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A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (August 10, 2010 Edition)

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Mortgage and Lending with Northeast Bank NMLS ID 509649

Putting the FOMC statement in plain EnglishToday, in its first meeting in 6 weeks, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged. 

The Fed Fund Rate remains at a historical low, within a prescribed target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

In its press release, the FOMC said that, since June, the pace of economic recovery “has slowed”. Household spending is increasing but remains restrained because of high levels of unemployment, falling home values, and restrictive credit.

Today’s statement shows less economic optimism as compared to the prior year’s worth of FOMC statements dating back to June 2009. The Fed is looking for growth to be “more modest in the near-term” than its previous expectations.

Weaknesses aside, the Fed highlighted strengths in the economy, too:

  1. Growth is ongoing on a national level
  2. Inflation levels remain exceedingly low
  3. Business spending is rising

As expected, the Fed re-affirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent “for an extended period”.

There were no surprises in the Fed’s statement so, as a result, the mortgage market’s reaction to the release has been neutral. Mortgage rates in Maine are unchanged this afternoon.

The FOMC’s next meeting is scheduled for September 21, 2010.

Jack Mossman - The Nines Team at Keller Williams in Lodi
The Nines Team at Keller Williams in Lodi - Lodi, CA
The Nines Team in Lodi

Shannon - What the Fed avoided is any indication of possible deflation as a result of the current economic status.  With inflation so low and Fed rates so low, it is not outside the realm of possibility that deflation will be a real consideration in the month's to come.  Even positive news lately seems to be lackluster.  Thanks for your post - it does as advertised - plain english - plain understanding!

Aug 10, 2010 01:18 PM
Steve Davis
Davis Coastal Properties - Carlsbad, CA
Carlsbad CA

Jack - Shannon - Thank you both. The Feds announcement was as the market expected so no big response. You do not hear many people as bold as Jack to mention deflation. These are unusual times. Thanks for the post in plain English.

Aug 10, 2010 01:25 PM