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No doubt you have been hearing a lot about the changes taking place in the mortgage market over the last 4 days involving every loan except conventional conforming ones.  My previous post, Mortgage Market Meltdown - Will it be Subprime Only? (dated July 11th), talked about how the effects of the subprime market was going to spill over into the rest of the markets, including A-paper.  Well, that is what is happening right now.

Call it what you will, liquidity crisis or whatever, the effects are easy to see.  As I was quoted in MarketWatch today, "If something is perceived as risky ... they're going to ask for a higher interest rate on that product".  I was sad to learn that American Home Mortgage and American Brokers Conduit in particular were closing shop and filing for Bankruptcy protection.  Rates on every type of "risky" loan, including A-Paper Jumbo Loans (non-conforming) are rising, despite Mortgage Backed Securities (Bonds which drive conforming interest rates) are moving in an opposite direction.

I say "risky" loans, but some are not really all that risky.  Typical Jumbo Loans with a borrower with excellent credit and full documentation to qualify on are among the least risky loans.  However, since they do not fall under "conforming" guidelines, they do carry added risk and in this market any extra risk is going to bet met with higher rates and tougher guidelines until the dust settles.

So, if you are in the process or are thinking of getting a loan that is anything other than a conventional conforming loan, get your paperwork to your mortgage broker and have it underwritten and closed ASAP.  We may see more lenders like AHM make this announcement to the mortgage brokers they work with..."we are no longer funding loans" or simply they are stopping acceptance of loans.

Additionally, I suggest locking in your rates on these types of loans as soon as possible right now.  Conventional conforming loans are a different scenario though.

Many changes are happening and everything may appear to be doom and gloom again in the mortgage industry, but there will be better times ahead after the dust settles and the necessary changes are completed.

Side Note:  I was honored to be mentioned in the MarketWatch article by Amy Hoak.  Other names of people quoted in the same article were Barry Habib (CEO of Mortgage Market Guide) and Mike Perry (IndyMac's chief executive), as well as a couple of other mortgage professionals.

 
This post has been included in Florida Real Estate News

5 Comments on Mortgage Market Meltdown - The Saga Continues

AUG
04
2007
6 Featured Posts
Hi Robert -- I agree with you fully.  If you have anything other than VA, FHA or conventional loan you had better get it closed and fast.  I do think that jumbo loans will be the next target.  Aloha
12:49pm • #1
178,357 Points 108 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Congrats on being mentioned. How did they find your quote?
3:26pm • #2
AUG
11
2007
27 Featured Posts

Bruce...Times are changing and doing so quickly.  Things will eventually settle down, just as they have in the past.  I am guessing we could see settling start occurring by the end of the year, depending on how this all plays out.

Janet...Amy Hoak, the writer for MarketWatch called me.  I had sent her an email a month or so ago and offerred to assist her.  She contacted me that morning, even before I had flipped on CNBC to see what was going on that day.  My advice to you is to find a reporter that you can relate to and take the time to let them know you are available if they need someone.

David Podgursky was just used in a follow up story by Ms. Hoak.  I am hoping he will do a post about it as well.  I like her style as she is not the typical "doom and gloom" type reporter and provides a different perspective.  I am jealous of David since he got her to link to his blog...lol.

9:06am • #3
I see the marke simply raising the bar, the money will be tighter at the source and the requirements for our clients will be greater. Remember the ARM issue will be tougher to ride out tnan this subprime mess so buyers need to be ready to be scrutinized again, see multiple appraisals and their credit and employment verified multiple times.
9:13am • #4
27 Featured Posts

Paul...Money will be tighter, and for years to come.  That is a result of the "knee-jerk" reaction of the other lenders to protect themselves.  Lenders, including Countrywide, which do not have other revenues from outside of mortgages, are all at risk right now and are rushing to stop the bleeding.

Anything that is not a standard conforming loan will be met with added scrutiny for at least the near term.  Once this rush to liquidity passes, things will slowly return to normal as the cycle continues.  ARMs may actually start looking better for jumbo loans as the rate spread between the 30-year and the ARM is likely to get fairly large due to the reduced risk of the ARM. 

Option ARMs, on the other hand, will be interesting to see where they end up and what limitations are added.  There are still plenty of lenders out there doing all types of loans, so there is no need to panic.

Thanks for joining in.

9:22am • #5

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Robert D. Ashby

Miramar, FL

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Florida Mortgage Specialist provides "thought provoking" topics and strategies for proper mortgage planning. MEDS™ is a unique mortgage process that properly integrates your mortgage into your financial plan.

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