THE PRESIDENT, THE FED AND THE PUNDITS HAVE IT ALL WRONG, FOR A CHANGE - VIEWS OF A CONTRAIAN - CHAPTER 3

Chapter 1 - WHAT'S THE MATTER WITH THE MORTGAGE MARKET?  - 8/22/2007
THE TROUBLE STARTS WITH REAL ESTATE AGENTS

Chapter 2 -  WHO'S RESPONSIBLE FOR OVERSIGHT OF THE MORTGAGE MARKET?  - 8/26/2007
THE TROUBLE IS "MONITORED" BY THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE
THE FEDERAL RESERVE FAILED IN IT'S MISSION TO SUPERVISE FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS

Chapter 3 - THE PRESIDENT, THE FED AND THE PUNDANTS HAVE IT ALL WRONG, FOR A CHANGE

SO THE PRESIDENT IS GOING TO PROPOSE SOME HELP FOR FOLKS FACING FORECLOSURE. . . .

SO THE FED MAY REDUCE THE DISCOUNT RATE. . . .

SO WHAT??

The stock market is UP on rumors that President Bush will offer help for sub-prime home borrowers in trouble with their mortgage.  Thanks a lot.  What about the home borrowers who are not YET in trouble with their mortgage??

The rumor is that the help offered will be for low to moderate priced home owners.    Thanks a lot.                      N E W S  F L A S H  The FHA has always been there with WONDERFUL programs for low to moderate priced home owners. 

The President is planning to put Alphonso Johnson, Secretary of HUD, to work on these matters.  Thanks a lot.  Where have you been Mr. Johnson??  Do you not have a job description that includes offering mortgage programs for low to moderate income buyers??   And, by the way, since the FHA insured mortgage does not have any income limits, why is the focus on low and moderate income borrowers?  By the way, Mr. Johnson, one of the reasons low to moderate home borrowers went to sub-prime, 100% loans and other instruments that got them into trouble is because the FHA loans require a 3% down payment.  I HAVEN'T HEARD ANYTHING FROM YOU about trying to get that changed. 

The President is planning to have Mr. Johnson work with Treasury Secretary Paulson to "work together on an initiative to help troubled mortgage holders obtain services and products needed to prevent default"  Thanks a lot.  What's the matter guys.  Don't you folks talk?  When was the last Cabinet meeting?  Hey, I'll pay for lunch to get you guys together. 

The Federal Reserve has been working hard to provide liquidity for mortgage companies and lenders.  Thanks a lot.  Who's offering liquidity for consumers??  I bet what has gotten the attention of the Fed and the President now is that with fear in the market, folks will stop shopping at Wal-Mart and stop buying cars.  The Fed and the Executive don't get worried until that sacred cow retail spending is in jeopardy. 

The President "will discuss his willingness to work with Congress in a bipartisan way to reform the tax code to help troubled borrowers rework their loans."   HA! ! !    WHAT CAVE DO YOU LIVE IN, MR. PRESIDENT???   The Congress is going to give you NOTHING.  The Congress has to be shoved in a corner under spotlights to give you guns to protect our national security.  Do you believe that they care if a few home owners lose their homes.  The Congress works hard at one thing, embarrassing the President of the United States. 

I hear, Mr. President that you plan to offer a tax break for folks who have a short sale or foreclosure and the deficiency balance would be considered income to the borrower.  Excuse me, Mr. President, but if I had to think of the more obscure methods of relief, this would probably be up there at the top of the list. 

I hear also, Mr. President that you "plan to discuss the need for rigorous enforcement of predatory lending laws"

Well, all I can say to that is - - IT'S ABOUT TIME.   By the way.  You don't need any new laws for that, or money, or cozy get togethers between Mr. Johnson and Mr. Paulson,

UPDATE:  NOTE FOLLOWING THE PRESIDENT'S SPEECH.  I DON'T BELIEVE HE HAS THE FOGGIEST IDEA ABOUT THAT OF WHICH HE SPOKE.

WE NEED SOME PERP-WALKS.  What would it do for confidence if we had a few "PERP-WALKS"?  The laws are there.  Mortgage fraud is serious business and it's been rampant and the laws have been unenforced for several years.  Surely the law enforcement folks can do something more helpful than arrest Congressmen looking for sex. 

GET SOME SEX IN THE STORY.  Wait a minute! ! !   Isn't that when Kenneth Staff finally got off the dime and filed something about President Clinton??  Of course.  That's what we need to get mortgage industry enforcement, catch a borrower and a loan officer having sex and the law will step right in.  Arresting a few loan folks for mortgage fraud isn't sexy enough.


Courtesy:  Homefinders.com

 

22 Comments on THE PRESIDENT, THE FED AND THE PUNDITS HAVE IT ALL WRONG, FOR A CHANGE - VIEWS OF A CONTRAIAN - CHAPTER 3

Lenn,

Interesting points. I love it when we focus on "creating law" when we really mean "enforcing" law.

 

08/31/2007 09:57 AM by Dave Peeples (Century 21 First Realty)


Dave.  Thanks for dropping by.  I posted this at the absolutely worst time of the day and I didn't really think anyone would be reading it.  You're right.  I've been screaming that message for a month, or two, or three.

 

 

08/31/2007 10:03 AM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


Lenn,

Enforcement of existing laws would have gotten rid of a lot of riff raff BEFORE the damage was done. Unethicals have left our industry shipwrecked. Thanks for a nice post.

08/31/2007 10:11 AM by Fran 'The Title Man' Gaspari Title Insurance-PA & NJ (Patriot Land Transfer, Inc.)


FRAN.  Thanks for commenting.  You are absolutely right.  I keep hearing about bad loans written.  Where have the regulators been??????

08/31/2007 10:22 AM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


Did you catch the press conference ? Any thoughts ? I missed the first few minutes as a client called ? But, caught the rest .

08/31/2007 10:48 AM by Missy Caulk Ann Arbor Real Estate (Keller Williams Ann Arbor, Michigan)


Missy.  Awful.  Just awful.  He proposes to help folks in arrears, after their credit is already ruined.  He proposes to give tax breaks for short sales and foreclosures, just what everyone dreams about.  He proposes to enforce the mortgage laws, mmm, about 6 months late. 

Want to know what I really think??

 

08/31/2007 10:54 AM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


I'm not sure the President needs to worry about Congress trying to embarrass him.  He's done an awfully good job of doing that to himself.

08/31/2007 11:01 AM by Madeline Island Realty - Eric Kodner Sells Madeline Island


Where was the "rigorous enforcement of predatory lending laws" during the past seven years?  Oh, I know, we don't want too much government regulation, do we?  At least until the subprime meltdown happened, that is.

08/31/2007 11:04 AM by Madeline Island Realty - Eric Kodner Sells Madeline Island


Eric.  You are absolutely correct. 

What I find so curious is that lenders I work with would never permit any of the folks who got those sub-prime loans to get by with anything.  How did they all do it. 

Where have the regulators been for the past several years??  Good question.

08/31/2007 11:15 AM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


Lenn, you've written an excellent series on the mortgage crisis.  I may be missing something, but I don't see how the President's call to improve FHA, or reform foreclosure recapture tax, is going to help folks who are in jeopardy of losing their homes.  If we're going to help anyone, aren't they the ones who need help?

 

08/31/2007 11:19 AM by Brian Schulman - Your Lancaster County, PA Real Estate Professional (Mastros Real Estate, Inc.)


Why don't they just follow up like they're supposed to. Hey, Lenn. You ever think about doing a show like Larry King. I really think you'd be wonderful at it!

08/31/2007 11:39 AM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), HAWAII Real Estate & HAWAII Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Sally.  That's what we've been saying for months.  The laws are there, enforce them.

Missy.  Thanks.  I've got enough trouble.

08/31/2007 11:55 AM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


It's all just more smoke and mirrors.. If you read Bernanke's statement this morning these guys just don't have a clue... I'm betting the FED is not going to lower  the Funds rate in Sept. and if they do it will only be 1/4 of a point which will do nothing..  Truth is I'm afraid that whatever they do will only make the situation worse.. most people in foreclosure should never have bought that home in the first place.. ..many had a hard time making the rent each month let alone a house payment.  You can't legislate against  stupidity.. and neither the lenders or buyers used any common sense.  

08/31/2007 01:21 PM by Manhattan Beach CA/ e-PRO..... Kaye Thomas... (Real Estate West)


Right you are Kaye.

But, they'll do something, even if it's wrong in order to get votes. 

I want to see a few "perp walks" of high-binder loan officers and underwriters and investors.  That would do more to turn things around and give some confidence than anything they've suggested so far.

08/31/2007 01:27 PM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


Something needed to be said....and it was.  Heck, the stock market is up as a result!

Enforcement...by whom? How about a regulatory committee headed by the Nations leading mortgage execs! That would fix everything and fill the "need". Wouldn't it?

Requirements for consumers seeking assistance: Equity(eliminates 80%), Current on payments(eliminates 10%..or more) Other proposed requirements (eliminates 9%) of the 1% remaining......disqualified because of their income level. Good plan! So....lets just bail out the lenders with the money saved!

Free at last, free at last, thank God O Mighty, We are free at last.

 

08/31/2007 01:40 PM by Christopher Walker Hemet CA Real Estate (Mission Grove Realty - REO Homes & Investment Property)


Christopher.  Right you are.  Something needed to be said.  But, it should have been said by someone who knew what they were talking about. 

Yep.  All the mortgage companies and builders are up. 

Today. 

Enforcement????  That is easy.  There are rules about LTV for certain loan instruments and lenders have to follow those guidelines, verifying borrowers info or something is wrong.  Enforce those rules.  I believe that there was undue pressure on a lot of borrowers to sign what they didn't understand.

The GAO could find them.  FDIC could find them.  Just follow the documents.  Verify documents will do it.  There are lots of ways.  But, I know it isn't going to happen. 

Maybe the government will form a new RESOLUTION TRUST CORPORATION to sell off the foreclosures and bail the lenders out. 

Hey, that's an idea. 

08/31/2007 01:48 PM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


Perp walks would be good! If it is good for Martha Stewart, it would be good for the mortgage business. RTC? Sounds scary to me. I do believe the speech is a good thing in that it calms the fears of the market. Good press will help after months of concentration on the bad.

08/31/2007 03:41 PM by Jim Little, Your Sun City Arizona Realtor (Ken Meade Realty)


I love  this post Lenn. Especially the sex part. Now hasn't the mortgage industry been having sex with the consumer for about 5 years now? Sometimes willingly and sometimes against their will or knowledge? See how I did that without mentioning the F word one time:)

08/31/2007 04:32 PM by Bryant Tutas-Tutas Towne Realty, Inc


Jim.  I believe that what calmed the fears of the market was that Bernanke didn't say he was taking the opportunity to raise rates.  I don't believe a single word of substance came out of the President's mouth.  But, I didn't expect anything.

Bryant.  Thanks.  I agree.  The mortgage industry has been "having their way" with a lot of borrowers for just about 5 years now.  Of course, as you know, I believe that what home buyers/borrowers need is a good buyer's agent or an honest listing agent.  I still put a lot of the responsibility for this debacle on the backs of agents who don't do their job.  We don't need 1,300,000 REALTORS.  We need about 300,000 GOOD REALTORS.

 

08/31/2007 04:46 PM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


Right on point as usual Lenn...I missed the speach. But I gather it was more of the same...as usual!

08/31/2007 11:29 PM by Joan Mirantz- Concord New Hampshire Realtor (Keeler Family Realtors)


Joan.  Thanks for commenting.  Missed the speech?  It was actually more or less the same.  More less than more or less of more.  Or, something.

09/01/2007 05:29 AM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


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