Northern Virginia, comparing today's numbers to those of 4 weeks ago, January 1, 2009, and January 1, 2008.  The graphs speak for themselves.

Alexandria Virginia Housing Inventory December 2009

Arlington Virginia Housing Inventory December 2009

Fairfax County Housing Inventory December 2009

Just to highlight, in Fairfax County, there is just under 50% as many homes available for sale today as there were on January 1st, 2009!

With many real estate listings set to expire on December 31, 2009 (2 days from now), I'm expecting that inventory numbers will be even lower as we enter the new year.

Currently there is approximately a 1.9 month supply of homes on the market when you combine these three Northern Virginia jurisdictions.

What does this mean? 

  • Demand for homes in the Northern Virginia and D.C. region has not dissipated.  With the growth of the federal government and our relatively stable (and best) job market in the country, people are relocating to the area.

  • The $8000 first time homebuyer tax credit and $6500 move-up tax credit available until April 30, 2010 will continue to fuel housing demand.

  • Unless inventory increases significantly, in 2010, you should expect to see 2004/2005 style bidding wars and the continued rebound from pricing lows.

  • If you are selling your home, there may be no better time than 2010 to get it sold fast (as long as you price it right and use a skilled REALTOR). 

 

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8 Comments on The Story is Inventory (or lack thereof)

DEC
29
2009
509,525 Points 70 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Brian - these seems almost unbelievable to me ! Wow ! The government relo demand sure has affected the 'inventory' like no other place in the country !

Good luck to you in 2010, and I hope you get some of those bidding wars on your listings !

Cheers !

1:00pm • #1
566,349 Points 79 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Brian~ 

When I read " Demand for homes in the Northern Virginia and D.C. region has not dissipated...." I felt uplifted!  

2:02pm • #2
781,245 Points 71 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Our inventory levels are way down as well. Best of luck in 2010 Brian!

4:19pm • #3
1,063,242 Points 156 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Brian, in our area, FINALLY inventory has shrunk, but in your area it is definitely into a Seller's market. Buyers need to be aware of this.

5:27pm • #4
343,266 Points 36 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Wow, Brian, those are some great numbers for sellers in your area!  No bidding wars here yet, but we always lag a little behind so I'm patiently waiting.

6:54pm • #6
428,614 Points 1 Featured Post Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp

Love your charts! What's the potential for "shadow inventory" coming on in 2010 in your market?

9:23pm • #7
DEC
31
2009
JAN
02
2010
882,123 Points 34 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Brian - that is indeed wonderful news!!! May all the inventory in all areas decrease!!! Happy 2010!

10:04am • #9

What does the graphic say?

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Brian Block -- Northern Virginia & D.C. Real Estate

McLean, VA

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RE/MAX Allegiance, Managing Broker/Branch Vice President

Address: 6226 Old Dominion Drive, McLean, VA, 22101

Office Phone: (703) 626-0715

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