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Will we have an Endless Supply of Bank Owned Properties?

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Resident Team Realty, LLC & Toni's Property Management LLC BK3055881

We have an Endless Supply of Bank Owned Properties if the release of these properties continues at the current pace. There is currently over 7,000,000 homes in the so called shadow inventory. With foreclosure rates at an all time high in the first quarter this year, we should have a large supply. I have families looking for homes and inventory is sparse.

Will the flood gates finally open soon? What will it do the the value of housing? We have finally stopped the fall in pricing since January. This is because the banks have turned the forcet to a trickle. If we don't turn these properties, the market will never recover. Sure in some locations there are value gains. But how long can the inventory be held back?

Why aren't the banks needing to turn these assets? Are the never ending TARP funds compensating the banks, allowing them to sit on this inventory? How long can the bucket keep going to the well? I think that holding off the enevitable will keep this market down for years to come.

THE RESIDENT TEAM

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Jim Graham - REALTOR - Sumter and Shaw AFB real estate
Prudential John M. Brabham Real Estate - Sumter, SC

One of our local bankers met us in our staff meeting a short time ago and presented us with the good news, a good number of potential buyers are applying for home loans, but the bad news is very few are actually qualifying for the loans. We are a military town with folks PCSing all of the time, meaning we have people coming and going each year due to changes in duty stations. The buyers coming in are renting because they haven't sold their home from where they are coming from. For the sellers here, I am certain they are looking at all of this with great concern as well as all of my compadres.

 

Jun 07, 2010 10:01 AM
Pm D
None - Laurel, MT
Certified

Our son lives in Oregon and has been waiting on a short sale for months now. I feel so bad for him and others that have the great credit, money for down payment,able to purchase, and the banks don't even respond to where everything is at. Am I out of place to wonder why things don't move quicker if the banks are hurting so badly with so many foreclosures?

Jun 10, 2010 11:00 AM
Mark Horan
Resident Team Realty, LLC & Toni's Property Management LLC - Saint Cloud, FL
"The Resident Chef" - Resident Team Realty LLC &

Pamela- Government subsidies are why they don't care if they accept a short sale. They get more from Uncle US if they foreclose. It's all about the money.

Jun 13, 2010 04:35 AM
Sandra Paulow
Aspen Properties, Inc. - Pinetop Lakeside, AZ
REALTOR, Associate Broker, GRI, SFR

I think the Banks are holding that inventory in the hope that markets will stabilze and perhaps see a bit of gain.  If it does than they can get more from the asset when it does sell.  Besides, they don't care, good ol' Uncle Sam is paying them daily, they are still making money. 

Short Sales? What a joke.  They don't want to Short Sale properties, they make more money if they foreclose. 

Jun 20, 2010 05:07 AM
Mark Horan
Resident Team Realty, LLC & Toni's Property Management LLC - Saint Cloud, FL
"The Resident Chef" - Resident Team Realty LLC &

Sandra- I have had the same view for over a year now.

Jun 20, 2010 05:14 AM
Pamela Seley
West Coast Realty Division - Murrieta, CA
Residential Real Estate Agent serving SW RivCo CA

We won't see the flood of foreclosures.  The banks are going in the direction of short sales, and sadly, after pretending to do loan modifications.  Actually, they will see their money back on short sales (from the gov't).  Short sales will save the banks money from high foreclosure costs and fees.  In my opinion, short sales are going to be a bigger part of the real estate market.  In my market area, we're also going to see a slow-down of home-buying in the next several months because of buyers not being able to get a loan.  The unemployment rate in my county is 3rd highest in the nation for first quarter of 2010.  It took a Harvard Study to figure out the housing recovery is going to depend on jobs.  Wow!  Thanks for your post, Mark.  Have a great day.

Jun 20, 2010 09:57 PM
Sandra Paulow
Aspen Properties, Inc. - Pinetop Lakeside, AZ
REALTOR, Associate Broker, GRI, SFR

Short Sales may be the ideal way to go for many sellers but....they aren't very successful in our area.  The banks won't even consider them because many of those losing their homes are second home owners, not primary homes.  When it is a second home the Banks would rather foreclosue to punish the buyer for their own poor lending practices of the past.  

Jun 23, 2010 12:32 PM
Robert L. Brown
www.mrbrownsellsgr.com - Grand Rapids, MI
Grand Rapids Real Estate Bellabay Realty, West Mic

I work for a REO Broker here in Mich. He says there will be lots more inventory coming in July. Getting ready here for the inevitable.

Jun 23, 2010 01:03 PM
Mark Horan
Resident Team Realty, LLC & Toni's Property Management LLC - Saint Cloud, FL
"The Resident Chef" - Resident Team Realty LLC &

Pamela- I am still getting declines on short sales at market value. I think that only about 25% actually get approved just as PR for the banks.

Jun 23, 2010 06:28 PM
Mark Horan
Resident Team Realty, LLC & Toni's Property Management LLC - Saint Cloud, FL
"The Resident Chef" - Resident Team Realty LLC &

Sandra- We are seeing about 25% approval right now.

Jun 23, 2010 06:29 PM
Mark Horan
Resident Team Realty, LLC & Toni's Property Management LLC - Saint Cloud, FL
"The Resident Chef" - Resident Team Realty LLC &

Robert- I belive your right. I have a few that will be on the market in July. The last summer push.

Jun 23, 2010 06:30 PM
Lyn Sims
Schaumburg, IL
Real Estate Broker Retired

Everyone has been worried about this shadow inventory and the 'gusher' that will ensue.  I'm starting not to believe it one bit.  It's been too long that the banks could keep a lid on this amount of supposed inventory.  I've become a disbeliever.

Jul 05, 2010 07:49 AM
John Smoak
RIVERVIEW REALTY - Fort Lauderdale, FL

Where is all this shadow inventory?  People keep talking about it.  Is it real?

Jul 05, 2010 04:25 PM
Mark Horan
Resident Team Realty, LLC & Toni's Property Management LLC - Saint Cloud, FL
"The Resident Chef" - Resident Team Realty LLC &

John & Lyn- Believe it. I am currently assigned 3 properties that are not listed. One for 11 months now. Others have the homeowners sitting in them not paying and the banks are not foreclosing because inventories are too high. I have a neighbor sitting for 2 years now without making a payment. When they asked why aren't you foreclosing? The bank replied that they have too much inventory and they would rather someone lived in the home to do the up keep. The shadow inventory is growing everyday since banks were made out to be the boogie man by this administration. Defaulting on a mortgage is no longer taboo, everyone is doing it.

Jul 05, 2010 04:55 PM
Sandra Steele
Wise Choice Properties, Sedona/Verde Valley Branch - Cottonwood, AZ
Integrity, Knowledge - 37 Years of Experience!!!

Now is an opportunity for buyers with the short sales, foreclosures and sellers lowering their prices extremely.  I never thought I would see this in my 31 years of licensure and the ways I was taught by my parents.  WOW, these are times to feel sorry for so many and great for the people that can afford to purchase these homes.  Again, I never thought I would see so many hard working people loosing their home.  My heart goes out to them and my prayers.

Jul 12, 2010 01:57 PM
Tricia Houston
Lending Maven Mortgage - Denver, Colorado - Highlands Ranch, CO

The banks are holding onto the inventory because they can declare it a loss on there books and there by increasing there profit margins. If they stretch out the losses over time then the overall balance sheet looks good and the investors are happy.

The trickle is going to come in slow waves...I predict it will take several more years before we fullt recover.

Jul 16, 2010 06:26 AM
Carol Zingone
Berkshire Hathaway Home Services Florida Network Realty - Jacksonville Beach, FL
Global Realtor in Jax Beach, FL - ABR, CRS, CIPS

It is my nascent understanding the banks are trickling out the remaining inventory so as to avoid further price weakening in the housing market.  There are some homes near me in NE FL that I have seen go through the trash out process, and sit for months vacant with a non-standard lockbox, waiting to go active on the local MLS.

Jul 18, 2010 01:55 AM
Mark Horan
Resident Team Realty, LLC & Toni's Property Management LLC - Saint Cloud, FL
"The Resident Chef" - Resident Team Realty LLC &

Sandra- Foreclosures were at record highs last quarter, this is not going to end any time soon. Inventories of Bank Owned homes are not growing on the market and prices here in Central Florida are looking like they are going to dip after they have been holding steady the past 6 months.

Jul 18, 2010 12:18 PM
Mark Horan
Resident Team Realty, LLC & Toni's Property Management LLC - Saint Cloud, FL
"The Resident Chef" - Resident Team Realty LLC &

Tricia- You are absolutely correct. But by letting the market values decrease, they are decreasing all the inventory that they hold.

Jul 18, 2010 12:20 PM
Mark Horan
Resident Team Realty, LLC & Toni's Property Management LLC - Saint Cloud, FL
"The Resident Chef" - Resident Team Realty LLC &

Carol- I am sitting on such inventory. Last quarter was a very high foreclosure quarter and inventories are not growing. This will last for a long time.

Jul 18, 2010 12:22 PM