Mortgage Rates Report: August 8, 2007- Lock Your Loans

Home buyers should lock-in their interest rates.  The mortgage-backed securities market is responding to two events and mortgage bonds are dropping.

The Federal Reserve Bank did not raise the Discount Rate yesterday (as expected).  Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke spent very little time discussing the mortgage liquidity crisis and talked about containing inflation more.  We see this as positive because it shows that we have a Fed Chairman who is calm, amidst a crisis.

Why change our posture from floating to locking?  China is threatening to dump it's $1.3 Trillion in bond holdings as a response to our threat of trade sanctions.  It's a game of chicken being played by diplomats.  Their sale would hurt our markets for about 3-4 months; our trade sanctions would close their largest market.  Regardless of which way the political winds blow, we think our customers should be forward locking in rates as soon as they apply for a loan.

 
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11 Comments on Mortgage Rates Report: August 8, 2007- Lock Your Loans

I tend to find that most of my clients are the floating type of clients... but right now you are right... things are jumping in big ways and since the market is not actiing in the way it should, we can't confidently assure that a .125 jump will be all we see which is usually easy to recover over a week.

right now, I think this whole stink about lead paint in Fisher Price toys and all the contamination is souring our relationship with China...  they arrested some US distributor of food saying that we had sent THEM contaminated food...

the company president of the firm that had sent over contaminated dog food to the US was EXECUTED

so right now, I think they're re-posturing in the Chinese tradition... best thing to do is just get out of their way and let them think they've regained their face.

08/08/2007 11:55 AM by Boca Raton Florida & Boynton Beach Florida Mortgage Loans


Anyone have the odds from Vegas on if your Olympic team will be boycotting the 2008 summer games in Beijing?

I find it interesting that there is such a diverse opinion on Bernake. I find it very unlikely that Greenspan would have said as little about the mortgage backed securities market and the bond market in general were he still the Fed Chairman. So does that mean Bernake is a rock in a raging sea? Or does he think that if he ignores it that it will just go away? Is he a genius or a dolt? There seem to be those convinced they are right on either side.

08/08/2007 01:33 PM by Ken Stampe | Wells Fargo | Mortgage Loan Dallas .com (Ken Stampe | Wells Fargo Home Mortgage))


Ken,

The odds are some thing like 4 Billion to one we'll be going.

The Chinese are not going to risk their huge reported investment. Once the cost is recovered God alone knows what might happen. Being our biggest trading partner cuts both ways.

Bill

One opinon from Las Vegas

08/08/2007 02:03 PM by William J Archambault Jr (The Real Estate Investment Institute )


Well, Bill....

I guess my employer may want to rethink all the money they are putting into that sponsorship and marketing that goes with it of the 2008 Olympic Team. With threats of gas lines and now the possibility of our Olympic team skipping the 2008 games.....is Carter back in the white house? It's like de-ja-vu all over again.

08/08/2007 02:14 PM by Ken Stampe | Wells Fargo | Mortgage Loan Dallas .com (Ken Stampe | Wells Fargo Home Mortgage))


Ken,

I survived Jimmy Carter!

He set a new low.

What worries me we could be in for even worse.

Can you imagine, Bilary, Polsee, and Reed?

I'm not paranoid, they are out to get us.

God help us.

The only advice I'd give B of A is do not to deal with illegals!

Bill

08/08/2007 02:46 PM by William J Archambault Jr (The Real Estate Investment Institute )


Lock em if ya got em......

And if they are Alt-A.... double check and make sure you still got em...   ;-)

 

08/08/2007 03:23 PM by Tom Burris | Texas Home Loan Expert (DallasLoanGuy.com)


bah humbug..........   just do a 270 lock with a float down option. Oh, wait.....  who does that in today's market right now?   sell, sell, sell I tell ya....   The Japanese bombed Pearl Harbor. 

In any case, I just lock clients when I take apps. Most of mine are first time home buyers. And even those that are refinancing, I lock. I just locked a 90% stated loan. A loan I locked last week on a refi. got .375 pts better. Oh well.....   it's too risky now. Tomorrow could be another story, no matter what market reports that we have in front of us. Just a hiccup in the stock market which could alter the bonds can make things go up and down in a blink right now.

jeff belonger Overall, I was a gambling man from'94 to '01 and made decent money that way....but not at this moment.

08/08/2007 04:02 PM by Jeff Belonger -- The FHA Expert.com -- New Jersey mortgage -- FHA mortgages (Infinity Home Mortgage Company, Inc)


Thanks for the timely update Brian.  I'll be letting my clients know.

08/08/2007 05:37 PM by Audu Real Estate~Grand Rapids, MI Real Estate Broker


Brian - great information. I have bookmarked this post to send to some of the agents in my area who are not lockd! Thanks!!  :-)

08/08/2007 09:20 PM by Brad Andersohn ~ ActiveRain Community Builder (ActiveRain Corp)


Brian - What started out as a commentary on interest rate locks seems to have progressed to Olympic boycotts!  I'll have to get back to watching the mainstream media and catch up with all this!

08/12/2007 11:34 AM by Tony Marriott, Associate Broker, CRP, CLHMS, CRB, CRS ~~ Phoenix Arizona (Keller Williams Realty Professional Partners)


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