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The War on Homeownership has begun - ObamaTime Magazine weighs in.

Reblogger
Real Estate Agent with Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate 303829;0225082372

IS THE U.S. BECOMING A NATION OF RENTERS??

I'm a strong believer that, while the numbers and statistics are interesting, it is the TRENDS that usually tell the real market story.

The real estate industry is slowly TRENDING towards a greatly reduced home owner percentage and higher tenant percentage. 

The evidence is overwhelming.  We have lost the heights in home ownership reached during "THE BOOM" that ended in about 2007.  Since then, the percentage of home ownership of the general population has been reduced by about 5% and the TREND is still downward.

                Buying a home

Consider the number of former home owners who lost their home to short sale or foreclosure, the number who will not be buying because of damaged credit, and the number of unemployed or underemployed who have no savings.  They will not be home buyers for some years, if ever. 

The future is not rosy.  Sadly, a nation of renters doesn't fuel the housing market, the home building market, the home maintenance market or the development of home equity through which generations have financed their retirement.

Retirement

It's a different world and a different economy.  I could last for decades.

Courtesy, Lenn Harley, Broker, Homefinders.com, 800-711-7988.

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Original content by Gene Wunderlich

The administration's war on home ownership has begun. The first salvo's were lobbed months ago as rumors leaked out that 'high level discussion' were being held about the value of housing. It escalated a couple weeks ago with the White House Conference on Housing, where the predominant message was the failure of housing and the inequity of benefits for the wealthy.

Yesterday it took another leap with the ObamaTime Magazine cover devoted to "Rethinking Home Ownership". The magazine didn't even make a paean to fairness with it's cover subtitle - 'Why owning a home may no longer make economic sense'. Inside the article itself laid out the case under the headline "The Case Against Homeownership" going on to state that the 'American Dream may well be a fantasy'. The first line of the article read - "Home ownership has let us down..." and went downhill from there.

The article, by a Barbara kiviat, drones on for 5 pages providing a combination of research, history and non-sequitur. It gives a historical perspective of Presidential views on the benefits of homeownership (minus our current leader) then states 'Our leaders, with our encouragement, went too far. The dark side of home ownership is now all too apparent." Whoops - that's just the first of numerous non-sequitur's where the author makes a series of generally negative statements and then fails to provide a nexus to housing. She points to a failure of leadership but lays the blame on housing. What?

A paragraph later she does it again pointing out that 'easy lending, stimulated by the cult of homeownership may have triggered the financial crisis.' The cult of homeownership? And while she references 'easy lending', again the blame lies squarely on housing - not greedy, rapacious lenders nor the hack politicians that fostered mis-directed programs like the Community Reinvestment Act - folks like Barney Frank and Maxine Waters, who are nowhere mentioned in this article. 

In fact while she is able to blame homeowners for a variety of societal ills including lack of mobility, inflexibility, being security conscious, wanting a safe place to raise families, freezing low income rentals out of upper end neighborhoods and the like, she does not once mention the administration policies that brought us to our current position. In addition to this glaring omission of government culpability, she completely glosses over the complicity of Wall Street, not even mentioned in the article, nor the rampant fraud and fiscal impropriety that exacerbated the problem.

No, in her simplistic, administration-centric view, all these ills were not the cause of the housing crisis but rather were caused by housing itself - as if housing were a malevolent entity that, rather than being the American Dream, was hell-bent on destroying the American Dream. Of course she raises the flag of inequity raise by Mark Zandi at the housing conference a couple weeks back that government subsidies like the mortgage interest deduction and capital gains benefits are primarily enjoyed by the wealthy while poor and middle class homeowners have to be content with just a safe and secure place to raise their families. 

She also spends a few pages discussing the merits of renting rather than  owning, pointing out cities with a supposed advantage engendered by having higher percentages of their citizens as renters - San Francisco, New York and Los Angeles are outstanding on her list because they are high rental/high output cities. Likewise the Swiss are held up as icons because they have the highest income as a percent of their GDP yet only 34.6% of their population are homeowners. On the same circular chart that supposedly has some relevance, the Spanish have the lowest per capita income yet have an 89.1% home ownership rate. The US lies somewhere in the middle of that chart between Japan and Australia. I'm sure the chart makes sense to someone for some reason depending on your agenda. Notably absent from the list are other socialist countries. Apparently the author sees no use in tipping her hand quite that far by noting that the ultimate in rental-centric societies are also the lowest per capita income generators. Noooo, that equation don't work. 

Well, I cease to be amazed at the slant or tenor of any article contained in most of today's media, especially in ObamaTime. I mean the same issue carries a glowing article on how the $787 Billion stimulus package has been such a success (?) and how it is 'quietly changing the way America works, moves and innovates. They apparently don't see the irony in that headline as more Americans are out of work, moving out of their homes and that innovation has been outsourced off-shore. 

Just be aware, the battle against housing has begun. I'm not sure of the goal, but if the battle is waged as successfully as the war for healthcare reform, financial reform, corporate bail-out's and takeovers, you can expect significant changes. They are waging this media battle for the hearts and minds of the lowest common denominator - another aspect of their class warfare. The have's against the have-not's. This time it seeks to pit homeowners against non-homeowners and further divide upper level homeowners against lower level homeowners. It is insidious in nature and has proven a successful strategy of this administration. 

Make no mistake - Homeownership is under attack and if you don't take a stand, most of you will be out of business within the decade and the ownership of individual private proerty will become a hazy memory. 

Of course that's just my opinion - I could be wrong. Hope I am. 

time

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Comments (45)

Ed Silva, 203-206-0754
Mapleridge Realty, CT 203-206-0754 - Waterbury, CT
Central CT Real Estate Broker Serving all equally

Lenn, there are home buyers in the marketplace, but they are very cautious and not looking to get into a big home, just something functional. The uncertainty over jobs doesn't help at all, and our business and the economy won't turn around until those that want to work have a job.

Sep 01, 2010 03:35 AM
Dan Quinn
The Eric Steart Group of Long & Foster Real Estate - Silver Spring, MD
Dan Quinn

Agreed.

Sep 01, 2010 04:14 AM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Ed.   It's hard here because our prices are pretty high for the typical American Dream home.

Dan.  Thanks.

Sep 01, 2010 05:10 AM
Loreena and Michael Yeo
3:16 team REALTY ~ Locally-owned Prosper TX Real Estate Co. - Prosper, TX
Real Estate Agents

For those who are credit damaged and may never purchase a home for a long time, if ever - How large is this percentage? I'm not sure if I'm convinced that this is large population. Therefore that should still leave the major majority of us being able to purchase homes.

If this statement is what we focus on, "Why owning a home may no longer make economic sense?" then perhaps the author is right. However, we are human beings that make buying decision process not on economic sense. Thank God for that!

Homeownership is not solely based on Income - Mortgage Payment + etc. You cannot put a mathematical equation like that. That's what makes our jobs very interesting!

Sep 01, 2010 05:51 AM
Pat Laracy Baker
Realty Executives Boston West - Holliston, MA
Pat Baker Dream Home Maker

The elections cannot come sooner.  We need to get out and vote.  We need to turn this "Queen Mary" around.

Sep 01, 2010 05:58 AM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Loreena?  How many?  How many short sales have there been?  How many foreclosures have there been?  How many bankruptcies have there been?

Pat.  INdeed.  It's slow but it will be worth the wait if we can get going in the right direction.

Sep 01, 2010 06:09 AM
William Johnson
Retired - La Jolla, CA
Retired

Hi Lenn, As professionals in real estate , it has always been our commitment to be on the side of more people having the opportunity to own their home. It is good for families and good for the community. There does seem to be a movement that says that too much was made of that and that being free of the burden is better. Says Who? That so called burden and the responsibility that goes with it is exactly what keeps most of country working. Perhaps that is the point. :-) More dependence just like in Europe. Keep em on the dole. The more they can have o the dole, the more they win the war of ideas of giving everyone more of it.

Sep 01, 2010 06:35 AM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

William.  You wrote: " Perhaps that is the point. :-) More dependence just like in Europe. Keep em on the dole."

By George, I think he got it.

Sep 01, 2010 10:47 AM
Jim Hale
ACTIONAGENTS.NET - Eugene, OR
Eugene Oregon's Best Home Search Website

I can remember when I ranked Time not far below the Bible...during the early sixties.

 

Now it's simply not worth the time.

Sep 01, 2010 11:36 PM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Jim.  Agreed.  I no longer read periodicals, with the one exception of Vanity Fair when there is an article by Christopher Hitchins. 

I'll often disagree with what he writes but his writing is so brilliant, I can't resist.

Sep 01, 2010 11:55 PM
Russell Lewis
Realty Austin, Austin Texas Real Estate - Austin, TX
Broker,CLHMS,GRI

I certainly hope this is just a blip on the screen. I have a fear that when home ownership goes down that the gulf between the haves and have nots becomes wider with a further degradation of the middle class. That's not good at all in my book!

Sep 02, 2010 01:59 AM
Russell Lewis
Realty Austin, Austin Texas Real Estate - Austin, TX
Broker,CLHMS,GRI

Oh and I started laughing at the one periodical you peruse but only when Christopher Hitchins writes. I do like the fact that you  will read other points of view even when you disagree. I do the same thing and  think that's a huge problem today that more don't at least TRY to look at a different opinion. We seem to be so polarized that if there is a disagreement we NEVER compromise anymore. It always my way or nothing...I think I'm going to take some time off and enjoy dove season in Texas for a few days ;-)

Sep 02, 2010 02:02 AM
Jason M. Keith
Caliber Home Loans - Parker, CO
Equal Housing Lender

Lenn, once again great post.  From the lending standpoint I find myself perplexed when I am looking at first time home buyers and I can show them a 30 year fixed loan with payments right at their rent level.  The fear of the article you listed above you can hear in their voices.  "I'm worried about the market, I'm worried about becoming a statistic."  I usually come back with a quote from Greenspan "I didn't get rich by buying high and selling low."  Market is down, rates are down, your payment is fixed, education is so key right now and somehow misses the general population.

Sep 02, 2010 04:27 AM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Russell.  Thanks.  I read all types of publications.  I also listen to NPR.

Jason.  Sadly, those that used that common sense in 2005 are not in homes with value of half what they paid for the property and now owe twice the appraised value.  It ain't purddy out there.

Sep 02, 2010 04:49 AM
Jeff R. Geoghan
Coldwell Banker Realty - Lancaster, PA
REALTOR, Marketing Manager

It all comes back to the numbers.  If renting makes sense, go for it.  There are definitely lifestyles that lend themselves to renting.  For many others, owning makes economic sense.  Thanks Lenn - long time no talk!

Sep 02, 2010 07:42 AM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Jeff.  Here I am at my station, plugging away.

 

Sep 02, 2010 12:29 PM
Jeff R. Geoghan
Coldwell Banker Realty - Lancaster, PA
REALTOR, Marketing Manager

You are a rock!  I STILL haven't had the pleasure of meeting you...

Sep 03, 2010 06:02 AM
Dan Quinn
The Eric Steart Group of Long & Foster Real Estate - Silver Spring, MD
Dan Quinn

Hi Lenn, I saw this quote today from the chief executive of Re/max in Denver and found it interesting to note:

"I don't think we're going to see massive dips like we did before, but housing can't recover until employment recovers," said Margaret Kelly, chief executive of RE/MAX in Denver.

 

Sep 22, 2010 10:11 AM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Dan.  HA!

I don't expect a recovery until unemployment is down and the American consumer recovers from the fractured credit following all of the foreclosures, short sales and bankruptcies.

Sep 22, 2010 12:02 PM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Jeff.  Come on over. 

Sep 22, 2010 12:03 PM