Now that housing has crashed and appears to have bounced off the bottom, what's next? It's clear that everyone seems to have a different opinion (Including me) about where housing is headed next.

There are two strong camps of opinion and both make pretty good sense. The Bull Market theory touts that it can't get any worse and now is the time to start moving forward.

"This is probably about as bad as it gets -- we are far closer to the bottom," said John Norris, managing director of wealth management with Oakworth Capital Bank in Birmingham, Ala. "Housing numbers should stabilize going forward." ...Norris conceded that he doesn't think home sales or prices are going to take off dramatically. He said that the best investors and buyers can hope for is slow, steady improvement in coming months. Read more from The housing head fake, part 362 by Paul R. La Monica on CNNMoney.com.

The other side of opinion declares that no one has a clue how bad this really is. The story kind of goes like this: AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH SPLAT.

The "Life sucks we are all going to die" mentality really bugs me. Great things come from great debate and right now the debate is making our market stronger. The problem is that we can't see it yet.

If you are waiting to sell your home until next year in hopes that you will make more money on your home, keep waiting. If you really want to wait, then wait until 2013 or even 2014. The problem with waiting is that you will miss out on the low rates and soft prices of today's market when you buy.

When Raleigh goes back to work, we will recover. However, there is a catch to my opinion: How many people will be underemployed when the storm is over? Unless everyone goes back to work making the same or better, we will continue to see foreclosures and short sales play a role in local housing prices for the next couple of years, thus keeping downward pressure on home prices.

Any thoughts?

Jason B. Graves
Graves Realty Associates
Raleigh, NC

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3 Comments on Where is housing headed?

JUN
28
2010
2 Featured Posts

Jason, if we silence CNN (Constantly Negative News) and all of other grim reapers society would have a much better chance of focusing on the positive. 

If we focus more on how great interest rates are and give our attention to that more positive things will start to reveal themselves.

Let's all stay focused and encourage our clients to do the same.  Great post.

 

8:17am • #1
452,806 Points 81 Featured Posts Called Shot Master

Jason - One reason people are confused is that the market isn't returning to the pricing and sales levels of the recent past, and unemployment is likely to remain high for several years.  We're entering a new and different economy; those who can adjust will succeed; those who expect a return to the boom times will only find disappointment.

9:15am • #2
JUL
06
2010
215,481 Points 28 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

The good news is that we DO have jobs in Raleigh... and we have a TON of geeky entrepreneurs who are starting new companies!  We will bounce back faster than other parts of the country

7:36pm • #3


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Jason Graves

Raleigh, NC

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