The future of the entire real estate market is dependent on the Fed’s anticipated action next month. Predictions are that the Fed will again lower the Interest Rate in September.
What affect could this change have on the Real Estate market, and where do we go from there?
There will be a great deal of refinancing from ARM’s to 30-year fixed loans. Those who bought in the past with the intention of reselling before the interest rates increase will be anxious to refinance for 30-years at a low interest rate. Those who will want to refinance will face more strenuous and realistic pre-qualification criteria, and may need to bring cash to the table to get their loans approved.
That will be a big change from the recent mortgage loan approval standard was the borrowers ability to write his/her name or make their mark.
Anticipate a surge in property sales, as buyers and investors will scramble to take advantage of a lower interest rate, as no one expects the interest rate to fall below the September adjustment.
On the flip-side, even if the rates do not fall in September, remain steady, or even increase slightly, the affect on buyers and investors should be the same as if they fall - to buy that mortgage before the rates begin to climb insanely, as they have in the past.
Now, what is your opinion?
The rate the fed lowered was the discount rate that it lends to banks reduced from 6.25 to 5.75.
That is different from the fund rate that impacts bank lending rates which the fed has not lowered in close to 3 years. It is currently I believe at 5.25. A reduction which would certainly be welcomed for it's psychological impact on consumers, will not make the gray clouds blue but it will help our struggling Florida market. It may even help lower the rising wave of foreclosures from all these ARMS.
Too many folks down here are not in a position to refinance. Their homes won't appraise for what they owe...either due to a decline in value or the irresponsible tendency to use one's home as an ATM.