Opponents of proper equity management, as well as those who push mortgage acceleration programs, argue about the ability to earn even 6% tax-free in conservative investments. I will show you how spreading your horizons and investing in CDs based on World Currencies can do that and more, with fairly little risk if you know what you are doing.
I have talked a little about the Icelandic Krona and how a 3-month CD based on that currency is yielding over 12%. Since CDs are about as conservative an investment as they come, I doubt many would argue about using this as a tool to invest in. The major issue with using World Currencies are they are subject to the strength of the dollar, which right now gives them even more favor.
So, by now you have guessed that you can borrow money as a mortgage and receive tax deductions (subject to limitations) on that interest yielding a net cost of 4.35%, basing it on a 25% tax bracket. That tax bracket is probably on the low side and definitely will be in the future.
The question lies more in where you could invest your money instead. This is tricky as not all strategies and investments fit everyone and you will need the guidance of a financial advisor to find the best investments for you. That being said, let's get back on the subject of World Currencies.
Getting back to the Icelandic Krona, it currently yields 12.14% APY (11.73% on each 3-month CD) as of July 27, 2007. Chances are you will not yield that rate because the dollar is constantly changing value and thus your actual rate may be higher or lower than that yield. Therein lies the risk, which is based on the conversion rate of the dollar to the currency your CD is based on.
So, let's break it down into scenarios are how you can make the best (or worst) of this investment. Let's take a $20,000 investment ($10,000 is the minimum) and place it the Krona CD, letting it renew for the year (return equals 12.14%). Let's also say the exchange rate is currently 1.74 (the real rate is different right now).
Your $20,000 investment would grow to $22,428, right? Only partially correct. While the yield will generate that amount, you must factor in the exchange rate to see the real rate of return. So, if the dollar weakens against the Krona, then the exchange rate goes up and so does the rate of return. The opposite is true if the dollar strengthens.
So, let's use three scenarios. The first represents the dollar weakening, the second has the dollar basically the same and the last shows strength in the dollar...
| |
Weaker |
Same |
Stronger |
| Conversion Rate |
1.80 |
1.75 |
1.65 |
| Total Return |
$23,201.38 |
$22,556.90 |
$21,267.93 |
| Total % Return |
16.01% |
12.78% |
6.34% |
| Net Gain |
$3,201.38 |
$2,556.90 |
$1,267.93 |
So, if you get a weaker dollar scenario, you could be looking at a 12% after tax rate of return. Even if the dollar stays about the same, you would be looking at about 9.6% after tax. Also, you may be able to include these investments in a tax-free vehicle as well. I do not think anyone will argue that the dollar is currently trending lower, so chances lean towards Scenario 1 and Scenario 3 is not likely to occur for a while.
Other currencies are available and work in similar fashion, only yields are not as high. New Zealand's Dollar is currently showing a 6.79% APY and the South African Rand is clocking in at 7.71% APY. Both of these currencies are seeing weakening US dollar comparisons so the yields will be greater if the trend continues.
Once again, this post is to show that there are opportunities to relatively conservatively make more than 6% on your money and with mortgages remaining at low interest rates, focusing on investing instead of paying off your mortgage as fast as possible may be the better solution for you overall.
In my opinion the investments that you are talking about are money speculation and could hurt people if the exchange rate changes.
Is it wise to lock in an investment using the equity in your home? didn't the U.S. go through something like that in 1929?