Crystal Ball is Cloudy

Crystal BallI came across the following article:

Price risk for the top 50 U.S. markets

which puts Phoenix in the number 2 spot for risk of price decline.  Click on the link above to view the complete table.  The Phoenix market has a risk score of 646 which means there is a 64.6% chance this market will decline over the next two years.

Annual House Price Appreciation has slowed dramatically - 1st Quarter 2006 was 37.33% while the same period this year was down to a mere 4.52%.

Recent numbers for 2nd Quarter 2007 show things to be essentially the same as 1st Quarter 2007 - which seems to contradict the price decline prediction.

One thing is certain - prices will remain stable, will increase, or will decline.  If you think they will increase - then now is the time to buy.  If you think they will remain the same and you already own a home then now may be the time for a  move up sale and purchase.  If you think they will decline - is now the time to sell?

What does your crystal ball tell you?  Mine appears to be a little cloudy this morning.

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4 Comments on Crystal Ball is Cloudy

Tony--If we only had the answer to that question, we would be very wealthy people indeed!

07/20/2007 09:57 AM by Teri Eckholm, RealtorĀ® Anoka County MN (Keller Williams Premier Realty)


I am writing a post about this craziness today. I am amazed at how different media and consulting firms come up with so many different numbers! Our area of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach and Boca Raton came in at # 5 in one report and not anywhere on another report. Miami came in # 1 on one report and not listed on another, so who knows? Read my post later! Katerina

07/20/2007 09:59 AM by Nestor & Katerina Gasset, RealtorsĀ® Wellington Florida Luxury Homes (International Properties and Investments, Inc.)


I looked into my crystal ball this morning and it told me to get off my arse and go sell something. :)

07/20/2007 10:28 AM by Todd Murphy State Farm


I don't know Tony. I own a home in Phoenix and am deciding whether to wait to sell or do it now! My crystal ball is also a bit cloudy.........

07/22/2007 10:52 AM by Indianapolis Real Estate | Paula Henry (ReMax Excel)


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Real Estate Agent: Tony Marriott, Associate Broker, CRP, CLHMS, CRB, CRS ~~ Phoenix Arizona (Keller Williams Realty Professional Partners)
Tony Marriott, Associate Broker, CRP, CLHMS, CRB, CRS ~~ Phoenix Arizona
Phoenix, AZ
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