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Days on the Market...Why it is important for Ann Arbor Area and Yours.

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Missy Caulk TEAM

 

1+1=2  I am not a math geniusThis is NOT hard...........I am not a math person, and I have found this easy to use. It helps when listing homes to be able to tell a seller a resonable time to get the home sold.

 

1. Days on Market (DOM) 

  • sellers need to know how long it is going to take their home to sell
  • Knowing the days on the market is critical for you as a Realtor to know how long it takes for each area in your community to sell.
  • Days on the Market gives your sellers realistic expectations. 

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

In Ann Arbor the Days on the Market can not always be accurate.Therefore it is important to look at the history to see if it was listed again, withdrawn or re-listed.

Some agents withdraw and re-list, right?

So how can you know what the real number is?

This is a formula that I obtained from Mike Jones and it is easy to follow.


Just use the absorption rate to calculate the true DOM for your area.

Here's how you get the real days on the market for your sellers.
Find out how many homes sold in your market last year and how many are currently on the market.

  • For example, if 50 homes sold last year, and there are currently 100 on the market, what those numbers indicate is that the inventory turned twice last year (50/100= 2.0). There are twelve months in a year, and 12/2.0 = 6.0, which is the absorption rate, meaning that the average time actually on market is 6.0 months.
  • So to convert the absorption rate to days on market, you simply multiply this last number by 30 (6.0 x 30 = 180). 

If you figure DOM this way, you'll eliminate all manipulation in your market by builders and agents who re-list stigmatized homes, which of course are those homes that have picked up a negative image due to their excessive time on market.

Drill this down for the house that is located in a neighborhood the home is selling in.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

2. Average Markdown (List to Sale Ratio)

  • You need to be able to advise your client as to the amount of negotiating occuring in that market. Let's assume that the average listing price is $200,000, and the average sale price is $175,000.
  • subtract the average sale price from the average listing price, and then divide the difference by the average listing price.

$200,000 - $175,000 = $25,000

$25,000/$175,000 = 15% markdown aproximately.

You will look smartIn other words, your client should understand that it's normal in your market to expect a markdown (or discount) of 15% from the listing price.

  • This prepares your sellers for what the offers might come in at.
  • When you receive and offer you will be able to negotiate with the understanding if it is within the guidelines of that neighborhood. 
  • By going over this at the beginning your sellers will know the List Price is not the offer or sales price.

 

KW LogoMissy Caulk & Team can be reached at 734-216-2822 or email: Missy@MissyCaulk.com

Our TEAM of 6 buyer associates are available to help you relocate to Ann Arbor, Saline, Dexter, Chelsea, Milan, Ypsilanti Township, Clinton, Manchester, Whitmore Lake, or throughout Washtenaw County, MI.

 

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Missy Caulk, Ann Arbor Realtor

Missy Caulk, Broker/Owner of Savvy Realty Group can be reached at 734-926-9797 or email: Missy@MissyCaulk.com

Our Team of 6 agents are available to help you relocate to Ann Arbor, Saline, Dexter, Chelsea, Milan, Ypsilanti Township, Clinton, Manchester, Whitmore Lake, or throughout Washtenaw County, MI.

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Comments(39)

Bill Gillhespy
16 Sunview Blvd - Fort Myers Beach, FL
Fort Myers Beach Realtor, Fort Myers Beach Agent - Homes & Condos

Hi Missy, Our MLS shows the current days on market as well as cumulative dom, such as:     47/286.  Very helpful.

Jan 30, 2010 07:47 AM
Damon Gettier
Damon Gettier & Associates, REALTORS- Roanoke Va Short Sale Expert - Roanoke, VA
Broker/Owner ABRM, GRI, CDPE

Missy, you have the absolute best blogs.  One day.....one day I hope to be able to produce a blog such as yours.  Do you use a MAC?

Jan 30, 2010 07:52 AM
Patricia Aulson
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY HOME SERVICES Verani Realty NH Real Estate - Exeter, NH
Realtor - Portsmouth NH Homes-Hampton NH Homes

I do like the way you've put this post together!  it's very well put and and quite nice visually.

Thanks,

Patricia/seacoast NH

Jan 30, 2010 07:53 AM
Laura Cerrano
Feng Shui Manhattan Long Island - Locust Valley, NY
Certified Feng Shui Expert, Speaker & Researcher

Missy, As your basic "consumer" this is not something I'd ever taken into consideration.  I look at the days on the market and take that number at face value.  This is very helpful knowledge and I hope people not only in Ann Arbor but all over read this so they can be more realistic and ask their real estate professional to include all the factors into the DOM.

Jan 30, 2010 08:11 AM
Christine Donovan
Donovan Blatt Realty - Costa Mesa, CA
Broker/Attorney 714-319-9751 DRE01267479 - Costa M

Absorpotion rate is so important, and I figure it just as you do as it's the most accurate.

This is an easy explanation of terms so important for our clients.

Jan 30, 2010 08:42 AM
Stacie Wells
Grovetown, GA

Brilliant information, Missy!! I'm saving this one for later use. Thanks for posting!

Jan 30, 2010 09:36 AM
Lisa Stafford
Broken Arrow, Tulsa, McGraw Realtors - Broken Arrow, OK
Broken Arrow OK Homes For Sale

Great info for buyer and sellers alike and your graphs are awesome.

Jan 30, 2010 09:54 AM
Jon Zolsky, Daytona Beach, FL
Daytona Condo Realty, 386-405-4408 - Daytona Beach, FL
Buy Daytona condos for heavenly good prices

Missy,

An excellent post. If I were not that late to do it, I would have marked it for the feature, but it is already feautred, so, congratulations for an excellent job.

Jan 30, 2010 10:13 AM
Missy Caulk
Missy Caulk TEAM - Ann Arbor, MI
Savvy Realtor - Ann Arbor Real Estate

Damon, I do use a Mac.

Bill, I like the way they show you.

Carole, it is all about neighborhoods.

 

Jan 30, 2010 10:30 AM
Patricia Beck
RE/MAX Properties, Inc., ABR, GRI, SRES - Colorado Springs, CO
Colorado Springs Realty

Great information Missy!  I calculate the absorption rate a little differently but it just depends how far back you want to go (I usually look at six months in an area).  These are very useful calculations!

Jan 30, 2010 10:35 AM
Kate Elim
Dockside Realty - Spotsylvania, VA
Realtor 540-226-1964, Selling Homes & Land a

Hi Missy...I'm in the same MLS as Lenn and the history is not always accurate so I often put in the address without any status to see what comes up.  It sometimes differs.  It takes a little more time but I get a more accurate picture.

You did an exceptional job of explaining how you arrive at your answers.

Kate

Jan 30, 2010 10:47 AM
Clark Hitchcock
Re/Max Nyda Realty Inc - Chilliwack, BC
Realtor - Fraser Valley

Days on market is a great stat for listing a property as well as for buying depending on what you want to use the data for.  First pricing correctly (not over pricing)  and secondly in negotiating the purchase ( long time on market)  

Jan 30, 2010 10:50 AM
Jeff Dowler, CRS
eXp Realty of California, Inc. - Carlsbad, CA
The Southern California Relocation Dude

Great stuff, Missy. I use absoprtion rate all the time. I also look at these number and DOM for different market segments since it can vary widely. And you have to look locally - the county stas are not helpful as the media reports.

Jeff

Jan 30, 2010 11:54 AM
Kris Wales
Keller Williams Realty - Lakeside Market Center - Macomb, MI
Real Estate Blog & Homes for Sale search site, Macomb County MI

Awesome presentation.  Now if your MLSssss would weed out the rental "closed" figures I would be a happy camper :-)

Jan 30, 2010 10:41 PM
Cheryl Ritchie
RE/MAX Leading Edge www.GoldenResults.com - Huntingtown, MD
Southern Maryland 301-980-7566

The examples are great  and I like the takeway which is to use thes figures to get all parties to be realistic.

Jan 30, 2010 10:54 PM
Don Sabinske
Don Sabinske, Sabinske & Associates Inc. - Zimmerman, MN
Sabinske & Associates Inc.

Our Minnesota MLSs make that cumulative days on market so if a property is withdrawn and relisted, the number resets to that last date.  Sellers moving from agent to agent have no advantage. 

Jan 30, 2010 10:57 PM
Cathy Tishhouse
RE/MAX Showcase Homes - Royal Oak, MI
Royal Oak Real Estate

I never use the absorption rate and I think I am not proficient with it - but see it referred to all the time - great post to get me up to speed and off the fence - thanks - great post!

Jan 30, 2010 11:56 PM
Jamie Dumaine-Russell
RE/MAX Alliance - Branford, CT

Missy- I was never good in math and have found using absorption rates a great way to provide a clearer presentation of the DOM.  Your outline on how to calculate it all is terrific.

Jan 31, 2010 08:28 AM
Dora & Vincent Kwok
HomeSmart Real Estate - Chandler, AZ
CNE - Chandler, Arizona Real Estate

Thanks for sharing the info on absorption rate.

Jan 31, 2010 03:05 PM
Peggy Chirico
Prudential CT Realty - Manchester, CT
REALTOR® 860-748-8900, Hartford & Tolland County Real Estate

That is a great-looking post! It will become my new benchmark for posts (I have a long way to go there!). You have also made some great points as well.  Thanks.

Feb 07, 2010 12:39 AM