Countrywide announced today that they had to borrow $11.5 billion from a group of 40 banks to fund loans.

This clearly shows us just how deep the lending crisis has become and shows you clearly why the smaller companies are closing.  They don't have access to this kind of capital.

But what does this really mean to you and your business?

When Countrywide made this announcement they said "some 90 percent of the loans it originates from now on will be conforming loans or will meet its internal bank criteria."

This means that they are going to adjust their product line mainly to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac approved products.    That means loans $417,000 and under that require at least decent credit and that require the borrower to prove his income.

This also means Countrywide will be cutting out most of the subprime, alt-A and jumbo loan (over $417,000) products.

OK, but others will still offer those other products, right?  Very few.

Countrywide is the biggest, most respected lender in the country.  They lead the industry.  They buy the loans of many smaller brokers and even some huge loan brokers.

Today's announcement means a new beginning in the restructuring of the way we all do business.

If you have deals in progress, you want to get with your lender in the next day to make sure your loan, as promised, still exists.    If you are working with a new prospect, make sure he gets qualifed first and make sure he is prepared to show his income.

For those of us who were in the business in the days when the only way to go was Fannie, Freddie, FHA, and VA and stated income loan borrowers put down 10% and more, we are about to enter a time machine to the past.

 

 

 

20 Comments on The Countrywide Mortgage Credit Crunch and What It Really Means To You

AUG
16
2007
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Ok, I do my best to stay optimistic, I really do.  But real estate isn't as much fun as it used to be!! Lately, every day its something new to contend with.

However, I'm up for the new challenges.

 

11:05am • #1
120,185 Points 4 Featured Posts

This is definitely a big rattle to the industry.  Certainly there has been lots of discussion on the rain regarding Countrywide.

The government is going to have to step in or risk putting this country into a severe recession and possibly a depression!

We just need to sit back and watch.

11:06am • #2
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Paul---Its certainly hard work!  However, as we all know this business is cyclical and this is the down cycle.  I believe in working hard, staying positive and making it to the other side!
11:07am • #3
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Why should the government step in to bail a corporation out for making bad business decisions?

 

 

11:10am • #4
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Kate--- On one hand they have been stepping in.  They put $50B+ into the liquidity market last week and another $18B this week.   I don't think this administration has any intention of jumping in on a bail out.   I think they will leave the mess for the '08 administration to figure out. 
11:10am • #5
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Thanks for the post.  Most surprising is Thornburg's problems- they offer they have very little delinquency in their portfolio, yet no one is buying their securitizations.
11:13am • #6
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Paul--- That's exactly what this administration is thinking.  Private business created it, let them fix it. 

However, I also think that Kate has a good point.  If this threatens the economy more severely, and I am not sure that happens, you will see the new administration, Rep or Dem, jump in.  

I am not an economist so I don't know if a restructuring of the mortgage business and thousands of foreclosures cripples the economy.  It hurts it but I don't know how severly.

I think these guys all go BK, we play with the new rules for a while, and then a new set of companies come in later.  Just like business always works.

11:16am • #7
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Michael--- That just shows you that this isnt about bad loans now, this is about limited credit. 

Thornberg made great loans, with little risk, yet they can't get anyone to give them credit lines to run their business.

 

11:19am • #8
120,185 Points 4 Featured Posts
Aaron, I'm not talking about liquidity.  I'm very aware of what the Federal Reserve is doing and it's not working.    I think that you're absolutely right about the current administration not stepping in.  By the time 08 comes along it will already be too late!
11:23am • #9
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Ok, can someone explain something to me, because I'm naive about the mortgage industry and how it works.  I need a Mortgage 101 class.  Doesn't Countrywide only service the loans?  Aren't the loans held by investors? So is Countrywide's troubles based on not having the credit to offer loans and investors drying up from buying them?  Anyone's clarification would be greatly appreciated.
11:29am • #10
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Kate--- It seems like the business is being divided in two. 

The Wall Street companies who got into mortgages like Lehman (ALS), Bear (EMC), DB, Goldman Sachs, etc. are feeling the crunch, going away and really limiting products.  

The banks like Chase, Citi, Amtrust, are hanging in there pretty good and staying more aggressive, without many rumors.  Cash is king and at the end of the day that's where all of the business will be.

Countrywide has both but not real dominant in banking.  I do think the Gov draws the line there and bails them out if necessary.  However, they do have $200B+ in committments though so using $11B doesnt put them out and we are away from a bail out for them.  2008 or beyond.

11:31am • #11
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Paul--- Let me see if I can make it easy. 

Countywide also originates loans and buys loans from brokers and banks to the tune of $30B per month. 

They put those loans on a credit line and then they need to then sell these loans to investors to free up their credit line to buy more loans and run their business.  

When there is no investor to buy on the back side, like today, and like what is happening to all of the companies that go out of business, the credit line runs full, there is no more credit available and you either get more credit or close your doors. 

Countrywide's credit line ran full and they needed to exercise $11B in previous committments they had from 40 banks to stay in business.  That isnt good news.   It shows you that there are limited investors on the back end and even less credit.

11:38am • #12

Thanks, Aaron.  I don't believe this is a bad thing.  Obviously, it may mean less loans for all of us but I believe it forces us to do the right thing for our clients which is to put them in loans that they can afford to keep.  Plus, we from now on out will have to earn our money by making sure our clients have what it takes to procure a loan.  Have a great day!

 

Paul

Paul McFadden
11:40am • #13
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Thanks for the explanation Aaron, that helps, especially when I need to explain it to my clients.

 

 

11:42am • #14
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Paul-- Agreed.  It's not a horrible thing.  It simply means that people have to buy homes they can prove they can afford.   Unfortunately, that will mean housing prices are going to have to come way down in many areas for people to sell.   And that will hurt the economy.  But we have been through that many times before.

11:43am • #15
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This is going to be the story to watch.
3:59pm • #16
AUG
17
2007
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Ok, so I understand clients are storming the Countrywide Banks withdrawing funds.  How will this affect Wall Street and Countrywide, and will it set off a chain of panic for other Banks? 
10:27am • #17
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Paul--- A few clients pulling deposits won't bring them down.  Customer deposits are FDIC insured to 100% of $100,000.  So what you saw on the news was pure sensationalism. 

The majority of money in a bank is CD money placed by there pension funds and not individuals.   These funds are also FDIC-insured no matter who the bank is.

The banks will survive this and many like Chase, Citi, etc. don't seem to be affected at all.  Look at Fremont?  Remember they were one of the first mortgage companies to go down this year?  Their bank is still open and thriving.    Its the mortgage component that is dying.   The survivors will be the banks who also so mortgages.   Nearly everyone else will be gone by year's end.

 

10:37am • #18
so i was wondering does that mean that full spectrum will be closing since it is the subprime division of  countrywide?
11:19am • #19
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Naoma--- I dont think Countrywide is closing anything.  The guidelins for Full Spectrum may change but I think it stays with Countywide.

11:24am • #20

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Aaron Gordon, Home Loan Consultant, Las Vegas, NV

Las Vegas, NV

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