One in every 45 housing units in the United States was the subject of a foreclosure notice during the year just ended, and the number may still be heading up according to data released today by RealtyTrac.
Over 3.95 million foreclosure filings of all types were served against U.S. homeowners, a 21 percent increase in foreclosure notices over 2008 and a 120 percent increase over 2007. The number of properties against whose owners the actions were served represented 2.21 percent of all U.S. housing units compared to 1.84 percent in 2008 and 1.03 percent in 2007.
In December a total of 349,519 properties were involved in some foreclosure action, 14 percent higher than in November and a 15 percent increase over the previous December. December 2008 had shown a similar jump over the previous month. Activity in Quarter 4 was down 7 percent from Quarter 3 but was still up 18 percent over the fourth quarter of 2008.
The usual suspects topped the state breakdown of foreclosure activity. Nevada, Arizona and Florida continued to have the most foreclosures with 10 percent of houses in Nevada getting at least one foreclosure notice during the year. Activity in December was up 27 percent over November but substantial decreases in October and November contributed to a 37 percent decline between the 3rd and 4th quarter.
More than 6 percent of Arizona households received foreclosure filings in 2009 and Florida was a close third, with 5.93 percent of its housing units receiving at least one foreclosure filing during the year.
Other states with 2009 foreclosure rates ranking among the nation's 10 highest were California (4.75 percent), Utah (2.93 percent), Idaho (2.72 percent), Georgia (2.68 percent), Michigan (2.61 percent), Illinois (2.50 percent), and Colorado (2.37 percent).
In absolute numbers, California, Florida, Arizona, and Illinois accounted for 50 percent of all U.S. foreclosure activity with 1.4 million properties receiving at least one filing during 2009. California recorded filings against 632,573 properties, Florida, 516,711; Arizona, 163,210, an increase of 40 percent over 2008; and Illinois, 131,132.
Other states with 2009 totals among the 10 highest in the country were Michigan (118,302), Nevada (112,097), Georgia (106,110), Ohio (101,614), Texas (100,045), and New Jersey (63,208).
James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac said, "As bad as the 2009 numbers are, they probably would have been worse if not for legislative and industry-related delays in processing delinquent loans. After peaking in July with over 361,000 homes receiving a foreclosure notice, we saw four straight monthly decreases driven primarily by short-term factors: trial loan modifications, state legislation extending the foreclosure process and an overwhelming volume of inventory clogging the foreclosure pipeline.
"Despite all the delays, foreclosure activity still hit a record high for our report in 2009, capped off by a substantial increase in December," Saccacio continued. "In the long term a massive supply of delinquent loans continues to loom over the housing market, and many of those delinquencies will end up in the foreclosure process in 2010 and beyond as lenders gradually work their way through the backlog."
With weakness in the labor market expected to extend into 2010, the outlook for housing in the year ahead is under an increasing amount of scrutiny.
The obvious question that arises is: WILL GOVERNMENT LOAN MODIFICATIONS BE SUCCESSFUL? IS THERE ANOTHER WAVE OF FORECLOSURES LOOMING IN THE SHADOWS? ARE HOME PRICES GOING TO FALL FURTHER?
Looking past tight credit conditions and rising interest rate issues,this is largely a function of the labor market, which is a factor of consumer spending, which is a function of the labor market. Uh oh....this is one big CHICKEN OR THE EGG causality dilemma! What will come first...growth in consumer spending or labor market expansion? Or neither?
Compliments of Jann Swanson 1/14/10
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