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Will Las Vegas Cash Buyers Pull Us Out of the Weeds?

By
Services for Real Estate Pros with Savvy Home Pix B.1000860.LLC

While I don't think this is close to over, I do believe that we may quite possibly have seen the worst of days as we cycle through Las Vegas Area Foreclosures!

One trend that pushed me to an AHA (!) moment the other night as I comb through this market in a frustrating manner, is the ALL CASH TRANSACTION.

A majority of our defaults are strategic defaults.  Let's not kid ourselves here.  A majority of homeowners are not losing their homes due to hardship or economic circumstances but rather they are annoyed (to put it mildly) that their homes have lost so much value.

I am frustrated every time over the past three years that we are pushed into a new year of defaults.  I am now seeing defaults from homes purchased in 2008.

Las Vegas NV Real Estate

I do believe we may see some light at the end of the tunnel with this horrendous cycle.  Prices (for the most part) have stabilized the last year.  All cash purchasers have infiltrated the resale market and the numbers are now approaching close to half.  Our all cash percentages have gone up from 7.4% in March 2006 (why would you purchase with all cash when even a ham sandwich could get a loan?) to 42.9% in March 2010.

What's an all cash purchaser going to default on?  Taxes, HOA, Liens?

I am going to go on a limb and say the REO numbers will stabilize to decrease after watching the decreases over the last several months.

I do not believe we will see sharp appreciation soon nor are we out of the woods for underwater properties.  I don't believe that part will be done cycling for at least a decade as much as I would love to wave goodbye to the most unpopular sale type - the short sale.

Staying stable is a good thing as I am hoping to not see the dog-chase-tail mid 2009 defaults as quickly as I have the other years in the past.

Posted by

Thanks,  Renée Burrows 702-580-1783 Broker/Owner, REALTOR®
 

 

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Comments(14)

Joan Cox
House to Home, Inc. - Denver Real Estate - 720-231-6373 - Denver, CO
Denver Real Estate - Selling One Home at a Time

One of my Realtor friend's son is purchasing a bank owned property out there!   He got a pretty good deal, he thinks!

May 13, 2010 02:10 AM
John Souerbry
Cordon Real Estate - Fairfield, CA
Homes, Land & Investments

Renee - Are you seeing the source of the money used for cash purchases?  I've been doing mostly cash sales on my listings for the past year and it's been interesting to see where the money is coming from.  With the China real estate bubble predicted to burst soon, much seems to come from the Far East.

May 13, 2010 02:17 AM
Harry F. D'Elia III
WEDO Real Estate and Beyond, LLC - Phoenix, AZ
Investor , Mentor, GRI, Radio, CIPS, REOs, ABR

Cash is King here in Phoenix real estate market.

May 13, 2010 02:24 AM
Renée Donohue~Home Photography
Savvy Home Pix - Allegan, MI
Western Michigan Real Estate Photographer

Joan:  Hopefully he got in one of the stable areas I was speaking about :)

John:  Mostly believe it or not - 1031 exchanges, sales of homes (usually another state) and 401K is where I am seeing the sources of funds.

Harry:  Ditto!

May 13, 2010 02:26 AM
Shannon Lewis
Beringer Realty - Champaign, IL
Realtor, Broker - Champaign-Urbana, IL

I sure hope you're right (and it seems like you very well may be)!!!!! Our market here never took a HUGE blow like other markets did so I think it's a little more difficult to recognize clear signs of improvement. We tend to have around 15-20% cash purchases each month and that never changed. Prices appear to have stabilized, and # of sales has increased compared to last year....I think the remainder of this year will be telling!

May 13, 2010 02:26 AM
Barb Szabo, CRS
RE/MAX Above & Beyond - Cleveland, OH
E-pro Realtor, Cleveland Ohio Homes

That's a substantial increase in cash buyers, to say the least. It sounds like you are cautiously optimistic about the market, based on your research and first hand knowledge.

May 13, 2010 03:03 AM
Cynthia Larsen
Cotati, CA
Independent Broker In Sonoma County, CA

That is a huge percentage of cash transactions!  Ours this year is 23% so far which almost half your rate.  I'm going to guess that your housing prices are lower than here though, where cash can go much further.

May 13, 2010 06:48 AM
Donne Knudsen
Los Angeles & Ventura Counties in CA - Simi Valley, CA
CalState Realty Services

Renee - While I haven't run the numbers like you have, I would venture to say that LA & Ventura county are probably not too far behind Vegas.  I just read recently that Ventura county was #5 in the country for negative equity and I'm seeing so many strategic defaults that it's absolutely insane. 

However, what I'm also hearing a little about (which could get worse next year) is that those cash buyers are turning around as soon as allowed to cash-out so they can buy more property.  Another scenario that I hope doesn't become a trend are the o/o who are cashing out life savings to purchase a primary residence. 

Last year, I had two buyers that becamse so frustrated with the way they were being treated by LA's and their bank sellers because they were financed buyers, that they eventually cashed-out their life savings (401k, IRA, stocks, munis, etc...) just so that they could buy something all and/or mostly cash.  Their plan: to double up on their retirement contributions (since they had no mortgage to pay) and do a cash out refi as soon as they had enough seasoning.

While I don't promote and/or encourage this plan for the o/o looking to buy a primary, these buyers were tired of being beat out by cash buyers time after time after time after time...  Furthermore, they were also tired of being treated like second (or third in some cases) class buyers by LA's who were looking for the quick and easy sale of a cash buyer.

Anyway, my rant is over.  While I do understand the cash investors who are loving this market because they are able to expand their real estate holding portfolios, it certainly doesn't help the o/o looking to purchase a primary residence, someone who actually wants to live in the property, which will do so much more for the community than a bunch of rentals filled with transient tenants.  JMHO

May 13, 2010 07:58 AM
Gene Riemenschneider
Home Point Real Estate - Brentwood, CA
Turning Houses into Homes

If I had the money I would invest in Vegas real estate.  Great newer homes priced very well in an area that will come back.

May 13, 2010 08:04 AM
Esko Kiuru
Bethesda, MD

Renee,

Cash buyers are great on the demand side, cutting into that high inventory. On the other hand, they are mostly investors who turn the acquisitions into rentals that will dilute ownership in many subdivisions.

May 13, 2010 10:27 AM
Steve Mattison
Canyon de Chelly National Mo, AZ
Vietnam Veteran

I sure hope you are right as you, Calif and Florida are all the forefront it seems for the rest of us:)

May 13, 2010 11:44 AM
Renée Donohue~Home Photography
Savvy Home Pix - Allegan, MI
Western Michigan Real Estate Photographer

Shannon:  I would love to trade you markets :)

Barb:  It was definitely an AHA moment of cautious optimism!

Cynthia:  That could very well be true!

WOW DONNE!!  I felt your frustration running through the comment.  I felt the same for so long when my financed buyers would get thrown by the wayside.  Would it be too cliche for me to say "I FEEL YOUR PAIN?"  I also feel the same about investors infiltrating the neighborhoods and they have SOFTENED our rental market BIG TIME.  Kind of seeing a good decline going on there!

Gene:  If you find it in a mattress let your favorite Vegas Realtor know and I will set you up on a search :wink wink:

Esko:  And rental prices :-/

Steve:  I hope I am right too, I hate when I am wrong :-/

May 13, 2010 12:42 PM
Michelle Gibson
Hansen Real Estate Group Inc. - Wellington, FL
REALTOR

Renee - Yes, the cash buyer's have definitely showed up in Las Vegas NV, I'm jealous every time I read your reports about types of funds.

hahahaha about the ham sandwich.  I recently pulled up a short sale that was purchased in 2008 and honestly couldn't believe it, 2006 I can see, 2007 I can see that too, but 2008....really?

May 13, 2010 03:30 PM
John Walters
Frank Rubi Real Estate - Slidell, LA
Licensed in Louisiana

Great to see buyers finally stepping up to the plate.  if vegas can get above water things should improve for everyone.

May 16, 2010 12:51 PM