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5 Comments on DON'T PANIC.......ITS ONLY ME...........THE BOTTOM OF A REAL ESTATE CYCLE.........
Along with with positive attitude (displayed more in other posts), I appreciate your objectivity, Richie.
I agree with your assessment of the cycles. It always amazes me that no matter how often it happens, the majority of people always seem to be surprised and tricked by them.
While I don't put the government above wrecking an economy on purpose, I don't think that explains the majority of what happened. Most people aren't very good with their money. What are the chances that they'll be good with other people's money--money that doesn't directly affect them?
Economies do better the more mone moves. People aren't spending. Businesses aren't selling. Banks don't want to give loans are lines of credit to business that aren't selling. Businesses don't have money to keep people employed. People don't have money to spend. (The banks sure don't want to lend to these people, either.)
How do we break this cycle? Enter the government (or outside visionary investors).
It helps if we have an intentional path for the money to travel. This is where the government dropped the ball. They threw money at the problem (not bad), but they didn't lay out a plan how that money would be used to facilitate that recovery (not good).
The government is taking stabs...Foreclosure forgiveness (let's hope that's a one-and-done), loan mods for individuals (mixed...maybe prompts deflation--maybe ok, maybe not)...various tax credits.
They haven't addressed the real issue, though. They need to give targeted businesses money to create jobs. The government has to regulate WHO receives the funds by the types of jobs they want to grow. More jobs will mean more people with more money. I think you can see the rest.
By the way, I'm not saying that the government should just GIVE away the money. They need to call the shots how any borrower/receiver will use that money.
So, no, I don't think that the goverment did this on purpose. I don't think they're that smart--not most of them, anyway.
BTW...I entirely agree with your comment that action trumps lip service. It's just not shown often enough.
Sorry about the long post, Richie!
Chris....I actually felt like I was eating a huge BBQ beef rib while reading your comment. Very meaty statements and all relevant. Sure, a bit lengthy, but appropriate. I sense a "post" subject in there for you. Thanks for the quality input.
Clever wording, Richie. All you needed was to throw in some comment about needing antacid from having too much meat (for a comment).
I really look forward to reading your posts. Keep 'em coming!
Chris...master of all the section 8's he surveys...always a pleasure to hear from you too!